Introduction

Globally, water hazard is one of the serious disasters in coalmines. Mine water hazards have led to a large number of casualties and property losses. The water inrush accidents of Lofthouse Colliery mine, Northumberland of England, caused 10 deaths in 1973 and the water inrush of Chasnala Colliery mine, Jharia of India, killed 375 people in 1975 (Vutukuri and Singh 1995).

In China, the complex hydrogeological conditions are inherent with over 30 common types of water hazards (Gui and Lin 2016) in which the karst water hazard is more serious.

The coal areas threatened by limestone karst water hazards are over 60% of the total coal-bearing regions of China, amounting to over tens of billion tons of coal reservation. In particular, North and South China regions have suffered the most from karst water burst disasters. Such accidents struck more frequently and more deadly due to large volumes of highly pressurized water. On December 3rd, 1995 at Fengfeng Wutong coalmine in Henan, North China, a catastrophic Ordovician karst water accident flooded the pit and killed 17 people, recording instant water flow as high as 34,000 m3/h. On March 1st, 2010, in Shenhua Luotuoshan coalmine, Northwest region was struck by Ordovician karst water accident. The instant maximum water flow recorded at 60,036 m3/h, flooding the entire mine and leaving 32 dead people (Wu et al. 2013).

In efforts to meet the Chinese requirements, “high yield, high efficiency, safety” on coal production, the industry has invested enormously on research to understand karst water as a menace and the burst mechanism when mining over pressure-bearing karst aquifer. The achievements (Wu et al. 2009; Sui et al. 2011; Sun et al. 2015; Zeng et al. 2016) will be of relevance to other countries facing similar threats from karst water in coalmines.

Theory and methods

Distribution features of karst aquifer

Taking Huaibei coal field in North China, the exposed strata, from newly formed to old, are Quaternary, Neogene, Permian, Carboniferous, and Ordovician. Among the strata, Carboniferous Taiyuan formation and the top of Ordovician limestone contain pressure-bearing karst aquifer which are detrimental to coal mining (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Strata bar graph of Huaibei coalfield, Anhui

Permian contains 20–30 strata of coal seams, concentrating in the top Permian upper Shihezi formation and lower Permian middle-level Shihezi formation and Shanxi formation. Specifically, the strata between the minable seam in lower Shanxi formation and the top limestone in Carboniferous Taiyuan formation are formed of mudstone, fine sandstone, and siltstone, which produce low water yield. The strata are generally referred to as coal seam bottom plate aquifuge (simplified as bottom aquifuge). The aquifuge is of 50–60 m thickness or as thick as 75 m.

Carboniferous Taiyuan formation, located under the bottom aquifuge, has a thickness range of 100–170 m with an average of 120 m. The formation comprises thin layers of limestone, mudstone, sandy mudstone, sandstone, and thin coal seam. There are a total of 10–14 layers of limestone (accumulative thickness f 50–75 m and an average of 64 m), which are named from top down as L 1, L 2, …, L 14 limestone, the L 1 and L 2 are thinner (each of 5 m in thickness), and water-free. L 3 and L 4 are thicker (each of 12 m in thickness) and with evenly distributed water yield, which are the direct water source for water inrush in coalmining.

Based on the hydrogeological test to the aquifer of Taiyuan formation, the permeability coefficient K of L 1L 4 limestone is 0.066∼0.3512 m/day and the unit inflow q is 0.022∼2.338 L/(s.m), from which we think that the limestone permeability and the water abundance of Taiyuan formation all are good.

Ordovician limestone, located under the limestone layers in Carboniferous Taiyuan formation, has a thickness over 500 m with development of karst fissures. Water pressure reaches as high as 5.0–7.5 MPa with high water yield. The permeability coefficient K is 1.34∼1.98 m/day and the unit inflow q is 0.718∼3.61 L/(s.m), which means that the Ordovician limestone is rich in water as very strong karstification and the permeation conditions of the groundwater of the limestone are very good. Ordovician karst water generates hydraulic connection with the limestone layers in Carboniferous Taiyuan formation and the Permian strata through water-conductive faults or karst collapse column, posing severe menace to mining safety.

