Abstract
Debris flow mobility can vary during propagation due to changes in flow volume and bulk flow behavior resulting from the absorption of water from runoff. This study aims to investigate the effect of runoff on debris flow propagation by presenting an integrated model that considers the processes of rainfall, vegetation interception, soil infiltration, runoff generation, and debris flow propagation. Specifically, the study adopts an elevation-based empirical formula to evaluate the spatial distribution of rainfall and introduces a parameter for water absorption rate into the depth-averaged two-layer model that is used for describing the dynamics of runoff and debris flow. Through alternative simulations of the 2020 debris flow in the Meilong catchment, the study illustrates the significant effects of water absorption on debris flow propagation. The results indicate that as the water absorption rate of the debris mass increases, debris flow mobility also increases, since more mass and energy are transferred from runoff to debris flow. In addition, the spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall intensity can modify the propagation velocity of debris flow by influencing runoff dynamics.
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Introduction
Debris flows are a typical mountain disaster and can result in high casualties or serious economic loss due to its large impact area and great destructive power (Norio et al. 2011). Recent examples include the 2010 Hongchun debris flow, which resulted in the flooding of Yingxiu town (Tang et al. 2011), and the 2010 Tianmo debris flow, which blocked Parlung Zangbo River and caused a direct loss of CNY 5.2 million (Wei et al. 2018). Generally, the impact area and impact force of debris flows are significantly correlated to their mobility. Based on the analysis of available data (e.g., the ratio between drop height and runout distance), several studies have demonstrated that there is a significant variation in the mobility of debris flows (Dahlquist and West 2019; Rickenmann 1999; Tang et al. 2012a, b). Consequently, understanding the factors that affect the mobility of debris flows, and the extent to which they do so, is critical for evaluating disaster risk and informing reconstruction strategies.
Debris flow mobility may vary during propagation through the channel due to changes in flow volume and bulk flow behavior caused by entrainment of bed sediments and water absorption from runoff (Rickenmann and Scheidl 2012). To date, how sediment entrainment affects debris flow mobility has been studied deeply through laboratory experiments (Iverson et al. 2010; Reid et al. 2011) and theoretical analysis (Frank et al. 2019; Luna et al. 2012). Based on the large flux experiments, Iverson et al. (2011) found that a debris flow over a fixed wet bed moves significantly faster than the same flow over a fixed dry bed. McCoy et al. (2012) measured bed and flow properties during six erosive debris flow events and discovered that the eroded mass from debris flow is also larger when the bed sediment is saturated compared to dry bed sediment. To describe debris flow propagation under the effects of sediment entrainment quantitatively, several physically based numerical models have also been proposed, based on the depth-averaged theory (Frank et al. 2019; Han et al. 2015). Luna et al. (2012) coupled a one-dimensional debris flow model with an erosion formula that considered the limit equilibrium and excess pore water pressure of bed materials. Discussion on the mass and momentum jump conditions that impose constraints on valid erosion formulas was performed by Iverson and Ouyang (2015), which provides a guideline for applying correct forms of depth-averaged equations considering entrainment. Compared to the entrainment mechanism and its effects on debris flow mobility, the study of water absorption during debris flow propagation is rare. Debris flows can absorb water from runoff when they meet and change their volume and bulk flow behavior, which changes the mobility (Rickenmann and Scheidl 2012). Moreover, water absorption can also transfer momentum from runoff to debris flows, which is different from sediment entrainment due to that the sediment should be static prior to entrainment (Han et al. 2015). For catchments with steep terrain or heavy rainfall, runoff may have large kinetic energy and transfer it to debris flow through water absorption, thus promoting debris flow propagation (Pierson and Scott 1985). However, there are no available numerical models that incorporate the abovementioned effects of water absorption on debris flow propagation, especially from the catchment point of view.
The spatial heterogeneity of rainfall intensity, an important feature for rainfall events in mountainous areas, significantly influences hydrological processes and thus increases the susceptibility to disasters (Minder et al. 2009; von Ruette et al. 2014). Obtaining accurate rainfall data in catchments is challenging due to harsh monitoring conditions or measurement errors, particularly for high-altitude areas. Moreover, the relationship between elevation and rainfall in small-scale spaces, such as single catchments, is complex and highly uncertain (Haiden and Pistotnik 2009). Several formulas have been proposed to estimate this relationship, primarily based on regional rainfall data (Garcia-Martino et al. 1996; Guo et al. 2021; Jiang et al. 1988; Song et al. 2019). These formulas generally follow a simple rule whereby rainfall intensity initially increases with elevation and then decreases. Currently, rainfall data available for a catchment typically comes from the nearest meteorological station, which represents an average of the entire area and provides a general reference to simulate rainfall conditions. The high spatial variability of rainfall introduces uncertainty in predicting runoff generation, including characteristics such as volume and peak discharge (Bout et al. 2018; Liu and He 2020). In order to improve the accuracy of simulating runoff in a catchment, An et al. (2022) used rainfall data with spatial variation, which was obtained by interpolating data from 17 meteorological stations located nearby. However, since these stations are not located within the catchment and most of them are far away, there is a possibility that the impact of changes in elevation on the rainfall data may be overlooked. Currently, employing an empirical formula that links rainfall intensity and elevation is an effective method for enhancing the accuracy of simulating runoff generation within a catchment. However, studies on the application of this method to simulate debris flow formation are scarce.
