Marijuana is the most widely used illicit drug in the USA. Approximately one in five college students (20.8%) have consumed marijuana in the past 30 days (Johnston et al. 2015). Cannabis intake could lead to adverse consequences (Volkow et al. 2014) including impaired cognition (Conroy et al. 2015), car crash injury (Blows et al. 2005), diminished educational attainment (Fleming et al. 2012), school dropout (McCaffrey et al. 2010), and poorer life satisfaction (Swain et al. 2012). Studies tracking first-year college students for up to 6 years after college reveal that trajectory groups characterized by chronic and later increase in marijuana use fare poorly on multiple physical and mental health outcomes, such as functional impairment and psychological distress (Arria et al. 2016; Caldeira et al. 2012). Given national trends in decreasing perceived marijuana risk (Pacek et al. 2015) and increasing marijuana use (Hasin et al. 2015) in young adults, the study of cannabis intake is very timely in the context of marijuana legalization and policy changes in the USA and underscores the need to identify risks and consequences to inform prevention campaigns and interventions targeting college students.

The current study seeks to clarify and understand the temporal directionality of marijuana use and general self-efficacy. Research examining general self-efficacy is important as it plays a central role in the study of prevention science topics focused on curtailing undesirable behavioral outcomes and improving human functioning including better self-regulation, reduced negative affect, lower vulnerability to anxiety and depression, greater happiness, positive mental health, and better quality of life (Andersson et al. 2014; Kvarme et al. 2009; Luszczynska et al. 2005; Natvig et al. 2003). Furthermore, compromised general self-efficacy serves as a risk factor that could “spill over” and translate into lower domain-specific self-efficacy (Chen et al. 2001), a pivotal construct commonly applied and scrutinized in prevention research frameworks including the Theory of Planned Behavior (Ajzen 1991) and the Health Belief Model (Rosenstock et al. 1988). If cannabis use is revealed to be an antecedent of lower general self-efficacy, information about the risk pathway could be targeted in marijuana prevention programs to curtail use and reduce its deleterious effects on initiative, effort, and persistence.

Marijuana Use and Reductions in Motivation

Despite decades of research, the marijuana use and motivational reduction connection remains controversial (Volkow et al. 2016). The term “amotivational syndrome” was first coined by Smith (1968) to denote the diminished desire to work and compete among young people who consumed marijuana frequently. Early reports documenting the connection between cannabis intake and lack of motivation were primarily premised on clinical observations (McGlothlin and West 1968; Smith 1968). Subsequent analyses based on the Colorado Rocky Mountain longitudinal study revealed significant associations involving marijuana use and constructs in the motivation-instigation structure (Jessor et al. 1973; Jessor 1976). Specifically, greater achievement expectations and values were hypothesized to reflect motivation toward conventional goals, whereas greater independence values were proposed to reflect motivation toward nonconventional activities such as marijuana use. Results found that emphasis placed on independence compared to achievement values emerged as one of the strongest predictors of marijuana use in both high school and college students. Other studies, however, revealed that marijuana use was not significantly related to amotivation (Duncan 1987) or that the connection was instead accounted for by confounds such as personality traits (Kupfer et al. 1973; Mellinger et al. 1976).

Later investigations that tested the marijuana amotivational syndrome focused on the connections of marijuana use and motivation-related constructs in the context of the school or workplace. A narrative literature review of the topic proposed that the marijuana amotivational syndrome serves as an underlying mechanism by which early marijuana use is related to subsequently lower educational attainment (Lynskey and Hall 2000). Research has documented that college students who frequently used cannabis reported less energy, compromised productivity, increased procrastination, and greater school and work absences compared to classmates who rarely or never used (Buckner et al. 2010). Momentary ecological assessments sampling the marijuana experiences of college student users several times per day found that greater cravings and the number of minutes smoking marijuana forecasted poorer academic motivation and achievement (Phillips et al. 2015). Research also shows that increases in marijuana use anticipated decreases in grade point average and a longer time to graduate from college (Arria et al. 2015). Furthermore, college students with a history of frequent marijuana use were likely have plans to delay graduation or drop out of college entirely (Suerken et al. 2016).

