Abstract
This paper presents a computer simulation-based methodology for operational support of integrated water resources management. The methodology is based on the systems approach, and use of feedback to capture physical and socio-economic processes occurring within a watershed. The approach integrates well established simulation models of physical processes with simulation models that describe socio-economic processes. The proposed methodology is illustrated by the evaluation of risk and vulnerability to changing climatic and socio-economic conditions in the Upper Thames watershed (south-western Ontario, Canada).The model results indicate that flooding in the watershed will be more severe as a result of climate change, while low flows are expected to remain at their current level. The most significant socio-economic factor in the Upper Thames watershed is water availability, shown to become under climate change a limiting factor for future growth and development.
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Prodanovic, P., Simonovic, S.P. An Operational Model for Support of Integrated Watershed Management. Water Resour Manage 24, 1161–1194 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-009-9490-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-009-9490-6