In this paper, a multi-process coupling model is introduced to assess the impact of water absorption on debris flow propagation at a catchment scale. To account for the significant spatial heterogeneity of rainfall in mountainous regions due to varying elevations, an elevation-based empirical formula is incorporated into the model to calculate the spatial distribution of rainfall. Additionally, models of vegetation interception and soil infiltration are coupled with the model as these processes play a crucial role in the overall dynamics. Furthermore, a depth-averaged two-layer model that includes a newly introduced parameter of water absorption rate is proposed to effectively simulate the behavior of runoff and debris flow, as well as their interaction. To validate the presented model, it is applied to a debris flow event that took place in Meilong catchment, China, in 2020. Various alternative scenarios are simulated to investigate the sensitivities of water absorption rate and rainfall intermittency to debris flow propagation.
Numerical framework
Rainfall-runoff processes are impacted by a wide range of processes including variability of the rainfall, interception, and infiltration (refer to Fig. 1). When the runoff encounters a debris mass along its path, it has the potential to be absorbed, thereby modifying the characteristics of the debris mass, such as the solid-liquid ratio and subsequently its mobility (Rickenmann and Scheidl 2012). Considering this perspective, for a numerical model investigation of the impact of rainfall-runoff on debris flow propagation at a catchment scale, two critical issues need to be addressed: obtaining accurate runoff results by considering the aforementioned factors and appropriately incorporating the interaction between runoff and the debris mass. To tackle these challenges, we integrate the models for the relevant processes and introduce a parameter to quantitatively describe the absorption of water from runoff by the debris flow.
Coupled models for calculating effective precipitation contributed to runoff
Effective precipitation varies as a function of vegetation interception and surface infiltration (Das et al. 2006), but in this study, we focus on the following processes because it is influenced by factors such as the rainfall pattern and vegetation coverage and type. From this point of view, we couple existing physical-based models that incorporate these factors to quantitatively describe the amount of effective precipitation that contributes to runoff (see Fig. 2). We define the effective precipitation as parameter I, which is expressed as follows:
where Ia is the initial rainfall intensity; ∆Ic and If are the interception loss rate and infiltration loss rate per time unit, respectively.
Rainfall spatial distribution model
A formula that reflects this simple relationship between elevation and rainfall is expressed as (Jiang et al. 1988)
where z is the elevation; H is the elevation which has the maximum rainfall intensity; A and B are the empirical parameters; C is the reference rainfall intensity when z becomes large and is usually assumed to be zero.
Vegetation interception model
Aston (1979) proposed an empirical formula for describing interception
which Ic is the accumulated interception loss; Pt is the accumulated rainfall; k = 0.046·LAI is a correction factor, in which LAI is leaf area index; Smax is the maximum canopy storage and varies with land covers (von Hoyningen-Huene 1983)
Soil infiltration model
Soil infiltration here is described by one-dimensional Richard’s equation (Swartzendruber 1987)
where z is the depth from the soil surface (taken the upward direction as positive); θ is the soil water content; D is the hydraulic diffusivity; K is the hydraulic conductivity; S = χ·ζ·Tp is the water sink term by plant root (Zhu et al. 2018); χ is the root distribution function, and here, a linearly decreasing distribution (Prasad 1988) is applied to all plants with different maximum root lengths; Tp is the maximum transpiration rate; ζ is the transpiration reduction function and assumed to be 1 for simplicity. To solve Eq. (5), Neumann and Dirichlet conditions are applied in the upper and lower boundaries of soil, respectively.
where \(\theta_i\) is the initial soil water content.
Depth-averaged model for calculating runoff and debris flow propagation
Conservation equations
Previous research has demonstrated the effectiveness of depth-averaged models in capturing the dynamics of both runoff (Singh et al. 2015; Caviedes-Voullième et al. 2012) and debris flow (Medina et al. 2008; Pudasaini et al. 2005; Rengers et al. 2016). Field observations and experimental evidence have shown that saturated materials from shallow landslides can quickly transition into debris flows (Fleming et al. 1989; Iverson et al. 1997). However, considering the intricate nature of this transformation process and its short duration compared to the entire event, we simplify the model by disregarding this process and treating the collapsed mass as debris flow directly. It is important to note that this simplification may introduce inaccuracies in the initial state of debris flow propagation. When debris flow interacts with runoff, the different densities of the two layers enable the consideration of a typical two-layer problem using two-layer models (Bouchut et al. 2016; Chen and Peng 2006; Liu and He 2018; Meyart et al. 2022). However, although some two-layer models have attempted to model the entrainment between debris flow and the bed, they do not typically account for the addition of water to the debris. In our study, we assume that the mixture component belongs to the debris flow, resulting in the existence of an interface boundary that separates pure water flow from debris flows. To incorporate this concept, we introduce a parameter that characterizes the absorption rate of pure water into the debris mass. This new parameter is integrated into a two-layer depth-averaged model, enabling the replication of runoff/debris flow propagation at the catchment scale. The derivation of the model equations based on depth-averaged theory is presented in the Appendix. The derivation process in this study is similar to that presented in previous studies (Iverson and Ouyang 2015; Liu and He 2016). However, in the model equations, new terms have been introduced to account for the effect of water absorption on the mass and momentum of each layer. By assuming a lateral stress coefficient kap = 1 for debris flow, as proposed by George and Iverson (2014), the two-layer depth-averaged model is expressed in the Cartesian coordinate system as follows:
