Introduction

International migration accounts for around a half of contemporary Australian population growth, so where immigrants settle significantly influences population distribution. Indeed, international migration is as important a process in explaining variations in population growth in Australia as internal migration. In recent decades, two trends in immigrant settlement have been of crucial importance in this respect.

  • An increasing trend to settle in particular states—especially New South Wales, Victoria, and Western Australia. Queensland’s share of settlers has increased.

  • A growing concentration in major metropolitan areas especially Sydney and Melbourne.

Since the mid-1990s, however, Australian immigration policy has undergone a major change whereby it not only establishes who can settle in Australia but also, for a significant number, where they are permitted to settle, at least for their first 3 years in the country. There have been some limited policies in the past to influence where some immigrants settle (Hugo 1999), but not on the scale as is presently the case. This change in policy resulted partly from a desire by some to direct immigrants away from Sydney where immigrants were perceived to be contributing to environmental pressures, increased living and housing costs, and congestion (Withers and Powell 2003). However, the main force has been lobbying by lagging regions and states who consider labor and skill shortage as a major constraint on their economic development. The result has been the introduction of a suite of State-Specific and Regional Migration (SSRM) visa categories which channel settlers toward particular parts of Australia and also a greatly increased role of State and Regional Authorities in immigration and settlement in Australia. This paper focuses on the nature and impact of the SSRM Scheme in the State of South Australia which has arguably been the strongest lobbyist for, and user of, the Scheme.

Since Federation a century ago, immigration and settlement policy and programs have been overwhelmingly undertaken by the Federal Government. Under Section 5.51 (xxvii) of the Australian Constitution, the Commonwealth government is empowered to legislate for immigration. As Jupp (2002, 67–8) points out, before Federation in 1901, the states (then separate colonies) organized immigration control, assisted passengers and settlement services, and continued to do so (in cooperation with the Commonwealth) until the end of World War I. Thereafter, the Commonwealth took over control of settlement and assistance. However, the introduction of the SSRM program has seen states like South Australia take on a greater role in the immigration and settlement process, changing the balance of Commonwealth/State involvement (Hugo 2005a).

The paper begins with a discussion of the changing role of international migration in shaping population distribution patterns in OECD countries. In the rapidly growing immigration into these countries, especially from “south” countries, one of the most pervasive patterns is the concentration of immigrants in large metropolitan centers, especially global cities (Benton-Short et al. 2005). However, there is increasing diversity in immigrant settlement which is influencing some peripheral areas within OECD nation-states. The next section focuses on South Australia and shows how the State’s peripheral position in the Australian space economy has resulted in it having the lowest levels of demographic and economic growth of Australia’s mainland states. In response to this, the South Australian government was the first in the nation to develop a Population Policy in which increasing immigration was central. The paper then makes an assessment of the impact of the policy in increasing immigrant settlement. A survey of SSRM settlers in South Australia is then drawn upon to examine the way in which immigrants have been attracted to the State, make an early assessment of their adjustment and address the crucial issue of the extent to which they will be retained in South Australia. Finally, some of the implications of the findings for future immigration patterns are discussed.

The introduction of the SSRM Scheme represents a major change in Australian immigration for a number of reasons:

  • It in effect creates two classes of immigrants. One group can settle where they wish, while the other is restricted in where they settle, at least during their initial years in Australia.

  • The SSRM Scheme has involved the explicit factoring of international migration into regional as opposed to national development planning and strategies.

It is important, therefore, to assess the early impacts of the SSRM.

