Abstract
Long-term wave data play a crucial role in arriving the wave criteria for ports and harbors and shore protection structures. Seasonal and annual wave characteristics are studied based on wave data collected for the year 1994, 2008–2009 and 2013–2014 off Gopalpur, northwestern Bay of Bengal (BoB). The tropical cyclones ensued in BoB hit the coast frequently causing severe erosion due to extreme waves. The sea and swell waves are separated by wave steepness method, and the significant wave height (H s), zero-crossing period and mean wave direction are examined. The results indicate a distinct shift in sea direction by 90° during mid-November to mid-February compared with rest of the year. Throughout the year, predominant swell direction is 160°. In an annual cycle, the contribution of swells in wave height is slightly higher than that of the seas. Annual occurrences of single-, double- and multi-peaked spectra are 22, 40 and 38 %, respectively. The waves are predominant southerly during the southwest monsoon (June, July, August and September) and south-southeasterly for rest of the year, and the variations of wave parameters for three different years are trivial. The spectral wave model MIKE 21 is used to simulate wave characteristics using reanalyzed NCEP wind data for the period June 2008 to May 2009 which exhibits good agreement with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.86 for H s. The design significant wave height of 7.1 m and 7.8 m is calculated for 10 and 100 years of return periods, respectively, by Weibull distribution.
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1 Introduction
Waves are dominant features in the coastal zones; knowledge on its characteristics is essential for the designing of coastal projects, shore protection measures and other civil and military coastal activities (Coastal Engineering Manual 2008). Waves generated by the wind are complex, consisting of superimposed multitude of components of varying heights and periodicity (Sorensen 2006). As the sea state is composed of locally generated seas and swells of distant storms, the wave energy spectra often show two or more spectral peaks corresponding to different generating sources (Hanson and Phillips 1999). Identification and separation of sea and swell provide a realistic depiction of the sea state and are of great importance to both scientific and engineering applications (Wang and Hwang 2001).
The incidence of tropical cyclone is a regular feature in pre-monsoon (May) and post-monsoon (October and November) over Bay of Bengal (BoB) and experiences three to six tropical cyclones (TC) annually, with increase in the intensity (Alam et al. 2003; Mohapatra and Mohanty 2004; Balaguru et al. 2014). The semi-enclosed northern BoB basin with shallow continental shelf, low-lying flat coastal terrain and high population density increases the societal importance despite lower TC formation rate in the BoB compared with Atlantic and Pacific basins (Webster 2008; Islam and Peterson 2009; Mcphaden et al. 2009). Storm-generated wave, coupled with locally generated wind, creates complex characteristics in the nearshore region and primarily causes erosion (loss of sediment) and increase in sea level (storm surge), which are threats to the life and wealth of the coastal community (Rao et al. 2007; Amrutha et al. 2014). Therefore, the wave characteristics during cyclone need to be accessed carefully due to its severity.
Wave modeling provides information of wave propagation across the continental shelf to the nearshore area. Observations along Indian coast indicate that the generation, growth and decay of wind waves are generally congruent with the prevailing wind regime and their seasonality; variability in the wave spectrum at a given site depends on the frequency and intensity of tropical storms that contributes to the regional wave climate considerably (Glejin et al. 2013; Kumar et al. 2014). Kumar et al. (2003) have reported that about 60 % of the wave spectra are multi-peaked, sea-dominated double-peaked wave spectra were seen during June to September, and single-peaked spectra are observed mostly when the significant wave height (H s) is more than 2 m. Aboobacker et al. (2009) reported the existence of seas along with ‘Young’ swells in BoB, and single-peaked spectra are observed during extreme events, wherein all the energies are concentrated in low-frequency region.
The design of offshore or coastal structures usually takes a reference of the maximum wave height during storms so that structures can withstand for many years. The parameter chosen to describe such conditions is wave height with 50- to 100-year return value. As the coast experiences 3–6 tropical cyclones every year, the design wave height estimate is a prerequisite for port and coastal development activities.
