Abstract
Purpose
In vitro and animal models suggest that the physiological effects of sleep apnea could contribute to cancer risk, yet epidemiologic studies have been inconsistent.
Methods
We identified a cohort of adults diagnosed with sleep apnea between 2005 and 2014 using regional administrative databases. Linking this cohort to a population-based cancer registry, we identified first incident cancers diagnosed after sleep apnea diagnosis through 2015. We calculated age–sex standardized cancer incidence ratios (SIRs) to compare the observed number of cancers among those with sleep apnea with expected population estimates over a comparable period.
Results
Among 34,402 individuals with sleep apnea, 1,575 first incident cancers were diagnosed during follow-up (mean ± SD; 5.3 ± 2.0 years). Compared to the general population, cancer incidence (SIR 1.26, 95% CI 1.20–1.32) was elevated among sleep apnea patients. We observed significantly elevated incidence for kidney (SIR 2.24, 95% CI 1.82–2.72), melanoma (SIR 1.71, 95% CI 1.42–2.03), breast (SIR 1.43, 95% CI 1.76–2.00), and corpus uteri (SIR 2.80, 95% CI 2.24–2.47) while risk for lung (SIR 0.66, 95% CI 0.54–0.79) and colorectal cancer (SIR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56–0.89) was lower.
Conclusion
These findings suggest an elevated cancer burden, particularly at certain sites, among individuals with diagnosed sleep apnea. Results should be interpreted with caution due to unmeasured confounders (e.g., BMI, diabetes).
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Introduction
Sleep apnea is a sleep-related breathing disorder characterized by recurrent cessations of breathing during sleep, afflicting an estimated 25 million US adults [1]. These patients have increased risk for Type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, depression, and motor vehicle accidents, as well as substantially elevated healthcare costs [2,3,4,5,6,7,8].
In recent years, evidence has emerged that sleep apnea may also be a risk factor for cancer development and progression. Both animal and in vitro cancer models show exposure to intermittent hypoxia and sleep fragmentation, two of the major hallmarks of sleep apnea, which could enhance oncogenic pathways [9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24]. However, studies on the sleep apnea and cancer relationship in humans are inconsistent. Four retrospective cohort studies show that overall cancer incidence rates are higher among those with versus those without sleep apnea [25,26,27,28], while two more recent studies show no elevated risk [29, 30]. Additional studies have found a relationship between sleep apnea and increased cancer mortality [26, 31, 32].
Most prior epidemiologic studies on this potential connection have been limited by only exploring overall malignancy rates or associations with a limited number of specific cancer types. Studies considering specific cancer sites suggest an inverse relationship between sleep apnea and incident colon, rectum, prostate, and breast cancers [29], while others have reported increased risk for breast cancer [25, 33], cancers of the central nervous system [34], kidney cancer [29], melanoma [29], pancreatic cancer [29], and prostate cancer [25], in those with sleep apnea. To investigate gaps and to add to the current evidence regarding potential associations between sleep apnea and specific cancer types, we linked a cohort of individuals with a sleep apnea diagnosis to a population-based cancer registry in the Seattle-Puget Sound region (Western Washington State).
Methods
Study design
The study is a retrospective cohort leveraging the University of Washington Medicine (UWM) system and the Cancer Surveillance System (CSS) of Western Washington State; CSS is part of the NCI Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. The UWM system includes four regional hospitals and an extensive network of primary care neighborhood clinics. The UWM Sleep Center completes > 5,000 clinic visits and performs > 3,000 sleep studies (polysomnograms and home sleep apnea tests) per year.
Sleep apnea ascertainment
We extracted pertinent information from clinical and administrative databases maintained by the UWM system to identify a cohort of adults aged ≥ 20 years diagnosed with sleep apnea between January 2005 and December 2014 (n = 34,402). This cohort included individuals with obstructive and/or central sleep apnea; however, given that obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) (alone, or in combination with elements of central sleep apnea) accounts for the vast majority of sleep apnea cases (> 90%) [35], our results are most reflective of associations with OSA. We identified sleep apnea diagnoses based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes [ICD-9-CM] (codes 327.20, 327.21, 327.23, 327.27, 327.29, 780.51, 780.53, and 780.57). For individuals with multiple sleep apnea diagnoses recorded over the study period, the first such diagnosis was selected as their index diagnosis.
Cancer case ascertainment
Records for individuals diagnosed with sleep apnea in UWM databases were linked to the CSS to ascertain incident cancer diagnoses between January 2005 and December 2015. The CSS collects data on cancer incidence among residents of the 13 counties of Western Washington State. The registry catchment area covers a population of > 4 million people, with an average of 19,000 new cancer diagnoses in adults aged 20–79 years each year during our study period [36]. The UWM is located within the CSS catchment area.
