Abstract
We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential Lévy-type martingale. This class of models allows for a local volatility, local default intensity and a locally dependent Lévy measure. We present a pricing method for Bermudan options based on an analytical approximation of the characteristic function combined with the COS method. Due to a special form of the obtained characteristic function the price can be computed using a fast Fourier transform-based algorithm resulting in a fast and accurate calculation.
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1 Introduction
In order to price derivatives in finance one requires the specification of the underlying asset dynamics. This is usually done by means of a stochastic differential equation. In this work we consider the flexible dynamics of a state-dependent model, in which we account for a local volatility function, a local jump measure such that the jumps in the underlying arrive with a state-dependent intensity and a local default intensity, so that the default time depends on the underlying state. One of the problems when considering such a state-dependent model is the fact that there is no explicit density function or characteristic function available. In order to still be able to price derivatives, we derive the characteristic function by means of an advanced Taylor expansion of the state-dependent coefficients, as first presented in Pagliarani et al. (2013) for a simplified model and similar to the derivations in Borovykh et al. (2016) for the local Lévy model. This Taylor expansion allows one to rewrite the fundamental solution of the related Cauchy problem in terms of solutions of simplified Cauchy problems, which we then solve in the Fourier space to obtain the approximated characteristic function. Once we have an explicit approximation for the characteristic function we use a Fourier method known as the COS method, first presented in Fang and Oosterlee (2009), for computing the continuation value of a Bermudan option. Due to a specific form of the approximated characteristic function the continuation value can be computed using a Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), resulting in a fast and accurate option valuation.
2 General Framework
We consider a defaultable asset S whose risk-neutral dynamics are given by:
where \(\tilde{N}_{t}(t,x,dz)\) is a compensated random measure with state-dependent Lévy measure ν(t, x, dz). The default time ζ of S is defined in a canonical way as the first arrival time of a doubly stochastic Poisson process with local intensity function γ(t, x) ≥ 0, and ɛ ∼ Exp(1) and is independent of X. Thus the model features:
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a local volatility function σ(t, x);
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a local Lévy measure: jumps in X arrive with a state-dependent intensity described by the local Lévy measure ν(t, x, dz). The jump intensity and jump distribution can thus change depending on the value of x. A state-dependent Lévy measure is an important feature because it allows to incorporate stochastic jump-intensity into the modeling framework;
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a local default intensity γ(t, x): the asset S can default with a state-dependent default intensity.
We define the filtration of the market observer to be \(\mathcal{G} =\mathcal{ F}^{X} \vee \mathcal{ F}^{D}\), where \(\mathcal{F}^{X}\) is the filtration generated by X and \(\mathcal{F}_{t}^{D}:=\sigma (\{\zeta \leq u\},u \leq t)\), for t ≥ 0, is the filtration of the default. We assume
and by imposing that the discounted asset price \(\tilde{S}_{t}:= e^{-rt}S_{t}\) is a \(\mathcal{G}\)-martingale, we get the following restriction on the drift coefficient:
3 The Characteristic Function
Is it well-known (see, for instance, Linetsky 2006, Sect. 2.2) that the price V of a European option with maturity T and payoff Φ(S T ) is given by
where φ(x) = Φ(e x). Thus, in order to compute the price of an option, we must evaluate functions of the form
Under standard assumptions, u can be expressed as the classical solution of the following Cauchy problem
where L is the integro-differential operator
Define Γ(t, x; T, y) to be the fundamental solution of the Cauchy problem (3). The function u in (2) can be represented as an integral with respect to Γ(t, x; T, dy):
