Main

Rising global temperatures (of 1.1–6.4 °C by 2100) will probably result in a positive terrestrial feedback to the global carbon cycle, because respiratory flux to the atmosphere from soils and plants is anticipated to increase more with warming than is the rate of gross primary production (GPP)5,6. Respiration in terrestrial plants releases approximately 64 Gt of carbon each year to the atmosphere (∼six times the amount of fossil fuel emissions), directly offsetting roughly half of the GPP of terrestrial ecosystems5,6, so even a small fractional change in total plant respiration with climate warming could be important for both global net productivity and the carbon content of the atmosphere. If long-term net respiratory fluxes from terrestrial ecosystems follow the near-exponential short-term relationship of respiration to temperature3, climate warming will trigger a sharp increase in ecosystem respiration. Such an increase in CO2 release would probably be greater than the offsetting increase in GPP, because GPP tends to show a saturating, hump-shaped response to rising temperature. This would result in a heightened net CO2 release from terrestrial ecosystems, and further atmospheric warming1,2.

Plants, however, can dynamically adjust the response of respiration to temperature over the long term (weeks to years), even though plant respiration always shows an accelerating increase when subjected to a short-term (minutes to hours) increase in temperature. Typically, a plant that has experienced warmer temperatures will have a lower rate of respiration at a standardized measurement temperature than a plant that has experienced cooler temperatures (Extended Data Fig. 1). This process is labelled thermal acclimation3,4,7. The greater the thermal acclimation of respiration globally, the smaller the positive feedback between climate warming and ecosystem CO2 release3,7,8. Thermal acclimation of plant respiration has been noted in most, but not all, cases studied3,7,8,9,10,11,12,13, but the degree of acclimation is extremely uncertain3,7,8,9,10,11,12,13, especially for plants in natural settings. Such information will be crucial for making better predictions of terrestrial feedbacks14,15. The need for ecologically realistic acclimation generalizations is clear, because current state-of-the-art models16,17 predict acclimation based on a study of first-year seedlings grown for 2–3 months at constant 7, 14, 21 and 28 °C conditions in growth cabinets4. Hence, observations of acclimation of plants grown in more realistic field settings (for as long as 5 years), as presented here, should provide a meaningful advance.

High latitude boreal and temperate forests account for approximately one-third of Earth’s total forest area, and have an important role in terrestrial carbon cycling4,5,13,14,15. To advance understanding of carbon cycling in a changing climate, we assessed the acclimation capacity of more than 1,200 individuals of 10 dominant North American tree species grown in ambient and warmed (+3.4 °C) plots in a free-air warming experiment18,19. We present the results of 1,620 leaf respiration–temperature response curves3,20,21,22 made from 2009 to 2013 in both open and understory forest habitats at two sites (~150 km apart) at the boreal–temperate forest ecotone in Minnesota, USA. Species were measured in three (n = 4), four (n = 2) or all five (n = 4) years. Temperatures measured for each response curve ranged from 12 to 37 °C in 5-degree intervals (see Methods). Because the shape of the short-term temperature response curves did not vary with warming treatment for any of the species (see later), comparing the curves of plants from warmed and ambient treatments enables assessment of the magnitude of thermal acclimation in response to experimental warming. Additional information is gained by comparing the curves of plants measured at different times during the growing season; that is, assessing how much lower leaf respiration is at a given measurement temperature in a warm spell compared to a cold spell.

We focus on the magnitude of acclimation induced by experimental warming as well as the magnitude of acclimation comparing warmer to cooler time periods. For example, if a plant grown at 20 °C increased leaf respiration (Rleaf) by 40% after being moved to 25 °C for 30 min, but had the same rate after 3 weeks at 25 °C as initially when grown and measured at 20 °C, it would have completely (100%) acclimated (see Extended Data Fig. 1a, equivalent to homeostatic acclimation)7. If the rate after 3 weeks at 25 °C had increased, but by less than 40% compared to the plant grown and measured at 20 °C, this would represent partial acclimation (Extended Data Fig. 1b). Thus, an acclimated plant will eliminate some or all of the increase in Rleaf with rising temperature expected of non-acclimated plants.

We compare acclimation responses between experimental and natural seasonal temperature variation, boreal and temperate species, and angiosperm and gymnosperm species. On the basis of previous research3,7,9,10,11,12,13,23,24, we expected to observe partial acclimation (of ∼30–50%) that would be similar across species in response to both experimental and temporal temperature variation. We also anticipated that boreal species, which experience a greater temperature range in their native higher-latitude distributions, would show a greater acclimation than temperate species.