Factors influencing karst water burst

In coal mining, triggers to karst water disasters are related to the following factors (Bieniawski 1995; Kwasniewski and Wang 1999; Zhang 2005; Sergio et al. 2009):

  1. (1)

    Thickness and strength of the bottom aquifuge. The thicker and harder the bottom aquifuge is, the stronger it is to resist water burst from the karst aquifer.

  2. (2)

    The growth level of pre-existing formation. The pre-existing formation, such as faults and fissures, will attenuate the strength of the bottom aquifuge. The thickness of the water-resisting aquifuge, or also named as “effective aquifuge thickness,” is smaller than the thickness of the original bottom aquifuge, thus giving rise to the possibility of water burst from the karst aquifer.

  3. (3)

    Water head pressure of karst aquifer. The karst aquifer is pressure-bearing. If the water head pressure rises, there is higher possibility of water burst accident.

  4. (4)

    Mining thickness and mining method. The further mining goes into the coal seam, the deeper the destruction to the bottom mining plate. Water burst is prone to happen if the effective aquifuge thickness of aquifuge shrinks. Backfill mining and room and pillar mining cause less destruction to the bottom aquifuge, thus lowering possibility of water burst from the karst aquifer.

  5. (5)

    Mine pressure. Areas with concentrated mine pressure are more susceptible to water burst.

  6. (6)

    Tectonic stress (including current and residual tectonic stress). Current tectonic stress releases in the form of earthquake, which will cause water burst if the seismic origin is close to coalmine and of greater magnitude. Residual tectonic stress tends to culminate in synclinal shaft and plunging folds as well as the junctures, where water burst is more probable to strike if evoked by other tectonic stress such as earthquake and mine pressure, etc. (Gui et al. 1999; Qiu et al. 2015).

Recorded karst water-incurred accidents in China coalmines have shown that water burst happens more dominantly during tunnel excavation and working face mining, where the former is more frequently stricken than the latter in statistics. In Hebei Jingjing coalmine, North China coal-bearing region, the ratio of tunnel excavation accidents to face mining accidents is 2.7:1 (Fang et al. 1987). The underlying reason is that tunnel excavation would hit many minor faults which would trigger water burst. Working panels, in contrast, are designed away from major faults. Minor faults during face mining would have been exposed in excavation of wind tunnels and machine tunnels. As a result, frequency of water burst in working face mining is much smaller than that in tunnel excavation (Bieniawski 1982; Zhang et al. 2014).

Bottom plate deformation and water burst

Rule of bottom formation: the “three bottom strata”

Mining activity breaks the original tectonic stress balance, which readjusts in a way to stretch or destruct the rock mass in the bottom aquifuge. Through field measurements and lab simulations of the bottom coal seam deformation, the bottom rock plate has shown the tendency to stratify under mining forces just as the roof overlying rock. From top down, the strata are destructed stratum in mining bottom plate, intact rock stratum, and pre-existing confined water-conductive stratum (collectively named as “three bottom strata”) (Li et al. 1987; Lu and Wang 2015), as shown in Fig. 2. Specifically, the depth (h 1 ) of “destructed stratum in mining bottom plate” is in direct proportion to the length of the inclined working panel (L), empirical formula being h 1  = 0.11 L + 1.86 (coefficient R = 0.9694); the “intact rock stratum” (h 2 ) is the part in the bottom aquifuge which remains intact after mining with functional water resistance; the height of “pre-existing confined water-conductive stratum” (h 3 ) refers to the height rise of the karst pressurized water through the fissures or fault crushed zone in the bottom aquifuge. The discovery of the “three bottom strata” is of significance to the accurate evaluation of water resistance of bottom aquifuge and the analysis of water burst from karst aquifer (Gui et al. 2016).

  1. (1)

    Due to the presence of h 1 and h 3 , the effective aquifuge thickness in the bottom aquifuge equals to h 2 = M 0-(h 1 + h 3), while lowering the capability to resist water pressure from karst aquifer. As a result, there is the risk of water burst.