Changing Patterns of Immigrant Settlement

One of the most striking elements in the new global migration is the increasing flow from south (less developed) to north (more developed, mainly OECD) countries (Global Commission on International Migration 2005; SOPEMI 2006). The United Nations (2006) has estimated that more than a half of population growth in more developed countries over the 1995–2005 decade was attributable to net migration gain from less developed countries. The south–north migration has been predominantly directed toward the major metropolitan areas of the north, especially global cities (Benton-Short et al. 2005). Moreover, this immigration has been seen as a crucial element in the functioning of such cities providing many of the highly skilled, managerial, and other high-level workers fundamental to global cities but also large numbers of low income, low status service workers (Sassen 2001). Low or declining fertility and aging in OECD countries is seen as one of the key drivers of south–north migration (World Bank 2006). However, these demographic patterns in OECD countries are being felt most outside of large cities, and labor and skill shortages are often more severe in those areas.

While the connection between international migration and global cities is an important one, there is growing evidence of international migration becoming increasingly influential in more peripheral areas in OECD nations. In the United States for example in 1990, 75% of the nation’s foreign-born population lived in the states of California, New York, Florida, Texas and Illinois, but by 2005, this had been reduced to 59% (Martin and Midgely 2006, p. 16).

In Europe, too, there is an increasing trend toward immigrant settlement outside of major cities, especially in Southern Europe. In France, Spain, Italy, Greece, and Portugal, migrants provide the main source of agricultural labor (Kasimis 2005), but they increasingly work in other sectors of the economy outside of major cities as well (Kasimis et al. 2003). In the case of Greece, Kasimis and Papadopoulous (2005, p. 102) have demonstrated how the settlement of immigrants has been facilitated by the outmigration of native populations from rural areas, the unwillingness of local labor to take on low status, low income, manual jobs, and the expansion of job opportunities in tourism, housing, and new consumption patterns of leisure and recreation in rural areas has ‘facilitated the social, economic, and demographic penetration of migrants’. Indeed, they argue that migrants have brought a new dynamism to rural communities that were experiencing decline and depopulation.

In Australia, immigrant settlement has become increasingly more concentrated during the postwar period (Hugo 2004). The most consistent pattern has been the increasing proportion settling in urban areas. Between 1947 and 2001, there was an increase of 141% in the numbers of Australia-born persons living in cities with 100,000 residents or more (to reach 60% of the total). However, among the overseas-born there was a 642% increase so that in 2001, 82% of the foreign-born lived in these major cities. The proportion of the foreign-born living in Sydney and Melbourne alone increased from 42.5% in 1947 to 53.2% in 2006. However, the focus here is more on the role of international migration in shaping the distribution of population between the Australian states and territories.

In 1947, the states of New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania accounted for 78.4% of the national population, but by 2001, they had 68.7%. On the other hand, Queensland increased its share from 14.6% to 18.7% and Western Australia from 6.6% to 9.8%. Table 1 shows that in 2006, immigrants were overrepresented in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. It also indicates that between 1971 and 2006, the degree of concentration increased in New South Wales, Queensland, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory. However, it will be noted that there has been some change between 2001 and 2006 and international migration has played a role in this.

Table 1 Australia: percent of total overseas-born and Australia-Born population in states and territories, 1971, 2001, and 2006

While much of the shift in interstate population distribution has been caused by interstate population movements, it is also shaped by a propensity for immigrants to settle in particular states. Table 2 indicates that immigrants have settled disproportionately in New South Wales, Victoria, and Western Australia. It will be noted, however, that there has been a striking increase in the proportion of newcomers settling in Queensland in the last 5 years. This may indicate that, after an extended period of getting less than a proportionate share of immigrants, Queensland is becoming a significant attraction to immigrants. For three decades, Queensland has been the dominant destination of interstate migrants within Australia (Bell and Hugo 2000) both because of a booming economy and lifestyle-led migration. However, until recently, it received less than its proportionate share of immigrants (Hugo 1990).

