Abstract
Purpose of Review
Zoonotic influenza viruses are those that cross the animal-human barrier and can cause disease in humans, manifesting from minor respiratory illnesses to multiorgan dysfunction. They have also been implicated in the causation of deadly pandemics in recent history. The increasing incidence of infections caused by these viruses worldwide has necessitated focused attention to improve both diagnostic as well as treatment modalities. In this first part of a two-part review, we describe the structure of zoonotic influenza viruses, the relationship between mutation and pandemic capacity, pathogenesis of infection, and also discuss history and epidemiology.
Recent Findings
We are currently witnessing the fifth and the largest wave of the avian influenza A(H7N9) epidemic. Also in circulation are a number of other zoonotic influenza viruses, including avian influenza A(H5N1) and A(H5N6); avian influenza A(H7N2); and swine influenza A(H1N1)v, A(H1N2)v, and A(H3N2)v viruses. Most recently, the first human case of avian influenza A(H7N4) infection has been documented.
Summary
By understanding the virology and epidemiology of emerging zoonotic influenzas, we are better prepared to face a new pandemic. However, continued effort is warranted to build on this knowledge in order to efficiently combat the constant threat posed by the zoonotic influenza viruses.
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Introduction
Zoonoses are diseases of animals that are transmitted to human beings. These have been present in the human population for thousands of years [1] and have been implicated in several deadly pandemics in the past. Among the zoonoses, influenza A virus is unique in that there exist in nature a multitude of subtypes capable of infecting a wide variety of avian and other animal species as well as humans. Zoonotic influenza viruses are distinct from human seasonal influenza viruses and often do not readily transmit between humans but may occasionally infect humans through direct or indirect contact. Illness caused by these viruses can range from a mild illness to severe infection resulting in death. Examples of zoonotic influenza viruses that have recently caused human infections include several avian influenza, including A(H7N9), A(H5N1), A(H9N2), A(H5N6), A(H7N2), and A(H7N4); and swine influenza variants A(H1N1)v, A(H1N2)v, and A(H3N2)v [2, 3••]. The genetic plasticity and adaptation in a wide variety of animal and human hosts continue to fuel the emergence of novel strains that can infect humans with increasing efficiency, resulting in widespread pandemics [4]. There were three influenza pandemics in the twentieth century, the deadly Spanish H1N1 1918 pandemic, which affected an estimated one third of the human population, killing an estimated 500 million persons, and the subsequent less severe pandemics of 1957 (H2N2 virus) and 1968 (H3N2 virus) [5••]. More recently, in 2009, a swine-derived H1N1 influenza A reassortment virus, A(H1N1)pdm09, caused a moderately mild pandemic.
Currently, the world is witnessing the fifth and the most severe wave of the avian influenza A(H7N9) epidemic. Recurrent outbreaks of infectious diseases originating in animals have been attributed to population explosion in cities with urbanization, overcrowding, domestication of animals, unsanitary living conditions, and increasing travel [1]. In order to prepare for the future and to prevent and contain potential pandemics, it is important to learn from past events and also further analyze recent occurrences of influenza activity, including epizootic outbreaks. In this first part of a two part review titled Zoonotic Influenza and human health, we describe the structure of zoonotic influenza viruses, the relationship between mutation and pandemic capacity, pathogenesis of infection, and also discuss history and epidemiology.
Influenza Structure and Effect on Pathogenesis
Virology of Influenza Viruses
Influenza virus belongs to the family Orthomyxoviridae whose members are encoded by a negative-sense, single-stranded RNA genome encapsulated in a proteinaceous nucleocapsid and enveloped in a host-derived lipid membrane. There are three major types of influenza viruses (A, B, and C) and a recently described fourth type (D). Influenza A circulates in a wide variety of animals including humans, swine, wild birds, horses, cats, dogs, and others. While humans are the natural host for influenza B, animals such as seals can also be infected. Influenza C infects both humans and pigs, but infections are generally mild and rarely reported. Influenza D is newly described and is associated primarily with a cattle reservoir and has not been linked to human infection [6]. The genome of influenza is segmented, with the number of segments and genes varying between types. Influenza type A possesses eight segments encoding 10 proteins [polymerase basic 1 and 2 (PB2, PB1), polymerase acidic protein (PA), haemagglutinin (HA), neuraminidase (NA), matrix 1 and 2 (M1, M2), non-structural protein 1 and 2 (NS1, NS2), nuclear export protein (NEP)], while influenzas B and C possess eight and seven gene segments, respectively, encoding 11 and nine proteins, respectively. The remainder of this review will focus on influenza A virus (IAV) due to its role as an important zoonotic pathogen and its pandemic potential in both humans and animals.