In addition to the aforementioned correlational research, experimental investigations support the impact of marijuana use on motivation-related constructs. The receipt of inhaled dosages of marijuana in a controlled laboratory setting diminishes motivation to perform a task (Cherek et al. 2002). Using a two-option (work vs. nonwork) experimental task that varied in reinforcement contingencies, adolescents with marijuana in their bodies (detected in urine samples) switched from the work to nonwork option more quickly than the control group of nonusers (Lane et al. 2005), suggesting that cannabis consumers were not as persistent. The performance detriment in users held even after statistically controlling for gender, cognitive aptitude, and diagnoses of conduct problems.

General Self-Efficacy as a Motivation-Related Construct

The concept of self-efficacy was first proposed by Bandura (1977) as part of his unified theory of behavioral change. Self-efficacy is the belief in one’s own ability to pursue, organize, and implement goal-directed behaviors (Bandura 1994). Bandura (1977) distinguished between efficacy and outcome expectations, with the former linking person to behavior and the latter linking behavior to outcome. In this framework, a person’s own efficacy expectations reflect motivation in initiating and persisting in a behavior. Although early research focused on self-efficacy specific to behaviors, tasks, and situations, later work led to the development of a global self-efficacy measure that was not context dependent (Sherer et al. 1982). Factor analysis of the general self-efficacy scale yielded three underlying dimensions (Bosscher and Smit 1998): initiative (confidence in starting a new behavior), effort (willingness to put in the hard work for a behavior), and persistence (perseverance and tenacity to perform a behavior in face of uncertainty). These three independent, yet correlated, subscales capture motivational belief components in the overall capability to perform behaviors.

The literature reveals only two studies that have investigated the association between general motivation or self-efficacy and marijuana use. Barnwell et al. (2006) found that daily marijuana users did not differ in their level of global motivation compared to abstainers of marijuana use. Grevenstein et al. (2016) found that lower general self-efficacy longitudinally predicted higher marijuana use, but the study did not evaluate the reverse temporal direction of the two variables or report analyses disaggregated by self-efficacy subscales.

Current Study

The present investigation tests the amotivational syndrome by examining the connections of marijuana use and general self-efficacy subscales (initiative, effort, and persistence) in a sample of young adults measured in two rounds separated by a month. The study addresses several limitations of prior research. First, marijuana use associations with each of the three general self-efficacy subscales have not been tested previously. A nuanced possibility is that using this psychoactive substance might be related to lower levels for some, but not all, of the general self-efficacy subscales. Only the general self-efficacy subscales identified to be significant should be meaningfully targeted in prevention efforts, risk-reduction campaigns, and interventions.

Second, pertinent covariates were incorporated into analyses. The marijuana use and amotivation pathway could be attenuated by personality traits (Kupfer et al. 1973; Mellinger et al. 1976), especially high agreeableness and low conscientiousness (Fridberg et al. 2011; Terracciano et al. 2008), so statistically eliminating these factors as rival explanations of general self-efficacy is ideal. Alcohol and tobacco use (Keith et al. 2015; Suerken et al. 2014) might co-occur with marijuana use, and therefore, these other substances should be statistically controlled as competing predictors of general self-efficacy.

Third, the current research pursues a longitudinal design (Lac 2016; Lac and Crano 2016) to address the methodological limitation of cross-sectional research unable to evaluate cannabis intake as a temporal antecedent of self-efficacy reductions. Even in previous experimental and longitudinal research, usually only a single directional process (marijuana use to motivation-related construct) was tested and the reverse process of events (motivation-related construct to marijuana use) was rarely empirically tested and scrutinized as a competing process (Cherek et al. 2002; Grevenstein et al. 2016; Jessor et al. 1973; Lane et al. 2005). A central tenet of the amotivational syndrome is that cannabis intake leads to amotivation (not the other way around). Thus, a cross-lagged panel design to scrutinize the directionality of marijuana and general self-efficacy would address this gap in the literature.

