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The following seven theses are possible policy recommendations for the future formulation of European investment protection “after Lisbon.”

First Thesis: It is worthwhile re-examining the actual purpose of the protection of international investment through treaties in international law and investor–state arbitral tribunals, as the protection given to property by bilateral investment treaties is not provided merely as an end in itself. It is also expressly provided to create an international “rule of law,”Footnote 1 which is one of the most important preconditions for the beneficial private direct investment which is essential for the economic development of many countries.Footnote 2

Furthermore, the second generation of bilateral investment treaties since the 1980s/1990s has made an important contribution to the creation of a unique investor–state arbitration system.Footnote 3 The task of these international arbitral tribunals was, and still is, to decide between the interests of the investor in protecting his foreign investment from state intervention, on the one hand, and the interests of the host state in implementing its public aims on the other hand. This led to a dispute arbitration system which denationalizes and depoliticizes conflicts between investors and states. It appears that investors currently view international investor–state arbitral proceedings as the most suitable instrument of last resort for the law-basedFootnote 4 resolution of such problems.Footnote 5 The investor can independently assert the standards guaranteed in bilateral investment treaties against the host state directly at the level of international law. The subsequent elevation and recognition of the investor as a partial subject of international law – resulting from globalization – has helped to give international investment law its vigour and current importance and is rightly seen as a paradigm shiftFootnote 6 in international law.

Moreover, it is noteworthy that today almost a third of all bilateral investment treaties are concluded between developing and emerging nations and also include investor–state arbitration.Footnote 7 This reflects the fact that large developing and emerging nations have themselves become capital-exporting nations and they now also find themselves in the situation of having to adapt their investment policy and guarantee the protection of their own foreign investments. China is the classic example, being the number two worldwide behind Germany in terms of the number of bilateral investment treaties concluded. China first included an investor–state arbitration clause in its investment treaties with a developing country in its bilateral investment treaty with Barbados in 1998.Footnote 8 Its first treaty of this kind with an industrial state was the bilateral investment treaty with Germany in 2003.Footnote 9 The developing nations with the highest number of bilateral investment treaties in place generally tend to be some of the largest investors in other developing nations and have, therefore, become both host countries and countries of origin of investments.Footnote 10

This elevation of the investor and the possibility of an investor–state arbitral proceeding resulting from bilateral investment treaties can also have the interesting consequence that diplomatic protection can be increased in advance of potential (arbitral) proceedings: The possibility of an investor initiating independent legal action in a case of arbitration under international law strengthens his negotiating position in relation to the host state – even before potential arbitral proceedings – since in any arbitral proceedings he has rights equal to those of the state and, therefore, usually enjoys international attention in advance.

Furthermore, both states know that, should political efforts to settle the dispute be unsuccessful, the investor can instigate proceedings on the basis of the bilateral investment treaty. Therefore, the present dense network of modern investment treaties which fundamentally allows and enables investor–state arbitral proceedings also performs a dispute-avoidance function.Footnote 11 An important aim of investment protection treaties could, therefore, be understood – not only from the viewpoint of the companies – to be the creation of a stable legal framework which is familiar to all parties, upon which the protagonists can rely and whose enforcement mechanisms do not necessarily have to be put in motion.

The “internationalization of the rule of law” and the legally binding nature of economic actions resulting from bilateral investment treaties and investor–state arbitral proceedings do not solely serve the interests of investors. They also equally serve the interests of the states and the international community as a whole in providing a basis for legal settlements in investment disputes between the host state and the investor, as well as in the enforcement of international law.

Moreover, reaching beyond any specific case, international investment law fulfils an ordering function for international investment relations. The legal implementation of international investment law can itself be described as a global public good.Footnote 12 Bilateral investment treaties and investor–state arbitration as an institutionalized form of an “investment law culture” remain committed to the common aim of promoting international economic exchange and development through the rule of law. The treaty states such as Germany – as well as the arbitral tribunals themselvesFootnote 13 – bear the responsibility for ensuring a sensible form and functionality of this system of international investment arbitration.