Evolution of Influenza Viruses and Emergence of Novel Strains
Most zoonotic IAVs are restricted in their ability to replicate in humans [7], and there are many genetic factors that contribute to defining the virulence, transmissibility, host range, and pandemic potential. IAV express an error-prone RNA polymerase which lacks proof-reading activity and post-replicative repair properties, facilitating the rapid accumulation of mutations subject to negative and positive selection which is host-dependent. This process, referred to as genetic drift, results in the production of unique viral progeny at both the individual host and population levels. At the host level, viral quasispecies are produced over the course of infection with multiple strains transmitted simultaneously to new hosts, each with unique fitness advantages and disadvantages potentially contributing to adaptation and crossing of the species barrier [8, 9, 10•]. Ultra-deep sequencing studies now suggest that human-adaptive mutations in animal-associated IAV can randomly accumulate at low levels in viral quasispecies and circulate within animal populations, to then rapidly expand upon transmission to a human host [11, 12]. Thus, the risk of zoonotic influenzas that effectively spread in human populations is greatest during outbreaks in animal populations when the overall number of infected animals and therefore genetic variants potentially carrying human-adaptive traits is very high [10•].
Another source of genetic diversity is the “swapping” of virus genomic segments between IAV strains. This occurs when a single host cell is infected with at least two distinct strains of IAV, resulting in the reassortment of genomic segments into novel viral progeny that are distinct from either parental strain. Genomic reassortment is also referred to as genetic shift and is one of the most important factors contributing to zoonotic IAVs jumping the species barrier. Introduction of animal HA subtypes that are poorly recognized by neutralizing antibodies of the human immune system is a major driving force for pandemics [1, 4]. The 1918 pandemic either arose from direct transmission of an avian influenza virus to humans following genetic drift, or as a result of reassortment. All subsequent pandemics have been the result of the emergence of IAV reassortants (Fig. 1) [13]. Reassortment can arise from the exchange from a single genetic segment, or the swapping of multiple segments; however, a fitness cost may be associated with the simultaneous exchange of multiple segments [14].
Emergence of Avian Influenza A Viruses in Humans—H7N4, H7N9, H5N1, H5N6, H9N2, and H10N8 Subtypes
The emergence of novel avian IAV continues to threaten the human population. For examples, a newly described avian IAV variant, H7N4, was recently identified in a 68-year-old patient from China in February of 2018 (WHO Disease Outbreak News). Avian H7N4, H7N9, H5N1, H5N6, H9N2, and H10N8 viruses are all the product of reassortment between IAVs of avian origin. Specifically, H7N9 possesses the H7 gene from A/duck/Zhejiang/12/2011 (H7N3) virus, and the N9 of A/wild bird/Korea/A14/2011 virus (H7N9) [15, 16••] (Fig. 2). Internal genes cluster together with H9N2 viruses isolated from poultry and ducks in China. This is a common feature among emergent avian IAVs, with H5N1, H7N9, H5N6, and H10N8 viruses all sharing at least some internal genes originating from H9N2 virus [3••, 17,18,19,20,21, 22•, 23]. The H5N1 virus specifically possesses the PB2 gene from H9N2 virus [24], while H10N8 possesses all six internal genes from H9N2 [25]. Since the internal genes of H9N2 play an important role in the success of zoonotic IAVs in humans, efforts should be made to monitor the spread of this virus [26, 27].
Emergence of Swine Influenza Viruses in Humans—H1N1
Swine have become a reservoir of H1 viruses with the potential to cause major respiratory outbreaks or pandemics in humans [28]. Genomic analysis of the H1N1pdm09 virus indicates that it is closely related to common reassortant swine IAVs isolated from North America, Europe, and Asia [29]. The NA (N1) and M gene segments are of Eurasian swine lineage circulating exclusively within this swine population since 1979 but were originally derived from wholly avian influenza virus. The HA (H1), NP, and NS gene segments are of classical swine lineage (H1N2) isolated in North America in the late 1990s [29]. The PA, PB1, and PB2 gene segments are of swine triple-reassortant H3N2 lineage [28]. Antigenically, all A(H1N1)pdm09 isolates were similar to classical swine viruses and the reassortant H1N1 viruses that had been circulating among pigs in the USA in the decade prior to emergence in humans, showing no antigenic cross-reactivity with contemporary human seasonal H1N1 viruses [30]. Specifically, segments coding for NA and M proteins are distantly related to swine viruses isolated in Europe in the 1990s [29].
