Abstract
Suicide in adolescents is the second most common cause of death in this age group and an important public health problem. We examined sociodemographic factors associated with suicide in Swiss adolescents and analysed time trends in youth suicide in the Swiss National Cohort (SNC). The SNC is a longitudinal study of the whole Swiss resident population, based on linkage of census and mortality records. We identified suicides in adolescents aged 10–18 years from 1991 to 2013. A total of 2.396 million adolescents were included and 592 suicides were recorded, corresponding to a rate of 3.7 per 100,000 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.4–4.0]. Rates increased with age from 0.0 per 100,000 at age 10 years to 14.8 per 100,000 (95% CI 12.6–17.5) at 18 years in boys, and from 0.0 to 5.4 per 100,000 (4.1–7.2) in girls. Being a boy, living in a single parent household, being an only or middle-born child, and living in rural regions were factors associated with a higher rate of suicide. Hanging was the most common method in boys, and railway suicides were most frequent in girls. There was no clear evidence for an increase or decrease over calendar time. We conclude that familial and socioeconomic factors including type of household, birth order and urbanity are associated with youth suicide in Switzerland. These factors should be considered when designing prevention programmes for youth suicide.
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Introduction
Recognised as an important public health problem by the World Health Organization (WHO) [1], suicide in youth is a rare but tragic event, with severe implications for the families and friends concerned. Suicide rates increase steeply from childhood to adolescence [2, 3]. In adolescents, suicide is the second most common cause of death [4], and up to 30% of all adolescents have suicidal thoughts or behaviours [5].
Mental disorders, particularly depressive disorders, anxiety disorders and substance use, are associated with suicide and suicidal behaviour not only in adults, but also in adolescents [2,3,4, 6, 7]. Adolescent girls experience a higher rate of suicidal ideation and suicide attempts [6, 8], but boys are more likely to complete suicide than girls [3, 6, 8] mirroring the situation in adults. Familial and socioeconomic factors have also been identified as risk factors for youth suicide [3, 9]: parental psychopathology [6, 7, 10], a family history of suicidal behaviour [6, 7], being born to young mothers [11, 12] and mothers with a low education [12], parental divorce [2, 10], living in single parent households [7, 13] and parent–child conflicts [7, 14]. Studies from Norway and Scotland found that a higher position in birth order was positively associated with the risk for suicide, but both studies included not only adolescents, but also young adults [11, 15]. Whereas conflicts with parents and maltreatment are often reported in suicides of younger adolescents (typically defined as ages 10–15 years), crises in romantic relationships and psychological disorders are more important in older adolescents [16,17,18]. There are only few data on time trends in suicides in youths, and results are inconsistent across studies [19, 20]. Analysing the data of the WHO for Europe, Kolves et al. found a decrease in suicide rates in age group 10–14 years and in age group 15–19 years old, although in the younger age group no decrease was found in girls [21, 22].
We analysed a large national cohort study to examine suicide rates in youth, the chosen methods of suicide and reported psychiatric conditions. Our aim was to investigate sociodemographic factors associated with suicide in adolescents in Switzerland and to examine trends in suicide rates over time.
Methods
The Swiss National Cohort
The Swiss National Cohort (SNC) is a longitudinal study of mortality in Switzerland based on linkage of census and mortality records. The SNC and details regarding the linkage process have been described in detail elsewhere [23,24,25]. Briefly, the records of the 1990 and 2000 censuses were linked to death records or emigration records up to 2013 using deterministic and probabilistic linkage procedures, based on sex, date of birth, place of residence and other variables [23, 24]. The census was mandatory, with population coverage estimated at 98.6% [26]. The SNC was initiated by public health and demography institutes of the Swiss universities Bern, Zurich, Basel, Lausanne and Geneva. The Cantonal Ethics Committees of Bern and Zurich approved the SNC, covering the present analysis. The SNC database is open to national and international researchers. However, access to the data has to be approved by the owner of the data, the Swiss Federal Statistical Office.
Study population and follow-up
We included all adolescents aged 10–18 years who were registered in the 1990 or 2000 census. In Switzerland adolescents attain the age of majority at 18 years. Follow-up started either on 4 December 1990 (the date of the 1990 census), 5 December 2000 (the date of the 2000 census) or, if a child turned 10 during the study period, on the date of the 10th birthday. We followed all adolescents to the earliest of the 19th birthday, emigration or end of the study period (31 December 2008). Biological mothers and fathers of the adolescents were identified based on the household data and the question in the census asking whether or not adults lived with their own children.
