Abstract
This paper investigates a new operation strategy for photovoltaic (PV) systems, which improves the overall reliability of the system as a result of the improvement in the reliability of the critical components. First, a mathematical model is proposed using the fault tree analysis (FTA) to estimate the reliability of the PV systems in order to find the suitable maintenance strategies. The implementations demonstrate that it is essential to employ smart maintenance plans and monitor the identified most critical components of PV systems. Then, an innovative analytical method based on the Markov process is presented to model smart operation plans in PV systems. The impact of smart operation strategy on the PV systems is then evaluated. The objective of this paper is to develop plans for improving the reliability of PV systems. A series of case studies have been conducted to demonstrate the importance of smart operation strategies for PV systems as well as the applicability and feasibility of the proposed method.
Article PDF
Similar content being viewed by others
Avoid common mistakes on your manuscript.
References
Xu J, Yang Y, Cai B, Wang Q, Xiu D. All-ceramic solar collector and all-ceramic solar roof. Journal of the Energy Institute, 2014, 87 (1): 43–47
Chiradeja P, Ramakumar R. An approach to quantify the technical benefits of distributed generation. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 2004, 19(4): 764–773
Enslin J H R, Snyman D B. Combined low-cost, high-efficient inverter, peak power tracker and regulator for PV application. IEEE Transactions on Power Electronics, 1991, 6(1): 73–82
Song J, Krishnamurthy V, Kwasinski A, Sharma R. Development of a Markov-chain-based energy storage model for power supply availability assessment of photovoltaic generation plants. IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, 2013, 4(2): 491–500
Landgrebe A R, Donley S W. Battery storage in residential applications of energy from photovoltaic sources. Applied Energy, 1983, 15(2): 127–137
Singh C, Kim Y. An efficient technique for reliability analysis of power systems including time dependent sources. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1988, 3(3): 1090–1096
Ristow A, Begovic M, Pregelj A, Rohatgi A. Development of a methodology for improving photovoltaic inverter reliability. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2008, 55(7): 2581–2592
Dhople S V, Dominguez-Garcia A D. Estimation of photovoltaic system reliability and performance metrics. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2012, 27(1): 554–563
Hong Y Y, Lian R C. Optimal sizing of hybrid Wind/PV/Diesel generation in a stand-alone power system using Markov-based genetic algorithm. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2012, 27 (2): 640–647
Kanchev H, Lu D, Colas F, Lazarov V, Francois B. Energy management and operational planning of a microgrid with a PVbased active generator for smart grid applications. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2011, 58(10): 4583–4592
Ahadi A, Ghadimi N, Mirabbasi D. An analytical methodology for assessment of smart monitoring impact on future electric power distribution system reliability. Complexity, 2015, 21(1): 99–113
Shrestha G B, Goel L. A study on optimal sizing of stand-alone photovoltaic stations. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 1998, 13(4): 373–378
Collins E, Dvorack M, Mahn J, Mundt M, Quintana M. Reliability and availability analysis of a fielded photovoltaic system. In: 2009 34th IEEE Photovoltaic specialists conference (PVSC). Philadelphia, USA, 2009, 2316–2321
Pregelj A, Begovic M, Rohatgi A. Impact of inverter configuration on PV system reliability and energy production. In: Conference record of the 29th IEEE Photovoltaic specialists conference. Publisher: IEEE, 2002, 1388–1391
Meyer E L, van Dyk E E. Assessing the reliability and degradation of photovoltaic module performance parameters. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 2004, 53(1): 83–92
Shu Z, Jirutitijaroen P. Latin hypercube sampling techniques for power systems reliability analysis with renewable energy sources. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2011, 26(4): 2066–2073
Rodriguez C, Amaratunga G A J. Long-lifetime power inverter for photovoltaic AC modules. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2008, 55(7): 2593–2601
Theristis M, Bakos G C, Papazoglou I A. Development of a reliability model for the estimation of the loss of load probability and cost for an off-grid PV system. In: Proceedings of 27th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference. Frankfurt, Germany, 2012, 4245–4248
Arun P, Banerjee R, Bandyopadhyay S. Optimum sizing of photovoltaic battery systems incorporating uncertainty through design space approach. Solar Energy, 2009, 83(7): 1013–1025
Kishore L, Fernandez E. Reliability well-being assessment of PV wind hybrid system using Monte Carlo simulation. In: Proceedings of International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical and Computer Technology. Nagercoil, India, 2011, 63–68
Modarres M, Kaminskiy M, Krivtsov V. Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide, 2nd ed. Boca Raton, FL, USA: CRC, 2010
Poggi P, Notton G, Muselli M, Louche A. Stochastic study of hourly total solar radiation in corsica using a Markov model. International Journal of Climatology, 2000, 20(14): 1843–1860
Ahadi A, Ghadimi N, Mirabbasi D. Reliability assessment for components of large scale photovoltaic systems. Journal of Power Sources, 2014, 264: 211–219
Lei H, Singh C, Sprintson A. Reliability modeling and analysis of IEC 61850 based substation protection systems. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2014, 5(5): 2194–2202
Liu N, Chen J, Zhu L, Zhang J, He Y. A key management scheme for secure communications of advanced metering infrastructure in smart grid. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2013, 60 (10): 4746–4756
Iyer G, Agrawal P, Monnerie E, Cardozo R. Performance analysis of wireless mesh routing protocols for smart utility networks. IEEE International Conference on Smart Grid Communications, 2011, 114–119
Zhang P, Li F, Bhatt N. Next-generation monitoring, analysis, and control for the future smart control center. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2010, 1(2): 186–192
Oozeki T, Yamada T, Kato K, Yamamoto T. An analysis of reliability for photovoltaic systems on the field test project for photovoltaic in Japan. In: Proceedings of ISES Solar World Congress, 2007, 1628–1632
Reliability prediction of electronic equipment, MIL-HDBK-217F, 217F Notice 1, 217F Notice 2. Washington DC, USA: Department of Defense 1991, 92–95
Nkhonjera L K. Simulation and performance evaluation of battery based stand-alone photovoltaic systems of Malawi. Dissertation for the Master’s Degree. Environmental Sustainable Development, National Central University, 2009
Billinton R, Allan R N. Reliability Evaluation of Engineering Systems: Concepts and Techniques. 2nd ed. Springer, 1992
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ahadi, A., Hayati, H. & Miryousefi Aval, S.M. Reliability evaluation of future photovoltaic systems with smart operation strategy. Front. Energy 10, 125–135 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-015-0392-4
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11708-015-0392-4