Abstract
This paper considers two classes of bivariate distributions having proportional (reversed) hazard rates models as their marginals. Various dependence properties of the proposed models are studied through their copulas.
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1 Introduction
For a given univariate cumulative distribution function (cdf) \(F\), the function defined by
is a distribution function for \(\alpha >0\). This model is called proportional reversed hazard rate (PRHR) model with the proportionality parameter \(\alpha \) and proposed by Gupta et al. (1998) as a dual of the well–known proportional hazard rate (PHR) model
The class of distributions of the form \(F^{\alpha }\) is also known as the exponentiated class of distributions with baseline distribution function \(F\). In recent years, several standard distributions have been generalized using the exponential function; for instance see (Gupta and Kundu 2007; Mudholkar and Huston 1996; Nadarajah 2006; Nassar and Eissa 2003).
In the bivariate case, the construction of distributions with given marginals has been a problem of interest to statisticians for many years. Today, in view of Sklar’s theorem (Nelsen 2006), this problem can be reduced to the construction of a copula. Recently, various authors provided construction methods from the class of copulas to itself, or from a more general class of functions to another; see, e.g, (Durante 2009; Morillas 2005). One of the purposes for such constructions is to increase the availability for modeling purposes. In the bivariate case, it is of general interest to extend the models (1) and (2). Unlike the univariate set up, there is more than one definition for PHR and PRHR models in the bivariate case; for instance see (Clayton and Cuzick 1985; Finkelstein 2003; Kundu and Gupta 2010; Sankaran and Gleeja 2006). Our main aim in this paper is to formulate a suitable notion of bivariate proportional (reversed) hazard models. We do this by defining bivariate PHR and PRHR models in such a way that implies their marginals follow univariate PHR and PRHR distributions. Starting from a given bivariate cdf \(F(x,y)\) with the univariate marginal distribution functions \(F_1\) and \(F_2\), a natural bivariate extension of the PHR model is a bivariate distribution of the form
and a generalization of the PRHR model is a bivariate distribution with the survival functions of the form
where \(\bar{F}(x,y)=1-F_1(x)-F_2(y)+F(x,y)\) is the survival function associated with \(F\). Note that the functions \(G\) and \(H\) have the univariate marginals of the form (1) and (2), respectively. Unlike the univariate case, the functions defined by (3) and (4) are not necessary bivariate cdfs. This paper, provides conditions that the proposed models (3) and (4) define bivariate cdfs and discusses the different dependence properties of these models through their associated copulas.
An interpretation of the proposed model in terms of bivariate (reversed) hazard rates is as follows. Let \((X_1,X_2)\) be the lifetimes of a two component systems whose joint cdf is \(F\). Then \(1-F(x_1,x_2)=P(X_1>x_1 \ \mathrm{or} \ X_2>x_2)\), gives the probability that at least of the components will survive beyond the time \((x_1,x_2)\) and \(1-\bar{F}(x_1,x_2)=P(X_1\le x_1 \ \mathrm{or} \ X_2\le x_2)\), gives the probability that at least one of the components is not surviving up to time \((x_1,x_2)\). Following Roy (2002), let \(r_F(x_1,x_2)=(r_{1F}(x_1,x_2),r_{2F}(x_1,x_2))\), be the vector of reversed hazard rates define by
Thus the model defined by (4) is PRHR in the sense that
A similar argument holds for the model (3), in terms of the hazard rates defined by \(r^{*}_{iF}(x_1,x_2)=-\frac{\partial }{\partial x_i}\mathrm{log} (1-F(x_1,x_2))\). That is
2 Two classes of bivariate distributions
In this section we determine the conditions under which the functions defined by (3) and (4) are bivariate distribution functions.
2.1 Genesis of the proposed models
Consider a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials in which the \(k\)th trial has probability of \(\frac{\alpha }{k},\,0<\alpha <1,\,k\in \{1,2,3,\ldots \}\). Let \(N\) be the trial number on which the first success occurs. Then \(N\) has Mittag-Leffler (Pillai and Jayakumar 1995) distribution with probability mass function
The probability generating function of \(N\) is then
Let \((X_1,Y_1),(X_2,Y_2),\ldots \) be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random vectors from a continuous bivariate distribution function \(F(x,y)\) with univariate marginal distributions \(F_1\) and \(F_2\). Let \(N\) be a discrete random variable independent of \((X_i,Y_i)\) having probability mass function (5). Put
and
Then \((U_1,U_2)\) has joint distribution function
whose univariate marginals are PHR models given by
Similarly, the joint survival function of \((V_1,V_2)\) is given by (4) with associated joint distribution function
whose marginal cdfs belong to the PRHR model given by
In short, we have proved the following result.