Linkage to cancer registry records was done via expectation maximization algorithms to compute linkage probability scores for possible record pairs ranked by importance of various personal identifiers (first name, middle name, last name, date of birth, and social security number). Individuals could link to multiple CSS records if they were diagnosed with multiple cancers during the study period; however, our primary analyses were limited to each participant’s first cancer diagnosis during the study period.
We used International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd edition (ICD-03) codes to categorize cancer sites (Table 1). We used the CSS Summary Stage 2000 coding to classify cancer stage at diagnosis [37], allowing us to group incident cancers as in situ, localized, regional stage, or metastatic disease.
Other variables
Patient characteristics pulled from UWM clinical and administrative databases included the following: age at sleep apnea diagnosis, sex, race (White, Black, and others), Hispanic ethnicity (Hispanic, non-Hispanic), and healthcare utilization. Healthcare utilization was quantified as the total number of healthcare visits to UWM facilities and providers in the 5 years subsequent to sleep apnea diagnosis, including outpatient clinic visits and inpatient visits.
Statistical methods
We tabulated the overall and site-specific counts of first incident cancers that occurred after a sleep apnea diagnosis through 31 December 2015. For each member of the sleep apnea cohort, the expected number of person-years of follow-up was computed as the total years between their first sleep apnea diagnosis and cancer diagnosis, death, or end of follow-up (31 December 2015), whichever came first. We calculated age–sex standardized cancer incidence ratios (SIR) to compare the observed number of cancer cases among those with a sleep apnea diagnosis with the number expected based on cancer incidence rates in the underlying population of the Seattle-Puget Sound region over the study period [38]. To estimate the expected number of incident cases, we multiplied cancer incidence rates in sex-specific 5-year age and 10-year age categories (for overall and cancer site-specific analyses, respectively) for the underlying CSS population by the expected person-years in the corresponding age–sex bands of the sleep apnea cohort. The person-time of follow-up was distributed according to the person age with respect to each age bands, such that cohort members contributed person-time at risk to different age categories as they aged during follow-up. This allowed aging during follow-up to be accurately reflected in person-years at risk and consequently in the expected number of cancers. Cancer incidence rates for the CSS region were obtained from the SEER*Stat software [38] and SIR (including their 95% CI) estimates were calculated using the exact method in Stata 14.0 (College Station, Texas) [39].
Results
Baseline characteristics of the UWM sleep apnea cohort are provided in Table 2, both overall (n = 34,402) and for those with an incident cancer diagnosis subsequent to their sleep apnea diagnosis (n = 1,575) with a total of 181,674 person-years. Overall, the mean age in the sleep apnea cohort was 52 years at the time of sleep apnea diagnosis. The majority of individuals within the cohort were male (57%) and of White race (74%). Individuals with a cancer diagnosis subsequent to sleep apnea diagnosis were slightly older at sleep apnea diagnosis, but were otherwise demographically similar to the overall cohort. The mean duration follow-up after sleep apnea diagnosis was 5.3 ± 2.0 years.
Selected characteristics of incident cancers in the sleep apnea cohort are reported in Table 3. The median interval between sleep apnea and cancer diagnosis ranged from 1.3 years for kidney cancer to almost 3 years for breast cancer. The most common cancer sites were breast (15%), prostate (13%), melanoma (8%), lung (7%), kidney (6%), colorectal (5%), corpus uteri (5%), and pancreas (3%). With the exception of sex-specific cancers (i.e., breast, corpus uteri, prostate) and melanoma, the distribution of common cancer sites was similar in men and women within the study cohort. Among those diagnosed with cancer after sleep apnea diagnosis, 61% were diagnosed with as early stage disease (In situ/Localized) versus 50% in the underlying CSS population.
Overall, the incidence of cancer following sleep apnea diagnosis was higher than would be expected based on the general CSS population (SIR 1.26, 95% CI 1.06, 1.21). Cancer incidence was elevated in both men (SIR 1.13, 95% CI 1.06, 1.21) and women (SIR 1.41, 95% CI 1.31, 1.52) with sleep apnea. Of the specific cancer sites evaluated, significantly elevated cancer incidence was noted for kidney cancer (n = 100, SIR 2.24, 95% CI 1.82, 2.73) and melanoma (n = 129, SIR 1.71, 95% CI 1.42, 2.03). Incidence of these two specific cancer types was similarly elevated in men and in women (Table 4). Conversely, reduced incidence was reported for lung cancer (n = 115, SIR 0.66, 95% CI 0.65, 0.79) and colorectal cancer (n = 78, SIR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56, 0.89) (Table 4), with similar patterns in each gender. In sex-specific analyses, women with a prior sleep apnea diagnosis also experienced strongly elevated incidence for cancers of the corpus uteri (n = 84, SIR 2.80, 95% CI 2.24, 3.47) and breast (n = 227, SIR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25, 1.63).