where t is the time; h1 and h2 are the depth of runoff and debris flow respectively; the two fluids, runoff and debris flow, have distinct densities γ1 and γ2 = cdγs + (1–cd)γf, with corresponding velocities u1 = (u1, v1) and u2 = (u2, v2), respectively; cd is the depth-averaged solid volume fraction; γs and γf are the densities of dry soil and fluid contributed into debris flow, respectively, and here γ1 = γf; zb is the bed surface elevation; γm = γ1/γ2 is the density ratio between runoff and debris flow;τs1 = gznb2/h11/3(u1–u2)|u1–u2| refers to the shear stress at the interface between debris flow and runoff, which obeys Manning frictional law; nb is the Manning roughness coefficient and gz is the gravity acceleration; the shear stress from debris flow τs2 = cdgzh2(1–γm)tanφbed + (1–cd)gznb2/h21/3u2| u2| (Liu and He 2020; An et al. 2022), in which φbed is the basal frictional angle; Em is the absorption rate of water from runoff by debris mass when they meet; u1m = (u1m, v1m) and u2b = (u1b, v1b) is the velocities for the flows at the interface boundary. In the following, it is assumed that the velocities on the interface between runoff and debris flow are equal to the depth-averaged one, u1m = u1 and the velocities on the interface between debris flow and channel bed are equal to zero, u2b = 0 (Han et al. 2015); p is the sediment porosity; Eb is the erosion rate between debris flow and bed surface.
To summarize, the conservation of mass for runoff and debris flow is represented by Eqs. (7-1) and (8-1), while the conservation of momentum for runoff and debris flow in the x and y directions is represented by Eqs. (7-2), (7-3), (8-2), and (8-3). In the runoff momentum equations, the right side terms correspond to mass transfer, topography, and friction loss. Similarly, in the debris flow momentum equations, the right side terms correspond to mass transfer, interactive force, topography, and friction loss. Equation (9) represents the mass conservation of bed sediments. The structure of Eqs. (7) and (8) can be viewed as a typical two-layer model when assuming Em = 0. This situation arises when the debris mass has high viscosity and only briefly interacts with runoff. Alternatively, Eqs. (7) and (8) can be simplified by assuming certain terms equal to zero. For example, h2 = 0 in Eqs. (7-2) and (7-3), and h1 = 0 and τs1 = 0 in Eqs. (8-2) and (8-3). This simplification assumes that runoff can be instantaneously absorbed by debris flow upon contact, with Em equal to h1.
This model offers two key advantages. Firstly, it considers the effects of rainfall spatial distribution, vegetation interception, and surface infiltration on the generation of runoff. Secondly, it enables the simultaneous description of the propagation of runoff and debris flow, their interaction, and the erosion effects of sediment. Utilizing this numerical framework allows for obtaining the characteristics of runoff/debris flow evolution, such as depth, velocity, solid volume fraction, and the associated erosion rate at each time step. Consequently, it facilitates the analysis of how the characteristics of catchment runoff affect the propagation of debris flow.
Model closure
Determining the value of Em significantly impacts the mass transformation between the two flows and, in turn, the propagation of debris flow. Em will vary during debris flow propagation, depending on flow velocity, flow density, and flow viscosity (Mohrig and Marr 2003; Talling et al. 2002). However, we note that there is currently no available formula for evaluating Em. In the study conducted by Talling et al. (2002), both experimental investigations and theoretical analysis were employed to examine the rates and processes of mixing between debris mass and water in the context of submarine debris flows. The authors emphasized the significance of shear mixing in facilitating the incorporation of water into the debris mass. Additionally, Talling et al. (2002) emphasized that the flow viscosity, which is influenced by the grain component and gradation of the debris, has a substantial impact on the rate of mixing. Similar results have also been found in Mohrig and Marr (2003) and Yin and Rui (2018). Their findings indicate that the mixture rates differ for weak and strong debris materials, ranging from 0.00001 to 100 m/min. From this, we make the assumption that, for the sake of simplification, the value of Em remains constant within this range throughout the simulation.
The value of Eb is commonly understood to be determined by the imbalance between the upper shear stress and the lower shear resistance (Fraccarollo and Capart 2002; Iverson and Ouyang 2015; Medina et al. 2008). Consequently, this relationship can be expressed as follows (Iverson and Ouyang 2015; Liu et al. 2015):
where ε is a calibrated erosion coefficient; the bed shear resistance τb2 = cm + (1–λ)γ2gzh2tanφint, in which cm is the cohesion of sediment materials, and λ is the pore pressure ratio that indicates the degree of liquefaction of the bed material; φint is the internal friction angle of sediment materials.
Computing method
The specific details of the numerical method employed to solve the model equations mentioned above have been extensively documented in other works (Liang and Marche 2009; Liu and He 2020). Hence, only a concise summary of the key elements of the approach will be provided here. To begin with, we employ the finite volume method to solve Eqs. (2), (3), and (5) in order to obtain the values of Ia, ∆Ic, and If and further obtain the value of I by solving Eq. (1) (see the iterative process illustrated in Fig. 1). Subsequently, we utilize this calculated data to solve Eqs. (7)–(9), which are also discretized using the finite volume method on a rectangular grid arrangement as described below.
where U, F, G, S, and T are vectors representing the variables conserved, the fluxes in the x and y directions, and the source terms in the x and y directions, respectively.
