Abstract
Introduction
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a heterogeneous and chronic autoimmune disease. Aberrant DNA methylation occurs during various processes of SLE development regulating the mRNA expression of interrelated genes. This study aims to screen potential DNA methylation markers for SLE.
Methods
Gene expression and methylation datasets were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between SLE patients and healthy controls were screened using the limma R package, and differentially methylated positions (DMPs) and regions (DMRs) were identified using dmpfinder and bumphunter (minfi). Additionally, the DNA methylation markers to distinguish SLE patients from healthy controls were explored through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and logistic regression analyses. Finally, we validated the results of the bioinformatic analysis by pyrosequencing.
Results
In total, 91 DEGs, 90,092 DMPs, 15 DMRs, and 13 DMR-associated genes were identified. Through the integrative analysis of DEG- and DMR-associated genes, we identified five type I interferon (IFN)-related genes as key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE. GO enrichment analysis showed that the five SLE-associated epigenetic-driven genes were mainly enriched in the type I IFN signaling pathway involved in immune response and defense response to virus. Moreover, we identified two SLE-specific DNA methylation markers, three SLE without lupus nephritis (SLE-LN−)-specific DNA methylation markers, and two SLE with lupus nephritis (SLE-LN+)-specific DNA methylation markers by stepwise logistic regression.
Conclusions
Overall, our study demonstrates potential DNA methylation markers of SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+, which may help the diagnosis, boost the development of new epigenetic therapy, and contribute to individualized treatment.
Key Points • This study identified five type I IFN-related genes as key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE, which support the importance of the type I IFN pathway in the pathogenesis of SLE • We identified novel DNA methylation biomarkers in SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+ by a comprehensive analysis of bioinformatics methods and executed experimental validation, and binary logistic regression analysis showed that they have excellent potential • These results may provide new insights into the biological mechanisms of SLE, and identify reliable biomarkers for SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+, which may contribute to diagnosis and individualized treatment |
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Introduction
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a heterogeneous and chronic autoimmune disease characterized by abnormal production of autoantibodies, which results in multiple organ damage. Although the pathogenesis is not known, environmental factors (such as virus infection and exposure to chemicals and radiation), lack of vitamin D, genetic and epigenetic factors, and sex hormones participate in the development of SLE [1, 2]. Epigenetic modifications, primarily including DNA methylation, histone modifications, and non-coding RNAs, generate hereditary alterations in gene expression without changing the DNA coding sequence [3]. The importance of epigenetic dysfunction in complex human diseases has been widely demonstrated in autoimmune diseases [4, 5]. DNA methylation, primarily on CpG dinucleotides, is one of the most studied epigenetic modifications. The best-known function of DNA methylation is to regulate nearby gene expression [6]. Altered DNA methylation in SLE results in immune dysregulation [7]. Aberrant DNA methylation participates in various processes of SLE development by regulating the mRNA expression of interrelated genes. Epigenetic alterations are reversible, and some drugs targeting DNA methylation have already been approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA), while several other drugs are currently being tested [8]. Epigenetic drugs, in combination with other therapies, may be a novel treatment option for SLE in the future. Thus, we performed an integrated analysis of DNA methylation alterations and mRNA expression differences in the peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) of patients with SLE and healthy controls in order to identify novel DNA methylation markers that could serve as potential therapeutic targets for SLE.
Materials and methods
Microarray data
DNA expression and methylation microarray data (GSE81622 and GSE82218) of Chinese SLE patients and corresponding healthy controls were acquired from the GEO database (Gene Expression Omnibus, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/) in the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI). The microarray expression data collected were based on an Illumina HumanHT-12 V4.0 expression beadchip (GPL10558). The methylation microarray data collected were based on an Illumina Methylation 450 K array platform (GPL13534), which covered roughly 450,000 CpGs that randomly separate in different gene regions, including TSS1500, TSS200, 5′UTR, 1stExon, body, and 3′UTR. TSS1500 and TSS200 are regions from 201 to 1500 bases and 1 to 200 bases of the upstream of transcriptional start site (TSS), respectively. The “5’UTR (5’ untranslated region)” is considered to be the region between the TSS and the first initiation codon. The “1stExon (the first exon)” is one of the most extensively studied translated regions that is generally influenced by methylation status. “Body” stands for the sequence from the first initiation codon to the stop codon of a gene. The “3’UTR (3’ untranslated region)” is the area between the stop codon and poly-A tail. TSS1500, TSS200, 5′UTR, and 1st exon were referred to as promoter regions.
