Abstract
In order to estimate the impact of global warming on plant phenology in Monsoon Asia, an attempt was made first to review the previous studies in Japan, Korea and China. In particular, flowering dates of cherry blossoms were analyzed in relation to air temperature in March, or as a function of latitude, longitude, coldness/warmth indices. Using the experimental formula, one can estimate the condition in the case of global warming. Secondly, it is indicated that the effects of urbanization in big cities on quickening of blooming dates are at a rate of 1–3 day par 1°C. It was shown that the mean flowering dates of cherry blossoms in Japan and Korea become 3–4 days earlier when mean air temperature of March increases 1°C. Further, in the case of early blooming the flowering dates have a more significant relation to March air temperature. In the last part of the study, differences of flowering dates in Honshu, Japan and sugar cane harvest in Minamidaito-jima, Japan, between the El Niño and La Niña events were studied. The flowering date is significantly earlier in the El Niño years. Deviations of harvested area in the El Niño years are negative for “summer planting ”. The deviations are completely opposite in the La Niña years. This is caused by the dry conditions under the influence of developed zonal anticyclone in the subtropics over the North Pacific in the El Niño years, which is suggested to occur in the case of global warming.
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Yoshino, M., Ono, HS.P. (1996). Variations in the Plant Phenology Affected by Global Warming. In: Climate Change and Plants in East Asia. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-66899-2_8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-66899-2_8
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