When stratified by age, cancer incidence was most elevated among older adults with sleep apnea (age ≥ 60 years), with evidence of elevated incidence across all evaluated cancer sites (Table 5). Among individuals with sleep apnea aged < 60 years, cancer incidence for several sites was lower than expected; however, cancer incidence overall, and the incidence of melanoma, uterine, and kidney cancers remained elevated in this younger age group.
In addition, the risk of in situ (SIR 5.52, 95% CI 4.74, 6.39), localized (SIR 1.40, 95% CI 1.30, 1.50), regional stage (SIR 1.08, 95% CI 0.96, 1.22) and metastatic (SIR 1.20, 95% CI 1.07, 1.35) cancers were consistently elevated.
Discussion
In this study, we found that overall cancer incidence was about 26% higher in those with a diagnosis of sleep apnea than that expected in the general population. More specifically, we observed elevated incidences of kidney, melanoma, uterine, and breast cancers among those with sleep apnea, particularly among older individuals. In contrast, inverse associations were noted with respect to lung and colorectal cancers. These results suggest that sleep apnea may contribute to overall cancer risk, with a more pronounced association on select cancer sites.
Our findings are consistent with prior animal studies and in vitro models demonstrating the carcinogenic potential of intermittent hypoxia and sleep fragmentation, two hallmarks of sleep apnea. Intermittent hypoxia, defined as a temporary deprivation of adequate oxygen, promotes tumor growth and metastasis in melanoma-injected mice [9, 17, 40], and has been associated with resistance to radiation in cancer cell lines [19, 20, 41]. Among the suggested mechanisms underlying these effects, chronic intermittent hypoxia has been shown to contribute to the generation of excessive reactive oxygen species (leading to oxidative stress induced DNA damage) [10, 40, 42], sustained activation of inflammatory pathways [13, 43], alterations in the miRNA cargo of circulating exosomes [10, 44], and overexpression of the transcriptional regulator hypoxia-inducible factor-1alpha (HIF-1α) [19, 45, 46]. Overexpression of HIF-1α up-regulates proangiogenic mediators, such as Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor (VEGF), thereby stimulating tumor growth, whereas chronic activation of Nuclear factor κB (NFκB) promotes tumorigenesis [19, 45,46,47,48,49]. In particular, overexpression of HIF-1α enhances angiogenesis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma [50]. Persistent sleep fragmentation is also associated with accelerated tumor growth and progression via similar pathways to those recruited by intermittent hypoxia [10, 11, 13]. Therefore, these sleep apnea-induced physiologic changes may plausibly contribute to cancer initiation through the creation of a pro-inflammatory and immunosuppressive microenvironment [11, 13, 16].
A number of human studies are consistent with our findings. A 2012 study utilizing the Wisconsin Sleep Cohort noted a 4.8-fold elevation in cancer mortality among individuals with severe OSA relative to those without sleep-disordered breathing [31]. Two years later, two other studies using a community-based and clinic-based cohort respectively, reported an elevated cancer mortality in those diagnosed with sleep apnea [26, 32]. Subsequently, three studies found a significant association between sleep apnea and cancer incidence with risk ratios ranging from 1.7 to 2.5 [25,26,27]. However, more recent studies are inconsistent with these earlier findings. Kendzerska et al., found no significant association with cancer incidence when comparing OSA patients to the general population (HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.80–1.31) [30]. A meta-analysis of the 4 studies including 86,460 participants found no association between overall cancer incidence and sleep apnea (HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.92, 1.16) [51]. Another meta-analysis including one additional study on breast cancer [33] found an overall elevated risk [51]. Both studies noted cautionary interpretation of the results due to possibility of confounding by cancer risk factors, heterogeneity between studies, and the possibility of publication bias [51, 52]. These prior studies are also summarized in a recent study [53]. Additionally, in the largest study to date, Gozal et al., found no association between OSA and overall cancer risk (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.90–1.00) [29].
The fact that some prior studies have observed no significant association between sleep apnea and cancer overall may reflect heterogeneity in the relationship of sleep apnea with risk of specific types of cancer. That is, investigations of associations with overall cancer incidence may obscure cancer site-specific associations. Specifically, our study found increased incidence of breast, melanoma, corpus uteri, and kidney cancers in patients with sleep apnea. However, we found reduced incidence with respect to lung and colorectal cancer. At least two prior studies also found an increased risk for breast cancer associated with sleep apnea [25, 33]. In their recent study, Gozal et al., reported no such association with breast cancer; however, they did report elevated incidence of melanoma and kidney cancers and reduced incidence of colorectal cancer among individuals with sleep apnea [29], consistent with our findings.