Identification of suicides
Suicides were identified based on the causes of death recorded on the death certificate. During 1991–1994, deaths caused by intentional self-harm were coded according to the International Classification of Diseases, Eighth Revision (ICD-8), and from 1995 based on the Tenth Revision (ICD-10). We included the following methods of suicides: (1) poisoning (ICD-8 950-952, ICD-10 X60–X69); (2) hanging (ICD-8 953, ICD-10 X70); (3) drowning (ICD-8 954, ICD-10 X71); (4) firearms (ICD-8 955, ICD-10 X72–X75); (5) cutting (ICD-8 956, ICD-10 X78); (6) jumping (ICD-8 957, ICD-10 X80); (7) railway (ICD-8 958.00, ICD-10 X81–X82); other (ICD-8 958 with exception of 958.00, ICD-10 83-84). We also analysed the psychiatric diagnoses reported on the death certificates.
Statistical analysis
We calculated crude rates by dividing the number of suicides by the number of person-years at risk and calculated univariate and multivariable hazard ratios using Cox regression, with age as the time scale. We included sex, type of household (single person with children, couple with children, institution), birth order (only child, firstborn, middle born or lastborn), highest education of parents (compulsory schooling, secondary, tertiary education), age of mother at birth (in 10-year bands), religion (Protestant, Catholic and no affiliation) and nationality of the adolescent (Swiss or foreign), degree of urbanization of place of residence (urban, peri-urban and rural), socioeconomic position of neighbourhood of residence (quartiles of the Swiss index [27]) and language region (German, French and Italian). The type of household and marital status of parents were strongly correlated, and we therefore did not include marital status. The age of the father was frequently missing and was also not included in the multivariable models. The variables used for analysis originate from census 1990 and census 2000, except for date of death, cause of death and concomitant diseases which were obtained from the death certificates.
Previous studies [2, 6, 28] showed that suicide is very uncommon in childhood and early adolescents and that the rate increases from the age of 15 years. We therefore also examined interactions between age groups (10–14 and 15–18 years) and the socioeconomic factors associated with suicide. In other words, we were interested in any differences in associations between younger and older adolescents.
Statistical analyses were done in Stata version 14 (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX, USA). Results are given as rates per 100,000 population and hazard ratios (HR), with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Results
Study population
A total of 2,395,677 adolescents contributed follow-up time. The characteristic of the study population is shown in Table 1. There were slightly more boys than girls (51 versus 49%). Most adolescents lived with two adults, and most were either first- or lastborn, reflecting the typical number of two children in Swiss families. One-fifth of the adolescents were only children and fewer than 10% had more than two sisters or brothers. The mothers of 6.7% of the adolescents and the fathers of 13.5% could not be identified in the census. More than half of the adolescents without identified father lived only with one adult, compared to fewer than 10% overall. Most mothers were between 25 and 34 years old at birth of the adolescent; 2.8% of adolescents had teenage mothers. In about half of households secondary education was the highest educational level, and about 75% of households were from urban or peri-urban regions.
Rates of suicide
592 suicides were recorded in adolescents, during 8,738,853 person-years of follow-up. The crude rate of suicide was 3.7 per 100.000 person-years (95% CI 3.4–4.0) (Table 1). Rates increased with age from 0.0 per 100,000 at age 10 years to 14.8 per 100,000 (95% CI 12.6–17.5) at 18 years in boys, and from 0.0 to 5.4 per 100,000 (95% CI 4.1–7.2) in girls (Fig. 1). The rates increased slightly more steeply in boys than in girls and diverged after the age of 14. In boys rates ranged from 4.4 per 100,000 person-years in the period 2007–2010 to 6.8 per 100,000 person-years in 1995–1999 and in girls from 1.47 in 2011–2013 to 2.47 in 1999–2002, with overlapping 95% CIs (Fig. 2).
Suicide methods and psychiatric diagnoses
Suicide by hanging was the most common method overall, with 159 (26.9%) of 592 suicides (Table 2). Hanging was also the most common method in boys (122 or 28.8%) whereas in girls railway suicides dominated (52 or 30.8%). In boys younger than 15 almost 40% of the 100 suicides were by hanging. In boys but not in girls, suicide by firearms was also a common method (95 or 22.5%). A total of 119 (20.1%) of the 592 suicides had a psychiatric diagnosis on the death certificate (Table 3). Depressive disorders were most frequently reported (74 suicides), followed by alcohol and drug use (13 suicides) and schizophrenia (nine suicides).