  2. (2)

    If the faults in bottom plate are highly water-conductive, the pressurized karst water will rise higher (h 3 ) through faults or event channel with the destructed stratum in mining bottom plate (where h 2 diminishes to non-existent). Under such circumstance, water burst from karst aquifer is inevitable.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Diagram of the “three bottom strata” in bottom aquifuge

Measuring the height of the “three bottom strata”

  1. (1)

    The depth of the destructed stratum in mining bottom plate (h 1 ) can be measured by water infusion into the bottom aquifuge (Jiang 2009) or by numerical simulation of hydraulic fracturing based on the functional relation between the permeability coefficient of bottom rock and damage variables (Gidley et al. 1989; Murdoch and Slack 2002; Xie et al. 2009) or by FLAC3D numerical simulation (Wu et al. 2008; Zheng et al. 2015).

  2. (2)

    The height of the pre-existing confined water-conductive stratum (h 3) can be determined by measuring dynamic water pressure and volume using hydraulic fracturing method (Hayashi et al. 1997). In addition, h 3 can also be obtained through simulation tests of similar materials and numerical simulation (Yin and Hu 2008; Wang 2015).

  3. (3)

    The thickness of the intact rock stratum is as follows: h 2 = M o-(h 1+ h 3).

Water burst evaluation index in karst aquifer

Water burst coefficient (T s)

By the mid-1960s, in order to prevent water burst from karst aquifer and meet the evaluation needs of bottom plate safety, the coal industry in China proposed the concept of bottom plate “water burst coefficient” (T s) (Wang and Park 2003), which represents the maximum hydrostatic pressure bearable to per 1-m-thick bottom aquifuge (Fig. 3). The formula is as follows:

$$ {T}_s=\frac{\kern0.5em P\kern0.5em }{M_0} $$
(1)
Fig. 3
figure 3

Diagram of water burst coefficient

In the formula, M 0 is the thickness of bottom aquifuge (m); P is the hydraulic pressure in karst aquifer exerted on the bottom aquifuge (MPa).

As is stipulated in the “National protocols for coalmine water hazards control” (SACMS 2009), when bottom aquifuge is destructed by faults and other geological structure, T s shall be no bigger than 0.06 MPa/m; when there is no such destruction, T s shall be no bigger than 0.1 MPa/m.

Due to mining activities, the bottom plate can be destructed in a way that pressurized karst water rises through pre-existing structure (such as faults and fissures), diminishing the effective aquifuge thickness. As a result, formula (1) turns into the following:

$$ {T}_s=\frac{\kern0.5em P\kern0.5em }{{\ h}_2}=\frac{P}{\ {M}_0-\left({h}_1+{h}_3\right)\ } $$
(2)

When the fissures and faults are not existent in bottom aquifuge, there is no “pre-existing confined water-conductive stratum” (i.e., h 3  = 0), generating T s = P/(M o-h 1).

Critical water burst indicator (I)

Water burst from karst aquifer is caused jointly by mining pressure and hydraulic pressure in karst aquifer, as well as a manifestation of “rock-water-stress” coupling effect. Therefore, the relation between rock (rock mass in bottom aquifuge), water (pressurized water in karst aquifer), and stress (mine pressure and tectonic stress) can be utilized as the indicator for water burst from karst aquifer (Dong 2010).

$$ I=\frac{\kern0.5em P\ }{\sigma_3} $$
(3)

In the formula, I is the critical indicator of water burst (when I < 1.0, water burst is unlikely to happen; when I > 1.0, water burst is very likely to happen; P is the karst water pressure (MPa) on the rock mass in the bottom aquifuge; σ 3 is the minimum main horizontal stress (MPa) on the rock mass in the bottom aquifuge.

Water-resistance coefficient (Z)

To apply hydraulic fracturing on bottom aquifuge through drilling a number of holes in the mining field (Liu et al. 2007), the water-resistance coefficient is as follows:

$$ Z=\frac{\kern0.5em {P}_f\kern0.5em }{R} $$
(4)

In the formula, P f is the pressure value (MPa) that fractures rock mass in the bottom aquifuge, P f  = 3σ 3-σ 1 + σ τ -P 0; σ 1 and σ 3 correspond to the maximum and minimum main horizontal stress on bottom aquifuge rock; σ τ refers to the tensile strength (MPa) of the bottom rock plate; P 0 is the pore water pressure (MPa) in the bottom rock plate; R is the extension radius (m) of the fissures, usually at 40–50 m.

