Abstract
Environment assessment is a complex multiple attribute decision-making problem, which is an important component of environmental management. Environmental indices (EI) are very useful for environmental decision-making by policy makers and for maintaining well-informed public. Due to the uncertainty in process of the determination of EI, it is necessary to use a mathematical operator to aggregate various non-commensurate input parameters in a reasonable manner. In this paper, a new mathematic model of environmental indices based on fuzzy numbers power average operator is proposed. Firstly, the data collected from different sources are modeled as fuzzy numbers. Secondly, a method to transform fuzzy variables into basic probability assignments is developed based on the similarity measure between generalized fuzzy numbers. Then conflict data is efficiently combined based on the power average operator. At last, a real application to determine water quality indices is used to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed method.
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1 Introduction
Environment assessment is an important component of environmental management, it can help people to study, to protect, and to renovate environment. It is a complex multiple attribute decision-making problem (Pischke and Cashmore 2006; Deng et al. 2014). Environmental indices (EI) can be used as a communication tool to describe the overall status of the environmental systems (including land, air and water) and to study the impact of regulatory policies on various environmental management practices (Sadiq et al. 2005; Pusatli et al. 2009). EI provide a condensed description of multi-dimensional environmental states by aggregating several variables (or indicators) into a single quantity. EI can also help in selecting appropriate decision actions for the improvement of environmental quality by considering various conflicting factors (Sadiq and Tesfamariam 2007; Deng et al. 2011). EI have also been used in life cycle assessment (Weiss et al. 2007; Khan et al. 2004) and characterize different types of environmental damages (Pan and Kao 2009). Recently years, an increasing number of environmental indices had been proposed in the literature (Debels et al. 2005; Kang 2002). Siracusa et al. (2004) proposed a pollutant interaction matrix method to calculate the global environmental protection index. Ebert and Welsch (2004) provided the characterization of meaningful environmental indices. Khanna (2000) developed an index of pollution based on the epidemiological dose-response function associated with each pollutant, and the welfare losses due to exposure to pollution. Gunasekera and Edwards (2003) proposed an index called the atmospheric hazard index (AHI), which can be used to assess the potential impact of airborne by releasing from a chemical production plant.
Two of the main problems should be taken into consideration in the determination of EI. One problem is the information should be well represented and efficiently handled in a flexible way. It is well known that fuzzy set theory is widely used in many uncertain decision makings and strategy selections. Fuzzy set theory is an useful model of uncertain information of linguistic variables, often represented by fuzzy numbers (Chan 2005; Chan et al. 2006; Sadiq et al. 2010; Chan and Chan 2011; Li 2010; Deng and Chen 2011; Deng et al. 2011, 2012, 2014; Gharibi et al. 2012; Meliadou et al. 2012; Sattler et al. 2012; Liu et al. 2012; Zhang et al. 2013; Wei et al. 2013; Chen et al. 2013; Laala et al. 2013; Guettaf et al. 2013; Yuxian et al. 2014). Chan and Kumar (2007) introduced a fuzzy extended AHP (FEAHP) which uses triangular fuzzy numbers to represent decision makers’ comparison judgements and fuzzy synthetic extent analysis method to decide the final priority of different decision criteria. Chiadamrong (1999) adopted the concept of fuzzy set theory to overcome the precision-based evaluation for manufacturing strategies selection. Deng and Liu (2005) applied a topsis-based centroid-index ranking method of fuzzy numbers and its application in decision-making. Cheng and Qian (2010) established the index system for emergency plan, and analyzed and processed the index system by the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, therefore they provided a quantitative basis for the decision-making. Recently, a large number of fuzzy-based applications for developing environmental indices have been reported in the literature.
Lu and Lo (2002) used self-organizing maps and fuzzy theory to diagnose reservoir water quality. Arunraj and Maiti (2009) proposed a new methodology for the development of environmental consequence index (ECI) by using the fuzzy composite programming (FCP). Nasiri and Huang (2008) proposed a fuzzy multiple attribute analysis approach for the environmental performance assessment of waste recycling programs.
