Abstract
The great 1934 Himalayan earthquake of moment magnitude (Mw) 8.1 generated a large zone of ground failure and liquefaction in north Bihar, India, in addition to the earthquakes of 1833 (Mw ~7.7) and 1988 (Mw 6.7) that have also impacted this region. Here, we present the results of paleoliquefaction investigations from four sites in the plains of north Bihar and one in eastern Uttar Pradesh. The liquefaction features generated by successive earthquakes were dated at AD 829–971, 886–1090, 907–1181, 1130–1376, 1112–1572, 1492–1672, 1733–1839, and 1814–1854. One of the liquefaction events dated at AD 829–971, 886–1090, and 907–1181 may correlate with the great earthquake of AD ~1100, recognized in an earlier study from the sections across the frontal thrust in central eastern Nepal. Two late medieval liquefaction episodes of AD 1130–1376 and 1492–1672 were also exposed in our sites. The sedimentary sections also revealed sandblows that can be attributed to the 1833 earthquake, a lesser magnitude event compared to the 1934. Liquefactions triggered by the 1934 and 1988 earthquakes were evident within the topmost level in some sections. The available data lead us to conjecture that a series of temporally close spaced earthquakes of both strong and large types, not including the infrequent great earthquakes like the 1934, have affected the Bihar Plains during the last 1500 years with a combined recurrence interval of 124 ± 63 years.
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1 Introduction
Tectonic models suggest that the great Himalayan earthquakes of moment magnitude (Mw) >8.0 originate on a décollement, called the Main Himalayan Thrust (MHT), and their ruptures propagate southward to the Himalayan frontal thrust (HFT) whereas large and moderate earthquakes occur on the blind crustal ramps (Fig. 1a, b), which may coincide with the duplex zone south of main central thrust (MCT; Seeber and Armbruster 1981; Pandey et al. 1995). The southward propagating ruptures from great earthquakes may cause significant damage and ground deformation in the Indo-Gangetic plains, as exemplified by the 1934 Nepal-Bihar (Mw 8.1) earthquake of January 15, 1934. The epicenter of this earthquake is located 10 km south of Mt. Everest (Chen and Molnar 1977; Fig. 1a). Apart from the meisoseismal area in Nepal, the 1934 earthquake impacted the north Bihar alluvial plains of India bordering Nepal and generated extensive lateral spreading and liquefaction (Dunn et al. 1939). The most affected areas include the towns of Sitamarhi, Madhubani, and Darbhanga in Bihar, and the region also subsided, forming a “slump belt” (Fig. 1a). This led some workers to suggest that downfaulting took place under the alluvial plains (Seeber and Armbruster 1981). This perception was also augmented by the early reports of the damage associated with this earthquake, especially the one compiled by Dunn et al. (1939), which was skewed towards north Bihar. The non-availability of equally representative damage reports from Nepal at that time compounded by seismic wave amplification and extensive damage within the Bihar Plains possibly led to the initial fixing of its epicenter about 200 km south of the actual location (Dunn et al. 1939). A zone of equally severe damage (IX and X on the Rossi-Forel scale), that included both ground failure and soil liquefaction, was recognized in the central eastern Nepal extending into the Kathmandu Valley to the west (Pandey and Molnar 1988; Rana 2013). Using the relocated epicenter (~10 km south of Mt. Everest at 27.55° N, 87.09° E) and the region of maximum shaking intensity and subsidence as proxy measures of the centroid, Bilham (1995) suggests that the rupture propagated from east to west for a distance of about 160 km. Apart from the rupture directivity, the exceptionally wide zone of liquefaction in the Bihar Plains is now attributed mainly to high ground motions caused by basin resonance (Hough and Bilham 2008).
