Abstract
In this paper an adaptation of CO2RBFN, evolutionary COoperative- COmpetitive algorithm for Radial Basis Function Networks design, applied to the prediction of the extra-virgin olive oil price is presented. In this algorithm each individual represents a neuron or Radial Basis Function and the population, the whole network. Individuals compite for survival but must cooperate to built the definite solution. The forecasting of the extra-virgin olive oil price is addressed as a time series forecasting problem. In the experimentation medium-term predictions are obtained for first time with these data. Also short-term predictions with new data are calculated. The results of CO2RBFN have been compared with the traditional statistic forecasting Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average method and other data mining methods such as other neural networks models, a support vector machine method or a fuzzy system.
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Keywords
- Radial Basis Function
- ARIMA Model
- Conjugate Gradient Algorithm
- Time Series Forecast
- Time Series Prediction
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.
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Pérez-Godoy, M.D., Pérez-Recuerda, P., Frías, M.P., Rivera, A.J., Carmona, C.J., Parras, M. (2010). CO2RBFN for Short and Medium Term Forecasting of the Extra-Virgin Olive Oil Price. In: González, J.R., Pelta, D.A., Cruz, C., Terrazas, G., Krasnogor, N. (eds) Nature Inspired Cooperative Strategies for Optimization (NICSO 2010). Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 284. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12538-6_10
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12538-6_10
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