The other problem is the data, which often conflicts with each other in a high degree, should be combined into a reasonable way with a mathematic base. With the development of the environmental indices, some mathematical models were derived, as the abstraction of information and data, some issues and problems are arising. The problems are referred as characteristic properties including ambiguity, eclipsing, compensation and rigidity. Aggregation is a model which is defined as a mathematical tool to reduce a set of numbers to an unique representative or a meaningful number (Peneva and Popchev 2003).
These data aggregation methods generally include logical operators (and, or), averaging or compromising operators (arithmetic average, weighted average, geometric mean, weighted product), and others such as simple addition, root sum power, root sum square, and multiplicative forms (Smolkov and Wachowiak 2002; Silvert 2000).
Over the past few decades, significant literatures referenced on using statistical and mathematical aggregation methods to develop indices for the environmental indices (including air, water, and sediment quality). Ott (1978) introduced the weighted arithmetic mean in his paper on Environmental indices: theory and practice. Sadiq et al. (2010) used penalty functions to evaluate aggregation models for environmental indices. Sadiq and Tesfamariam (2007) proposed a new approach for generating OWA weight distribution by using probability density function (PDFs), they also developed environmental indices using fuzzy numbers ordered weighted averaging (FN-OWA) operators (Sadiq and Tesfamariam 2008). Bellenger and Herlihy (2009) used the directional output distance function from economic productivity theory as an alternative approach to environmental index construction, and provided a nonparametric way to aggregate individual characteristics.
Environmental indices is an important communication tool which is often used to describe the overall status of environmental systems. Environmental indices has been used for a long time and derived from mathematical models. Due to the diverse types and incomplete of input data, it’s difficult to aggregate diverse data properly. Generally, aggregating information by means of techniques such as the average is a task common in many information fusion processes. The power average operator (Yager 2001) is provide a kind of empowerment as it allows groups of values close to each and reinforce each. This operator is particularly useful in group decision making and information fusion applications.
In this paper, a fuzzy evidential methodology to determine EI is proposed to take advantage of the desired properties of fuzzy set theory and power average operator. This paper is arranged as follows: Sect. 2 gives some basic introductions of fuzzy set theory and power average operator. The proposed method of power average operator to determine EI is detailed in Sect. 3 step by step. A real example to determine water quality indices shows in some published works (Swamee and Tyagi 2000) is will be used to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed method in Sects. 3 and 4 which ends with conclusions.
2 Basic theory
2.1 Fuzzy set theory
The nation of fuzzy sets was firstly proposed in 1965 by Zadeh (1965), providing a natural way of dealing with problems in which the source of imprecision is the absence of sharply defined criteria of class membership. Fuzzy set theory is an efficient and effective tool to deal with the uncertain information. The fuzzy set theory was used widely in many areas such as business (Ragone et al. 2009; Zhang et al. 2013), medical and related health sciences (Kharal 2009), natural sciences (Feng and Wang 2007; Prato 2009), in which the information is incomplete or imprecise, to assess risks or make decisions and so on (Deng 2006; Fenton and Wang 2006; Liu et al. 2008; Wei and Chen 2009; Lee and Chen 2008; Lee 2008; Chen and Chen 2009; Padma and Balasubramanie 2009; Lee et al. 2009; Chen et al. 2010; Deng et al. 2011; Liu et al. 2012; Kang et al. 2012; Zhang et al. 2012).
Fuzzy set theory is based on the idea that each element in a certain system can get one value within the interval 0 to 1. Mathematically, it can be expressed as below. Let be X a classical set which generates a space, and its elements let be marked x. A fuzzy set A is defined on an universe X may be given as:
where \(u_A:\hbox { X} \rightarrow [0,1]\) is the membership function A. The membership value \(u_A\hbox {(x)}\) describes the degree of belongingness of \(x \in X\) in A.