Gopalpur is located along northwestern part of Bay of Bengal, a fairly straight coastline with an orientation of 48°E to north (Fig. 1). The weather is primarily governed by monsoons and rough sea-state conditions experienced during low-pressure systems, cyclones in BoB (Mishra et al. 2011). During 1987, an open-coast port was constructed by excavating the backshore and connecting it through a 250-m-wide channel. Usually, ships are anchored at midstream at a distance of 2 km from the shore, and cargo was loaded and discharged through lighters, and two piers are constructed for dredging and handling cargos. Since 2007, the port is under renovation to an all-weather open seaport. As long-term wave data collection is limited, expensive and logistically difficult, wave data collected for selected periods (1994, 2008–2009 and 2013–2014) during the last two decades are evaluated for the annual and inter-annual wave climate distribution, monthly and seasonal sea and swell characteristics and sea state during cyclones for design of coastal structures and from other shoreline management point of view (Kumar et al. 2003; Mishra et al. 2011; Murty et al. 2014). The nearshore wave climate is estimated using the spectral wave model (DHI 2011) and validated with the observed wave data.
2 Materials, methods and models
2.1 Data
Wave observations off Gopalpur (19°15.5′N and 84°54.4′E) at 23 m water depth from June 1, 2008, to May 31, 2009, are made using Datawell directional waverider buoy (Datawell 2006). The data are recorded for 30-min duration at every one-hour interval and sampled at a frequency of 1.28 Hz. Past wave data for Gopalpur (~15 m depth) were obtained from National Institute of Oceanography (NIO), Goa, for one year during January to December 1994 (Kumar et al. 2003). Similarly, wave data for the period June 2013 to May 2014 are obtained from the ongoing wave watch program for Gopalpur (at a depth of ~12 m) through INCOIS, Hyderabad (Murty et al. 2014). The wave parameters, viz. maximum wave height (H max), significant wave height (H s), zero-crossing wave period (T z) and wave period corresponding to maximum spectral energy (T p), are obtained through spectral analysis. Wave data of three different time periods are compiled to assess the monthly, seasonal and inter-annual variabilities.
The information on cyclone parameters is collected from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), New Delhi. The water level variations were recorded at Gopalpur port for June 2008 to May 2009 using a Valeport tide gauge, and harmonic analysis was performed to estimate the tidal and non-tidal (surge) component (Mishra et al. 2014).
2.2 Methods
The separation of sea and swell components from the wave spectra for the period June 2008 to May 2009 was derived following standard wave steepness method of National Data Buoy Center (Gilhousen and Hervey 2001). Estimations are made by selecting a separation frequency f s that partitions the wave spectrum into its sea and swell parts and their components, viz. significant wave height (H sw and H ss), zero-crossing period (T sw and T ss) and mean wave direction (θ sw and θ ss). The steepness function \(\xi (f)\) and separation frequency f s are given by Eqs. 1 and 2.
where f m is the frequency of maximum of \(\xi (f)\), g is the acceleration due to gravity, m 0 and m 2 are the zero- and second-order spectral moments and C = 0.75 is empirically determined constant (Gilhousen and Hervey 2001).
Extreme value analysis was performed following Weibull probability distribution using statistical model MAVE_FIT (SANDS 2013) to predict the values for the selected return periods. In this model, the parameters of the parametric distribution functions are estimated from sets of observations by applying the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) technique. These probability distribution functions (PDF) are assumed to be the parent distributions of the observations in terms of the probability that, for a random event, the stochastic variable x does not exceed the value x.
2.3 Model setup
The MIKE 21 Spectral Wave Model of DHI is a third-generation spectral wind wave model based on unstructured meshes. The model simulates the growth, decay and transformation of wind-generated waves and swells in offshore and coastal areas. It includes the wave growth by action of wind, nonlinear wave–wave interaction, dissipation due to whitecapping, dissipation due to bottom friction, dissipation due to depth-induced wave breaking, refraction and shoaling due to depth variations, wave–current interaction, effect of time-varying water depth and flooding and drying.