Genetic Factors Contributing to Transmissibility and Virulence in Humans
Several factors affect influenza’s transmissibility, virulence, pandemic potential, and ability to cross the species barriers. However, the contribution of HA and NA glycoproteins is best described. There are 18 different HA and 11 different NA IAV subtypes, all of which have different host-receptor specificities and influence on transmission and disease severity. HA is composed of two subunits (HA1 and HA2) and is responsible for binding to host receptors containing glycans with terminal sialic acid (SA) residues. Specifically, HA will preferentially bind residues with either α2–3 or α2–6 branching with respect to their linkage to galactose. Avian strains of IAV preferentially bind α2–3-SA residues, while mammalian viruses prefer α2–6-SA residues [31, 32]. Lectin-staining studies demonstrate that anatomic distribution of SA residues varies between birds and mammals, and also between species within either family. For example, α2–3-SA receptors are located in the lower respiratory tract of humans [specifically, lower respiratory tract (LRT) epithelial cells, bronchi, bronchioles, type II pneumocytes] [33, 34], while the upper respiratory tract (URT) of humans is dominated by α2–6-SA residues. However, swine expresses both α2–6- and α2–3-SA residues throughout their upper and lower respiratory tracts [35,36,37]. Evidence suggests that the affinity of HA for SA receptors influences the transmissibility and virulence properties of IAV. For example, preference for α2–6 receptors facilitates spread, while preference for α2–3 receptors (and thus enhanced tropism for the LRT) influences disease severity in humans [38]. While wild aquatic birds possess primarily α2–3-SA receptors in their intestinal and respiratory tracts, gallinaceous poultry species (domestic poultry and game birds, for example quail, chickens, turkeys) can carry both α2–3- and α2–6-SAs throughout both their intestinal and respiratory tracts [34]. Therefore, the potential exists that adaptive mutations in domesticated poultry could shift HA preference from wild aquatic birds to human-like SA receptors [10•]. Evidence supports this hypothesis, with strains of H9N2 [39, 40], H5N1 [41, 42], and H7 subtypes [43, 44] isolated from poultry possessing an increased specificity for human α2–6-SA residues. SA receptor-binding domain (RBD) changes in HA can lead to differences in preferential binding between α2–3- and α2–6-linked residues, and therefore changes in host-range and disease severity. Kilander et al. (2010) observed an association between HA1 mutation D222G in the 2009 pandemic IAV A(H1N1) and severe clinical outcomes in humans [45]. It was then shown that this mutation influenced receptor binding, bestowing dual receptor specificity for both α2–3 and α2–6 types [46]. Other mutations, including the well-described G226L mutation in H7N9, permit more effective binding of HA to human-like SAs [47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54]. Although these adaptations are of concern, an H5N1 or H7N9 IAV with preferential binding of human-type-SA-receptors compared to avian-type SA receptors has yet to be observed. Other avian IAVs that have not undergone such human-adaptation have HAs that interact poorly with α2–6-linked residues and preferentially bind to bird-type α2–3-SA [55]. However, it is hypothesized that these IAVs will too increase their specificity for human-type receptors over time. Changes to N-linked glycosylation and the presence of multi-basic cleavage sites resulting in the production of modified HA have also been described to influence receptor binding and virulence in mice [56,57,58]. However, often, these findings in animal-adapted IAV do not translate to altered virulence in human strains [59,60,61]. These features of zoonotic IAVs have recently been reviewed elsewhere [62].
The NA enzyme is composed of an enzymatically active head, a transmembrane region embedded in the virus membrane associated with a highly conserved cytoplasmic tail, and a stalk region which connects these head and transmembrane regions. The purpose of NA is to cleave SA residues as an important step in viral budding and release from cells. The balance between HA binding and NA cleavage of SA residues is essential for effective virus replication and varies from host-to-host [63]. Thus, factors that affect NA activity will impact virus replication. For example, stalk length appears to impact infectivity in humans, gallinaceous birds, and aquatic birds differently. Specifically, short stalks are more frequently associated with gallinaceous birds and humans, while longer stalks are more common in aquatic birds such as ducks [64,65,66]. The variability in stalk length is dependent on mutations which result in deletions in the stalk region [67]. Other mutations in NA have been associated with a fatal human case of Avian influenza A H7N7 [68]. It is thought that the changes observed in NA prevented the formation of viral aggregates which improved replication efficiency in the human respiratory tract [44]. However, stalk length and other changes to NA are not sufficient to dictate disease severity in all IAVs. For example, an H1N1pdm09 expressing short-stalk NA from an H5N1 derived from adaptation in chickens replicated poorly in human respiratory cells and did not transmit efficiently by respiratory droplet between ferrets [69].