Second Thesis: It would appear that there is no final consensus agreed by all participants concerning the exact extent of the future investment competence of the European Union [according to Art. 207 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU)]. However, it is likely that future investment treaties or investment chapters of the European Union could, in general, be described as mixed treaties.Footnote 14

European Union agreements which would sensibly include both direct investment and portfolio investment would have to be concluded jointly by the European Union and its 27 member states and the respective third state.Footnote 15 Furthermore, future European investment treaties would also normally have to formulate standards of treatment for areas for which the internal market of the European Union would probably not be competent even “after Lisbon,” such as tax law and the systems of property ownership of the member states.Footnote 16

This means, in practice, that European Union investment treaties could be concluded as mixed treaties, i.e. with the involvement of the member states, if and when their content can meaningfully “exceed the sphere of competence of the European Union and reaches into the area of competence of the member states.”Footnote 17 Therefore, in the case of European investment protection, the member states and the European Commission depend upon each other.

Third Thesis: What does this mean for the formulation of European investment protection? What are the consequences for the implementation of the Lisbon Treaty, for the consideration of possible conflicts of interest and for the interplay between existing investment treaties of the member states, on the one hand, and the future competence of the European Union, on the other hand?Footnote 18

From a foreign trade perspective,Footnote 19 a guiding principle should be the maintenance and linking of the undisputed advantages of both systems for the benefit of the European Union and its member states. So far, more than 1,500 bilateral investment treaties with third states in existence in Europe – above all those of capital-exporting countries such as the UK, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg and Germany – have fulfilled their task well. Against this background, it should, therefore, also be in the interest of the European Union to continue to guarantee existing foreign investments through these investment treaties.

These treaties should remain in place to preserve the advantages of their tried-and-tested protection standards and arbitration mechanisms. This also corresponds to the investors’ and third countries’ desire for legal certainty as investment treaties actually guarantee a higher degree of legal certainty than customary international law. After all, the legal situation according to European Union law may not influence the existing effectiveness in international law of these treaties of the member states.Footnote 20 The ongoing existence in international law of bilateral investment treaties should, therefore, be maintained as long as no adequate subsequent system exists.Footnote 21

Fourth Thesis: Within the framework of new competences “after Lisbon” the member states, together with the Commission, need to vigorously support the negotiation of European investment treaties or substantial investment chapters within free-trade agreements. In addition to appropriate standards of protection,Footnote 22 improving access to foreign markets for European investors (“pre-establishment” and “market access”) should be an important aim of these negotiations.

This is all the more important against the background of an apparent change in attitude towards the protection of investment in certain parts of the world. The long and extensive experience of member states in international investment protection can be utilized profitably within the framework of such negotiations and the conclusion of treaties.

In this context the following considerations, which have their precursors in the development of Community law, should be examinedFootnote 23: One possible form could involve the European Union concluding a framework investment treaty with third states, leaving the details of the investment protection guarantees to the member states, not least to take into account special political/historical factors within the relationship of the individual European Union state with third countries.Footnote 24 This graduated combination of treaties with various levels has already been described as the Commission’s “multi-level governance reflected in a multi-level conclusion of international agreements,”Footnote 25 a description which is equally well suited to the introduction recommended here of complementary, European investment protection.

Fifth Thesis: The idea and principle of most-favoured treatment should apply concerning the relationship between existing treaties of the member states and future European investment treaties, as is already the case in European free-trade agreements or in various directives in European law. In the “Minimum Platform on Investment,” which the Council adopted on 27 November 2007 and which was renewed on 6 March 2009, (even before the Lisbon Treaty came into effect), the member states had already expressly stated the following concerning existing and future investment protection treaties:

Article [“Other Agreements”]: Nothing in this title shall be taken to limit the rights of investors of the Parties to benefit from any more favourable treatment provided for in any existing or future international agreement relating to investment to which a Member State of the Community and [a ‘region’ or country] are parties.Footnote 26

Thus, we would arrive at a complementary and interrelated European system of investment protection which would sensibly combine the benefits of both the existing investment treaties of the member states and the future free-trade agreements of the European Union. The new competences would generate further advantages if, for example, the European Commission succeeds in its negotiations with China and other large economic areas in its aim to achieve better, and mutual, market access for investors and thereby, in this respect, emulate the classic bilateral investment protection model of the USA.