Table 2 Australian states and territories: percentage distribution of the population by birthplace and overseas-born arriving in the last 5 years, 1996, 2001, and 2006

The relative contributions of net international migration and net interstate migration and natural increase to population change in the states and territories are shown in Table 3. In New South Wales, the largest State, there was a net international migration gain of almost one quarter of a million which accounted for 60.8% of the State’s population growth between 1996 and 2001. Moreover, NSW experienced a significant net loss due to interstate migration—a longstanding pattern (Hugo 2003). However, it will be noted that there was a decline in the significance of international migration’s growth in New South Wales between 2001 and 2006 despite a substantial increase in international migration to Australia over this period. For Victoria, the pattern is somewhat different. International migration increased its significance as a component of growth in 2001–2006 compared with 1996–2001. Similarly, in Queensland, the role that international migration has played in that State’s rapid growth compared with interstate migration has increased. Queensland has increased its share of Australia’s recent migrantsFootnote 1 from 5.1% in 1996 to 17.3% in 2001 and 18.5% in 2006. Western Australia continues a longstanding pattern of international migration being a major element in its population growth. In South Australia, the significance of international migration in population growth increased substantially in the 2001–2006 period compared with 1996–2001.

Table 3 Australian states and territories: natural increase, net overseas migration, net interstate migration, and total population growth, financial years 1996–2001 and 2001–06

The patterns described above would indicate that there has been a shift in the pattern of settlement of immigrants between Australian states and territories in the most recent intercensal period. Queensland has been the fastest growing State in the nation for most of the last three decades; however, the bulk of the migration growth has been from interstate migration rather than international migration. This pattern appears to be changing with international migration becoming more significant. However, from the perspective of the present paper, there is particular interest in the decline (albeit small) in population growth levels in New South Wales and the increase in Victoria and South Australia. In this context, it is interesting to see in Fig. 1 the difference between the states in the division of their 2005–2006 immigration intake between the SSRM and standard migration programs. It will be noted that New South Wales’ participation in the SSRM scheme has been minimal, while South Australia and Victoria have received a large number of SSRM migrants. This is especially the case in South Australia where more than three quarters of settler arrivals had SSRM visas.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Australia: settler arrivals by state according to whether they are state-specific and regional migration scheme migrants or other migrants, 2005–06

The South Australian Context

South Australia experienced economic and population growth above the national average in the quarter century after World War II was fuelled largely by a rapid expansion of manufacturing. However, with economic restructuring and movement of Australian manufacturing offshore in the 1970s, South Australia’s economic growth fell well below national averages. Moreover, the collapse of the South Australian State Bank in the early 1990s further compounded the economic malaise. South Australia’s economic growth and income levels have long been below national levels, while unemployment has been higher. South Australia’s population growth fell below national levels, net interstate migration losses increased, and the population was aged more than that of any other State (Hugo 2005b). Moreover, while South Australia received more than its proportionate share of the national immigration intake in the immediate postwar decades, Fig. 2 indicates that it fell away in the 1980s and 1990s.

Fig. 2
figure 2

South Australia: net overseas migration, 1979 to 2006

Both the Olsen State Liberal Government (1996–2001) and the incoming (in 2002) Rann Labour Government identified slow population growth and the net loss of young South Australians as being important constraints on the prosperity of the State. This culminated in South Australia being the first Australian State to promulgate a population policy (Government of South Australia 2004), which included a number of targets with respect to population:

  • To increase the State’s population from 1.58 million in 2006 to 2 million by 2050 rather than the population decline which was projected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (Hugo 2005b).

  • To reduce the current net interstate migration loss to zero by 2008 and reverse it to a positive net gain from 2009.

  • Increase South Australia’s share of the national immigration gain to its share of the national population by 2014 (around 7.5 percent).

  • Maintain and develop viable populations for sustainable regional communities.

International migration has been a key element in the Population Policy and in the State’s Strategic Plan (South Australian Government 2004). The State government initiated a number of strategies to achieve an increase in international migration.

  • It set up a State government agency Immigration SA within the Department of Trade and Economic Development to drive the achievement of the immigration objectives.

  • It set up an agency Education Adelaide to increase the State’s share of foreign students.

  • It set up offices in key origin countries of immigrants to facilitate the recruitment and emigration of settlers for South Australia.