Calculating entire respiratory temperature response curves (rather than measurements at a single temperature) for all sampled leaves enabled us to discern whether the shape of the short-term response varies with thermal environment, or whether the elevation of the entire curve shifts over time as experienced temperatures vary. We tested five models to establish the best equation for quantifying Rleaf as a function of short-term leaf temperature variation (see Methods). Across all 1,620 curves, all models provided good fits. Exponential equations with a fixed Q10 coefficient (that describes the proportional change in Rleaf with a 10 °C temperature increase) and an Arrhenius model worked well (median R2 = 0.95, Extended Data Table 1). By contrast, adding temperature-sensitivity did not improve the Arrhenius model, and two other temperature-sensitive models (a log-polynomial20 and a Michaelis–Menton approach21) did not consistently show their expected decelerating forms (see Methods and Extended Data Table 1). Given that fits were best described as exponential, we present the data using the Q10 approach; however, results are similar if any of the other models are used.

The Q10 value differed among species, but was unaffected by experimental warming, as there were no differences in Q10 across the warming treatments for any of the 10 species studied (Extended Data Fig. 2 and Table 1). Thus, to assess acclimation for each species, we compared Rleaf at a standardized measurement temperature, which represents the overall elevation of each curve, given consistent Q10 values. We chose standard leaf temperatures of 20 °C and 23.4 °C, and derived respiration rates at those temperatures (R20 and R23.4, respectively) for each temperature response curve. We chose 20 °C as a typical standard for comparing respiration rates7,13,25, and 23.4 °C because it represents the average temperature above that standard due to the warming treatment18,19,26.

Table 1 Q10 and R20 in relation to +3.4 °C warming and species

We also assessed the acclimation response to seasonal variation in temperature by examining R20 in relation to the mean night-time temperature for the 5 nights before the measurement date. We chose this rather than the previous 10-day period4,16,17, as evidence suggests acclimation can occur within a few days of temperature shifts10,23,24, hence our response curves are perhaps more representative of leaf physiological status over the previous 5-day than 10-day period. Nonetheless, acclimation was similar (in fact, slightly stronger) if the previous 10-night mean temperature was used, and the results are not dependent on this choice.

Across species and sites, plants in the +3.4 °C treatment had significantly lower R20 values than ambient-grown plants (Extended Data Fig. 3 and Table 1), indicating acclimation to increased growth temperature3,7. The best statistical model included only treatment and species (see Methods), as the response to warming treatment did not differ with site (site × warming, P = 0.74; site × species × warming, P = 0.69). Species differed in their average R20 value, but the acclimation response to experimental warming did not differ significantly among species (Table 1), sites or species groupings (boreal/temperate; angiosperm/gymnosperm). Differences between ambient and warmed plants were similar if other metrics (for example, Rleaf measured at 25 °C) were used, or if Rleaf was estimated using temperature response functions from the alternative models (for example, Methods and Extended Data Figs 4 and 5).

As a result of this strong acclimation (Extended Data Fig. 3), individuals in each species grown in the +3.4 °C warming treatment had leaf respiration rates at 23.4 °C that were generally not notably greater than those of ambient-grown plants measured at 20.0 °C (Fig. 1). In fact, on average across species, plants grown in the +3.4 °C warming treatment had leaf respiration rates at 23.4 °C that were just 5% higher (±2% s.e.m. among species) on average than those measured at 20.0 °C for untreated plants (Fig. 2). By contrast, non-acclimated ambient-grown plants had rates at 23.4 °C that were 23% higher (±1% s.e.m. among species) on average than at 20.0 °C (Figs 1 and 2). Thus, thermal acclimation of warmed plants eliminated roughly 80% of the increase in leaf respiration expected of non-acclimated plants (see below).

Figure 1: Leaf dark respiration rate of ambient and experimentally warmed plants.
figure 1

a, b, Data are from five boreal (a) and five temperate (b) tree species. Respiration is shown at measurement temperatures of 20 °C and 23.4 °C for ambient-grown plants; respiration for plants grown at +3.4 °C conditions is shown at a measurement temperature of 23.4 °C. The two values for ambient plants show the increase in respiration with a +3.4 °C temperature increase for non-acclimated plants; comparison of ambient plants measured at 20 °C with warmed plants measured at 23.4 °C represents the increase in respiration with a +3.4 °C temperature increase for acclimated plants. Sample size by warming treatment and biome type (boreal, ambient = 363; boreal, warmed = 380; temperate, ambient = 434; temperate, warmed = 443). Data are mean and s.e.m. (s.e.m. values are from the full model).