Here we notice explicitly that Γ(t, x; T, dy) is not necessarily a standard probability measure because its integral over \(\mathbb{R}\) can be strictly less than one; nevertheless, with a slight abuse of notation, we refer to its Fourier transform
as the characteristic function of logS. Following the method developed in Borovykh et al. (2016) we use an adjoint expansion of the state-dependent coefficients
around some point \(\bar{x}\). The coefficients a(t, x), γ(t, x) and ν(t, x, dz) are assumed to be continuously differentiable with respect to x up to order \(N \in \mathbb{N}\). Introducing the n-th order Taylor approximation of the operator L to be (4):
where
and
Let us assume for a moment that L 0 has a fundamental solution G 0(t, x; T, y) that is defined as the solution of the Cauchy problem
In this case we define the nth-order approximation of Γ as
where, for any k ≥ 1 and (T, y), G k(⋅ , ⋅ ; T, y) is defined recursively through the following Cauchy problem
Correspondingly, the nth-order approximation of \(\hat{\varGamma }\) is defined to be
Now, by transforming the simplified Cauchy problems into adjoint problems and solving these in the Fourier space we find
with
the characteristic exponent of the Lévy process with coefficients γ 0(s), a 0(s) and ν 0(s, dz), and
From these results one can already see that the dependency on x comes in through e iξx and after taking derivatives the dependency on x will take the form \((x -\bar{ x})^{m}e^{i\xi x}\): this fact will be crucial in our analysis. After some algebraic manipulations, see for details Borovykh et al. (2016), we find that the approximation of order n is a function of the form
where the coefficients g n, k , with 0 ≤ k ≤ n, depend only on t, T and ξ, but not on x. The approximation formula can thus always be split into a sum of products of functions depending only on ξ and functions that are linear combinations of \((x -\bar{ x})^{m}e^{i\xi x}\), \(m \in \mathbb{N}_{0}\).
4 Bermudan Option Valuation
A Bermudan option is a financial contract in which the holder can exercise at a predetermined finite set of exercise moments prior to maturity, and the holder of the option receives a payoff when exercising. Consider a Bermudan option with a set of M exercise moments {t 1, …, t M }, with 0 ≤ t 1 < t 2 < ⋯ < t M = T. When the option is exercised at time t m the holder receives the payoff \(\varPhi \left (t_{m},S_{t_{m}}\right )\). For a Bermudan put option with strike price K, we simply have \(\varphi (t,x) = \left (K - e^{x}\right )^{+}\). By the dynamic programming approach, the option value can be expressed by a backward recursion as
and
In the above notation v(t, x) is the option value and c(t, x) is the so-called continuation value. The option value is set to be v(t, x) = c(t, x) for t ∈ ]t m−1, t m [, and, if t 1 > 0, also for t ∈ [0, t 1[.
Remark 4.1
Since the payoff of a call option grows exponentially with the log-stock price, this may introduce significant cancellation errors for large domain sizes. For this reason we price put options only using our approach and we employ the well-known put-call parity to price calls via puts. This is a rather standard argument (see, for instance, Zhang and Oosterlee 2012).
4.1 An Algorithm for Pricing Bermudan Put Options
The COS method as proposed in Fang and Oosterlee (2009) is based on the insight that the Fourier-cosine series coefficients of Γ(t, x; T, dy) (and therefore also of option prices) are closely related to the characteristic function of the underlying process. Remembering that the expected value c(t, x) in (7) can be rewritten in integral form as in (5),
we apply the COS formulas to find the approximation:
with \(\varphi (t,x) = \left (K - e^{x}\right )^{+}\).
Next we recover the coefficients \(\left (V _{k}(t_{m})\right )_{k=0,1,\ldots,N-1}\) from \(\left (V _{k}(t_{m+1})\right )_{k=0,1,\ldots,N-1}\). To this end, we split the integral in the definition of V k (t m ) into two parts using the early-exercise point x m ∗, which is the point where the continuation value is equal to the payoff, i.e. c(t m , x m ∗) = φ(t m , x m ∗); thus, we have
where
and V k (t M ) = F k (t M , logK).
Remark 4.2
Since we have a semi-analytic formula for \(\hat{c}(t_{m},x)\), we can easily find the derivatives with respect to x and use Newton’s method to find the point x m ∗ such that c(t m , x m ∗) = φ(t m , x m ∗). A good starting point for the Newton method is logK, since x m ∗ ≤ logK.