  • It appointed a number of Migration Officers to be affiliated with Regional Development Boards in South Australia to assist local governments and employers to bring in migrants.

However, immigration has been a federal responsibility since Federation and for South Australia to increase its immigration intake it had to work within the structure of Australia’s Migration Program.

State-Specific and Regional Migration Schemes

In May 1996, the annual meeting involving Commonwealth, State and Territory Ministers for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs established a working party on regional migration, which heralded a new era in patterns of migrant settlement in Australia. The working party examined ways in which a higher proportion of migrants might settle in regional Australia. Accordingly, a number of initiatives were taken under the SSRM Scheme to attract immigrants to areas which are currently receiving small intakes. Over the last decade many, visa categories have been added to the scheme, and a range of modifications have been made. A mechanism has been set up for the states, territories, and the Department of Immigration and Citizenship to regularly assess and modify the scheme.

The essence of this program was to enable employers, state, and local governments and families in designated lagging economic regions to sponsor immigrants without the immigrants having to fully meet the stringent requirements of the Australian Points Assessment Scheme. There is an array of visa categories available under the scheme, and some of their characteristics are summarised below:

  • The scheme focused on skill restricting most SSRM visa categories to people who narrowly miss reaching the high pass threshold of the Points Assessment Scheme.

  • Some categories require the settler to live in a designated area as a temporary resident for 3 years after which their degree of adjustment is assessed and they are given permanent residence. Thereafter, they are free to settle anywhere in Australia.

  • Foreign students who study in an institution in a designated area get five bonus points in the Points Assessment Test.

  • In addition a ‘Regional 457’ (long-term business migrants) was developed whereby concessions were granted which gave regional certifying bodies a greater role in supporting sponsorships in regional Australia. It allows them to grant exceptions from the gazetted minimum skill, and salary requirements for positions nominated under temporary business visas, which are located in regional and low population growth areas and have been certified by a Regional Certifying Body.

This represents an important change, as it makes a fundamental distinction between types of migrants—settlers and provisional settlers. The precedent was established in the Australian government’s action in 1999 to introduce a three year temporary protection visa for persons who entered Australia as asylum seekers and were assessed as having a valid claim for refugee status. This, compared to other refugees accepted offshore who were granted full settler status (Hugo 2002). In the case of the SSRM, however, a distinction is made between those settlers who can live anywhere in Australia and those that are restricted, in their initial years at least, to live in designated areas.

The success of the SSRM programs is evident in Table 4 which shows that the SSRM Scheme increased its share of the total nonhumanitarian intake from 2.3% in 1997–1998 to nearly a fifth in 2005–2006. Considering that South Australia has only 7.6% of the national population and averaged only 24.6% of the national immigrant intake between 1997 and 2003 the table shows that it has made disproportionate use of the SSRM Scheme especially in most recent years. This undoubtedly has been partly a function of the State government’s enthusiastic support of the SSRM Scheme and the investment of resources in making use of it. However, it also partly reflects a particular advantage that South Australia has had in the SSRM. This advantage relates to the particular definition of the parts of Australia that have been designated as being eligible for SSRM visa classes.

Table 4 Number of immigrants with visas granted under the state-specific regional migration mechanisms and their proportion of the total nonhumanitarian intake, 1997–1998 to 2005–2006

Table 5 shows that the locational requirements of the various SSRM visa categories vary but it will be noted that all of South Australia has been eligible for all SSRM categories. This has meant that the major city of Adelaide (2006 population 1,105,839) has been eligible for settlement of SSRM immigrants, whereas other mainland state capital cities have not. The SSRM Scheme is targeted at “contributing to the economic, demographic, and social development of regional Australia and low population growth areas” (DIAC 2007, p. 41). Accordingly, while there is some variation between visa classes, the areas designated to be eligible for SSRM Schemes are communities with less than 200,000 residents or which had experienced a rate of population growth in the most recent intercensal period of less than half the national average. Adelaide is the only major metropolitan centre that has had access to the full suite of SSRM programs, whereas in other mainland states, the ability for SSRM migrants to settle in their capital cities has been very limited. This has undoubtedly given South Australia an advantage in its ability to attract migrants under the SSRM Scheme.