The model is based on numerical integration of wave action balance equation formulated in Cartesian coordinates (Komen et al. 1996; Young 1999). The discretization of the governing equation in geographical and spectral space is performed using cell-centered finite volume method. In the geographical domain, an unstructured mesh technique is used. The details of the model equations and their solution are explained in DHI user manual (2011). The bathymetry of the study area was prepared using the observed nearshore (up to 20 m) echo sounding data, the ETOPO1 (Earth Topography—1 min) and MIKE C-Map data (Fig. 2). The model is executed using NCEP (2009) winds with a resolution of 2.5° × 2.5° at every 6-h interval.
3 Results and discussion
A number of studies describing the annual wave climate, sea and swell characteristics and their seasonality for east coast India are available (Sundar 1986; Chandramohan et al. 1988; Chauhan 1995; Kumar et al. 2003, 2008, 2014; Suresh et al. 2010; Aboobacker et al. 2011; Amrutha et al. 2014). Mostly, the nearshore wave characteristics of western BoB are described under the following three seasons, viz. southwest monsoon (June to September), post-monsoon (October to December) and non-monsoon or the fair weather period (January to May). However, based on the observed wave variability for Gopalpur, we regrouped the data under four categories, viz. southwest (SW) monsoon (June to September), post-monsoon (October and November), fair weather (December to February) and pre-monsoon (March to May). The wave intensity is high during SW monsoon, low in post-monsoon, very low during fair weather and moderate during pre-monsoon (Mishra et al. 2011).
3.1 Observed wind and wave off Gopalpur during 2008–2009
Wind and wave data for the period 2008–2009 are analyzed to understand the land–sea breeze interactions on prevailing wave characteristics and their intra- and inter-annual variabilities. Table 1 shows the range and mean values for wind speed, wave heights (H max, H s, H sw and H ss), wave periods (T z, T sw, T ss and T p), spectral energy (E max), width (ε), narrowness (ν) and peakedness (Q p) parameters. Maximum wave height (H max) of the order of 5.22 and 5.37 m was observed on July 29 and August 11, 2008. In addition to this, H max exceeding 4 m was also noticed during September 2008, November 2008 and May 2009 coinciding with cyclonic events in BoB, i.e., depression (September 16–18, 2008), KhaiMuk (November 14–16, 2008), Bijli (April 14–16, 2009) and Aila (May 24–26, 2009).
Wind data for Gopalpur clearly demonstrate the prevalence of a strong seasonality in the annual wind pattern associated with reversing monsoons. From June to September, the southwest monsoon prevails and the predominant wind direction is southwesterly followed by southerly. The wind speed is relatively higher (>4 m/s) during 40 % of days, and a maximum wind speed of 8 m/s or more was observed during extreme events. During post-monsoon, the dominant wind direction is northerly followed by easterly with an average wind speed of 2.5 m/s. During December to February, northwesterly winds prevail and in March winds become more easterly. The transition months (March to May) are different from other seasons, and the wind speed is relatively higher, sometimes exceeding more than 8 m/s. The dominant wind direction is southerly followed by southwesterly.
3.1.1 Sea and land breeze
Sea and land breeze are generated by thermally induced local circulation found in the coastal regions and driven by differences in heating rates over land and the sea. The diurnal variation of sea and land breeze circulation is an essential aspect of the phenomenon, and the important characteristics are frequency of occurrence, intensity and duration, time of onset and cessations (Furberg et al. 2002). The wind data available at 10-min intervals for the period September 2008 to May 2009 are analyzed, and the sea and land breeze arrival and cessation are computed on monthly basis (Fig. 3).
At morning, the sea breeze gradually sets around 9–11 a.m. with the change in wind direction from NNW to SSE (Fig. 3). During September, the frequency of occurrence of sea-land breeze is minimum, and no particular trend exists. From October to January, the onset of sea breeze starts around 9 a.m. and completely changes from land to sea breeze in 2 h and continues till 7–8 p.m. The cessation of sea breeze and arrival of land breeze is very slow and takes roughly 4–5 h. The onset of sea breeze is comparatively early during February and March, i.e., around 8:30 a.m., with one-hour transition period changing from land to sea and remaining active for long time (12–14 h). During April and May, the frequency of occurrences of sea–land breeze is less than 20 %. The pre-monsoon and SW monsoon, the wind is dominated by southerly and southwesterly, and thus, the frequency of occurrence of sea–land breeze is minimum.
