Abstract
Background
Several studies have shown that postoperative complications worsen the prognosis of patients with malignancies. However, our previous study showed that C-reactive protein (CRP) elevation over 12 mg/dL was a more reliable prognostic indicator than complication occurrence. This large-scale, multicenter validation study aimed to confirm the prognostic value of postoperative CRP elevation in resectable gastric cancer.
Methods
Data of 1456 patients with pT2–T4 gastric cancer who underwent R0 resection were collected from 21 institutions. The prognostic value of the highest postoperative serum level of CRP (CRPmax) during hospitalization was evaluated using the Kaplan–Meier method. The prognostic independence of CRPmax with assessed with a Cox multivariate analysis of recurrence-free survival (RFS).
Results
RFS in the high CRPmax (≥ 12 mg/dL) group was significantly worse than that in the low CRPmax (< 12 mg/dL) group (log-rank P = 0.002). The recurrence pattern showed that liver metastasis occurred more frequently in the high CRPmax group (9.2%) than in the low CRPmax group (4.7%) (P = 0.001). In patients without intra-abdominal infectious complications, the high CRPmax group showed significantly worse RFS than the low CRPmax group (log-rank P = 0.026). In patients with intra-abdominal infectious complications, the high CRPmax group had worse RFS than the low CRPmax group, but this difference was not significant (log-rank P = 0.075). Cox multivariate analysis with 13 covariables showed that CRPmax (P = 0.043) was an independent prognostic factor, but postoperative complications were not (P = 0.387).
Conclusion
Postoperative CRP elevation was a better predictor of prognosis in patients with gastric cancer than the occurrence of intra-abdominal infectious complications.
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Introduction
Gastric cancer is a common malignancy worldwide [1]. While surgical resection is the most effective curative treatment, many patients still experience recurrence [2, 3]. Pathological TNM staging is the most useful indicator of prognosis after surgery [4], but it is still insufficient. We, therefore, need additional prognostic indicators to complement the TNM stage and to determine optimal postoperative strategies, including adjuvant treatment, in patients with resectable gastric cancer.
Several studies have shown that postoperative complications worsen the prognosis of patients with malignancies [5,6,7,8]. Such complications increase the levels of inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6) and may lead to the proliferation of residual cancer cells [9,10,11]. These outcomes can be caused by excessive surgical stress even if postoperative complications do not occur. Indeed, several randomized controlled trials demonstrated that compared with standard surgery, extended surgery worsened the prognosis of patients with gastroesophageal cancer [12,13,14]. C-reactive protein (CRP) is the most common indicator of systemic inflammation and is closely correlated with serum IL-6 levels [15, 16]. We previously showed that CRP elevation over 12 mg/dL was a more reliable indicator of worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) in gastric cancer patients than the occurrence of postoperative complications [17]. However, since the study was conducted at a single institution, we considered it important to validate the usefulness of CRP elevation in a large-scale multicenter study. Thus, we conducted this multicenter validation study to confirm the prognostic value of postoperative CRP elevation with over 1400 patients who underwent surgical resection of pT2–T4 gastric cancer.
Methods
Patients
The eligible population in this study consisted of patients with pathological T2 or greater advanced gastric cancer who underwent R0 resection between January 2008 and December 2010 at 21 institutions belonging to the Clinical Study Group of Osaka University. Exclusion criteria were as follows: synchronous coexisting cancer, metachronous cancer within 5 years, and preoperative treatment. TNM staging was performed according to the 7th edition of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) TNM classification [4]. In principle, gastrectomy, lymph node dissection, adjuvant chemotherapy, and postoperative follow-up were carried out according to the 3rd edition of the Japanese Gastric Cancer Treatment Guidelines [18]. This study was approved by the institutional review board of Osaka University Hospital (No. 15001).
Statistics
The primary endpoint of this study was the association between prognosis and the highest postoperative serum level of CRP (CRPmax) during the hospital stay. Statistical differences were also examined after adjustment for the presence or absence of postoperative complications. Postoperative complications were assessed according to the Clavien-Dindo classification [19, 20]. We defined postoperative complications as intra-abdominal infectious complications of Grade II or higher, in accordance with a similar study in the field of gastric cancer surgery [8].