Two sets of analyses were pursued. In hierarchical regression models, baseline marijuana usage was specified to longitudinally predict each general self-efficacy subscale (initiative, effort, and persistence). The covariates incorporated and ruled out as confounds included baseline demographics (age, gender, and race), personality (extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, openness, and neuroticism), other substances (alcohol and tobacco), and self-efficacy (initiative, effort, and persistence). In the cross-lagged panel model, initiative, effort, and persistence; alcohol use; cigarette use; and marijuana use were specified in both rounds to estimate the temporal precedence of events. Considering that the amotivational syndrome is typically ascribed to the properties of cannabis (not other substances), marijuana use was hypothesized to longitudinally predict reduced general self-efficacy (might depend on the subscale), but alcohol use and tobacco use were expected to be unrelated to general self-efficacy.

Method

Participants

The sample of 505 undergraduate students averaged 19.06 years (SD = 1.32) of age. Gender distribution consisted of 69.9% females and 30.1% males. Racial classification included 62.8% White, 14.9% Latino, 5.0% Black, and 17.4% Asian.

Procedure

Students were compensated with subject pool or extra credit in psychology courses for participation. After enrolling in the study, each participant received an email that contained a confidential and secure link to the web-based questionnaire (T1). The electronic consent form was followed by assurances of confidentiality and the questionnaire items. Participants completed the follow-up questionnaire 1 month later (T2). During each administration, participants received up to two reminders via email to complete the study. The final sample for analyses consisted of 505 (out of 575) participants who provided complete responses in both periods. Completers and noncompleters did not significantly (p > .05) differ on age, gender, and race. A University IRB approved this study.

Measures

Marijuana Use

The marijuana intake question (“On how many days in the past 30 days did you use marijuana?”) required an open-ended quantitative response from 0 to 30.

Other Substance Use

Alcohol use (“On how many days in the past 30 days did you use alcohol?”) and cigarette (“On how many days in the past 30 days did you use cigarettes?”) use were measured. Participants entered open-ended quantitative responses from 0 to 30.

General Self-efficacy

The General Self-Efficacy Scale (Sherer et al. 1982) is based on three factors (Bosscher and Smit 1998). The subscales were initiative (e.g., “If something looks too complicated I will not even bother to try it”; three items; T1 α = 0.90; T2 α = 0.90), effort (e.g., “If I can’t do a job the first time, I keep trying until I can”; five items; T1 α = 0.83; T2 α = 0.87), and persistence (e.g., “When unexpected problems occur, I don’t handle them very well”; four items; T1 α = 0.84; T2 α = 0.88). Response anchors ranged from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree). Responses to the negatively phrased items were reverse scored. Higher subscale mean scores represented higher self-efficacy.

Exploratory factor analysis applying common factor (principal axis factoring) extraction and oblique (oblimin) rotation was performed on the T1 items of the General Self-Efficacy Scale. The eigenvalue greater >1 criterion (Kaiser 1960), scree plot (Cattell 1966), and simple structure in interpretability of factor loadings (Gorsuch 1983) all supported a three-factor solution. Item loadings (pattern matrix) ranged from 0.64 to 0.87 for initiative, 0.54 to 0.82 for effort, and 0.58 to 0.87 for persistence. The interfactor correlations were 0.45 for initiative and effort, 0.44 for initiative and persistence, and 0.52 for effort and persistence. Exploratory factor analysis on the T2 items corroborated the three-factor solution.

Personality

The Big Five personality taxonomy (Costa and McCrae 1995) was captured with the 44-item version (John 1990; John and Srivastava 1999). The subscales included extraversion (e.g., “Is outgoing, sociable”; eight items; α = 0.88), agreeableness (e.g., “Is considerate and kind to almost everyone”; nine items; α = 0.79), conscientiousness (e.g., “Makes plans and follows through with them”; nine items; α = 0.79), openness (e.g., “Is inventive”; ten items; α = 0.77), and neuroticism (e.g., “Can be moody”; eight items; α = 0.81). Options ranged from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree). Responses to negatively phrased items were reverse scored. Higher subscale mean scores represented greater levels of the traits.

Analytic Plan

The substance use variables of marijuana, alcohol, and cigarette possessed non-normal distributional properties (Tabachnick and Fidell 2012): Skewness ranged from 1.27 to 4.30 and kurtosis from 2.18 to 19.15. The medians and interquartile ranges were as follows: T1 alcohol (4; 1 to 8), T1 cigarette (0; 0 to 0), T1 marijuana (0; 0 to 1), T2 alcohol (4; 1 to 7), T2 cigarette (0; 0 to 0), and T2 marijuana (0; 0 to 1). Thus, each substance use variable was binary transformed (0 = nonuse, 1 = use).