3.1.2 Significant wave height
The significant wave height (H s) for one-year period (2008–2009) ranged from 0.26 to 3.29 m with an average of 1.06 m, and the distribution is shown in Fig. 4a. During the southwest monsoon months (JJAS), H s ranged from 0.7 to 3.29 m with an average of 1.49 m; post-monsoon (ON) values are from 0.4 to 2.18 m with a mean value of 0.88 m. Similarly, during the fair weather months (DJF), H s ranged from 0.26 to 1.83 m with an average of 0.53 m, and pre-monsoon/transition months (MAM) recorded a range of 0.35–2.19 m with an average of 1.09 m.
The percentage distribution of significant wave height during pre-monsoon months shows that 50 % of waves are about 1–2 m high and the remaining 50 % are between 0.4 and 1.0 m. During SW monsoon, 80 % of waves are between 1.2 and 2 m and about 10 % of waves are between 2.2 and 3.4 m. During post-monsoon, 92 % of the waves are between 0.6 and 1.2 m and 41 % of the waves are 0.8–1 m. During the fair weather season, the wave intensity is less; about 94 % of waves are between 0.2 and 0.8 m. The maximum value of H s exceeding 2 m was observed mostly during July and August due to consistent high wind conditions in the BoB during depressions. The maximum value of H s less than 1 m was recorded mostly during December and January, and the lowest wave activity (0.26–0.71 m) occurred in December 2008.
3.1.3 Zero-crossing wave period
The distribution of zero-crossing periods (T z) is shown in Fig. 4b. T z has a wider range (2–14 s) during pre-monsoon (MAM) and narrow range (4–9 s) during SW monsoon. Though during pre-monsoon the T z varies over a wider range, nearly 87 % fall within 4–6 s. During monsoon, T z in the range of 5–8 s contributes nearly 99 % of the distribution and 5–6 and 6–7 s group shares nearly 73 %. During post-monsoon (October to November), 87 % of T z distribution is shared by 5–9 s. During fair weather months, 97 % of T z falls between 4 and 8 s; 71 % are in a narrow range of 4–6 s.
3.1.4 Peak wave period
The peak wave period ranged from 2.2 to 20 s with an average of 11.16 s and standard deviation (SD) of 3.36 s. The distribution of peak wave period is presented in Fig. 4c. During SW monsoon, T p ranged from 5 to 20 s and shows occurrence of two different wave groups. A narrow range of waves with peak wave period of 7–10 s contribute 50 % of the total distribution and 23 % of the distribution in the range of 14–17 s. The peak period distribution during post-monsoon mainly ranged between 9 and 15 s (81 %) and about 22 % falls in the range of 11–12 s. During fair weather period, T p is distributed in a wider range (2–20 s), but a major percentage (74 %) is shared by 11–15 s. During transition months, T p ranged from 3 to 20 s and almost uniformly distributed.
3.1.5 Mean wave direction
The time-series plot of mean wave direction is shown in Fig. 4d. Annually, the mean wave direction ranged in 72° and 280° with respect to north, with mean wave direction of 166°, and the variation is narrow, throughout the year. Seasonally, the ranges of wave direction in June to September, October to November, December to February and March to May are 82° to 211°, 80° to 210°, 90° to 180° and 76° to 280° with mean direction of 169°, 166°, 159° and 158°, respectively. SSE waves are dominant throughout the year and do not follow the conventional seasonal wind regime of southwest and northeast.
