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Demografische und soziale Entwicklung – Chance oder Risiko?

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Praxishandbuch Wirtschaft in Afrika

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Zusammenfassung

Die Analyse der neueren wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung Afrikas folgt einer Wellenbewegung, vom angeblich hoffnungslosen Kontinent zum afrikanischen Wirtschaftswunder und nach dem einstweiligen Ende des Rohstoffbooms wieder auf den Boden harter Fakten. Dieselbe Phasenfolge ist für die sozialen Trends in Afrika zu beobachten. Die 1980er‐ und 1990er‐Jahre war von der Notwendigkeit bestimmt, Massenarmut gerade in Afrika abzubauen und elementare Ernährungssicherheit herzustellen. Anfang des neuen Millenniums drehte sich die Wahrnehmung komplett, und den Tenor der Analysen gab der fulminante Aufstieg neuer afrikanischer Mittelklassen vor. Nun ist die dritte Phase der jüngeren sozioökonomischen Entwicklung durch eine Reihe kritischer Analysen des Strukturwandels und der Arbeitsplatzentwicklung eingeleitet worden (Asche 2015).

In dieser dritten Phase sehen wenige Afrika auf dem Rückweg in die verlorenen Dekaden der 80er/90er‐Jahre, im Gegenteil: von der Fortsetzung eines BIP‐Wachstums von 4–5 % wird meist ausgegangen; aber eine differenzierte Betrachtung greift auch für die sozialen Trends. Die alltägliche Wahrnehmung der neuen sozialen Realität Afrikas ist – kaum anders als die wissenschaftliche Perzeption – von der Dichotomie zwischen der aufstrebenden Mittelklasse und weiterhin verbreiteter Armut bestimmt.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Uni Mainz, Mainz, Deutschland

    Prof. Dr. Helmut Asche

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  1. Prof. Dr. Helmut Asche
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Correspondence to Helmut Asche .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Centre for Business and Technology, Fachhochschule Flensburg Centre for Business and Technology, Flensburg, Germany

    Thomas Schmidt

  2. Centre for Business and Technology, Fachhochschule Flensburg Centre for Business and Technology, Flensburg, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany

    Kay Pfaffenberger

  3. Afrika-Verein der Deutschen Wirtschaft , Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

    Stefan Liebing

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Asche, H. (2017). Demografische und soziale Entwicklung – Chance oder Risiko?. In: Schmidt, T., Pfaffenberger, K., Liebing, S. (eds) Praxishandbuch Wirtschaft in Afrika. Springer Gabler, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-14482-1_4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-14482-1_4

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  • Publisher Name: Springer Gabler, Wiesbaden

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  • Online ISBN: 978-3-658-14482-1

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