Another destructive earthquake occurred in the region in 1833, with a moment magnitude of ~7.7, estimated on the basis of felt reports (Bilham 1995). Although the 1833 and 1934 earthquakes show somewhat overlapping intensity patterns, contemporary reports do not mention any conspicuous liquefaction field for the former (Bilham 1995). Subsequently, paleoliquefaction investigations in the region, however, reported a moderate distribution of liquefaction attributable to the 1833 earthquake (Sukhija et al. 2002). Although unconnected to Himalayan thrust tectonics and sourced under the Nepal Plains, this region was again impacted during a strong deep crustal earthquake (Mw 6.7) in 1988 (Fig. 1a), leading to localized liquefaction (Nandy et al. 1993; Ghimire and Minoru 2007). The shorter epicentral distance (~50 km), rather than its magnitude, must have been one factor that favored liquefaction in the region, but the fact that the site liquefied despite the lower crustal source suggests its high liquefaction susceptibility.
Recent trenching excavations have identified surface rupture associated with the 1934 earthquake along the main frontal thrust of central Nepal (Sapkota et al. 2013; Fig. 1a for locations of trenches T1 and T2). Paleoseismic evidence from the same site suggests another great earthquake and was suggested to be correlative of the historically reported AD 1255 earthquake (see Fig. 1a for the trench site T2). Lavé et al. (2005) recorded stratigraphic offsets from an adjacent area, from a great earthquake that occurred around AD 1100 (Fig. 1a for location of the trench site T1). These events, if they were from the same source zones, are expected to generate equally intense and overlapping liquefaction fields in the alluvial plains of north Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh. With such closely spaced great earthquakes (AD 1100 and 1255), it is difficult to identify which of these events is the true predecessor that has affected the source zone of the 1934 earthquake. Another scenario is that the AD 1100 and 1255 earthquakes belong to adjacent segments that ruptured in opposite directions and overlapped at the extremity of their respective segments (Rajendran et al. 2015). In fact, the case of the April 2015 Nepal earthquake that ruptured ~150 km eastward from its source (as compared to westward directivity of the 1934 earthquake) demonstrates not only the existence of multiple sources but also the variable rupture directivity of Himalayan earthquakes (Parameswaran et al. 2015).
Tibetan archival information suggests that a damaging earthquake occurred in the region in AD 1505, and some workers consider this as a great earthquake (e.g., Ambraseys and Jackson 2003). The source of this earthquake is reported to be close to Mustang on the Nepal-Tibert border (Fig. 1a). If the moment magnitude of the 1505 earthquake is >8, then it is expected to propagate across the Himalaya through the MHT to rupture at the HFT and produce a large liquefaction field in the Gangetic Plains, west of the 1934 slump belt (Fig. 1a). Rupture characteristics and source zone of the 1505 earthquake are less certain and questions have been raised regarding its size (Rajendran et al. 2013). It is possible that the 1505 earthquake was of lesser magnitude that affected some Tibetan monasteries but did not impact the Gangetic plains by generating a large liquefaction field or causing any damage, which would probably explain why no historical references to this earthquake are available from the Indian side or even from Nepal where the impact should have been equally intense (Rajendran and Rajendran 2005; Rajendran et al. 2013). The historical information from Nepal, on the contrary, indicates a destructive earthquake in the year 1681 (Rana 2013). It is also worth noting that the recent April 25 Nepal earthquake (Mw 7.8), comparable in size to that of the 1833 earthquake, did generate minimal liquefaction in the Madhubani District of north Bihar, according to a report by the Geological Survey of India (http://www.portal.gsi.gov.in/gsiDoc/pub/nepaleq_%20liq.pdf). A zone of liquefaction spreading intermittently over 3 km expressed as sinuous ground fissures through which sand and water rose to a height of 1 m had been identified here. Some of these sites are reported to have been reactivated in a smaller scale (3–5-cm-wide ‘blister’ like sandblows) just after the 12 May 2015 aftershock (Mw 7.3), as well.
