Abstract
The importance of early flood warnings and improved flood management, the latter through existing or planned hydraulic infrastructures, is increasingly recognized. This paper describes an Information System which supports river basin authorities in flood management and flood forecasting. Rainfall-runoff and 1-D hydrodynamic flow simulation models, equipped with an appropriate userinterface, are the kernel of this Flood Early Warning System (FEWS). Data assimilation techniques, based on an Extended Kaiman Filter, enable regular updating of the models on the basis of observed data and allow operation of the FEWS in real-time. Results of both updating and forecasts are presented through the userinterface in an easily interpretable format. Options of the Information System this paper deals with are illustrated by describing a recently implemented FEWS for the Nile Rivers in the Sudan.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abbott, M.B., Hydroinformatics, information technology and the aquatic environment, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK and Brookfield, USA, 1991.
Bois, Ph., Contribution à l’analogie et à la prévision de variables hydrométéorologiques. Application à la prévision des débits du Niger et des avalanches à Davos, PhD Thesis, Université de Grenoble, 1976 (in French).
Box, G.P., and G.M. Jenkins,Time series analysis, forecasting and control, Holden-Day, 1976.
Boyd, M.J., A linear branched network model for storm rainfall and runoff, in:Proc. Intl. Symposium on Rainfall-Runoff Modeling, Mississippi State University, pp.111–124, Water Resources Publications, Littleton, Colorado, USA, 1981.
Chené, J.M., Erlich, M. On combining the classic propagation models with a multivariate seasonal multimodel competition system : the application for real-time forecasting of the Niger river basin discharges, Proc. of the 4th Intl. Symposium on Multivariate Analysis of Hydrologic Processes, July 15–17, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, USA, 1985.
Cunge, J.A., F. Holly, and A. Verwey, Practical Aspects of Computational River Hydraulics, Pitman, Advanced Publ. Program, London, 1980.
Cunge, J.A., and A. Preissmann, Etude de la stabilité de la régulation de débit dans les canaux d’irrigation, Schweizer Ingenieur und Architekt, 6/88, pp.161–162, 1988.
Cunge, J.A., J-L. Rahuel, E. Todini, and R. Vignoli, The Hydrological Forecasting System (HFS), NATO Advanced Workshop, Computer Aided Support Systems for Water Resources, Ericeira, 23–28 Sept. 1990.
Diskin M.H., G.Wyseure, and J.Feyen, Application of a cell model to the Bellebeek watershed, Nord.Hydrol., 15(1), 25–38, 1984.
Erlich M., and P. Sauvaget , Computerised Forecasting System: A general software product for interactive management of hydrological data banks and real-time river discharge forecasting, HYDROSOFT’86, Proc. of International Conference on Hydraulic Engineering Software, Southampton (U.K.), 9 -12 septembre 1986, Springer-Verlag, Computational Mechanics Publications, pp.333–355.
LHF, Real-time monitoring system for optimal computer control of the Fuchun river hydropower station reservoir, Hydrological Forecasting System (HFS), User’s Manual, Version 1.0, 1991.
Moore, R.J., Jones, D.A. Bird, P.B. and Cottingham, M.C., A basin-wide flow forecasting system for real-time flood warning, river control and water management, in : W.R. White (ed.), Proceedings of Int. Conference on River Flood Hydraulics, 21–30, J. Wiley, 1990.
Morrison, D.F., Multivariate Statistical Methods, Mc Graw-Hill KOGAKUSHA, 1976.
Natale, L., and E. Todini, A stable estimator for linear models. -1. Theoretical development and Monte-Carlo experiments, WRR, Vol. 12 N° 4, pp 667–671, 1976.
Pindyck, R.S. and Rubinfeld, D.L. “Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, Mc Graw -Hill, 1981.
Todini & Partners, Il modello afflusi deflussi del fiume Arno, Relazione Generale dello studio per conto della Regione Toscana, 1988.
Todini, E. Mutually Interactive State-Parameter (MISP) estimation, in : C-L.Chiu (Ed.), Proc. Chapman Conference on Application of Kaiman filter to Hydrology and Water Resources, May 22–24, Pittsburgh, USA, pp. 135–151, 1978.
WMO, Intercomparison of conceptual models in operational hydrological forecasting, Operational Hydrology Report N°7, WMO No.429, 1975.
Zhao, R.J., Flood forecasting method for humid regions of China, East China College of Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing, April 1977.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Grijsen, J.G., Snoeker, X.C., Vermeulen, C.J.M., El Nur, M.A.M., Mohamed, Y.A. (1992). Title: An Information System for Flood Early Warning. In: Saul, A.J. (eds) Floods and Flood Management. Fluid Mechanics and its Applications, vol 15. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-1630-5_19
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-1630-5_19
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-010-4711-1
Online ISBN: 978-94-011-1630-5
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive