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Reliability of Hydraulic Structures Possessing Random Loading and Resistance

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Engineering Reliability and Risk in Water Resources

Part of the book series: NATO ASI Series ((NSSE,volume 124))

Abstract

The safety-threatening external loading from geophysical and nongeophysical sources and the capacity or resistance of a hydraulic structure both vary randomly in time and space. In the traditional analysis of the risk of a hydraulic structure, only the hydrologic factors are taken into consideration. Alternately, a safety factor could be arbitrarily assigned in order to provide some degree of protection against our ignorance. These approaches either provide us a partial view of the risk or are empirical and arbitrary. A true reliability evaluation cannot be accomplished unless all the factors are accounted for and properly analyzed and combined. At the other extreme, the method of direct integration for risk evaluation which would give exact, true reliability evaluation requires knowing the exact probability distribution of each of all the factors. This requirement is rarely satisfied in real situations. In this presentation a number of approximate techniques that could provide an estimate of the system reliability of a hydraulic structure are briefly reviewed. Emphasis is then placed on the mean-value first-order second-moment method and the advanced first-order method. These two methods, when applied conjunctively with a fault tree or event tree, provide a formal, albeit approximate, framework for considering quantitatively all the factors that influence total system reliability. It also gives a formal structure to combine quantitatively the risks evaluated separately by different hydrologic, hydraulic, geotechnical, structural and other specialists.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign, 208 N. Romine Street, Urbana, IL, 61801, USA

    Ben Chie Yen (Professor of Civil Engineering)

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  1. Ben Chie Yen
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of System & Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tuscon, Arizona, 85721, USA

    Lucien Duckstein

  2. Institute for Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Karlsruhe, Kaiserstrasse 12, 7500, Karlsruhe, Germany

    Erich J. Plate

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© 1987 Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht

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Yen, B.C. (1987). Reliability of Hydraulic Structures Possessing Random Loading and Resistance. In: Duckstein, L., Plate, E.J. (eds) Engineering Reliability and Risk in Water Resources. NATO ASI Series, vol 124. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3577-8_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3577-8_6

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-8100-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-009-3577-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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