Abstract
Groundwater-level fluctuations at a large scale have a significant effect on the preservation and restoration of vegetation. This study determined suitable groundwater depth within which natural vegetation grows well, and analysed the effect of groundwater regulation on vegetation restoration in Tianjin City, northern China. Normal and lognormal distributions were used to fit the curve of the relation between vegetation and groundwater depth. The groundwater depth range corresponding to the higher frequency of vegetation distribution was regarded as the ‘suitable water depth’ range for vegetation growth. The suitable groundwater depth for shrub growth was 3–5 m and for grass growth 1–3 m. A groundwater flow model predicted the future changes of groundwater depths in the vegetation distribution area under the condition that the current levels of groundwater extraction are maintained. The results showed that there is potential for the extraction of groundwater in shrubland areas, but for grassland areas the water-table elevation showed a downward trend, meaning that water shortages in some areas may be more severe in the future. Finally, based on the current groundwater extraction regime, two regulation schemes were developed: (1) for shrubland, groundwater extraction was reduced by 10% in the ecological water deficit areas, and extraction was increased by 10% in the ecological water surplus and suitable areas, and (2) for grassland, groundwater recharge was increased by the restoration of the wetland areas. In conclusion, the groundwater depths in most of the area would be more suitable for vegetation growth under the regulation schemes.
Résumé
Les fluctuations du niveau d’eau souterraine, à une large échelle, ont un effet significatif sur la préservation et la restauration de la végétation. Cette étude a déterminé la profondeur appropriée de l’eau souterraine pour laquelle la végétation naturelle prospère, et a analysé l’effet de la régulation des eaux souterraines sur la restauration de la végétation dans la ville de Tianjin, dans le nord de la Chine. Des distributions normales et log normales ont été utilisées pour ajuster la courbe de la relation entre le développement de la végétation et la profondeur des eaux souterraines. La gamme de la profondeur de l’eau souterraine correspondant à la fréquence la plus élevée de la distribution de la végétation a été considérée comme la gamme de « profondeur d’eau appropriée » pour la croissance de la végétation. La profondeur d’eau appropriée pour la croissance des arbustes était de 3–5 m et pour la croissance de l’herbe de 1–3 m. Un modèle d’écoulement des eaux souterraines a permis de prédire les changements futurs des profondeurs d’eau souterraines dans la surface de la distribution de la végétation à condition que les niveaux actuels de prélèvement des eaux souterraines soient maintenus. Les résultats ont montré qu’il y a un potentiel de prélèvements des eaux souterraines dans les zones d’arbustes, alors que pour les zones de prairies l’altitude du niveau piézométrique est caractérisée par une tendance à la baisse, ce qui signifie que les pénuries d’eau dans certaines régions pourraient être plus importantes dans le futur. Enfin à partir du régime actuel d’exploitation des eaux souterraines, deux schémas d’adaptation ont été développés: (1) pour les zones d’arbustes, les prélèvements d’eaux souterraines sont réduits de 10% dans les zones de déficit hydrique et écologique, et le prélèvement est augmenté de 10% dans les zones appropriées et de surplus du point de vue hydrique et écologiques, et (2) pour les zones de prairies, la recharge des eaux souterraines a été augmentée du fait de la restauration des zones humides. En conclusion, les profondeurs des eaux souterraines dans la majeure partie de la zone seraient plus adaptées pour la croissance de la végétation dans le cadre de schémas d’adaptation.