The combination of zoonotic IAV surface glycoproteins with core human virus replicative genes creates novel viruses that could bind human respiratory tract mucosa while replicating more efficiently than either parent strain [70]. Therefore, hosts that are conducive for transmission and efficient replication of both zoonotic and human virus pose the greatest risk for the development of novel reassortments that will efficiently replicate in humans. Swine, which contain both α2–3 and α2–6 receptors, are examples of such hosts and have historically been described as “mixing vessels” for the emergence of novel reassortant IAV strains [71]. Interestingly, recent evidence suggests that turkeys and quail may play just as important a role in avian influenza human adaptation as swine do, due to the presence of both receptors in these species and the described accumulation of adaptive mutations for effective transmission in gallinaceous birds [72,73,74,75]. Experimental co-infection models using quails as mixing vessels has provided supporting evidence for this hypothesis, as this practice has resulted in the production of several zoonotic-human reassortant viruses [76].
Although the role of HA and NA is well-established, changes in these genes through reassortment and the accumulation of adaptive mutations are not always sufficient to permit efficient transmission in humans [77]. For example, although H9N2 has an increased preference for α2–6-SA receptors compared to other IAVs, it has caused predominantly caused mild disease in few humans [3••, 78]. Furthermore, it has been established that some zoonotic influenza components are incompatible with human viruses. For example, some avian HA types and human IAV matrix protein combinations result in the production of attenuated virus [79, 80]. In ferret models of infection, several successive adaptive mutations in a number of genes are required to permit effective ferret-to-ferret transmission via the aerosol and airborne routes [81,82,83]. Poor transmissibility and mild disease associated with many zoonotic IAVs despite the presence of human-adaptive HA can partially be explained by the presence of inefficient animal IAV polymerase complexes with decreased replicative capacity in humans [84]. This limitation can be overcome by adaptive mutations, primarily in the PB2 region of the polymerase enzyme [85,86,87]. Several adaptive mutations in the polymerase complex of H5N1 have been identified as contributing to more effective replication in mammals [44, 88]. Conversely, most zoonotic H7N9 viruses that have been isolated from humans carry unique mutations in their polymerase PB2 enzyme that are absent from strains isolated from birds [19,20,21]. However, several adaptive mutations in PB1, PA, NP, and NEP have been described that are able to compensate for the poor polymerase activity of zoonotic IAVs in human cells [89]. A real-world example of this can be found in the recent swine origin H3N2 quadruple reassortant IAV which possessed a novel M protein from a Eurasian swine IAV lineage [90]. The M segment in this new strain, derived from the 2009 pandemic H1N1 (H1N1pdm09) virus, has been shown to increase NA activity, resulting in more efficient transmission in humans [91,92,93] (Fig. 3).
Epidemiology
Avian Influenza A(H5N1)
H5N1 viruses were first recognized in humans in 1997 in Hong Kong and have resulted in a substantial number of human cases since [94]. Genotyping of the novel virus revealed that all genes were of avian origin, suggestive of the fact that H5N1 had jumped the species barrier without adaptation [95]. In 2003, H5N1 re-emerged in humans when two culture-confirmed cases were detected in a family group returning to Hong Kong from China [96]. As of October 30, 2017, a total of 860 laboratory-confirmed cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) virus, including 454 deaths, had been reported since 2003 to WHO from 16 countries [97]. Human H5N1 infections have been confirmed in Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Canada, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Indonesia, Iraq, Laos, Myanmar, Nigeria, Pakistan, Thailand, Turkey, and Vietnam [97]. The largest number of annual reported human cases so far has been from Egypt in the year 2015, during which 136 cases were reported [98]; an epidemiological linkage of human contact with extensive household and farm poultry infections and no evidence of human-to-human transmission were noted in that year in Egypt. The H5N1 viruses are currently classified into 10 clades (clades 0 to 9), of which viruses in clade 0, 1, 2, and 7 have been responsible for disease in humans [99]. The viruses from human cases during 2015 to 2017 that have been characterized from Egypt belong to genetic clade 2.2.1.2, and those from Bangladesh belong to clade 2.3.2.1a [3••].
