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Coping with Uncertainty

Robust Solutions

  • Book
  • © 2010

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Overview

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems (LNE, volume 633)

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About this book

Support for addressing the on-going global changes needs solutions for new scientific problems which in turn require new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of irreducible uncertainties, including extreme events of high multidimensional consequences, e.g., the climate change. The dilemma is concerned with enormous costs versus massive uncertainties of extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments, and learning by doing may be expensive, dangerous, or impossible. In addition, the available historical observations are often contaminated by past actions, and policies. Thus, tools are presented for the explicit treatment of uncertainties using "synthetic" information composed of available "hard" data from historical observations, the results of possible experiments, and scientific facts, as well as "soft" data from experts' opinions, and scenarios.

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Keywords

Table of contents (13 chapters)

  1. Robust Solutions Under Uncertainty

  2. Robust Solutions under Uncertainty

  3. Analysis and Optimization of Technical Systems and Structures Under Uncertainty

  4. Analysis and Optimization of Economic and Engineering Systems Under Uncertainty

  5. Analysis and Optimization of Economic and Engineering Systems under Uncertainty

Editors and Affiliations

  • Aerospace Engineering and, Technology, Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Neubiberg/München, Germany

    Kurt Marti

  • Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), International Institute for, Laxenburg, Austria

    Yuri Ermoliev, Marek Makowski

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