Introduction

The maximal rate of oxygen uptake uptake (O2max) is an important determinant of cardiorespiratory fitness and aerobic performance (Howley et al. 1995). Direct measurements of oxygen uptake (O2) during maximal work provide the most accurate value for this parameter, and measurements are reproducible with a coefficient of variation of about 2–4% (Howley et al. 1995). Direct measurements ofO2max are, however, technically demanding and require access to expensive laboratory equipment and skilled personnel. As a consequence, alternative procedures have been developed in whichO2max is estimated from physiological responses during submaximal exercise (e.g. Åstrand and Ryhming 1954; Fox 1973) or from physiological responses in combination with performance measures (e.g. Kline et al. 1987).

Training status is a major determinant ofO2max. It is well documented thatO2max increases with training and that inactivity or cessation of training reducesO2max (e.g. Blomqvist and Saltin 1983). Training, likewise, has been shown to lower resting heart rate (HRrest) (Blomqvist and Saltin 1983) whereas detraining is associated with increased HRrest (Katona et al. 1982). This suggests that one would expect a negative relationship betweenO2max and HRrest. Whether such a relationship is close enough to merit interest in indirect estimation ofO2max is uncertain.

Ageing is associated with decrements in bothO2max and HRmax (Tanaka et al. 2001). The effect of ageing would therefore suggest a positive relationship betweenO2max and HRmax. If we combine the mentioned influences of training, or ageing, upon theO2max and HR response, it appears likely that a positive relationship exists betweenO2max and the ratio between HRmax and HRrest (HRmax·HRrest –1). Calculations based upon the Fick principle and incorporating literature data for maximum-to-rest ratios for HR, stroke volume and arterio-venous O2 difference, respectively (see Appendix), suggest that mass-specificO2max may be estimated by multiplying HRmax·HRrest –1 by a factor of about 15.0. The purpose of the present study was therefore (1) to examine whether this theoretical proportionality factor could be confirmed by experimental data, and (2) to evaluate in a group of well-trained men the limits of agreement (LOA) (Bland and Altman 1986) for prediction ofO2max using the experimentally established proportionality factor.

Methods

Subjects

Forty-six healthy well-trained, non-smoking men volunteered to participate in the study. The mean (SD) values for age, height, body mass (BM) andO2max were 29.6 (7.7) years, 182 (6.1) cm, 76.3 (6.5) kg, 4.66 (0.49) l·min−1 and 60.9 (5.5) ml·min−1·kg−1, respectively. They trained on average 8.7 (2.9) h per week. All subjects provided written informed consent in accordance with the guidelines of the local Ethics Committee. The experiments complied with the standards of the local Ethics Committee.

Study design

The subjects were randomly assigned to either of two groups. One group (n=10) validated the proportionality factor between the mass-specificO2max and the HRmax-to-HRrest ratio (theoretical value ~15). The other group (n=36) was used to establish LOA betweenO2max estimates based upon the HRmax-to-HRrest ratio and the above factor, versus direct measurements ofO2max.

Experimental protocol

Height was measured to the nearest 0.5 cm and BM determined to the nearest 0.1 kg. Exercise experiments were performed on a motor-driven treadmill (Technogym Runrace, Gambettola, Italy). The subjects warmed up for 10 min at a speed and grade selected to impose a heart rate of ~140 beats·min−1. The typical initial running speed was 13 km·h−1. Speed (first part of the test) and/or inclination (later part) were subsequently increased stepwise every minute by 1 km·h−1 or 2% slope, respectively, to exhaustion. The duration of the test ranged 5–10 min. Pulmonary gas exchange and heart rate were monitored continuously during the test. High-intensity and/or high-volume training was avoided for 48 h prior to testing. Resting heart rate was measured over a 5-min period by the subject in the morning the day after the test (supine, while in bed). HRrest (beats·min−1 with one decimal) was defined as the lowest value of any 1-min average during the 5-min sampling period. HRmax was defined as the highest 5-s average during the treadmill test.