A fuzzy number describes the relationship between an uncertain quantity x and a membership function \(u_ A\), which ranges between 0 and 1. A trapezoidal fuzzy number can be represented by five vertices (a, b, c, d, w),where \(a \le b \le c \le d\), and \(0 < w \le 1\),
The membership function is defined by:
If w = 1, then the fuzzy number A is called a normal trapezoidal fuzzy number denote A = (a, b, c, d). If a = b, and c = d, then the fuzzy number A is called a crisp interval. If b = c then the fuzzy number A is called a generalized triangular fuzzy number. If a = b = c = d, then the fuzzy number A is called a real number.
Example: There are three different generalized fuzzy numbers as:
A/B/C shows the three generalized fuzzy numbers in Fig. 1
Compared with normal fuzzy numbers, the generalized fuzzy numbers can be dealt with uncertain information in a more flexible way. For example, in decision making situation, the value \(w_1, w_2\) represents the confidence degree of decision-maker A and B’s opinion respectively (\(w_1=1.0, w_2=0.7\)), and the fuzzy number C is the triangular fuzzy number.
2.2 Linguistic variable
A linguistic or a qualitative scale should be assigned to estimate EI to guide informed decision-making. Linguistic variables are represented in words or sentences or artificial languages, which can also be defined as trapezoidal fuzzy numbers as \((a_k ,b_k ,c_k ,d_k).\) In this paper there five linguistic constants (\(\text {k}=\,1,2,\ldots ,5\)) to express the environmental indices over the universe of discourse, namely, very poor (VP), poor (P), fair (F), and good (G) to very good (VG), and expressed in positive trapezoidal fuzzy number in Table 1, which shows graphically in Fig. 2. A variety of different methods can represent the linguistic items, it depends on the real application systems and the domain experts’ opinions to select method.
2.3 Power average operator
Power average operator is a aggregation information technique which commonly used in many information fusion process. It was introduced by Yager (2001) and developed in 2010 (Yager 2010) in order to allow values being aggregated to support and reinforce each other. This operator is particularly useful in group decision making. A verity of literatures have been proposed in the recent years. Deng and Shi (2003) presented a new method to fusion sensor data based on power average operator. Yejun and Wang (2011) developed some new linguistic aggregation, such as 2-tuple linguistic power average operator (2TLPA) operator, 2-tuple linguistic weighted PA operator, 2TLPOWA operator which are based on power average operator. Xu (2011) established various properties of power aggregation operator (including power average operator) and applied them to develop some approaches to multiple attribute group decision making with Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy information.
The power average (P-A) operator takes a collection of values and provides a single value. It can be defined as follows:
where
is denoted the support for a from b.
In most situations we assume the Sup(a,b) satisfies the following three properties:
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1.
\(Sup(a,b) \in [0,1]\)
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2.
\(Sup(a,b) = Sup(b,a)\)
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3.
\(Sup(a,b) \ge Sup(x,y)\) if \(\left| {a - \left. b \right| } \right. \le \left| {x - \left. y \right| } \right.\)
Under the condition of three above, the closer the two values are, the more they support each other.
Let us to present some properties of the power average. First, this operator provides a generalization of the simple average. If Sup(a,b) = 0 for all a and b, then
Thus, without support elements, the power average is a simple average. Generally, if \(Sup(a,b) = k\) for all a and b, then \(T(a_i ) = k(n - 1)\) for all i, and hence \(P-A(a_1 ,a_2 ,\ldots ,a_n ) = ({1/n})\sum \limits _i {a_i }\). Thus, when all the supports are the same, the power average reduces to the simple average.
It is easy to denote \(V_i = 1 + T(a_i )\) and \(w_i = {{V_i }/{{\sum \nolimits _{i = 1}^n {V_i}}{V_i}}}\). Here, \(w_i\) is a proper set of weights, \(w_i \ge 0\) and \(\sum \nolimits _i {w_i = 1}\). And
Monotonicity is not the property of the power average operator. As we all know, if the power average operator processes the property of monotonicity, it will satisfy that if \(a_i > b_i\) for all i, then \(P-A(a_i,a_i,\ldots ,a_n ) \ge P-A(b_1,b_2,\ldots ,b_n )\). The following example demonstrates that the increase of one argument can cause the decrease in power average.