Resumen
Las fluctuaciones del nivel de agua subterránea a gran escala tienen un efecto significativo en la preservación y restauración de la vegetación. Este estudio determinó la profundidad adecuada del agua subterránea dentro de la cual crece bien la vegetación natural, y analizó el efecto de la regulación del agua subterránea sobre la restauración de la vegetación en la ciudad de Tianjin, en el norte de China. Las distribuciones normal y lognormal se utilizaron para ajustar a la curva de la relación entre la vegetación y la profundidad del agua subterránea. El rango de profundidad del agua subterránea correspondiente a la mayor frecuencia de distribución de la vegetación se consideró como el rango de “adecuada profundidad del agua” para el crecimiento de la vegetación. La profundidad adecuada del agua subterránea para el crecimiento de arbustos fue de 3–5 m y para el crecimiento de pasturas de 1–3 m. Un modelo de flujo de agua subterránea predijo los cambios futuros de las profundidades del agua subterránea en el área de distribución de la vegetación bajo la condición de que se mantengan los niveles actuales de extracción de agua subterránea. Los resultados mostraron que existe un potencial para la extracción de agua subterránea en áreas de matorrales, pero para las áreas de pastizales la elevación de la capa freática mostró una tendencia descendente, lo que significa que la escasez de agua en algunas áreas puede ser más grave en el futuro. Finalmente, con base en el régimen actual de extracción de agua subterránea, se desarrollaron dos esquemas de regulación: (1) para matorral, la extracción de agua subterránea se redujo en un 10% en las áreas de déficit hídrico ecológico, y la extracción aumentó en un 10% en el excedente de agua ecológica, y (2) para pastizales, la recarga de agua subterránea se incrementó mediante la restauración de las áreas de humedales. En conclusión, las profundidades del agua subterránea en la mayor parte del área serían más adecuadas para el crecimiento de la vegetación bajo los esquemas de regulación.
摘要
大尺度地下水水位波动对植被保护和恢复具有显著的影响。本研究以中国华北地区天津市为例,确定出适合植被生长的适宜地下水水位,并分析地下水调控对植被恢复的影响。利用正态和对数正态分布拟合植被与地下水埋深关系曲线。将植被分布中较高频率所对应的地下水埋深作为适合植被生长的“适宜地下水埋深”范围。林地植被的适宜地下水位埋深为3–5 m,草地植被为1–3 m。利用地下水水流模型预测以现状开采条件下未来植被分布区内的地下水埋深变化情况。结果表明,林地分布区具有一定的可开采潜力,而草地分布区地下水位呈现下降趋势,意味着在该区域未来将更加缺水。最后,基于目前地下水开采状况,提出两种调控方案:(1)对于林地,将分布区中生态亏水区开采量减少10%,生态盈水区及生态适宜区开采量增加10%,(2)对于草地,通过恢复湿地增加地下水补给量。总体而言,在调控方案下该地区大部分地区地下水埋深将更适合于植被的生长。
Resumo
Flutuações em nível de água subterrânea em grande escala têm um efeito significativo na preservação e restauração da vegetação. Este estudo determinou a profundidade da água subterrânea dentro da qual a vegetação natural cresce bem, e analisou o efeito da regulação das águas subterrâneas na restauração da vegetação na cidade de Tianjin, norte da China. Distribuições normais e log-normais foram usadas para ajustar a curva da relação entre a vegetação e a profundidade da água subterrânea. A faixa de profundidade do lençol freático correspondente à maior frequência de distribuição da vegetação foi considerada como a faixa de “profundidade adequada da água” para o crescimento da vegetação. A profundidade do lençol freático adequada para o crescimento dos arbustos foi de 3–5 m e para o crescimento da grama de 1–3 m. Um modelo de fluxo de água subterrânea previu as mudanças futuras das profundidades de lençol freático na área de distribuição da vegetação sob a condição de que os níveis atuais de extração de água subterrânea sejam mantidos. Os resultados mostraram que há potencial para a extração de água subterrânea em áreas de bosque, mas para as áreas de pastagem a elevação do lençol freático mostrou uma tendência de queda, o que significa que a escassez de água em algumas áreas pode ser mais severa no futuro. Finalmente, com base no atual regime de extração de água subterrânea, dois esquemas de regulação foram desenvolvidos: (1) para bosques, a extração de água subterrânea foi reduzida em 10% nas áreas de déficit hídrico ecológico e a extração foi aumentada em 10% no excedente hídrico ecológico e áreas adequadas e (2) para as pastagens, a recarga das águas subterrâneas foi aumentada pela restauração das áreas alagadas. Concluindo, as profundidades da água subterrânea na maior parte da área seriam mais adequadas para o crescimento da vegetação sob os esquemas de regulação.