Data process
Raw gene expression profiles data were pre-processed by R and Bioconductor packages. After background correction, logarithm transformation and normalization were conducted. The DNA methylation microarrays were normalized and batch-corrected through minfi, impute, and wateRmelon R packages. The mean β value of < 0.1 and sex chromosome probes were filtered out.
Differential expression analysis
Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened by using the limma package in R (version 4.0.3) [9]. The Benjamini and Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) [10] was employed to adjust the raw P-values for multiple testing. DEGs were screened with P-values using a FDR of < 0.01 and |logFC|> 1 as the cutoff criteria. A heatmap based on the significant DEGs was drawn using the R package pheatmap.
Differential methylation positions and regions analysis
The methylation levels based on β values were produced for CpG probes ranging from 0 (the CpG site is unmethylated) to 1 (the CpG site is fully methylated) and the differentially methylated positions (DMPs) associated with each variable in our study using the function dmpFinder in minfi package [11]. This function tests each genomic position for the association between methylation and a phenotype of interest by testing the linear regression for continuous phenotypes and F-test for categorical phenotypes. CpG sites with P-values after a FDR of < 0.05 were defined as DMPs. Furthermore, differentially methylated regions (DMRs) were predicted using the Bumphunter function in minfi package. The cutoff value, which is a user-defined numeric value that determines the upper and lower bounds of the genomic profiles that will be used as candidate regions, was set to 0.2, and the number of permutations was set to 250 times. Regions with family-wise error (FWER) < 0.5 were identified as significant SLE-associated DMRs. Then, the DMRs were annotated using a web server called wANNOVAR (http://wannovar.wglab.org/) [12] to prioritize candidate genes in SLE. The intersection analyses were performed through VennDiagram in R package.
Functional enrichment analysis and protein–protein interaction (PPI) network construction
Further gene ontology (GO) analysis was conducted with g: Profiler [13] using the interaction of screened genes. A STRING online database was used to plot the protein–protein interaction network (PPI).
Clinical sample collection
PBMCs were collected from six patients with SLE [three SLE with lupus nephritis (SLE-LN+) and three SLE without lupus nephritis (SLE-LN−)] and three age- and gender-matched healthy controls. All patients signed informed consent. This study was approved by the Ethics Review Board at Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University (Guangzhou, Guangdong, China).
Pyrosequencing
Genomic DNA was extracted from the PBMCs of six SLE patients and three controls using the QIAamp DNA Mini Kit (Qiagen, Hilden, Germany). The concentration and purity of the DNA samples were determined using a spectrophotometer (Nano-Drop 2000, Thermo Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA). The bisulfite conversion of a total of 500 ng of purified DNA from each sample was performed with the QiagenEpiTect Bisulfite Kit (Qiagen, Cat. #59,104, Hilden, Germany) according to manufacturer’s instructions. The bisulfite-converted DNA was amplified with Kapa Biosystems Hs Polymerase with Dntps250u KK5516 (Kapa, Boston, MA, USA) with the following reaction setup: 34.8 μL PCR-grade water, 10 μL 5 × KAPA buffer, 1 μL dNTPs (10 mM/each), 1 μL forward primer (50 pM/uL), 1 μL reverse primer (50 pM/uL), 2 μL template DNA (25 ng), and 0.2 uL Taq polymerase (5 U/μL) in a total reaction volume of 50 μL. Each reaction was run on the following thermal cycle conditions: one cycle of an initial denaturation at 95 °C for 3 min, followed by 40 cycles of denaturation at 94 °C for 30 s, annealing at 50 °C for 30 s, and extension at 72 °C for 1 min, with a final extension at 72 °C for 7 min, and hold at 4 °C. The amplicons were then subjected to pyrosequencing with PyroMark Q96/48 ID (Qiagen, Hilden, Germany). Primers for pyrosequencing assays were designed by PyroMark Assay Design software (version 2.0 Qiagen). All primers used are presented in Supplementary data1.