Example: Assume the support function Sup(a,b) in such that
\(Sup(a,b) = Sup(b,a)\) for all the values.
Consider \(P-A(2,4,10)\), in this case
and therefore
Consider \(P-A(2,4,11)\), in this case
and therefore
Thus, we can see that \(P-A(2,4,10) > P-A(2,4,11)\), so the power average operator doesn’t monotony.
2.4 The proposed method
The purpose of the study is to construct a mathematic model to merge together the fuzzy numbers and determine environmental indices. Several problems should be solved in this paper. Firstly, how to transform raw quality to quality data. Secondly, how to construct the function of Sup(a,b). Thirdly, is how to combine conflict data in the determination of environmental indices. Last, to compare the result of the indices with the linguistic value and make decisions. These problems will be detailed.
2.5 Transforming raw quality data to quality data
In real data processing, some raw data can not be directly used in most existing methods, the numbers must be interpreted on some sort of scale. Therefore, a method is needed to transform the row quality data to quality data. In the real data processing, the generalized fuzzy number is widely used. For more detailed information, please refer to the previous work.
2.6 Similarity between generalized fuzzy numbers
Similarity is fundamentally important in almost every scientific field, and widely used in diverse fields like decision-making, pattern recognition, machine learning and market prediction, etc. (Mitra and Pal 2005; Pedrycz 1997). Similarity measure between two fuzzy numbers is related to their commonality. The greater the commonality between a pair of objects, the more similar they have. A variety of methods have been proposed to calculate the degree of similarity between fuzzy numbers (Hejazi et al. 2011). Chen and Chen (2003) proposed a novel similarity measure based on center-of-gravity (COG) points. Deng et al. (2004) proposed the similarity measure based on radius of gyration (ROG) points in 2004. In this paper a new similarity measure is proposed, this method is more directly to show the similarity between the fuzzy numbers.
Assume that they are two trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, where \(A = (a_1 ,a_2 ,a_3 ,a_4 )\) and \(B = (b_1 ,b_2 ,b_3 ,b_4 )\), then the degree of similarity \(S(A,B)\) between the trapezoidal fuzzy numbers A and B can be calculated as:
where \(\left| {A \cap \left. B \right| } \right.\) denotes the intersection area of A and B, while \(\left| {A \cup \left. B \right| } \right.\) denotes the union area of A and B. The result of S(A,B) is an interval of [0,1], the higher similarity they have, the result is closer of 1.
2.7 Construct the function of Sup(a,b)
In power average operator, it is very important to construct the function of \(Sup(A,B)\). The function of \(Sup(A,B)\) must satisfy the three properties mentioned.
So Sup\(\hbox {(A,B)}=S(A,B)\) can be defined.
Example: Assume two triangular fuzzy number transformed from the row data A = (0.04,0.23,0.48), B = (0.41,0.62,0.83), as shown in Fig. 3. Then the similarity measure based on the area method can be applied to generate Sup(A,B) using Eq. (7). Therefore, Sup(A,B) = Sup(B,A) can be derived:
2.8 Combine conflict data
As the Sup(A,B) is calculated above, the fuzzy data can be combined together using Eq.(3) The power of average operator needs a normal step to combine the conflict data. In this paper Sup(A,B) is calculated by using the area method, then use Eq. (4) to calculate \(T(a_i )\). With these work done, power average can be calculated by Eq. (3).
2.9 Interpreting fuzzy numbers power average to get result for decision making
After calculated the result of power average operator,a linguistic value can be used to guide informed decision-making. In this step, the area method Eq. (7) to calculate the similarity between the result of data fusion and the linguistic value defined in this section. Then the fuzzy numbers of five items will be figure out, the larger the data is, the closer it is corresponding to indicators. Using these data, decision will be easy to make.