Table 5 Locational requirement of selected SSRM visa classes

It is important to point out that the bulk of the SSRM Scheme visa categories relate only to skilled migrants,Footnote 2 and those eligible are potential immigrants who have narrowly failed the stringent Points Assessment Test. However, there has also been SSRM family-based initiatives and initiatives to attract business migrants to designated areas (DIAC 2007, p. 43). Moreover, while the SSRM Scheme only involves the nonhumanitarian part of the Australian Immigration Program, there have been some elements in the Humanitarian part of the program which direct settlers to particular areas. The Department of Immigration and Citizenship directs many refugee-humanitarian settlers to areas where there is availability of support from family, fellow countrymen, NGOs or local and State governments. Table 6 shows that South Australia in recent years has taken a share of the humanitarian intake in excess of its share of the national population. Indeed, even in the late 1990s when the State was receiving only around 4% of the national immigrant intake it took a larger share of the refugee-humanitarian intake. This has been a deliberate strategy of the South Australian government that has been active in providing support for refugee-humanitarian migrants and has lobbied DIAC to take a substantial number of refugee-humanitarian migrants.

Table 6 South Australia: share of national intake of refugee-humanitarian onshore and offshore settlers, 1996–2007

The differential impact of different types of migration on the Australian states and territories can be measured using an index of dissimilarity. This can be interpreted as the percentage of one group of immigrants who would have to change their state/territory of residence to duplicate the relative distribution of another group. It will be noted in Table 7, for example, that there is little difference between settler arrivals and onshore migrants in the way in which they distribute themselves between states and territories. Only 8.9% of onshore migrants would have to change their state of residence to duplicate the distribution of settler arrivals.

Table 7 Australia: indexes of dissimilarity between different types of international migration between states and territories, 2004–2005

There is a slightly greater difference between humanitarian settlers and nonhumanitarian settlers with one in eight humanitarian settlers having to change states to duplicate the distribution of other settlers. However, it will be noted that nearly a half of SSRM migrants would need to change their state of residence to duplicate the distribution of those settling in Australia under the regular migration program. This is, of course, to be expected given the targeting of the SSRM program to lagging parts of Australia.

Impact of the SSRM in South Australia

The first step in assessing the impact of the SSRM Scheme is to establish the extent to which it has influenced population trends. An important dimension of this is to examine whether there has been a shift in where recently arrived migrants settle in Australia. Table 8 shows that in the 1991–1996 period NSW received 41.2% of new settler arrivals while having only 33% of the national population. This share declined marginally between 1996 and 2001, but by the 2006 census, there had been a significant reduction to 34.1%. Clearly, this is still in excess of the state’s share of the national population, but a shift has definitely occurred. Some have been diverted to Australia’s second largest state, Victoria, which increased its share of new arrivals from 23.6% to 26.1%. However, the largest diversion was to the remainder of the country which received 39.8% of the intake compared with 34.4% in 1991–1996. The SSRM program is not the only element in attracting migrants beyond Sydney which has the highest housing costs in the nation, but the Scheme has been the dominant factor.

Table 8 Australia: state by recent arrivals (last 5 years), 1991–1996, 1996–2001, 2001–2006

The impact of the SSRM on South Australia’s population has been considerable. Table 9 shows that the State’s annual rate of population growth more than doubled between 2000 and 2001 and 2005 and 2006. Indeed, it exceeded 1% per annum in 2006 for the first time since 1983. It’s growth rate has gone from being less than a third of the national average at the beginning of the decade to being almost three quarters the national rate in 2006. The table indicates that it is the increase in net international migration gains which has been the dominant factor in increasing population growth. Net overseas migration gains have quadrupled since the beginning of the decade.