Ambiguity of historical records and incompleteness of paleoseismic data have created difficulties in assessing the pattern of earthquake recurrence on the 1934 segment. As seismically induced liquefaction features serve as useful proxies of past major earthquakes, they offer an alternate way to constrain the recurrence period of major earthquakes if their timings can be constrained. As exemplified by the 1934 event, the great earthquakes originating on the MHT are believed to emerge at the HFT and impact the Gangetic plains. Therefore, the northern Bihar alluvial plains located adjacent to the interface of the HFT offer an ideal setting to understand the behavior of the Himalayan thrusts by studying the pattern and extend of liquefaction fields produced by respective earthquakes. Here, we present the results from a pilot field study and report the age constraints of the liquefaction features identified in the region.
2 Background and research approach
Liquefaction is the transformation of saturated cohesionless granular material from solid to liquefied state due to increased pore-pressure triggered by earthquake-induced shear stresses (Housner 1958). The water expelled from the underlying liquefied sand due to shaking accumulates beneath a low-permeability capping layer to form a water-rich zone, and it is from here that much of the water and sand that vents to the surface after explosively breaking the cap (Fig. 2a, b). While the process of earthquake-induced liquefaction and its impact on built structures has been a primary focus from the point of view of earthquake engineering (Youd 1973; Seed 1979), the importance of these features in determining earthquake histories was recognized soon after the 1971 San Fernando, California, earthquake (Sims 1973). Since then, liquefaction features or what may be termed as sandblows have been used as proxies to determine seismic history in various geological and tectonic settings (e.g., Russ 1979; Obermeier et al. 1985; Talwani and Cox 1985; Tuttle and Seeber 1991; Rajendran and Talwani 1993; Sims and Garvin 1995; Rajendran and Rajendran 2001; Tuttle et al. 2005; Tuttle et al. 2006).
The approach to elucidating seismic history primarily involves identifying and characterizing liquefaction features and constraining their relative ages. Identifying different generations of multiple features requires deciphering the crosscutting relationships between the sedimentary structures or features and their order of superposition. The relative ages of these structures/features are determined using both radiocarbon dating of the embedded organic material and optically stimulated luminescence dating of the sandy layers. Upper (maximum) and lower (minimum) or contemporaneous ages of the liquefaction feature in question can be determined by dating different parts of the section, as shown in Fig. 2b. Global examples show that multiple earthquakes occurring at different time intervals are commonly represented by recurring liquefaction in a given site that mostly exploits the same dike for venting (Youd 1984; Saucier 1989; Tuttle and Seeber 1991; Obermeier 1994; Obermeier et al. 1995; Sims and Garvin 1995).
The study sites in northern Bihar were selected based on the historical accounts and reports of the liquefaction during the 1934 earthquake. Reports of the 1988 earthquake (Mw 6.7) that described liquefaction, especially in Darbhanga area, were also a consideration for the choice of study sites (Fig. 1c, d). Thus, the availability of extensive field reports of the two earthquakes has aided our exploration to locate potential sites for paleoliquefaction studies. As a prelude to locating the trenches, we recorded the depth to water table and the stratigraphic superposition of various lithologies in the selected study sites. Trenches (5–10-m long and 2–4-m deep) were excavated in such sites, after ascertaining the depth to the local water table and local shallow stratigraphy. We used standard criteria that include presence of rip-up clasts within the vents, nature of internal bedding (fining upward sequences), and structures indicating water escape and fluidization (load casts and convolute lamination) to distinguish the seismically induced liquefaction and sandblows from the regular layers.