The hierarchical (sequential) multiple regression analyses (Tabachnick and Fidell 2012; Warner 2013) served to statistically control for covariates potentially responsible for the longitudinal connection from marijuana use to lower general self-efficacy (Crano and Lac 2012). The T2 outcomes of initiative, effort, and persistence were estimated in three separate hierarchal regression models predicted by T1 measures. In each model, the simple contribution of marijuana status (0 = nonuser, 1 = user) was entered in step 1. Step 2 accounted for the demographic characteristics of age, gender (0 = male, 1 = female), and race (0 = racial minority, 1 = Caucasian). The personality traits of extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, openness, and neuroticism were entered into step 3. Step 4 evaluated the contribution of other substances including alcohol (0 = nonuser, 1 = user) and cigarette (0 = nonuser, 1 = user). Finally, the baseline self-efficacy subscales of initiative, effort, and persistence were entered in step 5. The highest variance inflation factor (VIF) value of 1.91 indicated no multicollinearity problems (Tabachnick and Fidell 2012).

The cross-lagged panel analysis involving initiative, effort, persistence, alcohol use, cigarette use, and marijuana use was comprehensively estimated in a hybrid model combining linear multiple regression and binary logistic regression. Accordingly, path coefficients to quantiative outcomes (T2 initiative, effort, and persistence) represent multiple regression beta weights, whereas coeffficients to binary outcomes (T2 alcohol, cigarette, and marijuana) represent adjusted odds ratios. The testing of both types of statistical techniques in a single hybrid model was possible using Mplus software (Muthén and Muthén 2010) and maximum-likelihood estimation. The program does not permit the specification of error term correlations involving binary and quantiative outcomes in the integrative model (Muthén and Muthén 2010).

Cross-lagged panel models are pursued for the purpose of making inferences regarding the temporal precedence of a set of constructs in nonexperimental research (Kenny 1975; Shadish et al. 2002). Cross-lagged panel models contain three types of statistical relations (Crano et al. 2015; Lac 2016; Locascio 1982; Shadish et al. 2002). Synchronous correlations represent the nondirectional associations of different variables assessed in the same round (e.g., T1 initaitive and T1 marijuana use). Autoregressive paths indicate the magnitude of a variable assessed in a prior round predicting its subsequent measurement (e.g., T1 initiative to T2 initiative), while statistically controlling for all other lagged antecedent measures. These test-retest relations, reflecting temporal stability coefficients, almost always emerge as the strongest coefficients in the model. The cross-lagged paths of a variable from an earlier round predicting a different variable at a later round are most relevant in testing the temporal precedeence of constructs (e.g., T1 marijuana use to T2 initiative). Directionality is evidenced if a cross-lagged path attains significance after controlling for all paths and antecedent measures in the model.

Results

Hierarchical Multiple Regression Models

The sample consisted of 27.5% marijuana users (72.5% nonusers), 76.1% alcohol users (23.8% nonusers), and 16.0% cigarette users (84.0% nonusers). Hierarchical regression analyses controlling for covariates of the T1 marijuana use to T2 self-efficacy connection are presented in Table 1. Model 1 shows the T1 variables in predicting T2 initiative. Marijuana use (compared to nonuse) longitudinally predicted lower initiative (step 1). The final model (step 5) involving the simultaneous entry of all predictors reveals that marijuana use (vs. nonuse), lower initiative, lower effort, and lower persistence forecasted lower T2 initiative.

Table 1 Hierarchial multiple regression of T1 measures predicting T2 initiative, effort, and persistence

Model 2 as presented in Table 1 shows the T1 variables in predicting T2 effort. Marijuana use (vs. nonuse) entered as the only predictor contributed to T2 compromised effort (step 1). After concurrently accounting for demographics and personality (step 3), the marijuana use (vs. nonuse) variable remained predictive of lower T2 effort. However, after additionally controlling for alcohol and tobacco use (step 4), the marijuana status to effort pathway was attenuated and no longer significant. In the final model (step 5), only conscientiousness and effort uniquely contributed to T2 effort.