To ensure accuracy and efficiency, a fraction-step scheme with second-order accuracy is employed. The flux terms, F and G, in the equations are calculated using the Harten-Lax-van Leer-Contact solver, while the partial differential terms are computed using a three-point central differencing scheme. To accurately capture the steady state behavior during the simulation of flows over complex domains with wetting and drying, the well-balanced finite volume approach proposed by Audusse et al. (2004) is employed. To ensure the numerical stability of the scheme, the Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy criterion is used to determine an appropriate time step. At this point, all the variables are updated by solving Eqs. (1), (2), (3), (5), and (7)–(9) at each time step. Notably, Eq. (8) is not computed until the time of landslide initiation is reached in order to reduce computational costs. The measured data concerning the mass of the landslide (volume, depth, and area) is directly assigned to h2 for calculating debris flow propagation once the landslide occurs, as the process of slope instability is not considered in this study.
Modeling the dynamics of the 2020 Meilong debris flow
Overview of the event
Figure 3 shows the Meilong catchment, which experienced a debris flow event on June 17, 2020. This catchment has a drainage area of approximately 62.55 km2, and its elevation ranges from 2116 to 4824 m above sea level (a.s.l). As recorded by the Banshanmen meteorological station that is located 3 km away from the Meilong catchment, a storm from 22:00 on June 16 to 03:30 on June 17 with an accumulated value of 34.4 mm served as the trigger for the debris flow (Fig. 3c). The debris flow was initiated by a shallow landslide with a volume of 4.2 × 104 m3 in the upstream section of the gully (Fig. 3d). Through the erosion of loose sediment materials along its path (Fig. 3e, f), the debris flow expanded to a volume of 4 × 105 m3 and flowed out of the valley around 03:10 (Zhao et al. 2021). Subsequently, the debris flow material swiftly obstructed the XJC River, forming a barrier dam with an estimated height ranging from 8 to 12 m (Fig. 3g). The bedrock in the Meilong catchment primarily comprises quartzite, marble, and slate.
Analysis of debris flow propagation
The runout distance L and drop height H of debris flow are approximately 1.08 × 104 m and 1740 m, respectively, based on the field investigation and interpretation with remote sensing technology. A small ratio of H/L = 0.161 indicates a high mobility of the debris flow compared to many other events (Dahlquist and West 2019; Tang et al. 2012a, b). We suspect this high mobility may be attributed to the steep terrain that has an average longitudinal gradient of 0.157 (Fig. 4a), as well as the entrainment that increases mass volume (Fig. 4b, c) and runoff that gives extra dynamics. Before the occurrence of the debris flow event, the Meilong catchment experienced continuous rainfall, accumulating a total precipitation of 107 mm from June 3rd to 14th, 2020, as recorded by rainfall data collected at the nearby Anianggouer station (Yan et al. 2021; Zhao et al. 2021). Local residents living near the gully entrance also reported a noticeable increase in runoff discharge prior to the debris flow event. Based on these observations, it is inferred that the aeration zone within the catchment reached saturation prior to the debris flow event, leading to a storage-excess runoff process in the catchment. Consequently, the rapid generation of runoff swiftly converges at the main gully, leading to the formation of a high-volume water flow, which creates favorable conditions for the development of debris flow when solid materials are introduced. This process is similar to the formation of a debris flood event, as described by Church and Jakob (2020).
Model parameters calibration
In order to ensure the reliability of the calculated results, calibration of model parameters is necessary. A summary of the parameter values utilized in the simulation is presented in Table 1. The values for the friction coefficient, phase density, saturation, and cohesion of sediment for the study site have been estimated through previous research (An et al. 2022; Jiang et al. 2022), which relied on literature, field investigations, and laboratory analyses. The digital elevation models (DEMs) used in this study, with a resolution of 10 m, were obtained from stereo images collected by the Chinese satellite Ziyuan-3. It is important to note that the Meilong catchment exhibits high vegetation coverage, which results in a noticeable reduction in runoff due to processes such as interception, evaporation, and infiltration. The Meilong catchment comprises various vegetation types, such as forest, grassland, and cultivated land (An et al. 2022). The spatial distribution of the leaf area index (LAI) for these vegetation types, with an accuracy of 10 m, was obtained through remote sensing interpretation using 250-m accuracy GLASS data and data interpolation (see Fig. 5a, b). The process of soil infiltration is not considered in this study, as the aeration zone in the catchment was assumed to be saturated prior to the occurrence of the debris flow. Yan et al. (2021) conducted an analysis of the seismic signals from the Meilong debris flow and proposed that the event initiation occurred around 02:50 on June 17, 2020. Empirical parameters, such as the altitude at which maximum rainfall intensity (H) occurs and the erosion coefficient (ε), are calibrated using a trial-and-error procedure to achieve a situation that closely matches reality. According to Hu et al. (2020), Yan et al. (2021), and Zhao et al. (2021), the maximum hourly rainfall intensity recorded by different meteorological station varies from 11.4 to 34.1 mm/h. Based on this data, Fig. 5c illustrates the spatial distribution of rainfall with an altitude (H) of 3600 m and an erosion coefficient (B) of 4.5 × 10−7, corresponding to an intensity of 11.4 mm/h in the gully entrance and the maximum intensity of 34.1 mm/h within the catchment.