PowerPoint slide

Figure 2: Increase in leaf dark respiration (Rleaf) with +3.4 °C warming for acclimated and non-acclimated plants, among species, by biome of the species.
figure 2

a, b, Increase in Rleaf is shown on a percentage basis in response to both experimental warming (a) and seasonal temperature variation (b). For acclimated plants, response is calculated as: ((Rleaf of warmed plants at 23.4 °C per Rleaf of ambient plants at 20 °C) × 100) − 100. For non-acclimated plants, response is: ((Rleaf of ambient plants at 23.4 °C per Rleaf of ambient plants at 20 °C) × 100) − 100. Sample sizes are as in Fig. 1. Data are mean and s.e.m. (s.e.m. among species, by biome group and treatment).

PowerPoint slide

Shifts in R20 in relation to seasonal variation in temperature (Fig. 3) also demonstrated strong acclimation that was consistent with shifts in R20 in response to warming treatments. This acclimation was statistically examined by evaluating the R20 response to prior 5-night mean temperature, warming treatment and species. The prior 5-night mean temperature was significant, whereas warming treatment was not, because the prior 5-night temperature metric fully accounted for its impact (Table 1). Thus, all 10 species showed pronounced acclimation of R20 to recently experienced temperatures (Fig. 3). The slopes of R20 versus recent temperatures did not differ between boreal and temperate species, but were significantly steeper on average for the four gymnosperms than the six angiosperms (Methods and Extended Data Table 2).

Figure 3: Relationship between leaf dark respiration measured at 20 °C and the prior 5-night mean temperature, across seasons and years.
figure 3

a, b, Data are for five boreal (a) and five temperate (b) tree species. Sample sizes are as in Fig. 1. Data are the best fit regressions between the logarithm of R20 and the prior 5-night mean temperature per species, using data from both ambient and warmed treatments. Angiosperms and gymnosperms differed in slope (P < 0.05), but species within each group did not. Resultant species-specific equations are shown in Extended Data Table 2.

PowerPoint slide

On the basis of the species responses to seasonal temperature variation, plants that had experienced recent night temperatures of 23.4 °C would be expected to have Rleaf at 23.4 °C that was just 6% higher (±3% s.e.m. among species) on average than Rleaf at 20.0 °C for plants recently experiencing 20.0 °C nights (Fig. 2). By contrast, without acclimation (that is, for a plant that recently experienced 20.0 °C nights), rates at 23.4 °C would be 25% (±1% s.e.m. among species) higher on average than at 20.0 °C. Those acclimation responses to seasonal temperature variation were very similar to those noted above for plants acclimated to +3.4 °C experimental warming. In other words, the differences in growth temperatures due to experimental warming had the same effect on Rleaf value at any given measurement temperature as the changes in the prior 5-night temperature of the same extent. Thus, acclimation to temperature as it varied across time was similar to acclimation to experimental warming. If extrapolated to a 10 °C shift in temperature, acclimation would result in realized long-term (or ‘apparent’) Q10 value of ∼1.2, despite a short-term Q10 of ∼1.9.

We also assessed percentage acclimation, a measure of how much of the respiratory increase expected due to short-term (minutes to hours) warming is eliminated by physiological adjustment of plants warmed by the same extent but for weeks or months. We quantified this acclimation for plants in response to warming treatment by contrasting the difference between the R23.4 of plants in the +3.4 °C treatment and the R20 of those in ambient conditions with the difference between the R23.4 and R20 of plants in ambient conditions (Fig. 1; see Methods for equation). The mean percentage acclimation to experimental warming across species was 78.2% (±7.7 s.e.m. among species), and the mean percentage acclimation to the 5-prior night temperature was 80.9 ± 9.5% (Extended Data Fig. 6).

