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Explanation and Confirmation: A Bayesian Critique of Inference to the Best Explanation

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Explanation

Part of the book series: Synthese Library ((SYLI,volume 302))

Abstract

When I first presented a version of this paper in Leipzig, Germany, in 1996, Europe was deeply embroiled in the problem of “mad cow disease” (spongiform encephalopathy), which had afflicted many British cattle. Ten cases of a rare brain disease in humans (Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease — CJD) had been attributed to the consumption of infected beef, because that was taken by medical scientists as the best available explanation of certain special characteristics of these particular cases. The political and economic ramifications throughout the European Union were enormous.1

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Salmon, W.C. (2001). Explanation and Confirmation: A Bayesian Critique of Inference to the Best Explanation. In: Hon, G., Rakover, S.S. (eds) Explanation. Synthese Library, vol 302. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9731-9_3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9731-9_3

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5827-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-015-9731-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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