Statistical analysis
Correlations were determined using the Pearson or Spearman test. Logistic regression was used to calculate probabilities and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the value of DMPs as biomarkers for SLE. A stepwise logistic regression model was used to select methylation diagnostic markers. A binary logistic regression model was selected to fit the ROC curve. All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 23.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). Visualizations were performed using GraphPad Prism 7 (GraphPad Software Inc., San Diego, CA, USA).
Results
Identification of DEGs in PBMCs isolated from patients with SLE
The gene expression profile data of 30 patients with SLE (including 15 SLE-LN− and 15 SLE-LN+) and 25 healthy controls were obtained from the GEO database. After standardization and gene annotation, a total of 91 DEGs were obtained between SLE and healthy samples, of which we identified 48 upregulated mRNAs and 43 downregulated mRNAs. The volcano map is shown in Fig. 1A, and the expression heatmap of the DEGs is shown in Fig. 1B.
Identification of DMPs in PBMCs isolated from patients with SLE
The distribution of the DNA methylation levels in each sample before and after normalization is shown in Fig. 2A and B. The methylation levels of all of the target positions in the array demonstrated the known bimodal distribution in SLE and healthy controls (Fig. 2C). Following the post-quality control steps, methylation data for 365,793 CpGs were analyzed using DMPFinder to identify the DMPs associated with SLE. In total, statistically significant differences in 90,092 CpG positions were found in the GSE82218 dataset. All DMPs from each autosomal chromosome are shown in the Manhattan chart in Fig. 2E, indicating that all of the DMPs were evenly distributed throughout the chromosomal complement. In order to specifically evaluate the methylation patterns and preferential genome location, we then examined the distribution of all of the significant DMPs with a q value < 1 × 10−5 (n = 1184) in various functional genomic regions. As shown in Fig. 2D, in assessing the six categories according to the Illumina annotations, we found that 44.49% of significant DMPs occurred in the promoter regions and 49.85% of significant DMPs were found in the gene body.
Identification of DMRs in PBMCs isolated from patients with SLE
Bumphunter analysis showed significant differences in DNA methylation in 15 regions (Supplementary data 2). Overall, we annotated the DMRs using wANNOVAR and obtained 13 DMR-associated genes, including PARP9, IFI44L, MX1, CMPK2, PDE7A, IFI44, IFIT1, FANCC, IFIT3, NLRC5, PLSCR1, USP18, and ODF3B. GO analysis was performed with these genes. As shown in Fig. 3A, 24 biological processes were recognized with an adjusted P-value < 0.05. These biological processes were mainly enriched in response to type I interferon signaling pathway, immune response, and defense response to a virus. The PPI network of the 13 genes was established using the STRING database (Fig. 3B).
Identification of epigenetic-driven genes in SLE
We then assessed the intersection of DEGs and DMR-associated genes and identified five genes (IFI44, IFI44L, IFIT1, MX1, and USP18) as key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE (Fig. 4A), identified 16 significant DMPs which mapped to the five genes based on a nominal P-value cutoff of < 1 × 10−5, including cg07107453 and cg01079652 (IFI44), cg05696877, cg17980508, cg00458211, cg00855901, cg13304609, cg03607951 and cg06872964 (IFI44L), cg05552874 (IFIT1), cg16785077, cg08924203, cg22862003, cg21549285, and cg26312951 (MX1), and cg14293575 (USP18). GO analysis was performed with the five SLE-associated epigenetic-driven genes (IFI44, IFI44L, IFIT1, MX1, and USP18). As shown in Fig. 4B, 10 biological processes were recognized with an adjusted P-value < 0.05. They were mainly enriched in type I interferon signaling pathway, immune response, and defense response to the virus. The PPI network of the SLE-associated epigenetic-driven genes was established using the STRING database (Fig. 4C). Clustering analysis based on the identified genes and DMPs found on the identified genes discriminated most SLE patient samples from the controls (Figs. 4D, E).