Given the close coupling of respiration and photosynthesis13,21,27,28, shifts in leaf respiration of plants growing under different thermal conditions could result from temperature-related shifts in photosynthesis14. Previous work with seedlings has found the ratio of leaf respiration to photosynthesis (R:P) to be stable in some cases, but to increase with growth temperature in others14. Data from our multi-year experiment indicate that the acclimation of Rleaf did not result from (or result in) a stable R:P ratio, because for all 10 species, R:P was higher in warmer conditions, whether seasonal or experimental (Methods). However, without acclimation, R:P would have been much more increased at higher mean daily temperatures compared to what was observed. Hence our results suggest that acclimation is part of a process that limits the size of the ‘window’ within which R:P varies, but does not support the idea of a complete homeostasis of R:P. Statistical analyses also showed that the response to warming treatment of Q10, or R20, could not be explained by concomitant shifts in photosynthesis (Methods).

As respiration in terrestrial plants (including root, stem and leaf fluxes) releases ~64 Gt of carbon per year to the atmosphere, offsetting ∼50% of terrestrial GPP5,6,16,17, autotrophic respiration and its acclimation to rising temperature are crucial to the global carbon balance5,6. Our experimental results are informative relative to this issue.

Our results demonstrated strong acclimation of leaf respiration to both a +3.4 °C warming and seasonal temperature increases, which profoundly reduced plant respiratory carbon loss compared to what would have occurred without acclimation. A recent meta-analysis7, based largely on short-term studies of laboratory grown plants, found acclimation to be less than half as great as we observed (see Methods for details). Moreover, earth system models14,15,16,17 typically simulate even weaker levels of acclimation, or none at all. For example, two recent modelling papers16,17 based their acclimation routines on data from first-year seedlings in laboratory settings that showed ∼30% respiration acclimation4. Despite this more modest acclimation than we observed here, acclimation alone still resulted in a 10% change in simulated global carbon stocks compared to a model that assumed no leaf respiration acclimation17. Given that we observed a much greater (∼80%) acclimation of respiration, our results suggest that high latitude forests may show a more pronounced leaf respiration acclimation than expected4,7,13 to increasing growing season temperatures associated with climate change.

If our realistic, long-term field results are broadly indicative, they suggest that leaf respiratory acclimation globally may have a larger ameliorating impact than expected on CO2 losses with rising temperatures as climate changes. Such amelioration would be even larger if stems and roots showed similar acclimation as leaves, but whether this is so is highly uncertain owing to a scarcity of available data. Our results contribute to current efforts to improve the characterization and incorporation of thermal acclimation of respiration in land surface models14,17 by providing robust field evidence on the nature and magnitude of leaf respiratory acclimation, thus aiding future models in improving estimates of respiratory acclimation in a changing climate, and of the consequences of acclimation for carbon cycling.

Methods

Site description and experimental design

This study was conducted in an open-air climate change facility (the Boreal Forest Warming at an Ecotone in Danger (B4WarmED) project) in northern Minnesota, USA. The details of the study sites and experimental design are described elsewhere18,19,26. The experiment used here had a 2 (site) × 2 (habitat) × 2 (warming treatment) factorial design with six replicates, for a total of 48 circular plots 3-m in diameter. We sampled juveniles of 10 native tree species from the 11 per species planted into each plot in 2008 into a matrix of native shrubs and herbs. The treatments were ambient versus +3.4 °C above ambient (both below and above ground) and were implemented 24 h per day for 8–9 months per year19.

Measurement of leaf respiration temperature response curve and data analysis overview

Temperature response curves (1,620) of leaf respiration were measured at both field sites from June–September each year and across the years 2009–2013. Measurements were made using detached foliage sampled from ambient and warmed plots26. Respiration temperature response curves were developed based on measurements at 12, 17, 22, 27, 32 and 37 °C. Dark respiration rates of detached leaves are stable under these conditions for several hours or longer12,24.

Comparisons among five models showed that fixed Q10 and Arrhenius models provided the most reasonable statistical approach for fitting short-term respiration–temperature response curves; moreover, the fixed Q10 and Arrhenius models yielded virtually identical predictions, R2 > 0.99 (see Extended Data Table 1 and Extended Data Figs 7 and 8 for more details). We therefore report only the following parameters: the Q10 of the temperature response function of each leaf, and the respiration rate at standard measurement temperatures of 20.0 °C (R20) and 23.4 °C (R23.4), calculated from the temperature response equation for every leaf.

The RT was calculated as:

in which RT is the dark respiration measured at leaf temperature T, is the respiration at reference temperature Tref, and Q10 is a metric that describes the proportional increase of respiration rate with a 10 °C increase in temperature.