Proposition 1
For any bivariate distribution function \(F\) and \(0<\alpha \le 1\), the functions defined by (3) and (7) are bivariate distribution functions with the PHR and PRHR marginals, respectively.
Remark 1
Notice that for a given bivariate distribution function \(F\), the models defined by (3) and (7) may fail to be bivariate distributions when \(\alpha >1\). For example, let \(F(x,y)=\mathrm{max}(x+y-1,0),\,x,y\in [0,1]\) and let \(x_1=\frac{1}{2},\,x_2=1,\,y_1=\frac{1}{2}\) and \(y_2=1\). Then for \(H(x,y)=1-(1-\mathrm{max}(x+y-1,0))^{\alpha }\), we have that
for all \(\alpha >1\), and hence \(H\) is not a bivariate distribution function.
Example 1
Let \(F(x,y)=(1-e^{-\lambda _1x})(1-e^{-\lambda _2y}),\,x,y\ge 0\). Then (3) defines a bivariate exponential distribution of the form
and (4) defines a bivariate distribution with survival function of the form
whose univariate marginals belong to the family of generalized exponential distributions (Gupta and Kundu 2007) given by
Remark 2
If \((X_1,X_2)\) is a random vector with survival function
with univariate marginals \(G_i(x)=F^{\alpha }_i(x),\,i=1,2\), then the marginal random variables \(Y_i=-\mathrm{ln}G_i(X_i),\,i=1,2\) are exponentially distributed with hazard rate \(\alpha \). The bivariate distribution function of \((Y_1,Y_2)\) is then
which is a bivariate cdf of the form (3).
2.2 Mittag-Leffler stability
As shown in (Marshall and Olkin 1997), for a given bivariate distribution function \(F\), the bivariate proportional odds models defined by
satisfy the geometric-maximum stability (geometric-minimum stability) property. A similar property holds for the models (3) and (4) which we call Mittag-Leffler stability. To see this, let \((X_1,Y_1),(X_2,Y_2),\ldots \) be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors with a common distribution in the family (3) and if \(N^{\prime }\) is independent of \((X_i,Y_i)\)’s has a Mittag-Leffler distribution with parameter \(\beta \), then the random vector \((\mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N^{\prime }}(X_i),\mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N^{\prime }}(Y_i))\) has a distribution in the family of the form
A similar stability property holds for the random vector of minima. As the extreme value distributions are limiting distributions for extrema, they are sometimes useful approximations. In practice, a random variable of interest may be the extreme of only a finite number \(N\) of random variables. When \(N\) has a Mittag-Leffler distribution, the random variable has this type of stability property.
3 Dependence properties
3.1 Underlying copulas
Let \(F\) be a given bivariate distribution function with associated copula \(D\) and univariate marginals \(F_1\) and \(F_2\). Let \(G_i\) and \(H_i,\,i=1,2\), denote the univariate marginal distributions of \(G\) and \(H\) given by (6) and (8), respectively. In view of Sklar’s Theorem (Nelsen 2006), solving the eqnarrays
and
for the functions \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\), yields the copulas associated with the bivariate cdfs \(H\) and \(G\), respectively, as
and
for all \(u,v\in (0,1)\) and \(0<\alpha \le 1\). The representations (10) and (11) are “unique”, in the sense that given a copula \(D\), they generate unique copulas; that is if \(D_1\) and \(D_2\) are two copulas such that \(C_{\alpha }[D_1]=C_{\alpha }[D_2]\) (\(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D_1]=C^{*}_{\alpha }[D_2]\)) for every \(\alpha \in (0,1]\), then \(D_1=D_2\).
Remark 3
Note that the copula \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) is a special case of a transformation of the copula \(D\) by means of the function \(\psi (t)=1-(1-t)^{\alpha }\); see, e.g, (Durante 2009; Klement et al. 2005; Morillas 2005).