Associations between clinicopathological factors and CRPmax were compared using the chi-square test for categorical variables and the Mann–Whitney U test for continuous variables. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was defined as the time from surgery to either the first recurrence or death from any cause. Overall survival (OS) was defined as the time from surgery to death from any cause. RFS and OS curves were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method, and survival differences were compared using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were used for both univariate and multivariate analyses. P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Statistical analyses were performed with the SPSS statistical package, version 24.0 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA).
Results
Study population
A total of 1456 patients with pT2–T4 gastric cancer were enrolled in this study (Table 1). The median CRPmax levels were 11.75 mg/dL (range, 0.17–43.10 mg/dL) in the whole patients, 7.95 mg/dL (range, 0.17–11.96 mg/dL) in the low CRPmax group, and 17.49 mg/dL (range, 12.00–43.10 mg/dL) in the high CRPmax group. Male patients and patients with a high body mass index were more common in the high CRPmax (≥ 12 mg/dL) group than in the low CRPmax (< 12 mg/dL) group. The high CRPmax group included more patients with differentiated histological type, total gastrectomy, long operation time, large amount of intraoperative blood loss, and advanced pT tumors than the low CRPmax group. Postoperative complications occurred in 18 patients (2.4%) in the low CRPmax group and 159 patients (22.5%) in the high CRPmax group. The most frequent complications were anastomotic leakage in 74 patients (5.1%), abdominal abscess in 65 (4.5%), and pancreatic fistula in 59 (4.1%).
Kaplan–Meier survival analysis
At the median follow-up duration of 61.0 months for the censored cases, the RFS in the high CRPmax group was significantly worse than that in the low CRPmax group (log-rank P = 0.002) (Fig. 1a). The hazard ratio (HR) of recurrence in the high CRPmax group was 1.32 (95% CI, 1.11–1.56), and the 5-year RFS rates were 59.8% in the high CRPmax group and 67.1% in the low CRPmax group. The OS also showed a significant difference between the two groups (log-rank P < 0.001). The HR of death in the high CRPmax group was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.18–1.72), and the 5-year OS rates were 65.5% in the high CRPmax group and 74.6% in the low CRPmax group. In terms of recurrence pattern, only liver metastasis occurred significantly more frequently in the high CRPmax group (9.2%) than in the low CRPmax group (4.7%) (P = 0.001) (Table 2). Even in the patients who did not have a recurrence in the liver, the high CRPmax group showed significantly worse RFS and OS than the low CRPmax group (log-rank P = 0.044, P = 0.008, respectively).
Similarly, the RFS was significantly worse in patients who had postoperative complications than in those who did not (log-rank P = 0.016) (Fig. 1b). We conducted a subgroup analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of postoperative CRP elevation independently of the presence or absence of postoperative complications. Among patients with no postoperative complications, the RFS was significantly worse in the high CRPmax group than in the low CRPmax group (log-rank P = 0.026; Fig. 2a). Among patients with postoperative complications, the high CRPmax group had worse RFS than the low CRPmax group, but this difference was not significant (log-rank P = 0.075; Fig. 2b).
Cox multivariate analysis
To assess the prognostic value of CRPmax independently of other confounding factors, we conducted a Cox multivariate analysis of RFS with 13 covariables (Table 3). The multivariate analysis identified CRPmax (P = 0.043) as an independent prognostic factor, along with age (P < 0.001), body mass index (P = 0.008), type of gastrectomy (P = 0.006), pT status (P < 0.001), pN status (P < 0.001), and adjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.004). By contrast, the postoperative complication was not a significant factor (P = 0.387).
Discussion
This large-scale, multicenter study validated our initial finding that postoperative CRP elevation was an independent prognostic factor in patients who underwent surgical resection of pT2–T4 gastric cancer. The occurrence of postoperative complications was a significant prognostic factor in a univariate Kaplan–Meier analysis but not in a Cox multivariate analysis, indicating that CRPmax is a comprehensive prognostic indicator that takes into account the influence of postoperative complications. Moreover, in terms of objectivity, CRPmax has a higher prognostic value than complication occurrence.
