Abstract.
The skew effect in market implied volatility can be reproduced by option pricing theory based on stochastic volatility models for the price of the underlying asset. Here we study the performance of the calibration of the S&P 500 implied volatility surface using the asymptotic pricing theory under fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility described in [8]. The time-variation of the fitted skew-slope parameter shows a periodic behaviour that depends on the option maturity dates in the future, which are known in advance. By extending the mathematical analysis to incorporate model parameters which are time-varying, we show this behaviour can be explained in a manner consistent with a large model class for the underlying price dynamics with time-periodic volatility coefficients.
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Received: December 2003,
Mathematics Subject Classification (2000):
91B70, 60F05, 60H30
JEL Classification:
C13, G13
Jean-Pierre Fouque: Work partially supported by NSF grant DMS-0071744.
Ronnie Sircar: Work supported by NSF grant DMS-0090067. We are grateful to Peter Thurston for research assistance.
We thank a referee for his/her comments which improved the paper.
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Fouque, JP., Papanicolaou, G., Sircar, R. et al. Maturity cycles in implied volatility. Finance and Stochastics 8, 451–477 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-004-0126-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-004-0126-7