Furthermore, the sleep apnea and cancer incidence association was stronger in women than in men. However, given that our statistical approach using SIR estimates for men and women involves a different set of weights for each sex, we are unable to assess any potential statistical inference on this gender difference. Additionally, with respect to age, older adults seemed to have higher burden of cancer incidence in this sleep apnea cohort, a finding that has been recently corroborated in a prospective cohort [54]. This might imply that there are other important risk factors such as genetic susceptibility driving the cancer burden in the younger cohort, whereas sleep apnea remains an important risk factor for the older cohort. However, in a murine model of sleep apnea and lung cancer, old age was protective rather than deleterious, suggesting that type of cancer and age may be interactively implicated along with sleep apnea to modify their epidemiological characteristics [55]. Other reasons might be due to differential misclassification of sleep apnea in younger adults, since it is not only generally under-diagnosed in the population, but it is perceived as being more commonly present in older adults, thereby leading to higher proportion of younger subjects remaining undetected. However, incidence of kidney and corpus uteri cancers and melanoma remained elevated in both age groups, which is consistent with the overall estimates.
Lastly, our findings should be interpreted in the context of study limitations. In particular, we lacked data on several potential confounders of the association between sleep apnea and cancer, such as body mass index (BMI), smoking history and socioeconomic status (SES). For instance, being overweight or obese is an established risk factor for kidney, endometrial and breast cancer [56,57,58], as well as sleep apnea [59]. We retrieved BMI information for a random sample of the sleep apnea cohort and observed a high prevalence of obesity (42%) as compared to county-level estimates of adult obesity (22%) for the county in which UWM is located (i.e., King County). Therefore, it would be expected that the elevated incidence observed for these cancers could be lower if adjusted for BMI. However, based on the fact that other studies adjusting for BMI have also noted increased risk for these cancers associated with sleep apnea [25, 29, 33], and given that melanoma incidence (also elevated in our study) has not been consistently linked with BMI [60], lack of adjustment for BMI is unlikely to account for the entirety of our results. However, unadjusted BMI could explain some the association observed with sleep apnea for certain cancer sites such as uterine cancer [61, 62]. Diabetes, a comorbidity linked with both sleep apnea and cancer, could similarly contribute as an unmeasured confounder [63]. Although we posited smoking as another unmeasured confounder, the smoking prevalence (12%) reported in a random sample of the sleep cohort was consistent with rates reported in King County, the largest population of the CSS catchment area [64]. We also relied on administrative codes for identifying individuals with a sleep apnea diagnosis. It is possible that these codes were entered into medical records as part of a medical history rather than reflecting a primary diagnosis; however, we counted follow-up time from the time of the first recorded sleep apnea code during the study period. Our approach to identifying sleep apnea patients precluded us from distinguishing between mild and severe sleep apnea, potentially limiting the study sensitivity to detect significant associations with overall and specific cancer sites.
There are also some limitations implicit in our estimation of person time at risk. Firstly, although we restricted our investigation to cancers diagnosed after sleep apnea, both sleep apnea and cancer are diseases with latency periods that can span several years or decades prior to diagnosis; thus, we cannot be certain that sleep apnea was present before the initiation of a cancer. However, sensitivity analyses excluding the first year of follow-up after a sleep apnea diagnosis yielded an attenuated (but still significantly elevated) SIR of 1.07 (1.01, 1.14) for cancer overall as well as a consistent direction but attenuated risk for cancer sites.
Lastly, our ascertainment of cancer diagnoses was limited to the 13-county catchment area of the CSS cancer registry. As such, we could have missed other cancers diagnosed if or when individuals with sleep apnea moved outside the 13-county region. In addition, we had a relatively short follow-up period (mean 5.3 years); however, other studies with a longer duration of follow-up (> 10 years) [31, 34] have similarly found a putative link between sleep apnea and incidence of a specific cancer or cancer mortality. Furthermore, lumping OSA and CSA into one “sleep apnea” cohort might yield different results if looked at separately due to the pathophysiological differences between these two respiratory sleep disorders. However, given that the majority of our cohort are OSA patients, this is unlikely as also shown by the similar overall cancer incidence estimate when CSA cases are dropped in a sensitivity analysis (SIR 1.25 vs. 1.26).
A strength of our study compared to prior work is our relatively large sample size, which allowed us to evaluate associations with several specific cancer sites [53]. We also had the ability to link sleep apnea cases with a population-based cancer registry, allowing for more comprehensive identification of cancer cases in our cohort.
In conclusion, our study suggests that sleep apnea is a potential risk factor for cancer, and that this association likely differs across cancer sites. Given the widespread and highly treatable nature of sleep apnea, these findings may suggest potential opportunities for reducing population cancer burden if these associations were causal.
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This work was supported by NIH (Grant No. P30CA015704).
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Sillah, A., Watson, N.F., Schwartz, S.M. et al. Sleep apnea and subsequent cancer incidence. Cancer Causes Control 29, 987–994 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-018-1073-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-018-1073-5