A bivariate survival function \(\overline{F}\) with marginal survival functions \(\overline{F_1}\) and \(\overline{F_2}\) can be usefully described by its survival copula \(\widehat{D}\) through the relation \(\widehat{D}(\overline{F_1}(x) ,\overline{F_2}(y))=\overline{F}(x,y)\), where \(\widehat{D}(u,v)=u+v-1+D(1-u,1-v)\) (see, e.g., Nelsen 2006). The following result, whose proof is a straightforward calculation, provides a relationship between \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\).
Proposition 2
For a given copula \(D\), let \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\) be the copulas defined by (10) and (11), respectively. Then
for all \(u,v\in (0,1)\) and \(\alpha \in (0,1]\), where \(\widehat{C}^{*}_{\alpha }\) and \(\widehat{D}\) are the survival copulas associated with \(C^{*}_{\alpha }\) and \(D\), respectively.
The above observation can also be interpreted stochastically: Let \((X_i,Y_i),\,1\le i\le N\), be independent and identically distributed random vectors from \((X,Y)\) with copula \(D\). Furthere let \(N\) be independent of \((X_i,Y_i)\)’s and have a Mittag-Leffler distribution with parameter \(\alpha \).
Then the random vectors \((\mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N~}(X_i), \mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N~}(Y_i))\) and \((\mathrm{min}_{1\le i\le N~}(X_i), \mathrm{min}_{1\le i\le N~}(Y_i))\) have the copulas \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\), respectively. Since the copula of \((-X_i,-Y_i)\) is \(\widehat{D}\), then the copula structure of \((\mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N~}(-X_i),\,\mathrm{max}_{1\le i\le N~}(-Y_i))\), i.e., \(C_{\alpha }[\widehat{D}]\) is the same as the copula structure of \((-\mathrm{min}_{1\le i\le N~}(X_i), -\mathrm{min}_{1\le i\le N~}(Y_i))\), which is \(\widehat{C}_{\alpha }^{*}[D]\).
In the following we provide several examples. First note that \(C[M]=C^{*}[M]=M\), where \(M(u,v)=\mathrm{min}(u,v)\) is the Fréchet–Hoeffding upper bound copula.
Example 2
Consider the Fréchet-Hoeffding lower bound copula \(W(u,v)=\mathrm{max}(u+v-1,0)\). Then the copulas generated by (10) and (11) are given by
which is an Archimedean copula (see, e.g., Nelsen 2006, for detail) with the non-strict generator \(\phi (t)=(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }}\). Since \(\widehat{W}=W\), it follows from (12) that
Example 3
Consider the product copula \(\Pi (u,v)=uv\), which is the copula of independent random variables. Then we have
which is an Archimedean copula with strict generator \(\phi (t)=-\mathrm ln (1-(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }})\). A copula of the form (13) belongs to the known Joe’s family of copulas (see Joe 1997, for more details). Since the copula \(\Pi \) satisfies \(\widehat{\Pi }=\Pi \), we obtain
The following result provides a representation for the stability property given in (9) in terms of copulas.
Proposition 3
Given a copula \(D\) and \(\alpha ,\beta \in (0,1],\,C_{\beta }[C_{\alpha }[D]]=C_{\alpha \beta }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\beta }[C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]]=C^{*}_{\alpha \beta }[D]\).
3.2 Dependence orderings
If \(C_{1}\) and \(C_{2}\) are two copulas, we say that \(C_{2}\) is more concordant than \(C_{1}\) (written \(C_{1}\prec _{c}C_{2}\)) if \(C_{1}\le C_{2} \). A copula \(C\) is positively quadrant dependent (written PQD) if \(\Pi \prec _{c} C\) —reversing the sense of the inequality we have negatively quadrant dependent (NQD). A totally ordered parametric family \(\{C_{\alpha }\}\) of copulas is positively ordered if \(C_{\alpha _{1}}\prec _{c}C_{\alpha _{2}}\) whenever \(\alpha _{1}\le \alpha _{2}\) and negatively ordered if \(C_{\alpha _{2}}\prec _{c}C_{\alpha _{1}}\) whenever \(\alpha _{1}\le \alpha _{2}\) (Joe 1997; Nelsen 2006). In what follows, we provide several properties on ordering of the family of copulas given by (10) and (11).
Proposition 4
Let \(D_{1}\) and \(D_{2}\) be two copulas such that \(D_{1}\prec _{c}D_{2}.\) Then for every \(\alpha \in (0,1),\,C_{\alpha }[D_1]\prec _c C_{\alpha }[D_2]\) and \(C_{\alpha }^{*}[D_1]\prec _c C_{\alpha }^{*}[D_2]\).