Factors associated with suicide in adolescents
The univariable Cox models showed higher rates of suicides in boys than in girls, adolescents living with one adult, and for only children and middle-born children (Table 1). Adolescents living in households with adults with tertiary education had a higher suicide rate than those living with adults with compulsory education or less. Swiss adolescents had a higher rate than those with another passport, and the rate was higher in rural than in peri-urban and urban areas (Table 1). The results of the multivariable analysis are shown in Fig. 3. They largely confirmed the associations seen in univariable analyses: The rate was higher in boys than in girls, in single adult households than in multiple adult households, and higher in only children or middle-born children compared to firstborns. Furthermore, rates of youth suicide were higher in rural areas than in urban areas.
Interactions with age
There were 75 suicides in age group 10–14 years and 517 suicides in age group 15–18 years (Table 1). Most adolescents (1,830,867; 76.4%) contributed person-time to both age groups. Supplementary Table 1 shows the results from multivariable analyses stratified by age group. There was evidence for an interaction with age group for two variables: type of household (p from test of interaction 0.032) and birth order (p = 0.033). Figure 4 shows the hazard ratios for these two variables. Associations between the rate of suicide and living with one adult only, or living in an institution were stronger for younger than for older adolescents. Similarly, the association with being an only child with suicide was stronger for younger adolescents. Supplementary Table 2 gives the results of all tests for interaction.
Discussion
This longitudinal study showed that in Switzerland during the years 1991–2013 suicide in adolescents was associated with socioeconomic and demographic factors: being male, living with only one parent and living in rural areas were risk factors for suicide among youth. There was some evidence that the effect of the household composition on probability of youth suicide depended on the age group, with stronger associations in younger adolescents. Hanging was the most common method of suicide overall and in boys, whereas in girls, railway suicides were most common. Only about 20% of all adolescents dying by suicide from 1991 to 2013 had a psychiatric diagnosis recorded on the death certificate. There was no evidence for an increase or decrease over calendar time.
The rate of suicide was lower than the rate observed in Austria, where 4.57 per 100,000 adolescents from 10 to 19 years died by suicide from 2001 to 2014 [20]. Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, reports suicide rates only for age group 15–19 years: the rate of the 28 EU countries for the year 2013 is 4.5 per 100,000 and therefore lower than the rate in Swiss youth aged 15–18 years observed in this study [29]. The rates across countries ranged widely, from 1.29 in Greece to 21.4 in Lithuania [29]. There are only few data on trends over calendar years for suicides among adolescents. In analyses based on WHO data, the suicide rates in European adolescents decreased in boys 10–14 years old and in both genders 15–19 years old [21, 22]. In Austria the rate in 10–19 year old males decreased from 2001 to 2014, from around 10.0 to 8.0 per 100,000 person-years [20]. A slight decrease from around 2.5 to 1.5 per 100,000 person-years was also seen in girls, but it failed to reach statistical significance [20]. In England and Wales, the rates of suicides in adolescents 15–19 years old decreased between 2001 and 2010, from around 8.0 to 4.75 per 100,000 person-years, while there was no trend over time in the age group 10–14 years [19]. We found no evidence for a trend over time in suicide rates in adolescents living in Switzerland, in contrast to adults in whom the rate of suicide decreased over the last decades [30]. The methods of suicide observed confirm the results of an earlier study from Switzerland [31]. While hanging is also a common method of youth suicide in other countries [7, 13, 17, 32], railway suicides in adolescents have increased in the past years in Switzerland [31]. International comparisons emphasize the importance of the availability of suicide methods and the associated potential in prevention [32, 33].
Over 70% of the adolescents dying by suicide were boys, in line with the literature [3, 6, 8]. Mirroring the situation in adults, female adolescents have a higher rate of self-harm and suicide attempts, but a lower rate of suicide [3]. Our data confirm that the male-to-female ratio of suicide is increasing from prepubescent children to adolescents [18]. Another risk factor known from suicide in adults is living in rural areas [34,35,36].
Other factors are more youth-specific and often similar to risk factors for self-harm in adolescents [3]: the higher risk associated with living with one parent only is consistent with results from studies showing a higher risk for children not living in with their biological parents [6, 13]. It is unclear from our data to what extent the family constellations identified in our study, or the factors leading to these situations are causally related to the risk of suicide, or if issues such as unemployment or mental illness in parents pose a greater risk if the child has no other caregiver in the household. An earlier study found an association between parental separation and suicide, but the effect decreased when the mental health of the parents was taken into account [6].