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Introduction
The state of the natural vegetation is an important indicator of the health of the ecosystem, with implications for the control of desertification and preservation of biodiversity. The influence of ecological factors on natural vegetation is comprehensive because vegetation occurs in an integrated environment. The growth status of vegetation results from the combined effects of climate, soil type and landform, especially in terms of the water-table depth upon which vegetation depends (Chui et al. 2011; Mata-González et al. 2012; Sommer and Froend 2014; Comte et al. 2014; Krogulec et al. 2016).
Many scholars have carried out studies on the relationship between groundwater and natural vegetation. Xu et al. (2007) took the ecological water conveyance project that transfers water from the Bosten Lake, to Daxihaizi Reservoir, and finally to the Taitema Lake in China as a case study to analyze the dynamic change of the groundwater depth, the vegetation responses to the elevation of the water table, as well as the relationship between the groundwater depth and the natural vegetation in the Lower Tarim River. Loheide and Gorelick (2007) simulated hydrologic behaviour with a finite element model of variably saturated groundwater flow and analysed the effects of stream incision and restoration on vegetation type and pattern. Patten et al. (2008) drew on historic groundwater data and groundwater modelling and studied the potential effects of groundwater withdrawal and water-table decline on spring-supported vegetation. Laidig et al. (2010) developed vegetation models, which linked groundwater hydrology models and landscape level applications, and predicted the potential changes in vegetation associated with water-table declines. Cheng et al. (2011) developed an eco-hydrology model to evaluate the influence of water and salt on vegetation (IWSV) in the semi-arid desert regions and determined the suitable water and salt conditions for three plant species (Artemisia ordosica, Salix psammophila and Carex enervis). Goedhart and Pataki (2011) discussed the effect of groundwater depth decreases on different vegetation types in Owens Valley, California (USA), and showed that the grass cover declined at sites with deeper water tables while shrub cover remained constant. Lv et al. (2012) used remote sensing images of vegetation index (normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI) and field data of the depth to water table (DWT) to assess the response of the vegetation distribution to the increase of DWT at the regional scale. Kopeć et al. (2013) investigated the relationship between the vegetation and DWT in one of the largest wetlands in central Poland and found that restoration was possible through the limitation or a total discontinuation of agriculture, without the need for hydro-technical engineering which would result in DWT changes in the study area. Palanisamy and Chui (2013) used a spatially varying, coupled groundwater-vegetation growth model to investigate the survival mechanism of wetland herbaceous plants and demonstrated the ability of the groundwater-vegetation response model to facilitate an understanding of plant development and a hierarchy of important factors. Zhu et al. (2015) developed an integrated framework to assess the impact of precipitation and groundwater on vegetation growth in the Xiliao River Plain of northern China and found that there is an increased correlation between the groundwater depth and vegetation growth. Jin et al. (2016) evaluated moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) time-series data for monitoring vegetation variation in the Qaidam Basin in northwestern China and revealed that the vegetation fluctuation depends on various attributes such as climate change, topographic elevation, water-table depth, and total dissolved solids (TDS). Koirala et al. (2017) used several high-resolution data products to show that the spatial patterns of ecosystem gross primary productivity and water-table depth are correlated during at least one season, in more than two-thirds of the vegetated area across the world. The aforementioned studies showed that vegetation growth, distribution and succession were closely related to the groundwater environment, and the most important factors affecting vegetation growth were the elevation of the water-table and groundwater mineralization. Vegetation grows well only where it occurs above the optimal water-table depth and groundwater salinity ranges (Dahlhaus et al. 2010; Wang et al. 2011; Lv et al. 2012; Sommer and Froend 2014).