Different generations of seismically induced paleoliquefaction features or sandblows (dikes, sills, sand vents, and cones) were identified based on their crosscutting relationships or from the beds representing the periods of intereseismic deposition that separate the event layers. However, one caveat is that the geological sections may not necessarily expose the center of the sandblow in many occasions, and therefore, what finally get revealed in the cross sections would probably not represent the feature in its entirety (as shown in Fig. 2a). Such sections might show parts of the features such as sills, dikes, vented sediments (in the form of cones or sand aprons) and different types of soft sediment deformations. The out-of-sequence sandy beds, if they are indeed products of liquefaction, would generally be associated with feeder dikes or contain clasts of host sediments within them suggesting strong upward directed hydraulic force. The discordant beds of liquefaction origin within a sedimentary section can be considered as products of discrete events, separated in time, and the dates obtained on them may reveal their temporal distinctiveness from that of the host sediment. Additional criteria can be obtained from the known local historical earthquakes that provide calibration cues for the events that occurred further back in the past. Following these methods, we identified different generations of liquefaction features from trench sections. Samples for age determination were collected from different stratigraphic levels, to obtain maximum, minimum, and contemporaneous ages. We obtained accelerator mass spectroscopy (AMS) dates for the organic materials, and in the absence of organic material, we relied on optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating techniques to determine the ages of the samples (Tables 1 and 2).
3 Field investigations and results
As discussed earlier, the reports on the 1934 earthquake describe areal extent of coseismic ground failure and liquefaction in Madhubani and Darbhanga Districts of the Bihar Province (Dunn et al. 1939) that form the major part of the slump belt. The sandblows and lateral spreads generated during the 1988 earthquake are also concentrated between Darbhanga in Bihar and India-Nepal border (Nandy et al. 1993). Following the leads mentioned in the reports of these earthquakes, we located the sites of 1988 liquefaction near Simra and Paiharpur Villages within the slump belt, and four of our trenches were dug across at these sites. An outlying site was independently selected near the town of Shravasti, located about 250 km west of the slump belt (Fig. 1a).
3.1 Site 1
The site S1 in the village of Simra (N 26° 16′ 14.9′′; E 86° 18′ 3.7′′) revealed a 1.67-m deep sedimentary section consisting of alternating brownish silty clay and white sandy layers (Fig. 3a, b). The top part (~35 cm) of the section is disturbed due to plowing activity. One conspicuous feature exposed here is a narrow (2-cm wide) tubular feeder dike that gets wider towards the upper level (denoted by “D” in Fig. 3b). The feeder dike typically ends up in a crater like depression (denoted by “C” in Fig. 3b) with an overlying blanket of whitish silty sand (denoted by “A” in Fig. 3b) that contains reddish brown clasts. The upper part of the conical crater has two stratified lenses of clay that has filled the depression and has also incorporated a few angular clasts of the host sediment (brownish silty clay). The sandy clay layers probably represent fine-grained sediments deposited during the “waning” phase of sand extrusion. The tubular dike at the middle level of the section cross cuts the aforementioned whitish layer of silty sand (denoted by “A” in Fig. 3b) that has irregular boundaries with the host sediment and is also associated with what appears to be a truncated feeder dike (Fig. 3b). The sandy layer contains a few clasts of the host sediment of brownish silt. The characteristics of this unit thus conform to what could be characterized as an apron: an emplaced sandy bed associated with a sandblow or an intruded sill that is embedded within the host sediment (Obermeier 1994). The feature itself is crosscut by several vertical dikes that feed into the uppermost sandy layer.
Age constraints were developed on the basis of two radiocarbon AMS dates (AD 770–886 and 1315–1411) and one OSL date of AD 829–971 (1112 ± 71 years) (Tables 1 and 2; Fig. 3a, b). Among these dates, the OSL date of AD 829–971 (1112 ± 71 years) denotes the contemporaneous age of the older event (sandblow-1 in Fig. 3a). The radiocarbon date of AD 770–886 obtained at the lower part of the host sediment brackets the maximum age of sandblow-1. A feeder dike occurs just above sandblow-1, and the AMS date of AD 1315–1411 provides the maximum age of the dike (sandblow-2 in Fig. 3a). The OSL date of AD 1814–1862 provides the maximum age for the third generation event (sandblow-3 in Fig. 3a), which probably represents the 1833 earthquake. We recorded several feeder dikes cross cutting the third generation feature that ends up at the lower boundary of the uppermost sandy layer, which is likely to represent the great 1934 earthquake. The top part of the section is highly disturbed by tilling activities and the original sedimentary structures have been destroyed.