We calculated respiration rates at measurement temperatures of 20.0 and 23.4 °C for both ambient and experimentally warmed treatments (R20 ambient, R23.4 ambient and R23.4 warmed) using equation (1). We chose to show values at measurement temperatures of 20 and 23.4 °C as they represent a temperature (20 °C) that has been commonly used in other studies, and a temperature (23.4 °C) representing the difference due to our warming treatment. These were used in statistical analyses and to calculate percentage acclimation.

Mixed-effect analyses of variance were conducted to compare Q10 and R20 values across species, warming treatment, and sites. R20 was log-transformed for statistical analyses to meet assumptions of normality and heteroscedasticity of residuals better. Comprehensive sampling of three of the species across warming treatments, sites, years, seasons and habitat, found minimal difference in acclimation response to warming among sites, years, seasons (early, mid or late summer) or habitat (X.W. et al., manuscript in preparation); hence here we focus on species, sites and treatments. The independent variables included in the initial models that tested for warming treatment effects were site, treatment and species (with plot considered a random effect). On the basis of both Akaike and Bayesian information criteria, the best models for Q10 and R20 included only treatment and species (moreover, response to warming did not differ among sites). We then tested for response to prior 5-night temperature, warming treatment and species. Including the prior 5-night mean temperature in the model was significant for R20 but not significant for Q10. Furthermore, after including prior 5-night temperature in the model, warming treatment was no longer significant (indicating that incorporating this effect into the prior 5-night temperature accounted for its effect), and the best model included only 5-night mean temperature and species.

To assess effect of acclimation on reducing expected respiratory carbon loss, we calculated percentage acclimation as:

in which a value of <0 means no acclimation, a value between 0 and 100% means partial acclimation, 100% means complete acclimation, >100% means over-acclimation.

Study sites

The B4WarmED experiment was conducted at the Cloquet Forestry Center at Cloquet, Minnesota, USA (46° 31′ N, 92° 30′ W) and at the Hubachek Wilderness Research Center near Ely, Minnesota, USA (47° 55′ N, 92° 30′ W). Both sites are located in the boreal–temperate forest ecotone. The mean annual precipitation and temperature (1973–2008) were 783 mm and 4.8 °C at Cloquet Forestry Center, and 726 mm and 2.6 °C at the nearest weather stations to Hubachek Wilderness Research Center. The warming experiments at both sites were conducted on coarse-textured upland soils in mixed Populus tremuloidesBetula papyriferaAbies balsamea stands (with stand ages of 40–60 years) in both understory (5–10% full light) and open (40–60% full light) conditions, which are representative of the typical regeneration sites for the study species.

Experimental design

For details of experimental design, see refs 18, 19, 26. The treatments included two levels of simultaneous plant and soil warming (ambient temperatures and day and night temperatures 3.4 °C above ambient throughout the entire growing season). Both treatments included soil heating cables (unelectrified cables in the ambient plots). The heating treatment was implemented during the 2009–2013 growing seasons with a synchronized above- and below-ground open-air system (that is, without chambers) via feedback controls that acted concurrently and independently at the plot scale to maintain a fixed temperature differential from ambient conditions (see ref. 19 for a detailed description of the experimental warming system). Although warming treatments varied slightly with site, canopy and year19, on average 3.4 °C warming of both above-ground plant surfaces and soil was obtained during treatments. Eleven individual seedlings of ten native species (most two years old and grown from local seed sources) were planted in each plot in 2008. The seedlings were obtained from the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources18,26.

Measurement of leaf respiration temperature response curve details

The temperature response curves of leaf respiration were measured on detached foliage sampled from the ambient and warmed plots from June–September 2009–2013 (day of year = 169–271). Sampling across the warming treatments was very closely balanced for each species across sites and habitats. Fully expanded, healthy leaves were collected each morning and were immediately inserted into floral water pik tubes to keep them hydrated throughout the day. The leaves were then transported to a nearby laboratory and transferred to a darkened growth chamber that was able to maintain a broad range of temperatures. Temperature response curves were measured from 12 to 37 °C leaf temperature at increments of ∼5 °C by adjusting the air temperatures of the growth chamber and the temperature control setting of the cuvette housing the sample leaf.