Avian Influenza A(H7N9)
On March 30, 2013, three patients from China with fatal cases of rapid, progressive pneumonia were confirmed to be infected with a novel avian-origin influenza A(H7N9) virus that had not been detected or described in humans and animals previously [15, 100]. The initial wave of avian influenza in humans occurred in the spring of 2013, between February and May 2013, during which a total of 133 cases were reported [101]. Thereafter, cases have been described in waves each year, coinciding with influenza season, with most cases occurring between December and May. Thus far, five waves of outbreaks of H7N9 in humans have been described, with the fifth, from late 2016 to 2017, the largest to date. As of September 13, 2017, the WHO has reported 764 human infections with Asian H7N9 virus during the fifth epidemic [97], which is more cases than observed in the previous four waves combined, during which 135, 320, 224, and 119 cases were reported to WHO [3••]. Among all influenza viruses assessed using CDC’s Influenza Risk Assessment Tool (IRAT), the Asian lineage avian influenza A(H7N9) virus is ranked as the influenza virus with the highest potential pandemic risk [102].
Other Avian Influenzas
As of August 2017, avian influenza H5N6 viruses has been isolated from 16 individuals in China since 2014 when first detected [3••, 103•, 104]. Influenza H9N2 viruses have been isolated mainly from children with mild, self-limited respiratory infection in southern China including Hong Kong, Bangladesh, and Egypt [105]. Avian influenza H7 viruses have also been linked to occasional human disease. Extensive outbreaks of H7N7 occurred among poultry in the Netherlands in 2003 [106]. Additional influenza H7 conjunctival and/or respiratory infections have been reported from Canada, the USA, Italy, and the UK among poultry workers [68]. Among other avian influenza viruses, the first known human case of avian influenza A H6N1 was reported from Taiwan in May 2013 [107]. The first human infection with avian influenza H10N8 was detected in China in a 73-year-old woman in December 2013 [25], and another case from China has also been reported [108]. Mild human infections with avian influenza A H10N7 have been reported previously in Egypt and Australia [108]. Although the overall public health risk from currently known influenza viruses at the human-animal interface has not changed, the likelihood of sustained human-to-human transmission of these viruses remains low. Further human infections with viruses of animal origin are expected [97].
Avian Influenza and Pandemics of the Twentieth Century
The 1918 influenza pandemic (Spanish Influenza) was the most severe pandemic in recent history. It was caused by an H1N1 virus with genes of avian origin. It is estimated that about 500 million people or one third of the world’s population became infected with this virus. The number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide. The high mortality in healthy people, including those in the 20–40 year age group, was a unique feature of this pandemic, which was unprecedented before and since [109, 110]. Thereafter, in February 1957, a new influenza A(H2N2) virus emerged in East Asia (Asian Influenza), and it caused an estimated number of 1.1 million deaths worldwide. This H2N2 virus was comprised of three different genes from an H2N2 virus that originated from an avian influenza A virus, including the H2 hemagglutinin and the N2 neuraminidase genes. The novel HA and NA antigens did not induce cross-reactive proteins from previous influenza A exposure, and hence the population at large was unprotected. Most of the deaths were attributed to primary influenza pneumonia and secondary bacterial infection, with the highest mortality rates observed in the elderly, pregnant women, and those with chronic diseases [109, 110]. The next pandemic of significance, the 1968 pandemic, was caused by an influenza A(H3N2) virus. This virus differed from its antecedent Asian virus by its HA antigen but retained the same (N2) NA antigen. It caused an estimated one million deaths worldwide, with most deaths occurring in the elderly population aged 65 and older [110].