Model 3 as presented in Table 1 shows the T1 variables in predicting T2 persistence. Marijuana use (vs. nonuse) entered by itself contributed to lower T2 persistence (step 1). After controlling for all covariates (step 5), marijuana use (vs. nonuse), higher neuroticism, and lower persistence (step 5) forecasted lower T2 persistence.

Figure 1 shows the mean scores for the general self-efficacy subscales tracked across both measurement rounds as a function of T1 marijuana status. The mean scores presented in this figure adjusted for the regression analysis covariates in Table 1.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Self-efficacy subscales as a function of T1 marijuana status (adjusted means and standard errors controlling for the same covariates in Table 1)

Cross-Lagged Panel Model

The cross-lagged panel model tested initiative, effort, persistence, alcohol use, cigarette use, and marijuana use in both rounds. All possible saturated combinations of synchronous correlations in T1, autoregressive paths from T1 to T2, and cross-lagged paths from T1 to T2 were estimated. All paths were retained and controlled for regardless of whether coefficients attained significance, with only the significant paths of the model diagrammed in Fig. 2. In examining the T1 synchronous correlations, the three general self-efficacy subscales were significantly associated, and the three substance use measures were significantly associated. Furthermore, T1 marijuana use (vs. nonuse) was significantly correlated with T1 lower effort. As expected, every possible autoregressive path of the same variable assessed in different rounds (e.g., T1 initiative to T2 initiative; T1 marijuana use to T2 marijuana use) emerged as significant.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Cross-lagged panel model. All possible combinations of correlations involving T1 measures, as well as test-retest and cross-lagged paths from T1 to T2, are controlled in the model. For diagrammatic clarity, only significant (p < .05) coefficients are displayed. Coefficients to T2 initiative, effort, and persistence represent (adjusted) beta weights. Coefficients to T2 alcohol, cigarettes, and marijuana represent (adjusted) odds ratios. E = predictive error

Next, the cross-lagged paths were evaluated (Fig. 2). The general self-efficacy subscales as outcomes were interpreted first. Lower T2 initiative was longitudinally predicted by lower effort, lower persistence, and marijuana use (vs. nonuse). T2 effort was predicted by persistence. Antecedents of lower T2 persistence were lower effort and marijuana use (vs. nonuse). The substance use outcomes were interpreted next. T2 alcohol use was preceded by cigarette use; T2 cigarette use was predicted by lower persistence and marijuana intake; and T2 marijuana use was anticipated by alcohol and cigarette use. Results, taken together, reveal that the temporal precedence of events is that marijuana use promotes subsequently lower scores on two general self-efficacy subscales, but the opposite processes from reduced self-efficacy subscales to marijuana use were untenable.

Discussion

The marijuana amotivational syndrome postulates that marijuana users are more likely than nonusers to experience apathy and passivity, which may lead to loss in productivity and aversion of goal-oriented behaviors. Although past research has documented that marijuana use is related to poorer academic outcomes in adolescents and young adults (Arria et al. 2015; Phillips et al. 2015; Suerken et al. 2016), it is not entirely clear whether these connections are specific to academic domains or can be generalized to wider motivation-based constructs such as general self-efficacy. The current study applied a longitudinal design to elucidate the possibility of reciprocal relations involving marijuana use and general confidence (as represented by three self-efficacy subscales). Contrary to a recent investigation showing that general self-efficacy is longitudinally related to lower marijuana intake but did not test the process in the opposite direction (Grevenstein et al. 2016), we found that the risk pathways from marijuana use to initiative and persistence emerged as significant. Moreover, these effects remained robust even after controlling for a variety of covariates. The prediction of marijuana use on the lower effort subscale was significant without controlling for covariates, and remained significant after controlling for demographics and personality factors, but became attenuated upon inclusion of other substances. Overall, the pattern of results is mostly consistent with the amotivational syndrome and supports hypotheses positing marijuana as an antecedent of compromised general self-efficacy.