The dark respiration rate was measured using an infrared gas analyser system (LI-6400 portable photosynthesis systems, Li-Cor) with a standard 2 × 3-cm leaf chamber used for broadleafed species and a conifer chamber (that fits sprigs 7.5-cm long with needles up to 3.5-cm long) for the needle-leafed species, operated in an open configuration with a flow rate of 300–500 μmol s−1 and a CO2 concentration of 400 μmol mol−1. The leaf chamber was placed inside the growth chamber, and the leaf temperature in the cuvette was set to correspond to the temperature in the growth chamber. The leaf was allowed to stabilize at the new temperature for a minimum of 10 min prior to being clamped in the leaf chamber for the dark respiration measurement. Three values were logged at 15 s intervals after the readings had stabilized and were averaged for each temperature. Dark respiration rates were measured for each leaf at 12 °C control setting, after which both the leaf and growth chambers were set to 17 °C, and the process was repeated for all temperatures in increasing order. We note that the measurement of leaf temperature when the respiration measurement was made was recorded and used in all calculations, rather than the set point temperature (which was usually close, but not identical, to the measured leaf temperature). The humidity within the leaf chamber was controlled to the extent possible (see ref. 26 for details of controlling humidity in leaf chambers). The measurements were completed within 3–4 h. Detailed measurements for three species across seasons (late spring, summer, early autumn), habitats and sites, showed that both the Q10 of the short-term response curve and the acclimation of the entire curve to warming treatment effects were unaffected by habitat or site (X.W. et al., manuscript in preparation). Hence we focus here on species and treatment effects initially, and then on response to recently experienced temperatures.

An important question about measurements of dark respiration temperature response functions involves the stability of measurements over the time needed to conduct each curve. Although it has been shown that metabolism of sugars can change respiration rates13,27, extensive previous work done to test the stability of measurements with many of the same species as in our study has shown no effect of duration in the dark on respiration rates or their short-term temperature sensitivity10,12,13,27,28,29. Another recent study with a different tree species20, found that respiration rates and temperature responses were stable for as long as 4 days (the longest period they tested). As noted27, sugar concentrations found naturally had only a small effect on respiration of Populus leaves compared to those induced in artificially sucrose-fed leaves, and even in the latter, sugar concentration only had marked effects on respiration rates at leaf temperatures greater than 40 °C and none detectable below 30 °C. Moreover, given that all treatments and species in our study received the same protocol it is unlikely that variability due to lack of stability influenced the outcome of our measurements and analyses.

Different approaches to fitting leaf respiration temperature response function

It has been known for decades that over the short-term (minutes to hours), respiration increases approximately exponentially with temperature (equivalent to log-linearly)3,7,20,21, which often can be well described by Q10 or Arrhenius functions (see equations (1) and (3), and Extended Data Fig. 6). Hence both the Q10 (equation (1)) and Arrhenius functions (equation (3)) have been widely used to describe the respiration–temperature response curves in plant, ecosystem, land surface, and earth system simulation models. However, several studies have reported the response to not be a fixed proportional change (on a logarithmic basis), but a decelerating proportional change20,22, such that if one uses the Q10 approach to characterize this, the Q10 is lower across any given temperature span at higher than lower temperatures20,22. In fact, the two most comprehensive assessments, one a synthesis by Tjoelker and colleagues22 and the other a new study of 218 species globally30 strongly support the temperature sensitive Q10 model (that is, decelerating polynomial function). In such cases a temperature-sensitive Arrhenius (equation (4)); a polynomial model (equation (5)), with a value of c < 0; and a Michaelis–Menton model (equation (6)), with a value of δ(Tref) < 0 have been found to be good models to describe the observations. However, no single function has emerged as the best across all studies; thus, the nature and variability among taxa of the short-term temperature response function of leaf respiration remains uncertain3,4,14,20,21,22.

Given this uncertainty, we examined the alternative approaches with our data, and used the results to inform our choice of which to focus on. We examined five models (1, 3, 4, 5 and 6):

in which RT is the dark respiration measured at leaf temperature T; is the respiration at reference temperature Tref; Q10 is a metric that describes the proportional increase of respiration rate with a 10 °C increase in temperature; Ea (J mol−1) is the activation energy of respiration; r is the universal gas constant (8.314 J mol−1 K−1); a, b and c in equation (5) are coefficients that describe the temperature response of the natural log of respiration, and E0(Tref)(J mol−1) is the overall activation energy of the reference temperature. T and Tref are in °C in equations (1) and (5), and in K in equation (3) and (4). A temperature-dependent Q10 value can be calculated from parameters in equation (5)20,22

A value of c < 0 in equation (5) or δ(Tref) < 0 in equation (6) indicates a decrease in Q10 or E0, respectively (each of which can be evaluated at every point along the curve) with temperature, and a value of > 0 indicates an increase in Q10 or E0 with temperature, respectively.