Proof
The proof can be obtained by routine calculations. \(\square \)
Proposition 5
If the copula \(D\) is PQD, then the copulas generated by (10) and (11) are PQD too, i.e. if \(D\succ _{c}\Pi \) then \(C_{\alpha }[D]\succ _{c}\Pi \) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\succ _{c}\Pi \).
Proof
If \(D\succ _{c}\Pi \) then \(\widehat{D}\succ _{c}\Pi \). By using Proposition 4 we have that \(C_{\alpha }[D]\succ _{c}C_{\alpha }[\Pi ]\) and from equality (12), \(\widehat{C}_{\alpha }^{*}[\widehat{D}]\succ _{c}\widehat{C}_{\alpha }^{*}[\Pi ]=C_{\alpha }[\Pi ]\). Thus it is enough to show that \(C_{\alpha }[\Pi ]\succ _{c} \Pi \). Since \(C_{\alpha }[\Pi ]\) and \(\Pi \) are both Archimedean copulas with the generators \(\phi _1(t)=-\mathrm ln (1-(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }})\) and \(\phi _2(t)=-\mathrm{ln}(t)\), respectively, the required result follows from the fact that \(\phi _2/\phi _1\) is nondecreasing on (0,1) (see Genest and MacKey 1986).\(\square \)
3.3 Tail dependence coefficients
A reason for adding new parameters to a given copula is to produce families that exhibit some more flexible properties. In particular, copulas with different tail behaviour are often useful to build models for estimating the extreme and risky events (Joe 1997). In the following we show how the proposed model (10) and (11) may modify the tail behaviour of a given copula \(D\), as measured by its tail dependence coefficients. For a given copula \(D\), the lower (resp. upper) tail dependence coefficient, \(\lambda _{L}\) (resp. \(\lambda _{U})\) is defined by (Joe 1997; Nelsen 2006)
and the upper tail dependence coefficient
Proposition 6
For a given copula \(D\) let \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\) be the copulas defined by (10) and (11). Then
and
Proof
By taking into account (14), the lower tail dependence coefficient of \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) can be expressed as
By taking into account (15), the upper tail dependence coefficient of \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) can be expressed as
Similar argument holds for the lower and upper tail dependence of \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\). \(\square \)
3.4 Measures of association
The population version of three of the most common nonparametric measures of association between the components of a continuous random pair \((X,Y)\) are Kendall’s tau (\(\tau \)), Spearman’s rho (\(\rho \)) and Blomqvist’s medial correlation coefficient (\(\beta \)) which depend only on the copula \(D\) of the pair \((X,Y)\), and are given by
and
See (Nelsen 2006) for details. The following result provides expressions for these measures associated with the copulas defined by (10) and (11).
Proposition 7
For a given copula \(D\), let \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) be the copula defined by (10). Then for every \(\alpha \in (0,1]\),
where \(K_{D}(t)= P[D(U,V)\le t],\,t\in (0,1)\), is the Kendall’s distribution function of the copula \(D\),
and
Proof
For a given copula \(D\), in view of Proposition 1 in (Genest and Rivest 2001) with the strictly increasing, differentiable bijection \(\gamma (t)=1-(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }}\) on the interval \((0,1)\), the Kendall distribution function of \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) could be obtained as
Now (18) follows from the fact that \(K_{C_{\alpha }[D]}\) is related to the \(\tau (C_{\alpha }[D])\) (see Nelsen 2006) via
The expression for \(\rho (C_{\alpha }[D])\) may be easily deduced from formula (16) and using the binomial expansion
The expression for \(\beta (C_{\alpha }[D])\) follows from(10) and (17).\(\square \)
The following result provides the lower bounds for Kendall’s tau, Spearman’s rho and Blomqvist’s beta associated with the copula defined by (10).
Proposition 8
For a given copula \(D\) let \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) be the copula defined by (10). Then for each \(\alpha \in (0,1]\)
where
where \(B(a,b)\) denotes the Beta function \(B(a,b)=\int _{0}^{1}x^{a-1}(1-x)^{b-1}dx\).