The city of Tianjin is crisscrossed by irrigation canals and ditches, dotted with lakes and wetlands. The ecological environment is closely related to the groundwater depth. With the increasing demand for water, the groundwater has been over extracted, which has caused serious land subsidence issues and threatened vegetation growth in Tianjin, especially in the southern region. How to restore the vegetation effectively is an important question that managers must address; however, most studies on vegetation restoration in Tianjin are based on the ability of the soil seed bank to restore vegetation (Mo et al. 2012; He et al. 2013), and there are few studies about how to improve the vegetation growth environment by adjusting the groundwater depth. External sources of water will effectively ease water shortages in some regions south of Tianjin after the South-to-North Water Transfer Project is fully implemented, and part of the water can be used to restore the ecological environment by adjusting groundwater extraction to regulate groundwater from unsuitable depth ranges to the suitable depth ranges to ensure vegetation growth. In addition, in the north of Tianjin, groundwater recharge is more effective, and the groundwater resource is sufficient; thus, there is a potential to extract the groundwater resource. Improving the groundwater environment and utilizing water resources rationally is the focus of this paper.
Data and methods
Study area
The plain of Tianjin is located at the east longitude 116°42′05″~ 118°03′31″ and northern latitude 38°33′57″~ 40°00′07″; it is 172 km from north to south and 104 km from east to west, it covers approximately 11,000 km2, and consists of 13 counties (Fig. 1). Tianjin is bounded by the Bohai Sea in the southeast and the Yanshan Mountain in the north. The terrain is flat from the piedmont plain to the coastal plain, while slightly sloping from the northwest to southeast where the piedmont flood product and alluvial fan group are at an elevation (Yellow Sea height datum of China) between 50 and 10 m. The adjacent areas are alluvial plain and fluvial plain at an elevation between 10 and 2.5 m, and the southeast region is the sea product plain at an elevation between 1 and 2 m, which is composed mainly of salt pans. The average annual temperature in the study area is 11–12 °C. The average annual precipitation is 582 mm, mainly concentrated in June to October. The average annual water surface evaporation is 1,000–2,000 mm.
Data
Meteorological data (precipitation and evaporation) from 1998 to 2008 are used to build the three-dimensional (3D) groundwater model for shallow aquifers and come from China’s meteorological data sharing service system (China Meteorological Administration 2017). The data from 1998 to 2008 used in the model, including irrigation water consumption, river and reservoir-infiltration-water consumption, and groundwater extraction consumption, are provided by the Water Resources Survey and Management Center of Tianjin (WRSMC). The data on groundwater depths and degree of mineralization for 74 groundwater observation wells from 2006 to 2008 are provided by WRSMC (Fig. 1). The remote sensing data for the vegetation of Tianjin for 2008 (resolution is 100 m) provided by the Institute of Remote Sensing Application Chinese Academy of Sciences (RSACAS) is used to extract vegetation distribution data.
Methods
The determination of optimal groundwater depth for vegetation growth
The groundwater depth range in which natural vegetation grows well is called the suitable groundwater depth, and beyond this range, vegetation will wilt or die; therefore, the groundwater depth should be controlled within a suitable range. There are many factors that influence the distribution of vegetation. Generally, these factors can be divided into two categories—one category contains natural factors such as topography, climate, CO2 concentration, groundwater salinity and groundwater depth factors; while the other category contains human activities such as afforestation, reclamation, grazing, agricultural modernization and urbanization. For a small-scale area such as the Tianjin Plain, where climate, topography and CO2 concentration do not change substantially across the region, these factors have a minimal impact on the vegetation distribution. There have been no large-scale afforestation, grazing or other human activities in recent years; thus, human activities have minimally impacted the vegetation distribution. However, the groundwater depth and salinity change considerably across the region. The groundwater depth in Tianjin decreases from north to south. The groundwater depth in the northern plain region of Tianjin is 10–15 m, the middle plain region is 4–10 m, the south plain region is less than 4 m, and the eastern coastal region is less than 2 m. The salinity of the groundwater increases from north to south, from the piedmont plain to the coastal plain. Except for the northern plain region, the salinity is larger than 1 g/L, which does not meet standards for drinking water quality of China (GB 5749–2006)—for example, the salinity of groundwater in the midwestern region is in the range 1–3 g/L, the southern region is 3–5 g/L, the eastern coastal region is more than 5 g/L, and the oceanfront region is more than 10 g/L and can be as high as 81.8 g/L. Given the aforementioned, the groundwater salinity in these regions is more than 1 g/L, which does not meet standards for drinking water quality of China (GB 5749–2006). Therefore, the study selected groundwater depth and salinity as the main factors affecting the distribution and abundance of vegetation. Groundwater depth can be an indicator used to identify land-surface vegetation patterns (Goedhart and Pataki 2011; Jin et al. 2016), and the stress of salinity on vegetation inhibits vegetation growth. When the salinity is between 0.5 and 5.5 g/L, vegetation grows well; when the salinity is more than 6 g/L, most vegetation cannot grow.