Numerical results for alternative debris flow scenarios
To validate our approach for simulating runoff and debris flow propagation on a catchment scale, we first simulate the processes of runoff generation and debris flow propagation under non-uniform rainfall distribution and compare the results with findings from other studies and field observations. Before the occurrence of the shallow landslide in the upstream area of the gully, the modeled runoff had a high flow discharge of approximately 200 m3/s near the gully outlet (see Fig. 6a). This discharge was accompanied by a rainwater loss of 12.8% caused by vegetation interception. The simulated flow discharge value is higher than the value of approximately 100 m3/s calculated by An et al. (2022). This difference can be attributed to our smaller calculated rainwater loss value, which is lower than the 22.5% calculated by An et al. (2022). An et al. (2022) used a large LAI value (~30.78) applied to the entire vegetated area in the catchment, resulting in higher rainwater loss. After the shallow landslide occurred, a debris flow formed, which then merged with runoff in the channel, increased in size via water absorption, and eroded the channel bed as a consequence of elevated shear stresses over a saturated substrate (refer to Figs. 6b, c and 7a). The debris flow reached the middle section of the gully, attaining a maximum flow depth of 8.6 m and a maximum velocity of 11.8 m/s, at 03:08. Subsequently, it reached the gully outlet, with a maximum flow depth of 9.2 m and a maximum velocity of 14.6 m/s, at 03:18. These arrival times are consistent with the accounts provided by witnesses (Zhao et al. 2021). The debris flow mass that rushed out of the gully blocked the river due to the local terrain constraints (e.g. the elevated opposite river bank and reduced slope), forming a dam with a maximum height of 11.3 m which is consistent with the observed heights ranging from 8 to 12 m (Zhao et al. 2021). The calculated deposit area of the debris mass, depicted in Fig. 6d, also corresponds to the observed area. Approximately 3.36 × 105 m3 of sediment materials within the gully were eroded, with a significant portion originating from the lower section of the gully, where the scale and mobility of the debris flow were noticeably intensified. The erosion depths in the lower gully exhibit a range of 0.5 to 5.7 m, with an average depth of 3.2 m that is slightly lower than the value of 3.7 m reported by An et al. (2022) (see Fig. 6e). Figure 6f displays the maximum solid volume concentration observed in the debris flow path. It can be found that the solid volume concentration decreases firstly due to the mixing of runoff with the debris flow during propagation. The subsequent increase in solid volume concentration is caused by the intense erosion at the lower part of the gully and the escape of water from the deposited debris at the accumulation area. The results derived from the models exhibit agreement with existing data, including the timing of debris flow reaching the gully outlet, the maximum height of the debris dam, and the extent of the debris mass deposit area.
Figure 7a displays the flow discharges at three monitoring points in the catchment, providing insights into the variations. Meanwhile, Fig. 7b depicts the computation of scalar metrics, enabling a comprehensive interpretation of the numerical results concerning the energy of the debris flow. The graph in Fig. 7a shows a minimal change in debris flow discharge between monitoring points MP1 and MP2 but a significant increase between MP2 and MP3. This difference can be attributed to the low mobility of the debris mass in the upper part of the main gully, caused by the high solid volume concentration and a tortuous flow path. These factors limit the flow and contribute to the observed discrepancy. During this stage, the beneficial effect of erosion on debris flow propagation is minimal, primarily due to its small scale (Fig. 7b). Then, water absorption plays a critical role in the early stages of debris flow propagation by decreasing the basal shear stress of the debris mass and providing additional energy to the debris mass. The graph in Fig. 7a also clearly shows a noticeable decrease in the discharge of the runoff as the debris flow passes through. After the debris flow has passed the monitoring points, the discharge of runoff at these monitoring points tends to return to normal, due to the cessation of water absorption by the debris flow and the resumption of regular flow conditions in the catchment. Once the debris mass enters the lower portion of the main gully, the mobility of the debris flow is enhanced due to the favorable terrain conditions (e.g., relatively straight in channel profile and high in longitudinal gradient). Thus the sediment entrainment caused by the debris flow primarily occurs in the lower part of the gully, as indicated in Fig. 6e. During this stage, the beneficial effect of erosion on debris flow propagation becomes appreciable compared to the effect from water absorption (Fig. 7b). We also calculate the case without considering water absorption. The results indicate that the kinetic energy of the debris mass decreases rapidly, resulting in a reduced erosion volume (see Fig. 7b). Understanding these dynamics helps to better comprehend the interplay between water absorption and erosion in the overall behavior of debris flows. These results also provide confidence in the feasibility of this method for future studies and evaluations related to debris flow dynamics and management strategies.