3.2 Sea and swell wave characteristics
The variation of wave heights (H sw, H ss, H s), zero-crossing periods (T sw, T ss, T z), mean wave directions (θ sw, θ ss, θ) and percentage of occurrence of sea and swell to H s are plotted in Fig. 5a–d. Annually, 51.5 % of waves are dominant by sea and 48.5 % by swell; dominance of swell over sea is observed during October to January and March. Maximum swell dominance occurs during the month October (89.8 %), and maximum sea dominance is observed during April (86.3 %). On seasonal basis, sea waves dominate during JJAS (62.5 %) and MAM (70 %), whereas swells dominate during ON and DJF (77 and 63 %), respectively. The coast experiences predominate swell waves during post-monsoon and fair weather period, whereas seas are dominant during pre-monsoon and SW monsoon. However, an earlier study along the west coast (Aboobacker et al. 2011) reported dominance of swell (>90 %) during June to September and more than 75 % during October to December. In Cuddalore region, southeast coast of India, the seas and swells are dominated by 76 and 24 %, annually (Patra and Jena 2012). The contribution of swells to H s is 63.2 % and that of seas is 36.8 % along Visakhapattnam coast during June to September (Suresh et al. 2010). Regression analysis between H s and H sw indicates a better correlation of 0.91 compared with 0.87 H s and H ss. The wave height due to the locally generated seas from different directions contributes more in H s, which confirms that the estimated magnitude of H s is mainly contributed by seas than by swell waves.
The wave period (T z) ranges from 2.6 to 13.8 s, with an average of 5.7 s and mean T sw and T ss of 4.1 and 11.2 s, respectively. Measured T z is uniformly distributed: 3–5 s for T sw, 4–7 s for T z and 9–12 s for T ss (Fig. 5b).
There is a distinct shift in sea wave direction between mid-November to mid-February and rest of the year. The mean sea wave direction during June to mid-November is 181° (southerly); mid-November to mid-February is 134° (south-easterly); and mid-February to end of May is 174° (Southerly). The change in sea wave direction on the transition day (between 15 and 16 November) is exactly 90°, and there is an average shift of 45° between mid-November and mid-February. The predominant swell direction throughout the year is 160° (SSE). Directional spreading of swell waves is very less (<6°), due to the predominant SSE swells that are prevalent throughout the year. However, the spreading of sea waves is higher (>30°). The observed higher directional spreading of sea waves and spectral width reduces the spectral energy and resulted multi-peaked and multi-directional wave spectrum. However, the major effect of directional spreading affects only on direction of the wave spectra without affecting amplitude of the sea waves (Elgar et al. 1993). Hence, the shape of directional spectra of swell wave has only small effect on the magnitude of the total wave energy spectrum.
3.2.1 Hourly variation of sea, swell and significant wave height
The hourly variations of H sw, H ss and H s for the period June 2008 to May 2009 are shown in Fig. 6. Usually, the H sw starts gaining height at 9 a.m. in congruent with onset of sea breeze and continues till afternoon. The wave height attains its peak around 2 PM and gradually decreases as land breeze sets in. The average magnitude of H sw and H ss is similar during July and August. However, in June there is a 20 % increase in H sw compared with H ss. In September and October, H sw and H ss follow the similar pattern; H sw attains its maximum magnitude at noon and then decreases gradually. During November, H ss is found to be double the magnitude of H sw, which is mostly contributed by long swells from far-off places. In December, an increase of 20 % in H ss is noticed compared with H sw. During January and February, the trend of H sw is same as that of JJAS. The magnitude of H sw increases compared with H ss between March and May. The increase in H sw is about 40 % during 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. in March and April, and the mean H sw is twice that of H ss during May.
3.3 Wave spectral analysis
Wave spectra are analyzed at every 3-h interval, and the percentage occurrence of single-, double- and multi-peaked spectra is presented in Fig. 7. On an annual basis, the maximum spectral energy density (E max) varied between 0.04 and 30.64 m2/Hz with an average value of 1.48 m2/Hz (Table 1). Earlier, Mishra et al. (2011) reported that the single-peaked spectrum occurs during extreme events with peak period of 10–12 s and double- and multi-peaked spectrum during lower sea state. High wave energy is observed during the period of SW monsoon and extreme events (cyclones and low pressures), and it generally occurs in the low-frequency region (0.1–0.15 Hz). Regression analysis for the present set of data considered in the study shows a correlation coefficient of 0.75 between H s and observed E max compared with 0.82 reported earlier for east coast of India (Kumar et al. 2004).