2.10 The sum of the proposed algorithm
In summary, the proposed algorithm can be represented step by step:
-
Step 1: To recorder the input parameters and transform the raw quality data to quality data. In this step the raw quality data was translated the actual values into an interval of [0,1] through transformation functions.
-
Step 2: To construct the function of Sup(a,b). In this step area method is used to construct the similarity of the two fuzzy numbers. Since the area method satisfied all the conditions of the Sup(a,b), the function of Sup(a,b) defined.
-
Step 3: To combine the conflict data. Firstly, to calculate the support function of Sup(a,b) between any two fuzzy numbers. Then using the power average operator to combine the conflict data.
-
Step 4: To interpret fuzzy numbers power average to get result for decision making. Using the area method to acquire similarity between the result of the power average operator and linguistic value, then make decision.
3 Numerical example
In recent years, water resource management has raised a large concern, and a multitude of literatures have been proposed (Lu et al. 2010; Harmel et al. 2009). Water quality index (WQI) is a communication tool used to describe the status of water by translating a large amount of non-commensurate data into a single value (Ott 1978). It is useful in establishing background levels of water quality for a given aquatic system for implementing regulatory policies and evaluating decision actions planned for the improvement and the rehabilitation of an aquatic system (Silvert 2000). Numerous literatures about WQI have been addressed in recent years. Song and Kim (2009) introduced a water quality index termed QUAL2E water quality loading index, which is specifically used for simulated water quality to mainly reflect pollutant loading levels. Lermontov et al. (2009) proposed the criterion of a new water quality index based on fuzzy logic, the fuzzy water quality index (FWQI).
In this section the example of the water quality was listed to demonstrate the fuzzy number power average method. The raw quality data used in this paper was calculated in precious works in Table 2, which consists of nine water quality indicators (sub-indices) including \(BOD_5\), fecal coliforms, dissolved oxygen DO (proportion) respected to saturation, nitrates, PH, phosphates, temperature, total solid and turbidity. After applied the transformation function, the raw water quality data is transformed into triangle fuzzy numbers through four vertices (a, b, c, w) where w = 1, \(a\le b \le c\), which represents the minimum, most likely and maximum values respectively. The transformation of raw water quality data into fuzzy sub-indices is show in Table 2.
In the Table 2, as the water quality indicators are non-commensurate, transformation functions are used to translate the actual values into an interval of [0,1], where ‘0’ corresponds to the worst value and ‘1’ corresponds to the best value. Therefore, an appropriate transformation function is needed to transform the actual values over a normalized interval [0,1]. In Table 2, Swamee and Tyagi (2000) proposed various of transformation functions, including uniform decreasing sub-indices(UDS) and unimodal sub-indices (US). Using these functions the actual value of a specific water quality indicator can be translated into a normalized interval [0,1]. Only the final data calculated in this Table is need.
After that, those triangle fuzzy number can be applied to construct the function of Sup(A,B). Taking the first evidence \(BOD_5\) for example. Firstly, calculate the support for \(BOD_5\) form the other eight water quality indicators as below.
Then use the similarity measure based on the area method of the Eq. (7) in this paper. Obtain the calculated results and generate the result to get T(\(a_i\)). Therefore, the result of the function Sup(A,B) is the support for \(BOD_5\) form the other eight water quality indicators as following:
where \(Sup(a_1 ,a_2 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Fecal coliforms, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_3 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and DO (proportion), \(Sup(a_1 ,a_4 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Nitrates, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_5 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and PH, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_6 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Phosphates, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_7 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Temperature, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_8 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Total solids, \(Sup(a_1 ,a_9 )\) represents the support between \(BOD_5\) and Turbidity. With the method mentioned above, another eight water quality can be calculated and support each other. The result of support for each other is calculated in the Table 3.