3.2 Site 2
The trench at site S2 (N 26° 16′ 50.0′′; E 86° 18′ 18.2′′; Fig. 1a) was cut in a topographical depression, which is reported to be a filled crater generated during the 1988 earthquake (Fig. 1c, d). The 9-m-long trench exposed a complex picture of successive generations of sediment deformation. The deformation layers (composed of fine sand) are identified on the southern wall and the eastern wall based on the presence of mud clasts and flow structures (Fig. 3c, d). Incorporation of clasts derived from the host sediment indicates that these features are consistent with an explosive upwelling from a vent (Obermeier et al. 1995). The contact between the original host sediment and crater wall (on the southern wall) is relatively sharp. The suspected deformation layers (1 to 7 in Fig. 3d) are succeeded either by crater-fill sequences or separated by erosional surfaces.
The successive crater-fill sequences between deformed layers might have been formed by rainwater and flooding that also carry the surrounding vented sand. During interseismic periods these may have been transported back into the crater along with other surficial material. These sedimentation wedges separating individual liquefaction layers are representative of the time elapsed between episodic earthquake activities. We could recognize three such events recurring within the same crater. The radiocarbon age of AD 1528–1796 obtained from woody material from the lower part of the crater is assumed here as an upper age limit of sandblow-4 in this crater. The overlapping sandblow formations of 1833, 1934 and 1988 events are also represented here at the upper levels (Fig. 3c, d). The closely spaced events of liquefaction at the site lead to repeated churning of previous deposits within the crater. This results in blurring of contacts between the sedimentary beds, often creating difficulties for isolating individual events from the sedimentary sections (e.g., Saucier 1989); a common problem encountered in the interpretation of what is called a “compound sandblow” (Sims and Garvin 1995).
Three white sandy layers interbedded with clay occur at the lower level of the trench on the eastern side, which show a cross cutting relationship with the crater boundary (Fig. 3c, d). These sandy layers within the clayey host sediment contain mud clasts that are possibly derived from host sediment. The sandy layers may represent part of sandblow cones formed earlier than the present crater. We obtained two OSL dates of AD 886–1090 and 907–1181 from two layers, which are considered as contemporaneous ages of the corresponding sandblows (Table 2).
3.3 Site 3
At site 3 (S3) in Simra (N 26° 16′ 42.8′′; E 86° 18′ 28.7′′; Fig. 1a), we logged a section adjacent to cultivated land (Fig. 3e). A sand layer, which pinches out laterally, is exposed 1.5 m from the surface between underlying brownish clay and an overlying bed of reddish sand (Fig. 3f). The upper part of the section is either reworked due to agricultural activities or it is a man-made fill material, and the aforesaid sandy layer occurs >1 m below the reworked zone. Upper and lower boundaries of this sandy layer make sharp contacts with the host sediment. Our attempts to trace the feeder dike within the section were not successful, but the unit’s characteristics including its irregular outline of the sandy layer (often marked by sandy protrusions of the event layer at the upper contact with the host sediment) convolute laminations and presence of clasts suggest that it could be an emplacement from below and not a product of regular sedimentation. The OSL date AD 1130–1376 from the deformation layer provides the timing of liquefaction episode, and the OSL age AD 1186–1346 obtained from the host sediment overlaps with the age of the event layer.
3.4 Site 4
The site S4 is located in the village of Paiharpur (N 26° 23′ 54.1′′; E 86° 07′ 00.1′′) about 10 km northwest of sites 1–3 (Fig. 1a). A large number of sandblows caused by the 1988 earthquake are reported from this area. Even today, the sites of 1988 sandblows continue to remain as circular depressions that have become the locales of rainwater pools (Fig. 4a). We made five trenches at this location, and all of the sections revealed repeating white sandy layers alternating with brownish clay (Figs. 4b). The section presented here exposes three white sandy deformed layers (1, 2, and 3) with variable thickness (20–30 cm). These intervening sandy layers are characterized by convolute laminations and contain clasts of brownish clay (Fig. 4a). The lower contacts of these layers with the black clay show occasional ~2-cm-wide dikes. The dikes form the conduits for the emplacement of white sand from deeper sources. The OSL dates of AD 1112–1572, 1492–1672, and 1733–1839 obtained from the three sandy layers from bottom to top are assumed to be contemporaneous dates of the corresponding liquefaction episodes.