Significant variations in debris flow propagation are predicted by alternative simulations using the same rainfall condition but different values of Em. As mentioned above, no accurate formulas exist for quantitative describe Em, since the mixing process between water and viscosity flow is too complex. Considering the findings of Talling et al. (2002) and the assumption made in this scenario, three alternative values for Em are proposed: Em = 0.001, 0.01, and 1 m/min. These values reflect different flow properties (e.g., material and viscosity from weak to strong) of the debris flow. These variations have a considerable effect on the predicted runout distance of debris flows (see Fig. 8). The numerical results at 03:18 on June 17 provide a suitable basis for comparing the runout distance. This is because, in the simulation with an Em value of 0.1 m/min, the debris flow reached the gully entrance at this specific time. Comparatively, smaller values of Em are associated with shorter runout distances, while larger values of Em are associated with longer runout distances. But the difference between the cases with Em = 0.001 and 0.01 m/min is small. This may be due to the small value of Em indicating a high viscosity of debris flow, making it hard to absorb water from runoff, finally leading to a small variation in the solid volume fraction of the debris flow and hence, the mobility. In the case with a larger value of Em, the viscosity of debris flow may be small, and then solid-fluid segregation is easier to occur in debris flow propagation (e.g., dry debris flow front), which enhances the ability of debris mass to absorb runoff and thus increases the mobility. However, the case with Em = 1 m/min has a large erosion depth (with a maximum depth of 11.2 m and an average depth of 5.5 m in the lower part of the main gully), which is far from the observed data (~ 3.2 m) (see Fig. 8e, f). It also should be noted that there is a significant difference in the runout distance of debris flow between the cases with Em = 0.01 and 0.1 m/min, and the runout distance of the former case is only about one-half of the runout distance of the latter case. This significant difference may be caused by the combined effects of water absorption and terrain features. On the one hand, water absorption enhances the mobility and volume of debris flow, and this influence increases with the increase of Em. On the other hand, local terrain variation (e.g., concave terrain) causes debris mass to accumulate until the volume of debris flow exceeds the storage (see Fig. 8a, b). For the case with Em = 0.01 m/min, most of the materials in debris flow are intercepted by the concave terrain and thus the propagation of debris flow is slowed. By contrast, under the effects of water absorption and sediment entrainment, the volume of debris flow in the case with Em = 0. 1 m/min is large enough and only a part of the materials is intercepted when crossing this concave terrain.
According to Guo et al. (2021), elevation was identified as the dominant factor influencing rainfall variation, owing to intricate orographic conditions. For the Meilong catchment, which spans a substantial area of 62.55 km2 and encompasses a significant elevation difference of 2708 m, this effect may potentially be more pronounced. Thus, different simulations with varying spatial rainfall distributions were conducted to assess their impact on runoff scaling. Clear trends emerge when scalar indices of debris flow mobility are calculated from the results of alternative simulations, which utilize a range of H values ranging from 2200 to 4600 m and Em values ranging from 0.001 to 0.1 m/min. One index used to gauge the efficiency of debris flow energy conversion is obtained by dividing the peak kinetic energy (KEDmax) by the peak total kinetic energy (KEDtmax) of all simulations that share the same value of Em. A graph depicting the relationship between KEDmax/ KEDtmax and H and Em (see Fig. 9a) reveals that, when Em has a small value of 0.01 m/min, variations in H have a negligible effect on debris flow mobility. This is due to the limited translation of mass and energy from runoff into debris flow. In contrast, the mobility of the debris flow exhibits a more rapid increase with larger values of Em and H. These differences in debris flow mobility resulting from variations in H and Em also lead to distinct trends in the ratio between the peak kinetic energy (KEDmax) of the debris flow and the peak kinetic energy (KERmax) of the runoff (Fig. 9b). However, it is worth noting that the rate of increase in KEDmax/KEDtmax slows down when H exceeds 3400 m when Em is set to 0.1 m/min. It can be attributed to the fact that water absorption decreases the solid volume fraction of the debris mass, thereby reducing its erosion ability, despite enhancing overall debris flow mobility. Interestingly, this trend is not observed in the case where Em is set to 1 m/min. It can be considered that the mass and velocity of the debris flow experience a substantial increase due to the mixing with runoff. As a result, sufficient sediment materials are eroded by the debris flow, thereby maintaining its solid volume fraction at a high level (Fig. 9c). Moreover, with a small value of Em, the debris flow is unable to acquire sufficient energy and mass to overcome the local concave terrain mentioned earlier, and thus the value of KEDmax/KERmax decreases as H increases (Fig. 9b). In other cases with larger values of Em, the debris flow successfully traverses the concave terrain and enters the lower portion of the main gully when H > 2600 m (indicated by the gray line in Fig. 9b). More sediment is eroded by the debris flow to augment its energy, and thus the value of KEDmax/KERmax increases. However, as H increases, the rate of increase in KERmax is greater than that of KEDmax, resulting in a decrease in the value of KEDmax/KERmax.
Discussion
Rainfall intermittency and debris flow propagation
All the simulations conducted thus far utilized the same fundamental rainfall data, which was obtained from the Banshanmen meteorological station located 3 km away from the Meilong catchment. It is important to note that this rainfall data has a significant influence on the dynamics of runoff and, consequently, the propagation of debris flow. While studies have examined the impact of rainfall intermittency on slope failure (von Ruette et al. 2014), its specific effect on debris flow propagation remains unclear. To investigate the sensitivity of debris flow propagation to rainfall intermittency, simulations were conducted for rainfall with a total amount of 34.4 mm but with varying time distributions between 22:00 on June 16 and 03:20 on June 17 as illustrated in Fig. 10. It is evident that rainfall intermittency has a significant impact on debris flow propagation, particularly when considering water absorption. This is attributed to the discontinuity in rainfall, which results in a reduction in runoff discharge. The discontinuous nature of rainfall during debris flow events hinders the accumulation of sufficient mass and energy from runoff, particularly during its initial stages. As a result, the propagation velocity of the debris flow is delayed. This delay becomes more pronounced with longer periods of discontinuous rainfall.