Throughout the year, percentage occurrence of single-, double- and multi-peaked spectra is 22, 40 and 38 %, respectively. During June and July, the double-peaked spectra (45.4, 50 %) dominate over the multi-peaked spectra (40.4, 37.5 %), whereas in August and September multi-peaked (50.8, 44.6 %) spectra dominate double-peaked spectra (34, 40.4 %). During SW monsoon, the occurrence of single-peaked spectra is less than 15 % which corresponds to the period of low-pressure systems over BoB. During October to January and March, the contribution of each observed spectrum is relatively same (30 to 40 %). However, the double-peaked spectra dominate (50 %) in February, followed by single-peaked and multi-peaked spectra. During April and May, multi-peaked spectra are dominant (43.8, 55.2 %), followed by double-peaked (40.8, 36.7 %) spectra. Highest percentages of single-, double- and multi-peaked spectra are observed during November (33 %), February and July (50 %), and May (55.2 %), respectively.
The monthly average of wave spectrum was calculated between frequencies 0.025–0.58 Hz measured at 30-min intervals to discern the wave spectral characteristics on seasonal basis (Fig. 8). During SW monsoon, the spectral energy density peaks are formed at two sets of narrow-band frequencies for the months of June and July; however, the peak of sea wave is more flat in shape and a wider range in frequency for August and September. This leads to formation of double-peaked spectra during June and July months and multi-peaked spectra in August and September. The magnitudes of spectral energy density of sea wave are dominated during June, July and August and swells in September. The resultant spectra of October and November are single peaked and swell dominated. The wave spectra of December, January and February are dominated by swell waves, and there is no particular peak of sea wave spectrum. The energy of sea wave spectrum is very low during these months. The resultant wave spectrum during March has two distinct peaks in the both sea and swell wave regimes, whereas during April and May, sea wave has more than two peaks with broader range of frequencies.
Spectral peakedness parameter (Q p) known as Goda’s peakedness parameter is a measure of the irregularity of the sea state (Goda 1970). Theoretically, Q p becomes very large for narrow-band spectra and remains low for broad-band spectra, and under normal conditions, it remains within 1.5–5. In the present study, Q p varied between 1 and 8.5 with an average of 1.84 and SD of 0.66. Majority of the wave spectra are broader, and Q p value falls within the range of 1.2–2.5. Usually, spectral width (ε) and narrowness (ν) parameters vary from 0 to 1 and have smaller values for narrower spectra and larger for broader spectra. The spectral width (ε) parameter for 1 year ranged from 0.53 to 0.96 with a mean 0.8 and SD of 0.07; a major portion falls in the range of 0.7–0.85. The higher magnitude of spectral width parameter indicates the presence of sea waves accompanying the swell waves during most of the period. The spectral narrowness (ν) parameter varies between 0.33 and 1 with a mean of 0.59 and SD of 0.13. The predominant values for SW monsoon fall in the range of 0.5–0.6, contributing to 48 % of the total distribution, and 0.4–0.6 range occupies 85 % of the distribution. During post-monsoon, 0.5–0.7 range occupies nearly 55 % of the total distribution. In fair weather, the dominant distribution is in the range of 0.6–0.7, and for pre-monsoon, the highest percentage is within 0.4–0.5.