Swine Influenza
Swine are naturally infected by IAVs and influenza C viruses (ICVs). Recent serologic studies also suggest that they can be infected with influenza B and influenza D viruses [111]. Swine play an important role in the ecology of IAVs because these animals are susceptible to viruses of both avian and mammalian lineages [111]. Pigs and humans have shared IAVs since the illness was first described among pigs in 1918–1919 during the Spanish Flu outbreak [112, 113•, 114]. Virologic studies that first isolated influenza virus from pigs were performed by Shope and Lewis in 1930 [115]. This “classical” swine H1N1 remained relatively genetically stable, while it continued to circulate within the swine population, evolving separately from the human H1N1 lineage. Swine H1N1 was subsequently isolated from a human in 1974 [116] and continued to be the isolated strain among over 40 confirmed cases of transmission of IAV from pigs to humans in the USA [112, 117]. A 1976 outbreak with a novel swine H1N1 influenza virus among soldiers at Fort Dix, NJ, demonstrated person-to-person transmission, unlike the majority of sporadic cases [117]. The epidemiology of IAV in US pigs dramatically changed after 1998 when triple-reassortant H3N2 viruses (containing gene segments from the classical swine virus, H3N2 human seasonal IAV, and avian IAV) became successfully established in the pig population [118]. When humans are infected with IAVs that are known to be genetically similar to viruses circulating in swine, these viruses are called “variant viruses” and denoted with a letter “v.” Subsequently, identified strains of swine influenza that were reported to the CDC among human infections from 2005 to 2009 were all caused by triple reassortant H1N1v or H1N2v swine influenza viruses [119].
In 2009, the first pandemic influenza outbreak of the new millennium affected more than 214 countries and was responsible for almost 18,500 deaths [120]. It was caused by an H1N1 strain that was a descendent of the strain that caused the 1918 flu pandemic [113•]. However, the unique combination of gene segments had never before been recognized in swine, and exposure to swine was not a common epidemiologic feature among human cases of pandemic influenza [118]. The virus was detected first in Mexico, followed by cases in California and then spread quickly across the world. Human influenza-like illness reports preceded documented swine outbreaks due to H1N1pdm09, and the rapid global appearance of H1N1pdm09 in pigs can be attributed to spread by humans with subsequent propagation between pigs rather than international or domestic movement of pigs [118]. Prior to this pandemic, most zoonotic influenza infections typically occurred infrequently with a sporadic pattern typical of animal to human transmission without sustained human-to-human transmission. The H1N1pdm09 strain was the first swine virus to establish sustained human-to-human transmission. Furthermore, most cases were not associated with close animal contact, unlike the sporadic cases in the past [112, 121••]. The CDC estimated that between 151,700 and 575,400 people worldwide died from 2009 H1N1 virus infection during the first year the virus circulated and that 80% of (H1N1)pdm09 virus-associated deaths were in people younger than 65 years of age [122].
Following the 2009 pandemic, a recent review of emerging influenza A infections in humans identified three reassortants that are predominantly zoonotic swine influenza variants [121••]. In late 2009, a novel A(H1N2) virus was isolated in India, containing a reassortant of A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses that were co-circulating. In the USA, a number of human infections with swine H3N2v viruses were identified in the fall of 2011 [123]. The number of cases of H3N2v rose dramatically in the late summer of 2012, to a peak of 300 cases [124]. Subsequently in 2012, swine-origin A(H1N2)v viruses were isolated in humans in the USA. These A(H1N2)v viruses were reassortants of the triple reassortant A(H1N2) viruses circulating in US Swine and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses. These cases were linked to the Minnesota state fair, isolated from humans who had been in close contact with swine [125]. There has been sporadic transmission of these newly identified variant influenza viruses since their original identification was largely restricted in the USA and Canada [121••].
Swine influenza virus infections in humans have been reported in the USA, Canada, Europe, and Asia [2, 114]. However, very little epidemiological data is available regarding the spread of these viruses in the African continent [30, 118]. Following the outbreak at Fort Dix in 1976, there was likely heightened awareness and surveillance. Unfortunately, given the significant overlap of clinical disease with seasonal human influenza, likely nonfatal cases of swine influenza continue to occur but are not reported [114]. The higher number of reported cases from the USA, despite China being the largest global producer of swine, highlights likely case ascertainment disparities and stronger animal surveillance systems in the USA [121••].
Summary
In summary, zoonotic influenza viruses that cross the animal–human divide to infect people are considered novel to humans. These viruses may acquire the ability to transmit efficiently among humans, through mutation, reassortment, or both, and are the source of emerging influenza viruses with pandemic potential; some of these have caused the important pandemics in recent history. Hosts such as swine and gallinaceous poultry that are favorable for transmission and efficient replication of both zoonotic and human viruses can serve as mixing vessels and pose the greatest risk for the development of novel reassortments that can replicate competently in humans.
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Goneau, L.W., Mehta, K., Wong, J. et al. Zoonotic Influenza and Human Health—Part 1: Virology and Epidemiology of Zoonotic Influenzas. Curr Infect Dis Rep 20, 37 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11908-018-0642-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11908-018-0642-9