Cannabis use was a significant predictor of lower initiative and persistence over a 1-month period in the study. In contrast to early investigations utilizing lifetime measures of marijuana use (e.g., Duncan 1987; McGlothlin and West 1968), the current investigation focused on the more recent period of past month usage. The findings from our study are similar to results applying a recent measurement interval of intake. One investigation, for example, demonstrated that a brief and immediate exposure to marijuana ingested in the laboratory curtailed motivation in performance tasks (e.g. Cherek et al. 2002; Lane et al. 2005). In the broader context of mixed findings in the literature, our investigation emphasizes the importance of specifying a suitable time frame to assess the relation between cannabis use and motivation-related outcomes. Possibly, past year or lifetime measures of cannabis intake may be less sensitive in detecting the recent psychoactive effects of the substance on the motivation to pursue, accomplish, and sustain behaviors. As such, the link from cannabis use to lower motivation-based constructs may emerge only when the investigation focuses on usage during a reasonably recent period, such as within the past day, week, or month. Future research should measure past usage of different intervals to refine the methodological understanding of the cannabis consumption to self-efficacy link based on the recency of intake.

Marijuana users reported lower levels of effort than nonusers in T1 (users also would score lower than nonusers in T2 if covariates were not incorporated). The connection between marijuana use and lower effort could preexist prior to the start of this investigation especially among chronic and long-term marijuana users. The start of this study was not based on a particular transitional or developmental period that marks the initiation or progression of marijuana use. Although speculative, the identified past month marijuana users in the current research may have been longer-term users, so that the baseline measurement of the effort subscale exhibited a significant difference between users and nonusers. In the hierarchical regression analysis, the marijuana use to effort connection was no longer significant after controlling for alcohol and tobacco use, suggesting that these other substances in combination may serve as rival explanations of the temporal reduction in this self-efficacy factor.

This study possesses two notable strengths to enable stronger statistical inferences, including the application of a longitudinal design and statistically ruling out of pertinent covariates. Given that the current research provides support for the temporal link from marijuana use to general self-efficacy, findings could inform the construction of educational materials for mass media campaigns and interventions. Perceived risk of marijuana use is strongly associated with marijuana use (Merrill 2015), so current findings showing associations of marijuana use and lower scores on two self-efficacy subscales could be applied to the design of informational messages to correct misperceptions of marijuana use risk. In motivational interviewing (Miller and Rollnick 2012), college counselors could draw on the current findings as a conversational centerpiece regarding the advantages and disadvantages of cannabis in the context of motivation, self-efficacy, pursuit of personal goals, and behavioral change ambivalence in student users (Walker et al. 2011). Finally, the findings provide informational insights for clinicians to share with clients who use marijuana and encounter motivational problems.

Findings should be interpreted in the context of limitations. First, all study variables were measured using self-report, a data collection method that might be susceptible to recall bias. Second, although marijuana use is normative in college students (Fleming et al. 2012), the sample of undergraduate students enrolled in psychology courses may limit the generalizability of findings. Future research should replicate and extend the findings using noncollege attending youth and high risk adults. Third, marijuana use was treated as a binary variable due to the predominance of nonusers, so the research does not provide information about the dose-response effect of marijuana use on general self-efficacy subscales. The pursuit of such an investigation would be most appropriate with a clinical sample that uses frequently. Fourth, general self-efficacy is conceptualized as a broad and encompassing efficacy construct not specific to a target behavior. Future research could examine domain-specific self-efficacy as potential outcomes. Finally, although many relevant covariates were accounted for in the analyses, this listing is not exhaustive. Other important constructs such as social rejection, deviant peer affiliation, internalizing symptoms, and decreased enthusiasm for participation in conventional activities should be considered in future studies to evaluate additional mechanistic pathways (Jessor et al. 1973; Jessor 1976; Kupfer et al. 1973).

In summary, despite the pivotal role of the general self-efficacy in multiple domains of human functioning (Luszczynska et al. 2005), research has neglected to examine reciprocal associations involving cannabis use and general self-efficacy subscales. The study was the first to utilize cross-lagged panel modeling to elucidate the directionality of these measures. Results found that marijuana use longitudinally predicted lower initiative and persistence, whereas the reversed directional processes were unsupported. The investigation also advances the research by documenting the unique contributions of marijuana use on general self-efficacy factors, with results varying depending on the subscale scrutinized. Future prevention research should examine possible risk and mechanistic pathways from marijuana use to other negative consequences that might ensue due to general self-efficacy reductions.