Curves were considered for analysis only when all points fit within a 95% confidence interval, the R2 exceeded 0.60 and the overall curve and slope parameters were at least marginally significant at P < 0.10 for at least three of the models. In total, 1,620 curves met these requirements, with mean and median (across all curves and all five models) R2 of 0.94 and 0.96, respectively and with 99% significant at P < 0.05. Given that curves on average were approximately exponential, the temperature-sensitive Arrhenius model (equation (4)) fit similarly well as, but very slightly less well than the Arrhenius model (equation (3)) and is not further discussed. Among the five equations (1), (3), (4), (5) and (6), equations (5) and (6) had a slightly higher R2 and lower root mean square error (r.m.s.e.) values than equations (1) and (2) (Extended Data Table 1). However, among our 1,620 curves determined using equation (5), 894 (55%) had c < 0 and 726 (45%) had c > 0 (Extended Data Fig. 7), with roughly half of the curves for equation (6) also not supporting a decelerating function. Thus, for our sample, an accelerating proportional change in respiration was almost as likely as a decelerating proportional change, refuting the idea that a decelerating model is a good choice overall for our data. Given that use of either equation (5) or (6) is inconsistent with any single shape of the response function, including the deceleration framework that is the underlying premise of both models, we did not use either to describe our measured response curves. Instead equations (1) and (3) (Q10 and Arrhenius models) performed similarly and very well; they had similar R2 and r.m.s.e. values (Extended Data Table 1), and were roughly equally accurate across the full range of measurement temperatures. Moreover, the predicted respiration rates from equations (1) (Q10) and (3) (Arrhenius function) at the reference temperature of 20 °C were nearly identical (data not shown), and as expected, Q10 from equation (1) was extremely well correlated (R2 = 0.999) with Ea from equation (3) (Extended Data Fig. 6). For the respiration data generated in our study, using the exponential fit was a reasonable statistical approach, and we therefore only report parameters from equation (1); but do not intend this as an indication that equation (1) is preferable to equation (3) for these data. We note the estimates of acclimation would be similar regardless of which of the five models of short-term respiration response were used.

Statistical tests

To compare leaf respiration rates across species, warming treatments, and recently experienced night-time temperatures, we converted the respiration rates of all leaves to values at a common measurement temperature of 20 °C (R20), using the leaf-specific equation (1) for each of the 1,620 leaves. To assess how much of the potential increase in respiration the acclimation eliminates, we calculated percentage acclimation using equation (2), where a value of <0 means no acclimation, a value between 0 and 100% means partial acclimation, 100% means complete acclimation, >100% means over acclimation. We also expressed R at 25 °C (R25) to test for many of the relationships described in this paper using R20, including those with photosynthesis, as 25 °C was in the centre of the temperature range used to develop the response curve for each leaf and R at 25 °C is perhaps the most common reference value31.

Mixed-effect analyses of variance were conducted to compare Q10, R20 and R25 data by species, site and treatment, pooled across all other sources of variation. R20 and R25 were log-transformed to fit assumptions of a normal distribution. As responses of R25 and R20 were extremely similar, we largely show only those for the latter here. We also fit simple regressions of log(R20) versus prior 5-night and 10-night temperatures, for each species, and used these to calculate percentage acclimation across time. All data analyses used JMP 11.0 (SAS Institute).

Model selection and results

We first tested models for Q10 and R20 including species, site, warming treatment and all interactions (with plot included as a random effect). There were no site × treatment (or site × treatment × species) interactions, nor was site (with or without interactions) included in the best models (based on both on AIC and BIC criteria), hence site was not considered further in any models. The best models included only treatment and species (both significant as main effects), but we show the model including their interaction term in Table 1 to allow readers to see the level of significance of their interaction. We also tested whether grouping species by biome of origin (boreal versus temperate) or phylogenetic group (angiosperm versus gymnosperm), instead of by species, identified a difference in response to warming treatment by groups. Group was significant in both cases as a main effect, but there was no significant interaction with treatment and the models were much poorer overall than those including species (data not shown).

