Abstract
The aim of the study area was investigation groundwater quality and determination of relationship between effective parameters in groundwater quality in north of Fars province, southeast Iran. For determination of groundwater quality, parameters of calcium (Ca), pH, potassium (k), chlorine (Cl), magnesium (Mg), sodium (Na), electrical conductivity, sulfate (So4), total dissolved solids (TDS) were used. Using inverse distance weighting spatial distribution of each parameters was determined. Also using multiple linear regressions (MLR) relationship between each of parameters was determined. It was found that in the study area, all of the parameters expect Hco3 was low value in the north of the study area (high groundwater quality). While the maximum value of parameters was located in south of the study area (low groundwater quality). So the north of the study area was better quality than the south of the study area. The relationship between parameters by MLR showed that Cl and TDS had the strong positive correlation (r = 0.97). Also calcium and magnesium showed strong positive correlation (r = 0.68) and there was strong positive significant correlation between Ca, Na and Mg with So4 (about r = 0.6).
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Introduction
Groundwater is the first source of water for human consumption, as well as for agriculture, drinking and industrial uses (Jalali 2009). Increasing knowledge of geochemical processes that control groundwater chemical composition could lead to improved understanding of hydrochemical systems in such areas. Understanding relations can improve management and utilization of the groundwater resource by clarifying relations among groundwater quality, aquifer lithology, and recharge type (Ostovari et al. 2013). Recently by using geography information system (GIS) and sample data of well, prepare interpolation map. The GIS is an effective tool the estimation of the spatial distribution of environmental variables (Ordu and Demir 2009; Rabah et al. 2011). Spatial prediction and surface modeling of water properties has become a common topic in water science research. Interpolation can be undertaken utilizing simple mathematical models (e.g., inverse distance weighting, trend surface analysis and splines), or more complex models (e.g., geostatistical methods, such as kriging) (Negreiros et al. 2011). Ordianary kriging (OK), Universal kriging (UK), inverse distance weighting (IDW) and radial basis function (splines) are four ways to interpolate water properties. Past applications of these methods have given a range of results which have not always been consistent (Falivene et al. 2010).
Some authors found that kriging methods out performed IDW or Radial Basis Function (Splines) (Kravchenko and Bullock 1999; Panagopoulos et al. 2006). However, others showed that kriging was not better than the other two methods (Wollenhaupt et al. 1994; Gotway et al. 1996). IDW (Panagopoulos et al. 2006) and Splines (Kravchenko 2003; Keshavarzi and Sarmadian 2010) are also commonly used classical interpolation methods to analyze the spatial variability of water properties.
The aim of this research was to employ the geostatistic analysis (IDW) for prediction of water quality. Also in order to determination of relationship between each of the groundwater parameters used the multiple linear regressions in North of Fars province, southeast Iran.
Material and method
Case study
This study was located in north of Fars province, southeast of Iran. It has an area of about 6657.25 km2, and is located at longitude of N 29°18′–30°25′ and latitude of E 52°04′ to 53°26′ (Fig. 1). The altitude of the study area ranges from the lowest of 1530 m to the highest of 3099 m.
In order to predict the variability of groundwater quality, calcium (Ca), pH, potassium (k), chlorine (Cl), magnesium (Mg), sodium (Na), electrical conductivity (EC), sulfate (So4), total dissolved solids (TDS) were prepared (Table 1) (Fars Regional Water Authority). For preparing the spatial distribution map of each parameters was used 122 wells that local position of the wells show in Fig. 2.
Method
Inverse distance weighted (IDW)
Inverse distance weighting interpolation explicitly implements the assumption that things that are close to one another are more alike than those that are farther apart. To predict a value for any unmeasured location, IDW will use the measured values surrounding the prediction location. Assumes value of an attribute z at any unsampled point is a distance-weighted average of sampled points lying within a defined neighborhood around that unsampled point. Essentially it is a weighted moving average (Burrough et al. 1998):
where x 0 is the estimation point and x i are the data points within a chosen neighborhood. The weights (r) are related to distance by d ij .
Multiple linear regressions (MLR)
The general purpose of multiple regressions is to learn more about the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and a dependent or criterion variable. The general form of the regression equations is according to Eq. 2:
where Y is the dependent variable, A0 is the intercept, A1…bn are regression coefficients, and X1– Xn are independent variables referring to basic soil properties.
The relation between variability of groundwater quality, calcium (Ca), pH, potassium (k), chlorine (Cl), magnesium (Mg), sodium (Na), electrical conductivity (EC), sulfate (So4), total dissolved solids (TDS) were made related to groundwater quality by constructing regression equations in software of SPSS (2002).
Results
In the study area used from the IDW model for interpolation produces that show in Fig. 3. The lowest and the maximum output in IDW was 1.5 and 79.93 mg/l for Ca. 0.28 and 172.25 mg/l was lowest and maximum value for Cl. The minimum value for Na and So4 was 0.12 and 0.21 mg/l respectively. While the maximum value for Na and So4 was 120.94 and 56.31 mg/l respectively. Also the high and low value of Hco3 was 2.01 and 10.79 mg/l. 317.76 and 11,533.4 mg/l was maximum and minimum value of TDS. The all of the parameters expect Hco3 was low value in the north of the study area. While the maximum value of parameters was located in south of the study area. So the north of the study area was better quality than the south of the study area.
Complex relations between dissolved species can reveal the origin of solutes and the process that generated the observed water compositions. Calcium and magnesium showed strong positive correlation (r = 0.68) which indicating a same geological formation (Fig. 3a). Also the results show that there was strong positive significant correlation between Ca, Na and Mg with So4 (about r = 0.6) (Figs. 3b, c, 4b, c, d).
Figure 5 illustrate relation between Mg/Ca and Na/Ca ratios for groundwater (r = 0.60) (Fig. 5).
Also Fig. 6 shows the value of Cl as a function of Na in the groundwater samples and there was a strong correlation (r = 0.84) between them.
Figure 7 illustrate relations between various anions and cations with TDS. There were correlation between TDS and Mg (r = 0.0.74), Na (r = 0.86), Ca (r = 0.85), SO4 (r = 0.62) and Cl (r = 0.97) (Fig. 6). So Cl and TDS has the strong positive correlation.
Conclusion
This aim of the study was determination of the groundwater quality and relationship between variability of groundwater quality, calcium (Ca), pH, potassium (k), chlorine (Cl), magnesium (Mg), sodium (Na), electrical conductivity (EC), sulfate (So4), total dissolved solids (TDS) in north of the Fars province, southeast of Iran. The results of spatial distribution each of parameters by IDW show that the all of the parameters expect Hco3 was low value in the north of the study area. While the maximum value of parameters was located in south of the study area. So the north of the study area was better quality than the south of the study area. The relationship between parameters by MLR show that Calcium and Magnesium showed strong positive correlation (r = 0.68) and there was strong positive significant correlation between Ca, Na and Mg with So4 (about r = 0.6). Also Cl and TDS has the strong positive correlation (r = 0.97).
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Mokarram, M. Modeling of multiple regression and multiple linear regressions for prediction of groundwater quality (case study: north of Shiraz). Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 2, 3 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-015-0059-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-015-0059-5