Table 9 South Australia: population change: annual rates and components, 1996–2006

The composition of the migration gain is of significance in assessing the impact of the SSRM. Table 10 shows clearly that the increases in settler arrivals to the State are largely in the skill and business migration categories which increased by 3.3 and 5.5 times, respectively, between 2002–2003 and 2005–2006. Humanitarian and family migration also increased, but to a lesser degree.

Table 10 South Australia: settler arrivals, composition, and growth, 2002–03 to 2005–06

South Australia increased its share of skilled migrant arrivals in Australia from 3.7 to 9.7 percent and business migrants from 1.7% to 14.3%. The only major category in which the State is receiving less than its proportionate share of migrants is in Family Migration due to decades of low levels of immigration which have reduced the pool of potential sponsors for family migration.

In terms of the economic impact of the increase in migration, Table 11 shows the occupational distribution of the permanent arrivals in the State over the period since 2001. They are highly concentrated in the skilled categories. This, of course, is a function of the strong skill-business orientation in the visa categories of settlers. This increased influx of skilled workers has come at a time where there has been an upturn in reports of skill shortage within South Australia. This demand for labor has been fuelled by:

  • A general upturn in the Australian economy which has seen annual growth of GDP averaging 3.8% over the period since 2000 and the unemployment rate fall to 4.3%.

  • An expansion of defence industries in South Australia, especially the winning of a large destroyer construction project.

  • The beginnings of a mining boom associated with the seemingly insatiable demand for energy and minerals from China.

  • The beginnings of the retirement from the workforce of the baby boom generation who make up more than a quarter of the State’s workforce.

  • Notwithstanding a severe drought in 2006 and pressure on the State’s traditional manufacturing base there has been a tightening of the labor market and this has undoubtedly assisted in the upturn in immigration.

Table 11 South Australia: occupation of permanent arrivals and departures, 2001–2006

The origins of the settlers are shown in Table 12, and it is especially interesting that almost a third of all settler arrivals are from the UK. The UK has traditionally been the main source of immigrants to SA (Hugo 1989) and UK immigrants disproportionately settled in SA in the postwar economic boom years, but its return to dominance is interesting. Certainly the active presence of South Australian government immigration recruiters in London has been a factor, but the strong links established by earlier generations of UK immigrants to South Australia have played a role in both increasing knowledge about Adelaide generally and through family networks. Nevertheless, the increasing significance of China and India as a source of migrants is apparent in Table 12 and reflects their growing importance in the total Australian skilled immigrant intake.

Table 12 South Australia: settler arrivals, top 10 countries, 2002–2003 to 2005–2006

While the focus in recent immigration efforts in SA has been on skilled migrants, South Australia has been an important destination for refugee-humanitarian migrants even before the recent upturn in immigration. Sudan (1,580 settlers between 2001 and 2006) and Afghanistan (952) have been the two dominant groups, but there also have been inflows from Iraq (447), Iran (344), Liberia (344), the Former Yugoslavia (324), Kenya (245), Burundi (178), Ethiopia (156) and the Democratic Republic of Congo (138). This group is injecting a new element of ethnic diversity into the South Australian population. They also have become important in some areas of demand for unskilled workers in Adelaide and regional areas.

Adjustment of Immigrants in South Australia

There can be no doubt that the State government in South Australia has been successful in substantially increasing the number of immigrants settling in the State. However, a key question relates to how many of them will remain in South Australia after their period of compulsory settlement in the State expires? In this context, it is interesting to look at the patterns of interstate migration of immigrants after their arrival. Earlier, it was indicated that South Australia has experienced a significant net migration loss due to interstate migration, and indeed-reducing this is an important target of the State’s population policy (Government of South Australia 2004). The issue of the extent to which the SSRM settlers will subsequently join this internal migration to other states is a crucial one in the assessment of the impact of the SSRM program. Table 13 shows that former immigrants have accounted for a disproportionately large part of the State’s interstate net migration loss for each of the four intercensal periods up to 2001. Former immigrants have comprised 40.8%, 42%, 27.1% and 30.5% of the net migration out of the State, while inmigrants have made up less than a quarter of the State’s population. This is indicative of a longstanding pattern in South Australia of immigrants settling initially in the State but subsequently moving to another State. The reduction since the 1991–1996 period is partly a function of a decline in the significance of international migration into the State in the 1980s which has reduced the pool of potential interstate migrants. Internal migration data from the 2006 population census was not available at the time of writing, but because it is in the early stages of the SSRM program, it would be unlikely to provide evidence of the degree of retention one way or the other. Nevertheless, the historical pattern of secondary migration of immigrants out of the State must be of concern to policy makers who have been very effective in increasing international migration into the State in the last 5 years.