Compared with the groundwater depth data, the observations of salinity in space are sparse. If the salinity raster map is plotted by using these observations, the space difference error will be a large. Moreover, it is also difficult to regulate salinity in the short term; thus, the regulation and control schemes associated with future trends as part of this study (years 2020 and 2030) do not consider salinity as a regulatory factor. Additionally salinity is only used to discern the different vegetation distributions according to its current distribution. According to the vegetation density map and groundwater salinity map, the optimal groundwater salinity ranges for shrubland and grassland were ascertained.
To eliminate the impacts of abnormal water-table-elevation fluctuations on the determination of suitable vegetation water depth, this study used the monthly average data of shallow groundwater observation wells from 2006 to 2008. The groundwater-depth-raster map was plotted by the Kriging interpolation function of a geographic information system (GIS). Kriging is most appropriate when a spatially correlated distance or directional bias in the data is known, and it is often used for applications in soil science and geology (Varouchakis and Hristopulos 2013). For comparison and analysis, the groundwater-depth-raster map had the same resolution (100 m) as the vegetation-remote-sensing data. The groundwater depth data were divided into different groups at intervals of 0.1 m, and then the numbers of forest and grassland vegetation grids within the intervals were counted and called vegetation abundance.
Several ecological studies (Chapman 2010; Cai et al. 2011; Bullock et al. 2017) showed that plants and environmental elements often conform to the nonlinear quadratic curve model, which is known as the unimodal model, especially in normal distributions. The study used a normal distribution (Eq. 1) and a lognormal distribution (Eq. 2) to match the shrub and grass vegetation data by using R software. It was concluded that the groundwater depth range corresponding to the higher frequency of vegetation distribution was regarded as the vegetation suitable water depth range.
where x is the environmental factor (groundwater depth in this study, m); f(x) is the biomass reflecting vegetation growth status (vegetation abundance in this study, %); μ and σ are the parameters of the normal distribution and lognormal distribution, represent mean and variance, respectively.
The effect of groundwater regulation on the vegetation
Each type of vegetation has its suitable groundwater depth range. Within this range, the vegetation can achieve the best growth, while outside of this range, vegetation growth can be restricted; therefore, it is necessary to manage groundwater depth, from unsuitable depth ranges to the suitable depth ranges, to ensure vegetation growth. To achieve this, a groundwater flow model was built. The groundwater flow model is an effective tool to simulate and predict groundwater depths by changing inputs of the model. The established groundwater flow model of the shallow aquifer in Tianjin (Li et al. 2016) was used to simulate shallow groundwater-level variation under different regulation and control schemes.
The groundwater flow in the city of Tianjin was modelled using the MODFLOW package (Harbaugh 2005), developed by the US Geological Survey (USGS). The pre- and post-processor GMS package (Owen et al. 1996), developed by the Environmental Modeling Research Laboratory at Brigham Young University (USA), was used to input data and output results. The study area is represented using cells that are 500 m × 500 m. The established groundwater flow model of the shallow aquifer in Tianjin (Li et al. 2016) has high accuracy (Figs. 2 and 3). The model grid consists of 346 rows and 248 columns, with a total of 42,628 active cells. Based on the available data, the period from January 2006 to December 2008 was selected as the identification and calibration period for the model, in which 1 month was used as a stress period that was divided into two time steps (total of 36). The hydrogeology parameters used in groundwater flow models are mainly divided into two categories. One category includes the parameters used for calculating source and sink terms such as the precipitation infiltration coefficient and the irrigation regression coefficient. The other category contains the hydrogeology parameters for an aquifer such as horizontal hydraulic conductivity, vertical hydraulic conductivity, and specific yield. The initial values of these parameters were derived from the pumping tests. It was assumed also that horizontal hydraulic conductivity is 10 times larger than the vertical hydraulic conductivity. The detailed description of the MODFLOW model parameters are in the literature (Li et al. 2016). To validate the model, the model results were compared with a 3D numerical groundwater flow model established by Li et al. 2012. It was concluded that the accuracy of the current model was higher than the model established by Li et al. 2012 (see also Li et al. 2016).