Techniques

Pulmonary gas exchange was measured with an automated metabolic cart system (AMIS 2001, Innovision, Odense, Denmark). Ventilatory flow rate was measured on the inspiratory side with a differential pressure sensor (Pneumotachograph - Lilly type, Innovision A/S, Odense, Denmark.).O2max was defined as the highestO2 measured during any 30-s period. Heart rate was measured with a Polar Electro heart rate monitor (Kempele, Finland). A test was approved as being maximal when at least three of the following four criteria were met: (1) a plateau inO2 despite increased running speed or inclination (increase <150 ml·min−1), (2) R-value ≥1.15, (3) ventilatory equivalent for oxygen >30, and (4) terminal HR within 10 beats·min−1 of age-predicted HRmax. The HRmax was predicted from age using the formula of Tanaka et al. (2001): HRmax (age-predicted)=208–0.7·age in years.

Statistics

Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was performed to analyse differences between group means. Pearson’s coefficient of correlation (r) was used to describe the relationship betweenO2max as well as the mass-specificO2max and selected physiological variables. Bland-Altman plots (1986) were employed to establish the LOA between measured and estimatedO2max. Operationally, LOA define the range within which 95% of the individual differences between measured and estimatedO2max will lie. After calculating the standard error of estimate (SEE) for the differences between measured and estimatedO2max, a 95% confidence interval (±1.96 SEE) is determined around the mean difference. As part of the analysis, differences between measured and estimatedO2max were plotted against their average and tested for homoscedasticity. Statistical significance was set at P<0.05 for all analyses.

Results

The experimentally determined proportionality factor between mass-specificO2max and HRmax·HRrest –1 was 15.26 (0.72) ml·min−1·kg−1 which is not significantly different from the theoretical value of ~15 ml·min−1·kg−1. Highly statistically significant correlations were found between measuredO2max and the estimated counterparts using the Heart Rate Ratio Method. Correlation coefficients forO2max in ml·min−1 averaged 0.91 (P<0.001; see Fig. 1a) and for mass-specificO2max 0.87 (P<0.001; see Fig. 1b). The average difference between measured and estimatedO2max was not significantly different from zero (0.024 l·min−1, P=0.83 and 0.28 ml·min−1 kg−1, P=0.83). The LOA for individual estimates ofO2max averaged 0.41 l·min−1 or 5.3 ml·min−1·kg−1, corresponding to about 8.7% (see Fig. 2a, b). The magnitude of the differences between measured and estimatedO2max was not dependent on the actual level ofO2max, confirming the homoscedastic nature of the data. Replacement of measured HRmax with its age-predicted match in theO2max calculation resulted in larger differences between measured and estimatedO2max. LOA increased to ±0.72 l·min−1, or 9.2 ml·min−1·kg−1, which corresponds to about 15% (see Fig. 2b). Moreover, statistically significant correlations were also found between BM·HRmax·HRrest −1andO2max (r=0.92; P<0.001) and between HRmax·HRrest −1and mass-specificO2max (r=0.86; P<0.001).

Fig. 1a, b
figure 1

a Scatter plot between estimated and measured maximal oxygen uptake (l·min−1), b Scatter plot between estimated and measured mass-specific maximal oxygen uptake (ml·min−1·kg−1). The solid lines depicted are the least-squares derived best-fitting lines

Fig. 2a, b
figure 2

Limits of agreement (Bland and Altman 1986) for measured versus estimated maximal oxygen uptake using the Heart Rate Ratio Method. a HRmax is experimentally established as opposed to the age-predicted value (Tanaka et al. 2001) used in b. Upper and lower limit of agreement are indicated with solid lines while the mean difference is indicated by a dashed line