Table 13 Net interstate migration by birthplace, South Australia, 1981–1986, 1986–1991, 1991–1996 and 1996–2001

There have been a number of surveys of SSRM migrants undertaken by or for the Department of Immigration and Citizenship (e.g. DIMIA 2005; DIAC 2007). However, these surveys do not relate specifically to South Australia. To examine the initial adjustment of SSRM settlers in South Australia, some results of a survey of around 500 settlers arriving between 1 January 2004 and 1 July 2006 is drawn upon. This survey was part of a wider study of the SSRM Scheme in South Australia (Woithe, forthcoming). The sample is derived from a sampling frame of SSRM settlers who were sponsored through the South Australian government and hence does not include those obtaining SSRM visas by other means. Nevertheless, it provides an important insight into the initial experiences of SSRM settlers in South Australia. A letter was sent to migrants for whom addresses were available, and they were asked to complete an online questionnaire. The sample has an overrepresentation of settlers from the Asia-Pacific (47.3%), more than a third (38.3%) spoke a language other than English as their native language and virtually all had post-school qualifications.

The respondents were asked to rank a number of potential reasons for considering moving to South Australia and the proportions ranking those reasons as very important in their decision are shown in Table 14. It is very interesting to note that while employment and work are important, the two most mentioned reasons were lifestyle and education of children, while community safety is also ranked highly. This points to an important element in regional migration which has been explored elsewhere (Hugo et al. 2006). It would seem that while the availability of suitable employment is a necessary condition for attracting immigrants to peripheral areas, it alone is often not sufficient to attract them. The key elements in them making the move relate to factors such as lifestyle, availability of suitable employment for partners, availability of appropriate schooling for children, and the appropriate provision of a range of services and social and economic opportunities. Hence, while the availability of employment is basic, it is often other elements which are crucial in the decision to migrate to peripheral areas.

Table 14 Reasons for considering move to South Australia (n = 501)

Given the significance of nonwork-related factors in shaping potential migrants’ decisions about migrating to a regional area, it is important to examine the sample’s initial perceptions of life in South Australia. Table 15 presents the respondents’ degree of satisfaction with a range of elements in their new location. There is a high degree of satisfaction with lifestyle in South Australia, while the level of dissatisfaction in the important area of the education of children is quite low. Hence, in some of the important nonwork-related dimensions, new settlers have high levels of satisfaction.

Table 15 Proportion of SSRM settlers satisfied with aspects of life in South Australia (n = 504)

However, the situation is not as favorable when work-related elements of settlement are considered. Table 15 shows that only a little over a third of respondents are satisfied with the employment opportunities available and their current income. Moreover, 15.8% of the sample were unemployed at the time of the survey. While a higher proportion is satisfied with their current job, it is still less than a half of respondents. Moreover, a third are dissatisfied with job opportunities and income, and a fifth are dissatisfied with their current job. Table 16 shows that in some occupational categories, immigrants were not able to get a job in their area of previous employment before migration. This is especially evident in the managers and associate professionals category. The professional group are most likely to have a job in their area of specialization while they also are most likely to indicate that their current job has met their expectations.

