Keywords

1 Introduction

Ecuador is starting to consider climate change as a priority for the country’s development. Recently the Under Secretariat for Climate Change was founded, and many ministries have started to insert related topics in their political agendas. In particular, the Ministry of Urban Development and Housing (MIDUVI) launched in 2011 the competition ‘Dwellings for Climate Change’ in order to improve the basic residential dwellings that are still being built in all climates of the country. For instance, Ecuador, although it is small, has a unique climatic diversity: in the Andes the climate is tropical mountain, in the Amazon it is tropical wet and in the coastal region it is hot, both arid and humid, depending on the specific location. One of the competition goals was to show the need for different designs for each climate, even for residential dwellings, that must be very inexpensive. The National Institute of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (known by its Spanish acronym INER) is also developing some prototypes for the different climates of Ecuador [1]. In this chapter, a simulation study is conducted to estimate the hours of discomfort (both undercooling and overheating) that residents may feel in the base case (the actual MIDUVI residential house) and in the three prototypes that won the competition. Simulations were conducted for the current climate (typical meteorological year, or TMY) and for the future (2050 and 2080) taking into account the effects of global warming under the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) A2 scenario. Since in Ecuador heating and air-conditioning systems are used by only a small part of the population (the wealthy), an analysis was conducted considering naturally ventilated buildings to try to determine the total hours of discomfort during the year.

2 Methodology

In this chapter IPCC data are used to simulate the future energy performance of three types of buildings. Future data (2050 and 2080) are obtained using the Climatic Change Weather Files Generator developed by Jentsch et al. [2] and TMYs are obtained from the meteorological service of Ecuador INHAMI [3]. The selected scenario to simulate the future is the IPCC’s A2 scenario. This scenario describes a heterogeneous world, with slow population increases and differences among regions and social classes. The result is a medium-high emissions scenario (Fig. 31.1). A description of the climate of the considered cities, deemed representative of the macroclimates of Ecuador, is as follows:

Fig. 31.1
figure 1

Givoni chart for Quito (a), Guayaquil (b) and Nuevo Loja (c)

  • The climate of Quito (0°14′S, 78°31′W longitude, 2850 m elevation) is tropical mountain, with mild diurnal temperatures and colder nights, in both wet and dry seasons. Radiation levels are high, the urban density increases the heat retention effect and a breeze is sometimes present.

  • The climate of Guayaquil (2°11′S, 79°53′W, 4 m elevation) is hot and wet throughout the year. The ocean breeze, when present, is very important for the natural cooling of buildings. Urbanization affects the temperatures of the city, and in many cases, new constructions along the first costal line block the wind.

  • The climate of Nueva Loja (0°5′5″N, 76°52′58″W, 297 m elevation) is tropical wet, with high humidity and temperatures throughout the year and a night–day oscillation slightly higher than in Guayaquil.

The building typologies analysed are described as follows:

  • A MIDUVI house is a small family dwelling with external walls made of cement block having a thermal transmittance of 1.8 W/m2K, a metal deck roof with a transmittance of 5.2 W/m2K and 15 % transparency on the main façades (simple glass and aluminium, transmittance 5.1 W/m2K).

  • The house proposed for the Amazon is a family dwelling with external walls of reeds having a thermal transmittance of 4.5 W/m2K, a roof made of polypropylene with a transmittance of 2.7 W/m2K and 10 % glazed surface.

  • The house proposed for the mountain region is a more compact house with walls of concrete (transmittance 1.8 W/m2K), metal deck roof (transmittance 5.2 W/m2K) and 20 % glazed surface.

  • The proposed coastal house is an elevated house with walls of light concrete (transmittance 3.5 W/m2K), steel roof (transmittance 5.2 W/m2K) and 10 % glazed surface.

All houses have the same occupancy density of 10 m2/person for a 24 h period. Figure 31.2 shows the models for the dwellings, and Table 31.1 summarizes the material properties.

Fig. 31.2
figure 2

House models for MIDUVI (a), Amazon (b), mountain (c) and coast (d)

Table 31.1 Transmittances and glaze percentage of building typologies

Simulations were done using Types 56a (multizone building) in the Trnsys tool (version 16). Climatic TMY files were read in Type 109, sky cloudiness was calculated using Type 69b and psychometric variables by Type 33e. The Jentsch method to generate TMY future data uses ‘shift’ and ‘stretch’ modifications for temperature, ‘stretch’ modification for wind speed and global radiation and ‘shift’ for relative humidity and atmospheric pressure. For more detailed information, see the tool manual [4]. The MIDUVI house was simulated in both main orientations north–south (N–S) and east–west (E–W), whilst the prototypes were simulated using the recommended orientations, N–S for the Guayaquil dwelling and E–W for the one in Quito. Recall that a 0 latitude means that E–W orientations guarantee a solar gain, whilst the N–S orientation has no solar gain throughout the year.

3 Results

Figure 31.3 shows the results in terms of discomfort hours for the MIDUVI house in both orientations and for the new prototypes. Table 31.2 summarizes the discomfort values.

Fig. 31.3
figure 3

Discomfort hours for MIDUVI house N–S (a), E–W oriented (b) and new prototypes (c)

Table 31.2 Discomfort hours in analysed cases

These results confirm the possible impact of climate change on the built environment and the need for a new concept of thermal regulation for the country. Much research is currently being done on this topic for tropical, arid and Mediterranean climates; see for example the work of Palme et al. [5].

4 Conclusions

The present work showed that new designs for houses are needed in Ecuador. Climate change will affect the performance of buildings; for example in the highlands the MIDUVI house will undergo a shift from heating to cooling demands. In Guayaquil and Nueva Loja, overheating will be the problem and global warming will increase the effect. With respect to the new prototypes, it seems that the different design could reduce the bad performance of the MIDUVI house, but it will not be sufficient. Considering future scenarios, in both hot emplacements (Guayaquil and Nueva Loja), the overheating sensation will be very high. Only the new prototype for the highlands shows significantly better future performance (but not with the current climate) with respect to the MIDUVI house, avoiding overheating. The energy certification of dwellings, under development in Ecuador, will have to focus on heat evacuation in all climates, including the highlands. Going forward, a priority should be to use more simplified calculation methods to estimate the potential to cool buildings naturally. At the urban district level, environmental studies to quantify the contribution of buildings to the heat island effect and its dependence on the urban form are also needed, as in other climates [6]. The blockage of natural breezes in the case of Guayaquil is also a very important topic and should be studied and discussed as soon as possible.