Several previous studies in various fields of cancer surgery showed that the occurrence of postoperative complications worsened patient prognosis [5,6,7,8]. Salvans et al. reported that postoperative peritoneal fluid obtained from patients with an anastomotic leak or intra-abdominal abscess enhanced both cell migration and cell invasion capacities in in vitro assays [9]. They concluded that intra-abdominal infectious complications enhance the invasiveness of residual tumor cells after surgery, leading to recurrence. Increased proinflammatory mediators such as interleukin-6 (IL-6) may play an important role in promoting proliferation and migration of residual cancer cells [21, 22]. Kubota et al. reported that postoperative complications of Grade II or higher were a significant prognostic indicator in pStage II and III but not pStage I gastric cancer [23]. However, their study was retrospectively conducted at a single institution, and more than half of their patients had early (pT1) gastric cancer. By contrast, in this study we enrolled a much larger number of patients with advanced (pT2–T4) gastric cancer. Our multivariate analysis revealed that the occurrence of postoperative complications was not an independent prognostic indicator, and that instead it was a confounding factor for CRP elevation.
CRP elevation is a comprehensive indicator of postoperative inflammation status, which in turn reflects the levels of inflammatory cytokines such as IL-6 [15, 16]. Even if postoperative complications do not occur, excessive surgical stress can result in the production of inflammatory cytokines, which leads to the promotion of adhesion of circulating tumor cells to the vascular endothelium of distant organs by enhancing the E-selectin expression [24,25,26,27]. This mechanism may explain the reason why liver not peritoneal metastasis occurred significantly more frequently in the high CRPmax group in our study. Extended surgery that causes excessive surgical stress may worsen both patient prognosis and quality of life. Thus, minimally invasive surgery that does not increase the occurrence of postoperative complications is ideal in patients with cancer.
Recently, several complex prognostic indicators have been reported, including CRP. The Glasgow prognostic score, which uses CRP and albumin, is a well-known prognostic marker in various kinds of cancer surgeries [28]. The CRP/albumin ratio (CAR) was also reported to be a useful prognostic marker in hepatocellular carcinoma [29]. However, most studies using these complex indicators or CRP alone examined only the prognostic value of the preoperative CRP level [28,29,30,31]. Preoperative CRP mainly reflects oncological status, whereas postoperative CRP reflects both oncological status and the inflammatory response after surgery, and may, therefore, be more useful for predicting patient prognosis [32]. A large-scale study comparing the prognostic values of postoperative CRP alone with complex indicators that include postoperative CRP is warranted in the future.
This study has several limitations. First, it was a retrospective study and was therefore prone to selection bias, although the number of patients was very large. To reduce bias as much as possible, we collected the data of consecutive patients who underwent R0 resection between January 2008 and December 2010 at 21 institutions. Second, no consensus guidelines currently exist for determining the type of complications that affect prognosis. However, a meta-analysis showed the relationship between complications and reduced survival was stronger when only infectious complications were considered as compared with all complications [32]. In this study, we, therefore, assessed intra-abdominal infectious complications in accordance with a previous study in gastric cancer surgery [8]. Third, the days of routine CRP examination were not fixed in this study, and we used the highest postoperative serum level of CRP during the hospital stay as a representative value of postoperative CRP elevation. However, CRP level at the fixed date after surgery may be better considering the simplicity. Indeed, Watt et al. examined the prognostic values of CRP and albumin levels on days 3 or 4 after colorectal surgery [33]. We actually confirmed that most of the participating institutions routinely examined CRP levels either on days 2–4. We hope future studies will evaluate which is a better prognostic indicator CRPmax or CRP level at the fixed date.
In conclusion, postoperative CRP elevation was a much more effective predictor of prognosis in patients with gastric cancer than the occurrence of intra-abdominal infectious complications. CRPmax over 12 mg/dL may be a useful complement to the TNM stage in determining the indications for adjuvant treatment to improve the prognosis of gastric cancer patients more. Surgeons should ideally avoid increasing postoperative CRP levels by reducing excessive surgical stress and postoperative complications.
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Kurokawa, Y., Yamashita, K., Kawabata, R. et al. Prognostic value of postoperative C-reactive protein elevation versus complication occurrence: a multicenter validation study. Gastric Cancer 23, 937–943 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-020-01073-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-020-01073-5