Therefore, the established groundwater flow model can be used to simulate future groundwater depths under different regulation schemes. First, the groundwater depth in late December 2008 was used as the initial groundwater depth. Second, the mean annual precipitation, irrigation, evaporation, and lateral inflow from 1998 to 2008 (Table 1) were used as the fixed parameters of the model, and the amount of groundwater extraction from the shallow aquifer and wetland infiltration were the variables parameters. Third, the parameter data derived from the calibration of the model were used as the fixed parameters of the prediction model; thus, the groundwater model can be used to simulate and predict the future groundwater scenarios. Finally, the mean annual precipitation, irrigation, evaporation, and lateral inflow from 1998 to 2008 were input into the preceding model, and the groundwater regulation schemes, which were set by changing the amount of groundwater extraction and increasing wetland infiltration, were inputs into the model; thus, the prediction results for the future planning period can be obtained.
In some areas where the groundwater depth was shallower than the suitable depth, the amount of groundwater extraction can be increased; in other areas, the groundwater depth was deeper than the suitable depth, and more water was needed to raise the water level. The ecological water supplement scheme was achieved by restoring the wetland areas, and the increasing infiltration of wetlands as a result of the scheme can be calculated by Eq. (3).
where Qi is the additional infiltration of water in the wetlands (m3/day); λ is the rate of natural wetland infiltration (mm/day); and A is the area of wetland restoration (km2).
Results
The determination of optimal groundwater depth for vegetation growth
Based on the vegetation distribution and salinity zoning, the distribution areas of shrub (Fig. 4) and grass (Fig. 5) vegetation were determined. From the two figures, it can be seen that the groundwater salinity in the distribution area of shrub vegetation was less than 3 g/L, and the salinity in the distribution area of grass vegetation was greater than 3 g/L. The normal distribution and lognormal distribution were used to fit the curve of the relation between shrub vegetation and groundwater depth and the relation between grass vegetation and groundwater depth (Figs. 6 and 7). The parameter values (μ, σ) of the normal distribution and lognormal distribution are shown in Table 2.
The normal distribution is symmetrical, and the lognormal distribution is a right skew distribution with many small values and fewer large values. Based on Figs. 6 and 7, the normal distribution is best suited for the data, and the lognormal distribution does not fit well for both endpoints. The conclusion is consistent with several other ecological studies (Chapman 2010; Cai et al. 2011; Bullock et al. 2017).
It was observed that the shrub vegetation probability density curve peak appeared in the 3–5 m range, which showed that shrub vegetation appeared most frequently within the groundwater depth range, namely, the range for suitable groundwater depth of shrub vegetation growth was 3–5 m. When the groundwater depth is more than 7 m, shrub vegetation does not grow well and it depends mainly on precipitation; when the groundwater level falls to 10 m depth, shrub vegetation reaches its growth limit. Similarly, the grass vegetation probability density curve peak appeared in the 1–3 m range, which illustrated that the range for suitable groundwater depth of grass vegetation growth was 1–3 m. When the groundwater depth is more than 4 m, most grass vegetation will stop growing or die, and only a few deep-rooted grasses can survive.
Using groundwater depth regulations to restore vegetation
Classification of ecological zoning
Using the shallow groundwater observation wells data from 2008, the shallow groundwater depth in Tianjin was interpolated by the Kriging interpolation function of GIS. The groundwater depth distribution was superposed with the vegetation distribution, and the groundwater depth distributions in the shrubland and grassland areas were determined (Fig. 8).
