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Analysis and Discussion

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A Future of Polycentric Cities

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Abstract

The research has presented a method, or series of interlinked models, to prepare three-dimensional and mathematical models of physical planning options and outcomes. While we search for a progressive direction in city building, we often avoid hard questions. To this end this research aims to develop a method to illustrate the pay-offs and trade-offs of following policy settings to realise walkable, transit-oriented, activity-centred and compact-city aspirations. The implications are globally significant, demonstrating the scale of the operation to change our automobile-dependent cities towards a new urban fabric supporting walking and public transport.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Koppen Climate Classification Flow Chart: http://www.utexas.edu/depts/grg/kimmel/GRG301K/grg301kkoppen.html. Accessed July 27, 2014.

  2. 2.

    For example: Calgary, Canada with half (~1,000,000) the population of Perth having—effectively, though not perfectly—two rings of limited-access freeways compared to Perth’s mere two intersecting freeways.

  3. 3.

    Sea Change and Tree Change are Australian colloquialisms describing the strong demographic shifts towards lifestyles outside of the busy and congested cities as proven by new housing tracts of ultra low-density hobby farms in the country (tree change) or the low-density [often without backyards] sprawl in coastal areas (sea change).

  4. 4.

    ABS predicts as of June 30, 2011 that ‘In Series B (the moderate measure), Perth is projected to experience the highest percentage growth (116%) of Australia’s capital cities, increasing from 1.6 million people at 30 June 2007 to 3.4 million in 2056’, an increase of 1.8 million persons 253. ABS, Census QuickStats: Victoria Park - Lathlain - Burswood, in Census. 2011, Australian Bureau of Statistics: Canberra, Australia.

  5. 5.

    Perth actually has very good metrics when compared to a select sample of other cities; in the appendices, see: ‘Urban Areas, Populations and Transport in 19 Cities’ for a broad comparison of urbanised areas and densities. However, for an even more revealing look at how Perth compares see, again in the appendices ‘Select cities from the Global Cities Database’, which will show that Perth does have low density and high rate of roads per person while other charts show that Perth does provide a fairly high ratio of Transit Service.

  6. 6.

    ‘Interview with Jan Gehl’. http://www.asla.org/ContentDetail.aspx?id=31346. Accessed May 21, 2014.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. SMART Infrastructure Facility, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia

    Cole Hendrigan

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Hendrigan, C. (2020). Analysis and Discussion. In: A Future of Polycentric Cities. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9169-9_5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9169-9_5

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