In the case with larger value of Em, this delayed effect is enlarged because debris flow can absorb more runoff mass under the same condition of runoff, while rainfall intermittency will cause more loss in runoff discharge. It is important to acknowledge that our study solely focuses on examining the impact of rainfall intermittency on debris flow mobility, without considering its effect on slope failure. However, it is worth noting that rainfall intermittency can influence both of these factors, and the relationship between them is complex. Further investigation is required to fully understand and analyze the interplay between rainfall intermittency, slope failure, and debris flow mobility, warranting future research endeavors.
Catchment characteristics and debris flow mobility
The results depicted in Fig. 7b provide valuable insights into the influence of water absorption on the propagation of debris flow. This perspective offers a novel explanation for the relationship between the susceptibility of debris flow and rainfall that triggers runoff. The analysis of data collected from 78 debris flow events, as documented in previous studies (Huang and Tang 2014; Tang et al. 2012a, b), reveals that both the catchment area (A) and catchment internal relief (H) have a notable influence on the length of deposit (Lf), as illustrated in Fig. 11. As the values of A and H increase, Lf for debris flow events also tends to increase. In general, when the values of A and H are relatively small, debris flows are more likely to exhibit smaller Lf values. From the perspective of water absorption, it can be argued that in a catchment with larger values of A and H, it is more favorable to generate runoff with large discharge under the same rainfall conditions, which satisfies Em < h1 and thus provides enough mass and momentum from runoff into debris flows through the mixture and enhances debris flow mobility. In contrast, the generated runoff in a small catchment has a small discharge and may not be able to meet the absorption capacity of debris flow (e.g., Em > h1), and thus provides less mass and momentum to debris flow (Fig. 12). This accelerated transfer leads to an increased propagation velocity and subsequently, a larger value of Lf for debris flow events. Thus, catchments with larger values of A and H are more prone to experiencing debris flows with larger extents. This effect is particularly sensitive for debris flow cases that involve a small volume of initial mass. In such instances, the transfer of mass and energy from runoff into debris flows through a mixture, facilitated by larger values of A and H, has a more pronounced impact on the propagation velocity and the resulting extent of the debris flow. Indeed, the runout distance of a debris flow is influenced by numerous factors, including the initiation position and local terrain of the channel. While Lf is used as an indicator of debris flow mobility, it does not entirely capture the complexity of debris flow movement as it is constrained by the local terrain at the gully entrance. Nevertheless, the water absorption from runoff to debris flow provides a fresh perspective to explain why debris flows trend to have longer runout distances in larger basins. However, further calibration of this relationship requires additional standardized field data.
Limitation of the simulations
The limitation of these simulations mainly lies in the available verification data, the quality of the dataset, and the mechanisms involved in the applied physical model. Firstly, the absence of field monitoring data hinders the calibration of the presented model. Only limited field data were applied here, such as averaged erosion depth and deposition area. Actual rainfall data, runoff flux, and debris flow velocity are challenging to obtain through remote sensing and field observations post-event. It is crucial to prioritize long-term systematic monitoring in a catchment to address these limitations. Secondly, the dataset used in this study comprises rainfall intensity, terrain data, and LAI. Due to the significance of vegetation interception processes, the qualities of rainfall intensity and LAI play a pivotal role in calculating the effective precipitation that contributes to runoff. However, the resolutions of these datasets are not uniform, and finer-scale data is currently unavailable. The development of a high-precision and high-resolution dataset would be instrumental in enhancing the accuracy of simulation results and improving overall model performance. Thirdly, despite the establishment of a corresponding general framework, there is still a lack of investigation into the physical mechanisms involved. This limitation hinders a comprehensive understanding of debris flow propagation. The current model offers limited advantages in terms of physical mechanics when compared to the available data, particularly in relation to water absorption, which plays a crucial role in debris flow propagation. Further research and development are needed to enhance the understanding and integration of physical mechanics into the model, ultimately improving its predictive capabilities. Fourthly, the deposition and restart processes of debris mass during its propagation are influenced by various factors, including grain size, fluid viscosity, and flow velocity. These factors exhibit temporal variation, leading to dynamic changes in their values within the model. However, due to unclear mechanisms associated with these changes, the current study employs constant and uniform values for the model parameters. This limitation highlights the need for further investigation and understanding of the temporal dynamics of these factors in order to improve parameterization within the model.