DNA hypomethylation related to the overexpression of SLE-associated epigenetic-driven genes
In order to explore the effect of gene methylation on expression, we analyzed the correlation of the five SLE-associated epigenetic-driven gene expressions and the methylation levels of the significant DMPs which mapped to the five genes in 25 healthy samples and 30 SLE samples by Pearson or Spearman correlation analysis. The results showed that cg07107453 and cg01079652 hypomethylation was related to the overexpression of IFI44. Hypomethylation of cg05696877, cg17980508, cg00458211, cg00855901, cg13304609, cg03607951, and cg06872964 was related to the overexpression of IFI44L. cg05552874 hypomethylation was related to the overexpression of IFIT1. Hypomethylation of cg16785077, cg08924203, cg22862003, cg21549285, and cg26312951 was related to the overexpression of MX1, and cg14293575 hypomethylation was related to the overexpression of USP18 (Supplementary data 3).
Assessment of diagnostic efficacy on screened methylation sites
In order to further explore the diagnostic value of each screened methylation site, the AUC was calculated based on the DNA methylation data of 30 patients with SLE (including 15 SLE-LN− and 15 SLE-LN+) and 25 healthy controls (Supplementary data 4). The AUC on the 16 DMPs were up to 0.9, which meant that these DNA methylation alterations could have significant characteristics to distinguish SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+ from control subjects.
Subsequently, a discrimination model using the DMP panel was constructed to predict the probability of diagnosis forSLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+. The stepwise logistic regression model showed that cg05696877 (IFI44L) and cg03607951 (IFI44L) could be used as a panel of biomarkers to distinguish SLE from healthy controls. Binary logistic regression analysis found that the ROC curves of the two methylation markers revealed an AUC value of 0.999 (95% CI: 0.994–1.000, sensitivity 96.67%, specificity 100%) (Fig. 5A). cg21549285 (MX1), cg05696877 (IFI44L), and cg07107453 (IFI44) were able to be used as a panel of biomarkers to distinguish SLE-LN− from healthy controls. The ROC curves of the three methylation markers revealed an AUC value of 1.000 (95% CI: 1.000–1.000, sensitivity 100%, specificity 100%) (Fig. 5B). cg22862003 (MX1) and cg05696877 (IFI44L) were also able to be used as a panel of biomarkers to distinguish SLE-LN+ from healthy controls. The ROC curves of the two methylation markers revealed an AUC value of 0.997 (95% CI: 0.989–1.000, sensitivity 100%, specificity 96%) (Fig. 5C). The AUC on these DMP panels were up to 0.99, which meant that these panels were significant characteristics that could distinguish SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+ from control subjects.
The DNA methylation levels of the DMPs mentioned above were further confirmed by pyrosequencing (Fig. 6). Compared with healthy controls, the methylation levels of cg05696877 (IFI44L) and cg03607951 (IFI44L) decreased in SLE, while the levels of cg21549285 (MX1), cg05696877 (IFI44L), and cg07107453 (IFI44) decreased in SLE-LN−, and the levels of cg22862003 (MX1) and cg05696877 (IFI44L) decreased in SLE-LN+. The results showed that the methylation level of key methylation markers may be closely associated with the diagnosis of SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+.
Discussion
SLE is a systemic autoimmune disease characterized by the immune complex accumulation in blood vessels and connective tissue, with a complicated etiology [14]. Type I IFNs are one of the main pathogenic factors of SLE and have been shown to be related with other autoimmune diseases, such as Sjögren’s syndrome, systemic sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, myositis, and virus-infected diseases [15,16,17]. SLE patients with elevated type I IFN levels are prone to nephritis and other serious complications [18, 19]. Type I IFNs act on renal resident cells and are involved in the entire process of renal injury [20]. Gene expression profile data demonstrated that the expression of type I IFN-regulated gene was elevated in the PBMCs of SLE patients and was termed a type I IFN signature [18], which was positively related to the clinical and laboratory indicators of disease activities [19]. In this study, five type I IFN-related genes were identified, including IFI44, IFI44L, IFIT1, MX1, and USP18, as key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE through the integrative analysis of DEG- and DMR-associated genes. GO enrichment analysis showed that these genes were mainly enriched in the type I IFN signaling pathway involved in immune response and defense response to a virus, which was consistent with previous studies [21,22,23].