Table 16 Proportion of SSRM settlers in South Australian aspects of employment by occupation category (n = 504)

There are policy implications for both the selection and post-arrival support of migrants. Perhaps more care needs to be taken in matching the skills/experience of potential migrants with the opportunities that are available in South Australia. In addition there may be more that can be done after the arrival of regional migrants to enable them to enter, and adjust to, local labor markets.

A really key issue relating to the SSRM program is the extent to which immigrants are retained in the peripheral locations in which they initially settle. In some ways the ultimate success of the SSRM scheme will be assessed in terms of the long-term influence on population distribution. The survey respondents were asked if they intended to move in the next 3 years, and 55% indicated they had plans to move. However, only 11.3% indicated they had an intention to move interstate (8.9%) or to a foreign country (2.4%). The bulk of people who plan to move therefore intend to do so within South Australia. Many of these moves relate to housing adjustment (60% of movers) or to seek alternative job opportunities (19.2%). Hence, the study indicates that there is likely to be a leakage of SSRM migrants out of South Australia, but that it is at a moderate level.

Conclusion

The SSRM scheme has achieved a degree of success in that it has diverted a small but significant part of the Australian immigration intake to cities and areas outside of the main poles of attraction for immigrants. The success of the scheme has undoubtedly been assisted by the favorable economic situation in peripheral areas which has meant job opportunities have been available in those communities. Undoubtedly, too, the introduction of a suite of visa categories designed to cater for immigrants to those areas has been an important factor. However, getting newly arrived immigrants to these areas really only is part of the answer to the labor and skill shortages and low population growth problems which they experience. There are two factors which threaten to compromise the success of the program.

The first threat relates to the whole area of adjustment and retention. There is a real concern that many of the SSRM settlers will leave South Australia, once they have fulfilled the residence obligations to obtain permanent residence. It is important, therefore, that they are able to quickly and effectively enter the labor and housing markets and for them and their families to settle in, and adjust to, their new environments. Hence, there is a strong role for both State and local government in assisting settlers obtain appropriate work, housing, schooling, etc. A second threat relates to South Australia maintaining its current status as a designated area eligible for receiving migrants under all of the SSRM categories. Undoubtedly, the fact that Adelaide has been the only one million plus city that qualifies has been a significant factor in the State’s success in attracting migrants. At the time of writing, it was in danger of losing this status partly because the most recent intercensal growth of the population may have taken Adelaide out of the range of eligible SSRM destinations but mostly because Western Australia and Queensland have been lobbying the federal government to remove Adelaide’s advantage. The fact remains, however, that South Australia’s level of economic growth is still well below that of those two states and that it has put much greater resources into the SSRM program compared with other states. Moreover, it could point to the fact that the State’s economic recovery, assisted by the SSRM program, is only partly achieved. Undoubtedly, in the short term, the extent to which the State can maintain the influx of migrants at the current level will depend on whether it can retain, at least for another intercensal period, the special status of Adelaide as a destination of SSRM migrants.

The changes analyzed in this paper represent a small but significant shift in the initial settlement patterns of immigrants to Australia. It has been demonstrated that it is possible for governments to shape not only who migrates but where they settle. It remains to be seen however whether this will be a sustained and long-lasting change. To an important extent, it will depend on the extent to which peripheral areas are able to continue offering job opportunities to migrants. This is essential, and schemes like SSRM will not succeed unless there are job opportunities of appropriate types in sufficient numbers and with appropriate remuneration available in peripheral areas. However, beyond this, it is clear that there is much that governments (especially State and local governments) can do to facilitate immigrant settlement, provided there is a supportive national immigration policy structure to work within. In a contemporary globalizing economy, undoubtedly large cities, especially global cities, will remain the main poles of attraction of international migrants. However, in post-demographic transition societies, it is often peripheral areas which are feeling the impacts of aging and low fertility greatest because they are exacerbated by significant net internal migration losses of young adults. The economic development of these areas will, in many cases, be constrained unless there is some ability to attract workers, especially skilled workers, and international migration can play a pivotal role in this.