Sixth Thesis: And finally, the following aspects have to be considered:

  • An arbitration clause, at least regarding the arbitral tribunals of the World Bank (ICSID), could not be included in a European Union investment treaty, so an investor from a third country could not initiate ICSID proceedings against the European Union following such an agreement. According to Art. 67 of the ICSID Convention, any new entrants have to be members of the World Bank (“for signature on behalf of States member of the bank”) or of the Statute of the International Court of Justice. The entry of a regional association such as the European Union is not possible.Footnote 27 Finally, Art. 66 of the ICSID Convention requires the unanimous agreement of all ICSID member states for any amendment to the ICSID Convention.

  • “After Lisbon” a common trade policy will be much more strongly anchored in the principles and aims of the foreign trade policy of the European Union as a whole. With the reference in Art. 205 TFEU to Art. 21 Para. 2 TEU (Para. 3 Subsection 3, new version) the aims of economic liberalization contained in Art. 206 TFEU (Art. 131 Treaty of Rome) also result explicitly in the application and integration of these values in a common trade policy. The values anchored in the coherence policy regarding the international dealings of the European Union include “democracy, the rule of law, human rights, the principles of international law, the Charter of the United Nations, sustainable development, integration of developing nations in the world economy, protection of the environment and global governance.”

  • The European Parliament must be involved before any such agreement is concluded and, according to Art. 218 Para. 6 TFEU, the approval of the European Parliament is required in the case of new agreements. In any case, it has been apparent for some time that the European Parliament has been gaining in self-confidence in this area and has dedicated itself increasingly to technical questions concerning a common trade policy and has, thereby, clearly begun to prepare for the new legal situation following the entry into force of the Lisbon Treaty. This will require increased coordination and harmonization from all parties involved – the member states, the Commission and the Council.

  • Finally, it is necessary to clarify the question of responsibility and liability within the framework of mixed agreements. As in this case both the European Union and the member states are treaty partners in a mixed agreement, they bear joint liability. Within the framework of an investment agreement this liability would basically be linked to “reasonable” state behaviour.Footnote 28 Joint and several liabilities would only emerge in the case of a member state invoking European Union law as only then could both the European Union and the member state be considered as being potentially in breach of contract.

However, in the case of a mixed agreement, the member states and the European Union could only limit or divide their responsibility in international law amongst themselves by means of a specific declaration. Numerous treaties expressly require this: Annex IX Art. 4 of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS),Footnote 29 Art. 24 II and III of the Kyoto Protocol and, finally, in the ratification declaration to Art. 26 of the Energy Charter Treaty.Footnote 30

Such a declaration concerning the limitation of responsibility would also be desirable in mixed investment agreements in order to avoid the duplication of legal action and to protect the member states from any duplication of liability owing to their being held responsible in international law for the execution of European Union law, thereby possibly infringing Community law due to the settlement of an arbitral ruling.

Seventh Thesis: It is high time, following the planned transfer of competences, for the cooperation between the member states and the Commission to be provided with an institutional framework – similar to that which exists in trade policy – and comparable with the previous Art. 133 and future Art. 207 committee on trade policy, in which all of these questions can be dealt with appropriately between those concerned.

The creation of such a complementary and correlated system of investment protection is demanding. It requires a prudent dialogue between those involved at European Union level in order to really enable advantage to be taken of the possibilities of such a system and the possible negotiating power of the European Union and, therefore, to engage in the competition between the legal systemsFootnote 31 with other economic blocks also in this regard.