Proof
Since any copula \(D\) satisfies that \(W\prec _c D\prec _c M\), by using Proposition 4 and that \(C_{\alpha }[M]=M\), we have \(C_{\alpha }[W]\prec _c C_{\alpha }[D]\prec _c M\) and then
By using (18) and the fact that \(K_{W}(t)=1,\,t\in [0,1]\) we obtain that \(\tau (C_{\alpha }[W])=1-2\alpha \). The lower bound for the Spearman’s rho, \(\rho (C_{\alpha }[D])\), can be calculated from (19) with \(D=W\) and the fact that
The lower bound of Blomqvist’s \(\beta \) follows from (20), which completes the proof. \(\square \)
Remark 4
Note that for every copula-based measure of association \(\kappa \), satisfying Scarsini’s axioms (Scarsini 1984), \(\kappa (C)=\kappa (\widehat{C})\). Therefore using (12) one can obtain the measures of association \(\kappa \), related to the copula \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\) via
The following result provides the expressions for Kendall’s tau, Spearman’s rho and Blomqvist’s beta associated with the copula \(C_{\alpha }[\Pi ]\).
Proposition 9
Let \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) be the copula defined by (10) with \(D=\Pi \). Then for every \(\alpha \in (0,1]\),
and
where \(\Psi \) is the digamma function.
4 Concavity properties
A copula \(C\) is Schur-concave if and only if,
for all \(u,v\in (0,1)\) and \(\lambda \in [0,1]\) (see Nelsen 2006).
The following result shows that Schur-concavity of a given copula \(D\) is preserved under the constructions (10) and (11).
Proposition 10
Let \(D\) be a Schur-concave copula. Then the generated copulas \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) and \(C^{*}_{\alpha }[D]\) defined by (10) and (11), respectively, are Schur-concave as well.
Proof
Let \(h(t)=1-(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }}\). Then \(h\) is a concave function and
and
Moreover, the Schur-concavity of \(D\) implies that
Since \(D\) is increasing in each variable, by definition of \(C_{\alpha }[D]\), we have
The Schur-concavity of \(C_{\alpha }^{*}[D]\) follows from the relation (12) and the fact that if \(D\) is Schur-concave then \(\widehat{D}\) is Schur-concave as well.\(\square \)
A copula \(C\) is said to be quasi-concave (Nelsen 2006) if for all \(u,v,u^{\prime },v^{\prime }\in \mathbb I ^2\) and all \(\lambda \in [0,1]\),
The following result shows that quasi-concavity of a given copula \(D\) is preserved under the constructions (10) and (11).
Proposition 11
If \(D\) is quasi-concave, then the generated copula \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) given by (10), is also quasi-concave.
Proof
Let \(u,u^{\prime },v,v^{\prime }\) and \(\lambda \) be in [0,1]. Since \(h(t)=1-(1-t)^{\frac{1}{\alpha }}\) is concave, we have that
and
Moreover, since \(D\) is increasing in each variable and quasi-concave, we have
But \(h\) is increasing so that by definition of \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) we have that
\(\square \)
Since each Archimedean copula is quasi-concave (see, e.g., Tibiletti 1995) as a consequence of Proposition (11) we have:
Corollary 1
If \(D\) is an Archimedean copula then the copula \(C_{\alpha }[D]\) generated by (10) is also quasi-concave.
5 Discussion
We have introduced a method for adding a parameter to a given bivariate distribution to construct new families. The proposed families have proportional (reversed) hazard rate models as their univariate marginals. We study different dependence properties of the proposed models in terms of their associated copulas. Applications and advantages of these models to obtain certain bivariate distributions such as the bivariate exponential, general exponential, Pareto and Weibull distributions through data examples, is in progress. The reader will recognize that our method could be used to generalize any given \(d\)-dimensional distribution function. Let \(F\) be a given \(d\)-dimensional distribution function with univariate marginals \(F_1,\ldots ,F_d\). Then for \(\alpha \in (0,1]\), the function defined by
is a new multivariate distribution function with univariate marginal’s given by \(G_{i}(x)=1-\overline{F_i}^{\alpha }(x),\,i=1,\ldots ,d\), and the function
defines a multivariate survival function with univariate marginal’s \(\overline{H}_{i}(x)=1-F^{\alpha }_{i}(x),\,i=1,\ldots ,d\).
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We acknowledge the helpful comments of two reviewers that led to several improvements in this paper.
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Dolati, A., Amini, M. & Mirhosseini, S.M. Dependence properties of bivariate distributions with proportional (reversed) hazards marginals. Metrika 77, 333–347 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-013-0440-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-013-0440-1