  1. (1)

    Water burst will not happen if the fracture pressure to bottom rock plate (P f ) is bigger than karst water pressure (P);

  2. (2)

    When the fracture pressure to bottom rock plate (P f ) is smaller than karst water pressure (P), comparing to the total water-resistance of effective aquifuge Z T (Z T  = Z h 2), if Z T  > P, water burst will not happen; otherwise, there is the risk of water burst (Huang and Li 2008).

In recent years, there are other indicators, such as frangibility index (Wu et al. 2007) and coupling geographic information system (GIS) with artificial neural network (ANN) (Wu et al. 2006), etc., in addition, to the above three individual index for the evaluation of water burst from karst aquifer in China coalmines.

Application and discussion

Due to space limit, this article here only introduces application of two commonly seen indicators (water burst coefficient and critical indicator of water burst) in Luling coalmine.

Luling coalmine is located in the Sunan mining area of Huaibei coalfield. From the view of the regional structure (Fig. 4a), there are two E-W orientation faults which are Banqiao fault and Subei fault and one nearly S-N orientation fault which is Nanping fault, respectively, developing in the southern, northern, and western of Luling coalmine. Fault structure is very well developed in Luling mine. In general, there are three sets of faults with NNW, NNE, SN orientations (Fig. 4b). It is clear that there are 45 faults with the throw greater than 10 m (19 normal faults and 26 reverse faults), 10 large faults with the throw greater than 100 m, 12 medium-sized faults with the throw between 30 and 100 m in the mine.

Fig. 4
figure 4

Geological structure distribution of Luling mine (b) in Huaibei coalfield (a)

Application of T s

To conduct water burst probability evaluation in the III horizontal of Huaibei Luling coalmine, Anhui of North China coal-bearing region, the horizontal (−590∼−900 m) 10# coal seam was under the threat of pressurized karst water in the limestone of Carboniferous Taiyuan formation.

  1. (1)

    About M 0. Prospecting data revealed that the aquifuge thickness in the bottom plate was M 0 = 56∼72 m. As the L 1 and L 2 limestone strata in Carboniferous Taiyuan formation were thin with low water yield, grouting was conducted to the L 1 L 2 limestone strata to increase aquifuge thickness (△M) by 23 m on average.

  2. (2)

    About h 1. The discrete element method (DEM) method is usually used for simulating the plastic failure of rock due to mining when there are discontinuous interfaces such as faults, joints, or levels of the strata in geological body. The discontinuous rock mass is considered to be composed of discrete rock blocks and discontinuous surfaces (fault planes, joint surfaces, or strata levels) during calculating by DEM method, while the rock blocks can move, rotate, or shape freely and the discontinuous surfaces can be compressed or separated.

By using the Universal Distinct Element Code (UDEC), the DEM can be used for the deformation and failure calculation of the discontinuous rock mass, while the failure criterion of the rock block is Mohr-Coulomb criterion, and the failure criterion of joints is the Mohr-Coulomb criterion of the joint slip surfaces.

The authors took the 1013 working face of No. 10 coal seam of the III horizontal in Luling coalmine as the geological model (Fig. 5), and, respectively, established trend model and tendency model of numerical calculation DEM according to the occurrence state of the rock strata shown in Fig. 1.

Fig. 5
figure 5

The geological model of the simulation calculation of No. 1013 working face in Luling coalmine

The average thickness of No. 10 coal seam is 2 m. The strata underneath the No. 10 coal seam are successively sandy mudstone, medium sandstone, sandy mudstone, and mudstone, accumulated thickness of which is 56∼72 m. The strata above the No. 10 coal seam are successively sandstone, mudstone, siltstone, and sandstone, accumulated thickness of which is 38 m.

The physical and mechanical parameters of surrounding rock and coal in the model are shown in Table 1; the physical and mechanical parameters of the discontinuity surfaces (joint surfaces) are shown in Table 2.