3.4 Long-term wave characteristics off Gopalpur
The wave records for the western BoB reported in the literature are summarized in Table 2 for comparison. Based on ship observed data, the wave directions ranged between 30° and 90°, 180° and 240°, and 180° and 210° for the pre-, SW and post-monsoon seasons, respectively, and H s varied between 0.2 and 2.4 m (Chandramohan and Nayak 1994). In the present study, wave data of three different years (1994, 2008–2009 and 2013–2014) have been compiled and the monthly averages of H s, T p, T z and θ are presented (Fig. 9). The standard deviations for all the wave parameters for the three different years considered are less than 10 % and quite comparable. Monthly mean H s is higher (>1.5 m) during SW monsoon (JJAS) and lower (<0.6 m) during post-monsoon period (DJF). The wave period T z is higher (>7 s) during post-monsoon (ON) and lower (<5 s) during pre-monsoon (MAM) periods. The mean wave direction (mode of monthly mean) is southerly during JJAS and SSE for the rest of the year.
The seasonal wave rose diagrams for significant wave height for the years 1994, 2008–2009 and 2013–2014 are presented in Fig. 10. During SW monsoon, waves are dominantly from SSW, S and SSE. However, the percentage occurrence in magnitude is differently attributed to prevailing local wind regime. SSE waves dominate during October and November, controlled by the frequency and magnitude of tropical cyclones formed over southeastern BoB. The months of DJF are calm (H s < 0.5 m), i.e., 48 % in 1994, 50 % in 2008–2009 and 33 % in 2013–2014 and mostly from SSE. However, the waves from E, SE and ESE are recorded with lesser frequency compared with S and SSE waves. The MAM are dominated by SSW, S and SSE waves. Though it was discussed earlier, with the onset of SW monsoon during this transition, the SSW wind initiates SSW waves.
The orientation of the coastline and the local bathymetry of the area modify the wave incidence angle to a large extent (Coastal Engineering Manual 2008). In case of Gopalpur, the bathymetry is steep from 3 to 10 m depth and becomes fairly smooth and gentle further seawards and the isobaths run shore parallel (Rao et al. 1989). As a result, waves approaching from SSW and E become S and ESE, whereas waves from the SE continue to move in the same direction without any significant refraction in the shallow region (Mishra et al. 2001).
Extreme value analysis is usually done to design the structures along coastal fronts. It is a statistical parameter that estimates the possibility of a wave greater than 100 years return value, or even of several such waves, occurring within a few years. The wave height specified for the return value can be either H s, or H max or even the height of an individual wave. The return period for a range of 1–100 years is calculated using 3 years of observed wave data. A return period of 1 in 1 means from a given dataset this event will ensue once in a year. So, at Gopalpur significant wave height of 7.1, 7.4 and 7.8 m can occur once in 10, 50 and 100 years of cycle, respectively. The choice of distribution to fit the data depends on the type of distribution and application.
3.5 Cyclone wave characteristics off Gopalpur
The cyclone wave characteristics associated with wind and surge parameters are given in Table 3. The maximum and significant wave height for September 2008 deep depression was 3.8 and 2.4 m, respectively, with predominant wave directions of S and SSE. During the cyclone events for Rashmi, H max and H s were 2.6 and 1.45 m, respectively (predominantly SSE); for Khaimuk, H max and H s were 3.6 and 2.2 m with predominant wave direction of SE; for Bijli, the H max and H s were 3.5 and 2.1 m with predominant directions of S and SSW; for Aila, the H max and H s were 3.2 and 2.07 m with predominant direction of SSE, followed by S. The H max and H s observed during very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS) Phailin (October 12, 2013) at Gopalpur were 13.5 and 6.84 m, respectively (Amrutha et al. 2014).
Maximum loss of life and property were recorded during October 1999 Orissa super cyclone due to inundation (surge height of 7.95 m) near Paradeep (Kalsi 2006), followed by VSCS Phailin (surge height of 1.5 m) that hit near Gopalpur coast. However, during the period June 2008 to May 2009, the observed highest surge of 0.41 m was recorded at Gopalpur associated with August 2008 depression. During other storm events of 2008–2009, the surge heights were 0.22 m for September 2008 depression, 0.36 m for cyclone Rashmi, 0.18 m for cyclone Khaumic, 0.12 m for cyclone Bijli and 0.39 m for cyclone Aila. During all cyclones, no loss of life and property were reported other than coastal erosion to some extent.
