Abstract
Earlier chapters have covered disease identification, diseases assessment and yield loss, pathogen dispersal, modelling and data analysis. All these aspects of disease epidemiology are essential components of forecasting systems. However, we must ask a fundamental question: why forecast disease at all? The perception is that we have effective control methods at our disposal through the use of resistant cultivars, cultivar diversification, eradication, exclusion and chemicals. Chemical control methods come in various guises, from soil sterilization and seed treatments to foliar sprays. These are sometimes expensive but relatively easy to apply through mechanized equipment and they give acceptable disease control.
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Hardwick, N.V. (1998). Disease forecasting. In: Jones, D.G. (eds) The Epidemiology of Plant Diseases. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3302-1_10
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