Table 1 The physical and mechanical parameters of rock and coal
Table 2 The physical and mechanical parameters of joint surfaces

The initial equilibrium of the model was carried out; then, the displacements were changed to zeros, while the DEM calculation was conducted as the coal seam mining. The results of the DEM calculation are shown in Figs. 6 and 7, which we could see that there was one continuous plastic failure zone with 2 m depth and two plastic failure zones (each with the depth of 12 m) under the coal pillar on both sides of the 1013 working face. Besides, there were sporadic distribution fractures with the depth between 14 and 18 m. Therefore, the floor failure depth (h 1) of the No. 10 coal seam was determined to be 12 m.

  1. (3)

    About h 2. The height rise of pressurized karst water caused by faults and fissures in bottom aquifuge was not considered in this case (h 3  = 0). So, the effective aquifuge thickness was h 2 = M 0 + △M -h 1 = (56 + 23–12)∼(72 + 23–12) = 71∼87 m.

  2. (4)

    About P. The water level in Taiyuan formation L 3 limestone stratum was −60 m. The water head (P) pressure exerted on the bottom aquifuge (after grouting the L 1 L 2 limestone strata) was 5.3∼8.4 MPa.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Distribution of plastic failure zone on the tendency section of 1013 working face

Fig. 7
figure 7

Distribution of plastic failure zone on the strike section of 1013 working face

Combing the above results, the water coefficient is shown in Table 3 based on formula (2).

Table 3 Water burst coefficient in Taiyuan formation L 3 limestone stratum, Luling coalmine III horizontal

It is thus clear that, if faults and fissures are not existent in bottom aquifuge, the water burst coefficients (T s) are smaller than the standards in the “Chinese protocols for coalmine water hazards control” (i.e., T s ≤ 0.1). Mining safety is therefore guaranteed.

Application of I

Based on formula (3), to obtain tectonic stress values using acoustic emission (AE) method (Liu and Liu 2012; Xu et al. 2015) on Luling coalmine III horizontal, with the minimum main stress value (σ 3), the critical indicator (I) of water burst can be determined as in Table 4.

Table 4 Test values of tectonic stress using AE method in Luling coalmine III horizontal

The spots where critical water burst indicator was over 1, located west to the III horizontal mechanic tunnel, with a value of 3.23 are exposed to higher risks of water burst from karst aquifer. The other two spots where I < 1.0 are safer from water burst.

The evaluation results using water burst coefficient and critical water burst indicators can be of reference to which measures shall be taken to prevent water burst from karst aquifer, especially the areas where the critical water burst indicator is over 1 (III horizontal mechanic tunnel west). Further prospecting into bottom aquifuge structure shall be carried out to identify abnormality in areas where water hazards are imminent. Built on the prospecting results, countermeasures such as draining karst aquifer or grouting bottom aquifuge (Xu et al. 2014) can be taken to contain T s and I values within safety range before mining. In fact, Luling coalmine was not struck by karst water burst since its operation. This is to testify that evaluation based on water burst coefficient and critical water burst indicator is reliable in predicting risks of water burst from karst aquifer.

Conclusions

The following conclusions can be drawn based on the above analysis:

  1. (1)

    The comparative development of karst aquifer in China coal-bearing regions. Taking North China region, the karst aquifer threatening the lower Permian coal seam is composed of limestone strata in Carboniferous Taiyuan formation and Ordovician limestone strata, which form the major water source under the influence of water-conductive faults or karst collapse column.

  2. (2)

    With mining activity, water burst from karst aquifer is dependent on multiple factors, including the thickness and strength of the bottom aquifuge, development status of pre-existing structure, water pressure in karst aquifer, mine pressure, tectonic stress, mining depth, and mining method, etc.

  3. (3)

    With mining activity, there are three strata as a result of rock deformation in the bottom aquifuge, which from top down are destructed stratum in mining bottom plate (h 1 ), intact rock stratum (h 2 ), and pre-existing confined water-conductive stratum (h 3 ). The presence of h 1 and h 3 will diminish the effective thickness of bottom aquifuge, thus promoting risks of water burst from karst aquifer.

  4. (4)

    For China coalmines, there are a set of indicators to evaluate water burst risks from pressure-bearing karst aquifer, including water burst coefficient (T s ), critical water burst indicator (I), water-resistance coefficient (Z), etc. The two commonly used indicators (T s, I) have demonstrated ideal results in Huaibei Luling coalmine, North China coal-bearing region.