Based on the concept of suitable depth range for shrub and grass growth, ecological zones were classified. The regions where the groundwater depth was greater than the suitable depth were classified as ecological water deficits, the regions where the groundwater depth was in the suitable depth range were classified as ecological water optima, and the regions where the groundwater depth was less than the suitable depth were classified as ecological water surpluses. Figure 8 shows that the groundwater depth was more than 5 m in most areas of the northern shrubland distribution, which was in a state of severe water shortage and not suitable for shrub growth. However, the majority of the groundwater depth in the central and southwestern regions was less than the suitable depth for shrubs; thus, these areas were an ecological water surplus. Most of the areas were categorized as the ecological water optima regions for grass (Fig. 8), and only a small number of regions in the southwest were categorized as ecological water deficit.
Future vegetation restoration under the present groundwater extraction conditions
The groundwater extraction data from 2008 were used as the input variables of the groundwater flow model to predict groundwater depth changes in vegetation distribution areas in 2020 and 2030 (Fig. 9a,b) and to calculate the changes in the ecological zone areas (Table 3).
For the shrubland regions, from 2008 to 2020, the area of ecological water deficit decreases by 73.6%, while the area of ecological water optima increases by 232%, and the area of ecological water surplus decreases by 67.9%; however, from 2020 to 2030, the area of ecological water deficit decreases by 54.9%, the area of ecological water optima increases by 2.5%, and the area of ecological water surplus increases by 1%. The ecological water deficit and surplus regions transform into ecological water optima continuously, and the ecological zoning area gradually reaches a stable state in the future. This is because groundwater extraction is mainly concentrated in the ecological deficit area. It also suggests that the present extraction condition is relatively feasible in the shrubland regions, but the groundwater surplus regions have certain capacity for extraction; thus, groundwater extraction can be appropriately increased in parts of the shrubland area.
For grassland regions (Fig. 9a,b and Table 3), from 2008 to 2020, the area of ecological water deficit increases by 997%, the area of ecological water optima decreases by 30.1%, and the area of ecological water surplus decreases by 100%. Due to the falling water table, the ecological zoning areas of grassland change rapidly, and the ecological water deficit area increases significantly from 2008 to 2020. This increase is mainly because grassland regions are in areas with high groundwater use. Meanwhile, the water table is shallow (less than the evaporation-limit depth of 3 m), and the discharge of phreatic water by evaporation is relatively large, thereby increasing the groundwater depth. From 2020 to 2030, the area of ecological water deficit decreases by 1.6%, the area of ecological water optima increases by 1.3%, and the area of ecological water surplus is 0 km2. With the water-table elevation dropping, the evaporation decreases continuously, and total recharge and total emissions tend to equilibrium in most grassland regions. The groundwater-depth increases just occur in the case of ecological water deficit, and this has no effect on the area of ecological zoning; thus, each ecological zoning remains relatively stable from 2020 to 2030. The ecology experienced deficit conditions in parts of the grassland area, could not recover under the present extraction conditions, and needs more water supplement to achieve the suitable depth.
Future vegetation recovery under the regulation schemes
The regulation schemes for future vegetation recovery were formulated based on the aforementioned scenarios. Starting from the present groundwater extraction (Fig. 10), extraction is reduced by 10% in the shrubland ecological water deficit area, and extraction is increased by 10% in the shrubland ecological water surplus and optima areas (Fig. 11). For grassland, the deficit area will increase significantly under the present extraction condition in the planning years and will need more water supplement to achieve the suitable depth. Therefore, according to the wetland restoration planning projects in Tianjin (WRSMC), the central and southern wetlands in Tianjin (Dahuangpuwa, Huangzhuangwa, Qilihai, Tuanbowa, and Beidagang; Fig. 12a) will be restored to the wetland area of the 1960s by the end of 2020 (Fig. 12b). The data for restoring the wetlands area were provided by WRSMC (Table 4).