Earlier studies found differences in the possible factors triggering suicide between younger and older adolescents: suicides in adolescents younger than 15 have often been associated with family conflicts, maltreatment or problems at school, while romantic relationships and psychiatric illness were more common risk factors in older adolescents [7, 16,17,18]. Brothers and sisters may be an important source of support in parent–child conflicts, which might explain the association with only children found in this study among younger adolescents.
We found a higher suicide rate in middle-born adolescents. Studies of birth-order effects on personality and psychological development have produced contradictory results [11, 37, 38]. In the context of suicide in young adults some studies showed an increasing risk with increasing number of siblings [11, 15]. In our study, less than 10% of adolescents came from families with more than three children at census.
In only few suicides, a psychiatric disorder was noted on the death certificate. The proportion of about 20% is comparable to the results of a study from Norway, although the authors restricted analyses to youths under 16 years of age [39]. In their study, the parents of those who died by suicide more often reported mental health problems in their children than parents of accident victims, but there were no significant differences in the Kiddie-SADS criteria for any psychiatric diagnoses [39]. Conversely, studies from the US found that 80–90% of all suicides in adolescents were associated with psychiatric morbidity [4, 6]. In Australia, 50% of children aged 10–14 years and 57% of adolescents aged 15–17 years who died by suicide had a mental disorder [40]. Whereas it is likely that the information on the death certificate underestimates the prevalence of mental illness among youth dying by suicide, the post hoc psychological autopsy approach will overestimate the prevalence of psychiatric morbidity [41]. In the USA and Canada studies based on coroner data also found a considerably higher proportion of adolescent suicides with mental disorders [42, 43]. It is unclear whether Swiss adolescents dying by suicide are suffering less often from psychiatric disorders or if they are underdiagnosed. Of note, a recent report on the care of mentally ill persons in Switzerland identified a shortage of resources in the psychiatric care for children and adolescents [44].
An important strength of our study is its national coverage, and the detailed socioeconomic and demographic data available both at the individual and household level. This study was, however, based on routine data collected at the census and on the death certificate, and we could not investigate the importance of mental illness in the adolescents or their parents in any detail. We also had no information on the relation of the adolescents with their parents, teachers and schoolmates. All our data on sociodemographic factors are based on the census 1990 and 2000. Therefore some factors as type of household, highest education in household or birth order might have changed during the study period. In addition, we could only identify the parents of the adolescents if they were living in the same household with the child at least at the time of one census.
Misclassification of suicide as accidental or other unnatural death [45, 46] is another limitation of studies based on death certificate data. For example, a survey among medical examiners in the USA revealed potential for misclassification particularly in suicides of youth [47]. Of note, suicide notes and data on past suicidal behaviour or diagnosed mental disorders are important in decision-making processes of medical examiners in the determination of child suicide [47]. Unfortunately, we did not have any information on suicide notes and suicidal behaviour, and only limited information on diagnosed mental disorders from the death certificates. However, systematic misclassification is unlikely in Switzerland because the family and the communal authorities do not receive a copy of the death certificate, and death registration is anonymous.
In conclusion, further research is needed to better understand the complex effects of distal and proximal risk factors and protective factors on suicide in adolescents. Mental health problems of children or their parents, parent–child conflicts and mobbing have been shown to be risk factors for suicide [7, 14], with a dose–response association [9]. Familial and sociodemographic factors such as the composition of the household may reflect the level of social support available to the adolescent, which in turn may mediate the resilience of adolescents to deal with conflicts and stressors. These factors should therefore be considered when designing preventive interventions in adolescents at risk.
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF), Grant 3347C0-108806. The SNSF had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript. We thank Marcel Zwahlen (ISPM Bern) for statistical advice. The members of the Swiss National Cohort Study Group are Matthias Egger (Chairman of the Executive Board); Adrian Spoerri and Marcel Zwahlen (ISPM Bern; Switzerland); Milo Puhan (Chairman of the Scientific Board; EBPI Zürich; Switzerland); Matthias Bopp (EBPI Zurich); Nino Künzli (SwissTPH, Basel; Switzerland); Fred Paccaud (IUMSP Lausanne; Switzerland); and Michel Oris (CIGEV, Geneva; Switzerland).
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Steck, N., Egger, M., Schimmelmann, B.G. et al. Suicide in adolescents: findings from the Swiss National cohort. Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry 27, 47–56 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-017-1019-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00787-017-1019-6