Conclusion
In this study, we proposed a numerical framework to evaluate the effect of water absorption on debris flow propagation, and the 2020 Meilong debris flow event was simulated and analyzed as an example. This numerical framework consists of two parts. The first is a coupled model that considers rainfall spatial distribution, vegetation interception, and soil infiltration, which calculates the effective precipitation contributed to runoff. To consider the spatial feature of rainfall, an elevation-based formula was adopted. The second is a depth-averaged two-layer model that considers the interaction between runoff and debris mass by introducing a new parameter of water absorption, which calculates the dynamic features (depth and velocity) of runoff and debris flow. Due to an unclear mechanism of water absorption between runoff and debris mass, certain constant values of water absorption rate were used for simplicity. The process of the 2020 Meilong debris flow event was simulated first, and the results were found to be consistent with those obtained from field investigation and other simulation results. For this debris flow event, water absorption played a key role in the early stage of debris flow propagation by decreasing the basal shear stress and supplying additional energy to the debris mass. Alternative simulations with different values of H and Em were performed to study the influence of these key factors on debris flow propagation. Both indicate that strong runoff dynamics enhances the mobility of debris flow. Furthermore, the results show that rainfall intermittency can alter the propagation velocity of debris flow by changing runoff dynamics. Available field data of debris flow event shows that debris flow mobility increases with the increase of catchment area, due to the dynamics of runoff in larger catchment areas prone to becoming strong, thus influencing debris flow propagation through water absorption. It may offer a novel perspective to explain the correlation between rainfall intensity and debris flow susceptibility on the catchment scale.
Data availability
All data used in this work are either publicly available or available from the authors upon reasonable request.
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Acknowledgements
The authors are indebted to Yuankun Xu and another anonymous reviewer for their comments and valuable suggestions, which helped improve the manuscript’s quality.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Key R&D program of China (2023YFC3008300), the Original Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (ZDBS-LY-DQC039), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42277179), the Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, the Chinese Academy of Sciences (IMHEZYTS-04, IMHE-CXTD-02), and the Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (2021373).
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Appendix. Derivation of the two-layer model by considering mass transfer at intermediate interface
Appendix. Derivation of the two-layer model by considering mass transfer at intermediate interface
Basic equations
The fundamental laws for mass and momentum conservations for an incompressible continuum are expressed as follows:
where Um = (u1,2, v1,2, w1,2) is the medium velocity field, in which the subscript m = (1, 2) refers to the upper layer and lower layer, respectively; γm is the medium density keeping constant; t is time; and Tm is the Cauchy stress tensor.
Boundary kinematic conditions
To express the boundary variation, such as the rates of boundary elevation change and the rates of material flux through each boundary, kinematic and dynamic boundary conditions are applied at the top and bottom boundary of any layer.
Kinematic boundary conditions imposed at the top and bottom interface of the upper layer are expressed as follows:
where Em is the mixture rate from runoff to debris flow as volumetric fluxes per unit boundary area normal to the bottom boundary zm.
Kinematic boundary conditions imposed at the top and bottom interface of the lower layer are expressed as follows:
where Eb is entrainment rate of sediments as volumetric fluxes per unit boundary area normal to the bottom boundary.
The free surface of the two-layer is stress-free condition:
where \(\mathbf{n}\) is the exterior unit normal vector. Dynamic boundary conditions for the upper and lower layers are assumed to satisfy Manning friction law and combined friction law that couples Coulomb friction law and Manning friction law, respectively.
where pn, n·pn and pn–n(n·pn) represent the negative traction vector, normal pressure, and negative shear traction, respectively; g = (gx, gy, gz) is the gravity components.
Depth-integrated equations for upper layer
Before driving the equations by integration, some mean values are defined as follows:
where z1 and z2 refer to the top-bottom boundaries of any layer with a thickness h and a stress tensor τ. The superscript “–” refers to the depth-averaged form of any value.
Using Leibniz’s formula to integrate the mass balance equation of the upper layer
We assume that ∂h1/∂t = ∂zt/∂t–∂zm/∂t and then couple Eqs. (15) and (21) to obtain
Take the momentum equation in x direction as an example, its left-hand side is changed into
By coupling Eqs. (15) and (23) to obtain
The right-hand side of the x-momentum equation for the upper layer yields
Based on Eq. (18), kinematic and stress condition at the free surfaces are as follows:
With Eq. (26), the right-hand side of the x-momentum equation is changed into
Thus, we obtain the depth-averaged x-momentum equation of the upper layer as
Using similar procedure, the depth-averaged y-momentum component for the upper layer is obtained
Depth-integrated equations for lower layer
Also using the Leibnitz rule to interchange the mass balance equation of the lower layer
Coupling Eqs. (17) and (30) to obtain
Integrating the momentum equation for this layer is similar with that of the upper layer. The left-hand side of the x-momentum equation of the lower layer is written as follows:
By applying the kinematic boundary conditions (Eq. 17), the left-hand side of the x-momentum equation of the lower layer is changed into
The right-hand side of the x-momentum equation for the lower layer yields
We assume that the normal stresses in the z direction are hydrostatic and thus
The depth-averaged normal stresses are related to the normal stress based on the Mohr–Coulomb theory and so that
where kap is the lateral stress coefficient. By neglecting the lateral shear stress terms in Eq. (34), the right side of the x-momentum equation for the lower layer is expressed as follows:
Thus, we obtain the depth-averaged x-momentum equation of the lower layer as follows:
Using similar procedure, the depth-averaged y-momentum component for the lower layer is obtained
To address the variations of the sediment in the lower layer and the bed material, the mass conservation equations are integrated from the base to the interface using Leibniz’s rule to swap the order of differentiation and integration, and then simplified by using conditions (4) and (5), which gives
where p is the sediment porosity. To describe the variation of bed terrain caused by debris flow erosion, the mass conservation equations for bed materials are needed as follows:
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Liu, W., He, S. Influence of runoff on debris flow propagation at a catchment scale: a case study. Landslides 21, 1757–1774 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-024-02255-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-024-02255-3