The purpose of restoring wetlands is to recharge the shallow groundwater by infiltration. The Tuanbowa Reservoir area will remain the same, but the other wetland areas will change greatly in the future. The infiltration amounts (Table 4) were calculated by Eq. (3), using the infiltration rate (Sun et al. 2008). Wetland infiltration was input as a planar recharge source in the model.
The groundwater depth distribution for shrubland and grassland (Figs. 13 and 14) and the changes in the ecological zoning areas (Table 5) in 2020 and 2030 were simulated and quantified by the groundwater flow model. For shrubland (Fig. 13), the ecological water surplus area and ecological water deficit area are continuously decreasing, and the ecological water optima area is increasing after increased groundwater extraction. From 2008 to 2020, the ecological water deficit area decreases by 82.3%, the ecological water optima area increases by 307%, and the ecological water surplus area decreases by 93.5%. From 2020 to 2030, the ecological water deficit area decreases by 100%, the ecological water optima area increases by 3.9%, and the ecological water surplus area decreases by 26.1%. The results show that there is no ecological water deficit area for shrubland, the ecological water optima area reaches the maximum value, and the entire region is more suitable for shrub growth under the regulation scheme. The results also suggest that the regulation scheme is appropriate for the shrubland regions.
There are no changes in the vegetation ecological zoning for grassland under the proposed regulation scheme in 2020, compared with current groundwater extraction conditions (Fig. 14). This lack of change in the vegetation ecological zoning is mainly because the wetland areas in 2020 are the same as the wetland areas in 2008. The wetland areas will be restored to the wetland area of the 1960s by the end of 2020; however, after 2020, changes in ecological zoning are expected due to water-table rise. The ecological water deficit area decreases by 88.1%, the ecological water optima area increases by 70.6%, and the ecological water surplus area remains unchanged. Most of the grassland regions will be suitable for grass growth after wetlands restoration (from 2020 to 2030). The results also suggest that restoring wetlands has an important effect on changes in ecological zoning, and the regulation scheme is appropriate in the grassland regions.
Conclusions
The groundwater suitable depth for shrub growth in the study area is from 3 to 5 m, and the suitable depth for the grass growth is from 1 to 3 m. The vegetation distribution regions were divided into ecological water surplus, optima and deficit regions. For shrubland, most of the northern region was categorized as ecological water deficit area, and most of the central and southwest regions were categorized as ecological water surplus areas. For grassland, most of the regions were categorized as ecological water optima areas, and only a small number of regions in the southwest were categorized as ecological water deficit areas.
Under the current groundwater extraction conditions, the ecological water deficit and surplus areas in the shrubland regions convert to ecological water optima areas continuously, and the ecological water optima areas increase substantially in the future. For the grassland, ecological water deficit areas increase significantly from 2008 to 2020, and each area tends to be stable by 2030. Therefore, the grassland areas need more water supplement to achieve the suitable depth.
Under the regulation schemes, ecological water surplus and deficit areas for shrubland are continuously decreasing, and the ecological water optima area is increasing. There are no ecological water deficit areas of shrubland, the ecological water optima area reaches the maximum value, and the entire region is more suitable for shrub growth. For grassland, there are no changes in vegetation ecological zoning for grassland under the proposed regulation scheme in 2020, compared to current groundwater extraction conditions. After 2020, changes in ecological zoning are expected, due to water-table rise. Most of the grassland regions are suitable for grass growth after wetlands restoration (from 2020 to 2030).
Many groundwater numerical models have been developed in different parts of the world, which have provided the foundation for implementation of vegetation restoration. Several appropriate vegetation restoration schemes can be achieved using these numerical models and the regulation processes presented in this paper. Therefore, the findings of this study are also useful to other regions that have similar hydrologic and hydrogeological settings.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to acknowledge the financial support for this work provided by the National Key R & D Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFC0401407) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51579169).
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Li, F., Wang, Y., Zhao, Y. et al. Modelling the response of vegetation restoration to changes in groundwater level, based on ecologically suitable groundwater depth. Hydrogeol J 26, 2189–2204 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-018-1813-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-018-1813-3