3.6 Wave modeling
MIKE 21 spectral wave model simulated for the period June 2008 to May 2009 for different wave parameters is validated with the measured values, and the comparisons of wave height (H s), wave period (T z) and wave direction (θ) are shown in Fig. 11. The estimates of statistical wave parameters between measured and simulated are given in Table 4. The correlation coefficient between measured and simulated H s, T z and θ is 0.85, 0.55 and 0.49, respectively, and simulated wave heights reasonably agree with our observations. Model simulated H s, T z and θ have bias of 0.05 m, 0.27 s and −5.69° and RMS errors of 0.1 m, 0.44 s and 9.19°, respectively. The simulated wave directions follow the pattern of the observed sea wave direction for the entire year. However, the model wave direction for the period October to February does not coincide with the observed as the swell direction approaching from SSE dominates, nullifying the wind-generated seas. The long-term data for three different years also indicate the absence of wave approaching form northeast direction. The disagreement between measured and simulated wave directions emphasizes the importance of nearshore wave observations which could be utilized for sediment transport computation and other coastal zone management practices along east coast of India.
4 Conclusion
Understanding of nearshore wave characteristics is crucial for beach erosion/deposition processes, sediment transport, design of coastal structures and in general management of coastline. Wave climate off Gopalpur is studied for three different years spanning over two decades, indicating that monthly and seasonal wave parameters vary within a range and repetitive. The single-, double- and multi-peaked wave spectra percentage during a year are 22, 40 and 38, respectively. The ‘seas’ dominate during pre- and SW monsoon, whereas ‘swells’ dominate during rest of the year. On the basis of significant wave height and energy distribution, the wave climate could be grouped into four categories, i.e., high wave energy during June to September (mean H s: 1.49 m and E max: 2.56 m2/Hz); low energy during October and November (mean H s: 0.88 m and E max: 1.26 m2/Hz); very low in the month of December, January and February (mean H s: 0.53 m and E max: 0.40 m2/Hz); and moderate energy during March to May (mean H s: 1.09 m and E max: 1.24 m2/Hz). As a result, the coast experiences erosion during March to September and accretion during October to February (Mishra et al. 2001; Mohanty et al. 2012). The predominant swell wave direction is SSE throughout the year. Though the sea wave direction changes to easterly during mid-November commensurating with wind pattern over Indian subcontinent and north Indian Ocean, the swells from SSE dominate the seas that drive unidirectional longshore sediment transport toward north along this coast (Mishra et al. 2014). This phenomenon is ubiquitous along the east coast of India; the southern side of the ports and coastal structures is wide and depositional and the northern coast is narrow and erosional (Kumar et al. 2006; Ranga Rao et al. 2009; Mohanty et al. 2012). The low-pressure system during August 2008 caused sea level rise of 0.41 m, as a result of which episodic erosion events occured all along the coast (Mishra et al. 2011).
The simulated and measured wave heights are in good agrement, while the direction during November to February varies, due to dominance of SSE swell approaching from Indian Ocean. Further, the long-term distribution of waves is important to predict the highest possible waves and their probable return periods. The estimated significant wave height of 7.1, 7.4 and 7.8 m could occur in 10, 50 and 100 years of cycle, respectively. Therefore, for any coastal developmental activities along east coast of India, the wave data need to be critically examined and utilized.
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Acknowledgments
The present study is a part of the Ph.D. thesis of the first author. The data were collected by ESSO-ICMAM, Chennai, NIO, Goa, and ESSO-INCOIS, Hyderabad, under different R&D programs, duly acknowledged. We are grateful to Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, New Delhi, Project Director, ICMAM, Chennai, and Berhampur University, Odisha, for their supports and encouragement. The help rendered by IMD, Gopalpur, and Gopalpur Port Limited is acknowledged. We thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions.
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Patra, S.K., Mishra, P., Mohanty, P.K. et al. Cyclone and monsoonal wave characteristics of northwestern Bay of Bengal: long-term observations and modeling. Nat Hazards 82, 1051–1073 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2233-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2233-0