Discussion

By elaborating upon the Fick principle we developed an equation that predicts a relationship between the HRmax-to-HRrest ratio and mass-specificO2max. Experimental testing of ten well-trained men demonstrated that the proportionality factor applied in the conversion of HRmax·HRrest –1 toO2max was 15.26 (0.72) ml·min−1·kg−1, a value which is not significantly different from the theoretically assumed value of 15.0 ml·min−1·kg−1. Subsequent testing of 36 trained men demonstrated that individual values for mass-specificO2max (range 49–73 ml·min−1·kg−1) could be obtained with a SEE of 2.72 ml·min−1·kg−1, or ~4.5%. This yields a 95% confidence interval (LOA) for individual estimates of mass-specificO2max of about 8.7%.

In order to evaluate the relative merit of the above method for estimation ofO2max we have compared its SEE value with data from some other indirect tests. The Åstrand-Ryhming nomogram test from 1954, which was based upon cycle ergometer testing of 27 male and 31 female subjects, reported SEE values of 7–15%. Fox’s (1973) cycle ergometer study which comprised of 87 young men reported SEE to be 6–11%. Kline et al. (1987) tested middle-aged men (n=83) and women (n=86) using a walking test in combination with anthropometry and arrived at SEE ~10%. Andersen (1995) used a maximal exercise protocol to predictO2max and found SEE to be ~8%. In comparison with these tests the Heart Rate Ratio Method may offer superior accuracy, although attention should be paid to the possible significance of its being based upon a relatively homogenous study group (“well-trained men”).

It should be noticed that the regression lines of Fig. 1 cross the line of identity. The slopes of both regression lines are not significantly different from 1 (P<0.001). The point at which the regression line intersects the y-axis is significantly different from 0 in Fig. 1b (P=0.04) but not in Fig. 1a (P=0.25).

Age-predicted versus experimentally determined HRmax

Instead of experimentally determining HRmax as in the above version of the test, HRmax may also be predicted from the person’s age. Use of a theoretical HRmax value rather than an experimental one would facilitate the accomplishment of the test and potentially increase its applicability to groups of individuals where maximal effort may be unwarranted, such as patients or elderly individuals. The accuracy of theO2max estimation was significantly less when age-predicted HRmax values replaced the experimental ones in the formula (SEE 7.8% versus 4.5% of the averageO2max). Thus, the convenience obtained from not having to expose the individual to maximal exercise had a price. It is of note, however, that even with age-predicted HRmax values SEE was still comparable with other indirect tests. It may therefore be of interest to further examine its applicability to individuals of different age and training levels.

Standardization of measurement conditions

It should be noted that the SVmax-to-SVrest ratio is about 1.3 when measured in the supine position (as presumed in the calculation of the proportionality factor), whereas the corresponding value for the standing position would be 1.82 (Chapman et al. 1960). This emphasizes the importance of HR measurements being performed under strictly standardized conditions. Furthermore, it is important to underline that the proportionality factor between mass-specificO2max and the HRmax-to-HRrest ratio may vary between groups of individuals since both mass-specific restingO2max and the max-to-rest ratios of SV and the arterio-venous O2 difference(CaO2Cv̄O2) can be influenced by factors such as age, gender and training level. Therefore valid proportionality factors should first be experimentally established before the principle of the Heart Rate Ratio Method is extended to groups other than well-trained men.

Conclusion

In a group of ten well-trained men, the proportionality factor between mass-specificO2max and the HRmax-to-HRrest ratio was found to be 15.26 ml·min−1·kg−1, which was in good agreement with the theoretical value. Furthermore, when using this proportionality factor in 36 well-trained men we found that the mass-specificO2max could be estimated from the experimentally determined HRmax-to-HRrest ratio with an SEE of 4.5%, which appears to be superior to other common indirect tests. Moreover, when replacing the experimentally determined HRmax with an age-predicted one, the mass-specificO2max could be estimated by the Heart Rate Ratio Method with an SEE of 7.8%. The results indicate that the principle of this test may provide a simple and useful tool forO2max estimation.