3.5 Site 5
Exposed on the southwestern bank of Rapti River near the town of Shravasti (N 27° 32′ 20.7′′; E 82° 02′ 34.9′′) in the eastern Uttar Pradesh, the site S5 is a natural section of river alluvium, located ~200 km west of the other four sites (Fig. 1a). The site was chosen primarily because of its accessibility and it displayed an 80-m-long unhindered exposure dominated by alternating layers of cross-bedded and laminar sand, interbedded with clay (Fig. 5; top panel). The four deformation features identified along this section occur at three different levels. The sedimentary beds in which these features occur are marked by erosional contacts with the overlying layers (Fig. 5; A–D).
Morphologically, these features share characteristics of craters containing a homogeneous matrix of sand incorporating clasts composed of clay that are characteristically associated with sandblows (Fig. 5; middle and bottom panels). The occasional association with feeder dikes further implies that these craters could be “pop-up” structures formed by liquefaction that breaks the continuity of horizontally laid beds (Fig. 5; A–D in middle and lower panels). While some of them show their association with 3–4-cm-wide feeder dikes (Fig. 5; A and B), others lack such features (Fig. 5; C and D). The second group of structures with no feeder dikes also contains clasts, but some of them show downward bending of layers at the margin of the vent (Fig. 5C). One possible explanation is that such deformation features are formed due to layer collapse caused by ground shaking and not necessarily associated with an explosive phase as in typical sandblow formation. The clasts within such types of craters may have been derived from the top clay bed rather than from the sidewalls of a feeder dike. Such features have been characterized as dewatering canals formed under aqueous conditions triggered by ground shaking (Becker et al. 2006).
The minimum ages of the liquefaction features range from AD 1613–1723 to 1814–1854 (Table 2). These OSL dates closely correlate with the earthquake of 1833, which originated in the Nepal Himalaya, and is the only known event of that interval. Two pieces of wood obtained from two levels of this section were dated at BC 352-AD 132 and AD 988–1116, respectively (Fig. 5; B and C). But these allochthonous materials, as they must have been transported from elsewhere, are not useful in constraining either the depositional age of sedimentary layers or the sandblows.
4 Discussions and conclusions
The deformed sedimentary layers identified in the sections of the northern Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh show characteristics of liquefaction triggered by earthquakes distinguishing them from regular sedimentation. These include association with feeder dikes, presence of clasts, and lateral tapering of the sandy layers. Many of these characteristics evident in the 1934 and 1988 liquefaction features are preserved in the upper parts of the local stratigraphy. The characteristics of historically recent sandblows were useful in defining the out-of-sequence beds at deeper levels of the sections. The age constraints of these beds suggest that they were formed in an episodic fashion and more than seven generations of liquefaction are identified in this study (Fig. 6).
The examples of earthquakes (1934, 1833 and 1988) show that the Bihar Plains are most vulnerable to the seismic activity originating from the Himalaya and also from additional sources under the Nepal terai Plains. Although it is important to classify the earthquake sources of the respective liquefaction features, as identified in our study, spatially restricted investigations based on only a few sections are insufficient to successfully interpret individual sizes of the causative earthquakes. But the paleo-earthquake data from the Himalayan foothills offer some benchmark dates for comparison with our results from the plains. These data allow us to correlate the liquefaction episodes dated between AD 829–971, 886–1090 and 907–1181 (contemporaneous dates of liquefaction from sites 1 and 2) to a great earthquake of AD ~1100 from central eastern Nepal (Lavé et al. 2005). If one of these liquefactions is correlative to the great earthquake reported from the trenching on the frontal thrust, then it is reasonable to suggest an elapsed time of ~900 years before the great earthquake of 1934.