IFI44 is a gene regulated by type I IFNs. In SLE patients, the expression of IFI44 in PBMCs is related to IFN-α level in plasma [24]. IFI44L is a paralog gene of IFI44, considered to be an indicator of IFN signature, upregulated in the peripheral blood and synovial tissue of patients with SLE [25, 26]. IFIT1 is induced by type I IFN treatment or viral infection and is an effector molecule that restricts viral translation [27]. IFIT1 may interact with Rho/Rac guanine nucleotide exchange factor and participate in SLE immune response [28]. MX1 is a key downstream gene of type I IFN and plays a role in mediating the IFN-induced antiviral response against a large variety of viruses [29]. The expression of MX1 in PBMCs has been used as a sensitive biomarker for the efficacy of LN therapy [30]. Liu et al. showed that USP18 is necessary for Th17 differentiation and autoimmune response. USP18 inhibits ubiquitination of the TAK1–TAB complex, thereby restricting IL-2 production and promoting IL-17 production, indicating that USP18 may be targeted to treat autoimmune diseases[31]. Furthermore, it was found that the expression of USP18 in peripheral blood B cells was significantly upregulated in SLE patients compared with healthy controls [32]. Our study found that the increased expression of IFI44, IFI44L, IFIT1, MX1, and USP18, in the PBMCs of SLE patients was associated with one or more hypomethylated CpG sites in the gene regulatory region. This indicated that these methylation sites may be involved in the pathogenesis of SLE by regulating the expression of these genes.
The available diagnostic markers for SLE, including anti-nuclear antibodies (ANAs), anti-double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) antibodies, and anti-Smith (Anti-SM) antibodies, have significant limitations. ANA exhibit a high sensitivity (100%), but a relatively low specificity (65%) [33]. Anti-dsDNA and anti-SM antibodies are highly specific in identifying most of the patients with suspected SLE (both are 99%); however, the sensitivity is low(30.2% vs 25.9%, respectively) [34]. Therefore, it is still important to explore novel diagnostic markers for SLE. Lupus nephritis (LN) is one of the most serious complications of SLE and has a high morbidity and mortality affecting approximately 40% of patients with lupus. Approximately 10% of patients with LN will develop end-stage renal disease [35]. Thus, early diagnosis is beneficial to improve the prognosis of LN. Currently, diagnosis and monitoring of patients with LN mainly rely on renal biopsy [36], which could cause damage to the health of the patient. Numerous studies have shown that DNA methylation positions can be used as efficient and non-invasive biomarkers for cancer and autoimmune diseases [25, 37,38,39]. Coit et al. [40] detected four hypomethylation CpG sites in IFI44L (cg05696877, cg06872964, cg13304609, and cg03607951) and one in IFI44 (cg01079652) in the neutrophils from women patients with SLE. Xie et al. [41] have found five hypomethylation CpG sites in IFI44L (cg06872964, cg00458211, cg13304609, cg03607951, and cg05696877) and one in IFI44 (cg07107453) in the PBMCs from patients with SLE by integrating the chip data. In this study, we identified two CpG sites in IFI44L (cg05696877 and cg03607951) and verified the hypomethylation status in PBMCs of SLE patients; it suggested that the methylation levels of cg05696877 and cg03607951 in the PBMCs may be useful biomarkers for SLE. A good diagnostic biomarker should be highly sensitive and specific for a disease. Zhao et al. [25] showed by examining the methylation status of two CpG sites within the IFI44L promoter, Chr1: 79 085 222 and Chr1: 79 085 250 (cg06872964), that the hypomethylation of the IFI44L promoter region has excellent AUC (0.968 and 0.982), sensitivity (91.5% and 93.6%), and specificity (95.3% and 96,4%) for diagnosing SLE. The methylation levels of these two CpG sites were significantly lower in SLE patients with renal damage compared to those without renal damage. A study by Karimifar et al. [42] showed that the DNA methylation level of the IFI44L promoter could distinguish patients with SLE from healthy individuals with a AUC of 0.639, sensitivity of 91.8%, and specificity of 38% but was not statistically significant between SLE patients with renal involvement