Then calculate the \(\sum \nolimits _{i = 1}^n {(1 + T(a_i ))a_i }\). As in this paper, \(a_i\) stands for triangular fuzzy number, here some arithmetic operations are need.
where A and B stand for triangular fuzzy number (a,b,c) where \(a \le b \le c\), and Q comes to a specific number. Example:
then calculate as below
Following, power average operator can be applied to combine the water quality indicators. In the example, each indictor should be combine with balance indicators and get support. First using Eq. (4) to sum them and get \(T(a_i)\), then combine all data to get the result by Eq. (3). The result of power average operator can be calculated as:
where \(a_i\) represents the the triangle fuzzy set of the nine water quality, then calculate the similarity between indicators and linguistic variables based on the area method by Eq. (4). The final result as below:
therefore, the water quality index is classified as poor.
3.1 Discussion
The power average operator is applied in a wide range of situations, such as statistics, economics, engineering and decision-making. It provides a more versatility in the information-aggregation process, which take into account the information about the relationship between the fused values, and allow values being aggregated to support and reinforce each other. In this paper we proposed a new similarity method of the area method, this method provide a more directly and reasonable way to calculate the similarity between the fuzzy numbers. Using this method we construct the support function of the power average operator. In Fig. 4 it is easily to know the WQI is classified as poor. Sadiq and Tesfamariam (2008) studied the EI using the fuzzy numbers ordered weighted averaging (FN-OWA) operators. The result of the WQI is based on FN-OWA and FN-PA clearly in Table 4.
In Table 4 when \(\delta\) is different the result of the WQI based on the FN-OWA will be different. The \(\delta\) is a degree of a polynomial function, for \(\delta = 1/3\) represent the decision-maker’s attitude is or-type, while \(\delta = 1\) represents the decision-maker’s attitude is neutral. When \(\delta = 3\) represents the decision-maker’s attitude is and-type. The OWA (Yager 1988) operator is a technique for aggregating information, providing a parameterized family of aggregation operators which included the maximum, the minimum and the average. The OWA operator aggregates the information according to the attitudinal character (or degree of orness) of the decision-maker. The decision-makers’ different interests may lead to different results. The more interest of the data of the decision-maker, the more the data will influence the result. While the power average operator is based on the support measure, in this paper the support measure is based on the new similarity measure of the area method. The more support (or closer) between the fuzzy numbers, the more its can reflect the result of the data fusion. Therefore, the developed power average operator can relieve the influence of the unfair arguments on the aggregated results, and make it more reasonable.
4 Conclusion
Environmental indices are used as a communication tool to describe overall status of environmental system, which provides a condensed description of multi-dimensional environmental states by aggregating several indicators into single quantity. According to the problems that mentioned above, the uncertain information should be well represented and efficiently handled in a flexible way, data often conflicts with each other in a high degree, a fuzzy evidential method is proposed to determine the environmental indices. Based on the fuzzy set theory and the power average operator, the proposed method is believed to be efficient in the determination of environmental indices. The power average operator provide an aggregation operator which allows argument values to support each other in the aggregation process. In this paper a new environmental indices based on fuzzy numbers power average operator is proposed. It uses a new similarity measure which is based on the area method to calculate the similarity between the data, and it provides a direct way of the similarity calculation. With the aid of the power average the values are allowed to be aggregated to support each other. Then the operator can be applied to evaluate the water quality index and make decisions. Comparing with the previous work of OWA, the fuzzy numbers power average operator provide a more simple and reasonable way.
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Acknowledgments
The author greatly appreciate the reviews’ suggestions. The work is partially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 61174022), Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education (Grant No. 20131102130002), R&D Program of China (2012BAH07B01), National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program) (Grant No. 2013AA013801), the open funding project of State Key Laboratory of Virtual Reality Technology and Systems, Beihang University (Grant No. BUAA-VR-14KF-02).
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Cao, L., Li, M., Sadiq, R. et al. Developing environmental indices using fuzzy numbers power average (FN-PA) operator. Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag 6, 139–149 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13198-014-0257-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13198-014-0257-y