Our studies also provide a template for later medieval earthquakes that impacted the region. The liquefaction dated AD 1130–1376 from site 3 points to an earthquake in the twelfth to thirteenth century. Although a Nepal earthquake of AD 1255 is the closest historical event, it is tenuous to suggest a correlation between the two, based on one exposure of a liquefaction layer. Events occurring between AD 1117–1572 and 1492–1672 are also identified from site 4. The former date has a large uncertainty while the latter is more reliable. Although it is tempting to compare the latter date with the earthquake of 1505, we believe that owing to the distance to the presumed source at the Tibet border with central Nepal, this event is unlikely to have generated liquefaction in the Bihar Plains, where our study sites are located. It is equally possible that the AD 1681 earthquake reported from Nepal, on the basis of historical accounts, may have produced liquefaction in the Bihar Plains, if it was similar to the mechanisms of the 1833 earthquake. Additional paleoliquefaction data need to be gathered from the plains of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar to confirm or refute any of the above generalizations.
The upper most parts of our sections in the Bihar Plains are highly disturbed by plowing activities, but the youngest sandblow cones (emplaced in the 1934 and 1988) are discernible as white sandy patches with rip-up clasts within the recent soil formation (e.g., sites 1 and 2) and the outlines of feeder dikes can be observed (e.g., site 1). The ages obtained from sites 1, 4, and 5 on antecedent liquefactions (AD 1814–1862, 1733–1839, and 1814–1854, respectively) within dating uncertainties imply that the liquefaction due to the 1833 event (probably owing to its location) is more pervasive in the Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh Plains than what was summed up dismissively as small-scale ground failures (but no liquefaction) in a few sites in the extant reports of the earthquake (see Bilham 1995). The liquefaction due to the April 25, 2015 Nepal earthquake in the Bihar Plains appears to be more restricted though both events were of similar magnitude.
The Bihar Plains show high liquefaction susceptibility and is a critical area (in the human developmental sense) that is vulnerable to high-intensity shaking from earthquakes sourced in the eastern Nepal Himalaya, exemplified by the great 1934 earthquake as well as by major (e.g., 1833) and strong (e.g., 1988) earthquakes. The present study indicates that this region (including seismic sources in the Himalaya as well as the Nepal Plains) is highly productive in terms of damaging earthquakes. The available data suggest that the combined recurrence interval for moderate to large earthquakes in the Bihar segment could be 124 ± 63 years. This study, as it is restricted to only a few sites, cannot resolve the fundamental questions on the estimates of ground shaking from respective earthquakes or their sizes, nor can it resolve the questions on the distance to the source zones of those earthquakes. As a first attempt in this region, we are only providing a tentative time series of earthquakes that impacted a part of the Gangetic alluvial plains in the last 1500 years that is open to revision in the future. A wider sampling of liquefaction features carried out through a regionally representative investigation may be able to throw further light on questions regarding the source zones of the medieval earthquakes and their corresponding sizes. The present study offers a template for future studies that aims to obtain further confirmatory evidence for the developing an understanding of the recurrence pattern of great earthquakes at the source region of the great 1934 earthquake as well as of more frequent major earthquakes from other sources in eastern central Nepal.
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Acknowledgments
This work was funded by the Seismology Division, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India. We thank the principal and students of Engineering College at Darbhanga, Bihar, for arranging logistics and assistance to conduct the fieldwork. We are most grateful to the anonymous reviewer for constructive comments and corrections through several iterations and also to Matthew Wood (Melbourne University, Australia) for a feedback on the manuscript.
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Rajendran, C.P., John, B., Rajendran, K. et al. Liquefaction record of the great 1934 earthquake predecessors from the north Bihar alluvial plains of India. J Seismol 20, 733–745 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-016-9554-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-016-9554-z