and without renal involvement. The lack of significance may be due to the small sample size. In the present study, a combination of cg05696877 (IFI44L) and cg03607951 (IFI44L) from the logistic regression model demonstrated high AUC (0.999), sensitivity (96.67%), and specificity (100%). Compared to the two studies above, we found higher AUC, sensitivity, and specificity. In addition, we identified that cg21549285 (MX1), cg05696877 (IFI44L), and cg07107453 (IFI44) were able to be used as a panel of biomarkers to distinguish SLE-LN− from healthy controls with high AUC (1.000), sensitivity (100%), and specificity (100%). cg22862003 (MX1) and cg05696877 (IFI44L) were able to be used as a panel of biomarkers to distinguish SLE-LN+ from healthy controls with high AUC (0.997), sensitivity ( 100%), and specificity (96%), which have never been reported before. Consistent with the conclusion made by Zhu et al. [43] who published the original datasets, we have found five key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE which enriched in type I IFN signaling pathway, identified reliable DNA methylation biomarkers from these genes for SLE, SLE-LN− and SLE-LN+. Our study had some limitations. First, information on confounding factors such as disease severity, autoantibodies titers, and HLA genotyping was not available and hence may have contributed to the bias of the outcomes. Second, the analytical data were derived from public databases, with a limited number of cases. Sample data for validation experiments was also limited, so it would be necessary to validate the current data in a larger clinical cohorts. Third, the gene expression and DNA methylation profiling were performed in PBMCs, while different cell subsets in peripheral blood may have different transcription and methylation profiles during the development of the diseases.
Conclusions
In summary, our study identified five type I IFN-related genes as key epigenetic-driven genes in SLE, which support the importance of the type I IFN pathway in SLE pathogenesis. Moreover, we identified novel DNA methylation biomarkers for SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+ by a comprehensive analysis of bioinformatics methods and executed experimental validation, and binary logistic regression analysis showed they have excellent potential. These results may provide new insights into the biological mechanisms of SLE and identify reliable biomarkers for SLE, SLE-LN−, and SLE-LN+, which may contribute to individualized treatment.
Data availability
The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in GEO (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
Abbreviations
- SLE:
-
Systemic lupus erythematosus
- PBMCs:
-
Peripheral blood mononuclear cells
- GEO:
-
Gene Expression Omnibus
- DEGs:
-
Differentially expressed genes
- DMPs:
-
Differentially methylated positions
- DMRs:
-
Differentially methylated regions
- ROC:
-
Receiver operating characteristic
- IFN:
-
Interferon
- LN:
-
Lupus nephritis
- FDR:
-
False discovery rate
- GO:
-
Gene ontology
- PPI:
-
Protein–protein interaction network
- AUC:
-
Area under the curve
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We thank LetPub (www.letpub.com) for its linguistic assistance during the preparation of this manuscript.
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This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 82073440] and the Medical Science and Technology Research Fund project of Guangdong Province [grant number A2019180].
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WJZ, ZWZ, HFZ, and KL participated in the conception and design, KL and XX provided the administrative support, HFZ, XDZ, GXL, and ZWZ participated in the provision of study materials or patients, WJZ participated in the collection and assembly of data, and data analysis and interpretation. All authors participated in manuscript writing and final approval of manuscript.
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Zhang, W., Liang, G., Zhou, H. et al. Identification of potential biomarkers for systemic lupus erythematosus by integrated analysis of gene expression and methylation data. Clin Rheumatol 42, 1423–1433 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10067-022-06495-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10067-022-06495-3