We also tested an additional model for R20 that included the prior temperature (temperature of the prior 5 nights) and all interactions (shown in Table 1). Species, prior temperature and the interaction of species × prior temperature were the only significant terms. However the species × prior temperature interaction was only significant for the species with the steepest and shallowest slopes (Picea glauca and Quercus macrocarpa, respectively), and neither of those species had a slope significantly different than any other species from the same phylogenetic group (gymnosperm or angiosperm). Thus we tested the model for R20 with independent predictors of phylogenetic group, prior temperature and their interaction. Groups differed in slope (P = 0.0084) of R20 to prior 5-night temperature. Models for each group separately found species did not differ in slope (no species × 5-night temperature interaction) but did differ in intercept (species significant as main effect). Thus, for modelling purposes the most statistically appropriate equations are for each species to have a unique intercept, but for all gymnosperms and angiosperms to share a common slope (Extended Data Table 2), as derived from separate models for conifers (R2 = 0.33 for model) and angiosperms (R2 = 0.27 for model).

Furthermore, as autotrophic respiration is a process closely coupled to photosynthesis13,21,27, shifts in leaf respiration observed for plants growing under different thermal conditions could result from the coupling of respiration and photosynthesis, and temperature related shifts in photosynthesis14. If this were the case, acclimation of leaf respiration might be driven largely by temperature-related variation in photosynthesis. Empirical evidence from prior publications, predominantly for laboratory grown seedlings, found that the ratio of leaf respiration to photosynthesis (R:P) was stable in some cases, but increased with growth temperature in others14. Using temperature response curves of photosynthesis made in this experiment26, we estimated photosynthesis at prevailing daytime temperatures and combined these with estimates of leaf respiration at prevailing night-time temperatures to estimate the R:P ratio and assess how it varied with temperature (using mean daily 24-h temperature to represent the general thermal regime). These estimates indicate that acclimation of Rleaf did not result from (or result in) a stable R:P ratio, because for all 10 species, R:P was higher in warmer conditions, whether seasonal or experimental. However, the acclimation of leaf respiration did constrain the extent to which R:P varies, because without acclimation, R:P would have been much more increased at higher mean daily temperatures compared to what was observed. Hence our results are consistent with the notion that acclimation is part of a process that limits the size of the ‘window’ within which R:P varies, but does not support the idea of a complete homeostasis of R:P that would directly result in acclimation of leaf respiration, if photosynthesis rose little with increased temperatures.

We also assessed whether the response to warming treatment of Q10, or leaf respiration rate at a given measurement temperature, could be explained in full or part by photosynthesis. We did this by including photosynthesis as a predictor in models that examined (1) Q10, and (2) respiration at 20 °C (R20) or 25 °C (R25), in relation to species, treatment, and the species × treatment interaction (across all 1,620 leaves). As elsewhere, R20 and R25 were log-transformed to fit assumptions of a normal distribution. Including photosynthesis in these analyses did not alter our results or conclusions. In the model with Q10 as the dependent variable, photosynthesis was not significant (P = 0.62), nor was warming treatment (P = 0.78), but species was (P = 0.0025), and Q10 values for each species in both ambient and warmed treatments were similar as our original analyses. In the models with R20 and R25 as the dependent variables, photosynthesis was significant (P < 0.0001), (that is, respiration was positively related to photosynthetic rate), and the temperature treatment remained significant (P = 0.05), with the degree of shift of respiration with warming treatment (that is, the acclimation) similar with or without photosynthesis in the model.

Comparison with published acclimation meta-analysis

A recent meta-analysis on acclimation of leaf respiration to temperature7 provides a useful basis of comparison for our work. Among 104 records for 67 species from 18 studies, 96 were from growth cabinets or greenhouses, with an average duration of 41 days and a wide range of the degree of warming. This meta-analysis includes the data from ref. 4 that is the basis for several recent assessments of acclimation effects on global carbon cycling. On average across all records, the increase in Rleaf for a one-degree temperature increase was 5.7% for that meta-analysis7, compared with 1.5% from the 10 species in our study. In the meta-analysis, the response of Rleaf per °C increase was weakly but significantly linearly correlated with the degree of warming (R2 = 0.04, P = 0.036), suggesting that the extent of acclimation is less when the shift in temperature is greatest. On the basis of that correlation, acclimation in response to 3.4 °C warming should result in a 3.4% increase in Rleaf per °C. Hence, both the mean shift in Rleaf across all data (+5.7% per °C warming) and the shift after adjustment to a +3.4 °C warming (+3.4% per °C warming) from the meta-analysis are at least twice as great as the increase in Rleaf (1.5% per °C warming) from our study. There are several potential reasons why acclimation was so much stronger in our study than in previous studies; these include the longer duration of the treatments and the more realistic whole-plant warming treatments, among others.