The coefficients F k (t m , x m ∗) can be computed analytically using x m ∗ ≤ logK. On the other hand, by inserting the approximation (8) for the continuation value into the formula for C k (t m , x m ∗) have the following coefficients \(\hat{C}_{k}\) for m = M − 1, M − 2, …, 1:
Similar to the FFT-based algorithm in Fang and Oosterlee (2009) for an exponential Lévy process with constant coefficients, the continuation value in case of the state-dependent coefficients can also be calculated using the FFT. Using the structure of the characteristic function (6) we write the continuation value in vector form as:
where V(t m+1) is the vector [V 0(t m+1), …, V N−1(t m+1)]T and \(\mathcal{M}^{h}(x_{m}^{{\ast}},b)\varLambda ^{h}\) is a matrix-matrix product with \(\mathcal{M}^{h}\) being a matrix with elements
and Λ h is a diagonal matrix with elements
It can be shown using standard trigonometric that the matrix \(\mathcal{M}\) can be rewritten as a sum of a Hankel and Toeplitz matrix such that \(\mathcal{M} =\mathcal{ M}_{H} +\mathcal{ M}_{T}\) with elements
Using the split into sums of Hankel and Toeplitz matrices we can write the continuation value in matrix form as:
where \(\mathcal{M}_{H}^{h} =\{ M_{k,j}^{H,h}(x_{m}^{{\ast}},b)\}_{k,j=0}^{N-1}\) is a Hankel matrix and \(\mathcal{M}_{T}^{l} =\{ M_{k,j}^{T,h}(x_{m}^{{\ast}},b)\}_{k,j=0}^{N-1}\) is a Toeplitz matrix and \(\boldsymbol{u}^{h} =\{ u_{j}^{h}\}_{j=0}^{N-1}\), with \(u_{j}^{h} = g_{n,h}\left (t_{m},t_{m+1}, \frac{j\pi } {b-a}\right )V _{j}(t_{m+1})\) and \(u_{0}^{h} = \frac{1} {2}g_{n,h}\left (t_{m},t_{m+1},0\right )V _{0}(t_{m+1})\). It is well-known that a product of a Hankel or Toeplitz matrix with a vector can be calculated using FFTs, see Borovykh et al. (2016) for full details. Using the fact that an FFT can be computed with computational complexity O(Nlog2 N), we find that for a Bermudan option with M exercise dates the overall computational complexity is O((M − 1)Nlog2 N).
5 Numerical Experiments
In this section we apply the method developed in Sect. 4 to compute the European and Bermudan option values with various underlying stock dynamics. The computer used in the experiments has an Intel Core i7 CPU with a 2.2 GHz processor. We use the second-order approximation of the characteristic function.
For the COS method, unless otherwise mentioned, we use N = 200 and L = 10, where L is the parameter used to define the truncation range [a, b] as follows:
where c n is the nth cumulant of log-price process logS calculated using the 0th-order approximation of the characteristic function. We compare the approximated values to a 95% confidence interval computed with a Longstaff-Schwartz method with 105 simulations and 250 time steps per year. Furthermore, in the expansion we always use \(\bar{x} = X_{0}\).
5.1 Tests Under CEV-Merton Dynamics
Consider a process under the CEV-Merton dynamics:
with
We use the following parameters S 0 = 1, r = 5%, σ 0 = 20%, β = 0. 5, λ = 30%, m = −10%, δ = 40% and compute the European and Bermudan option values in Table 1. The results are compared to a widely used method for valuing Bermudan options, the Least-Squares Monte Carlo method (LSM), see Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). The error in our approximation consists of the error of the COS method and the error in the adjoint expansion of the characteristic function. In particular for low strikes the method seems to be more sensitive to the approximation, as the approximated value does not always fall into the LSM confidence interval.
In Fig. 1 the convergence results of the COS method using the 2nd-order approximation of the characteristic function for T = 1 and 10 exercise dates are presented. We choose L = 10 and N = 2d and see that a very quick convergence is obtained.
5.2 Tests Under a CEV-Like Lévy Process with a State-Dependent Measure
In this section we consider a model similar to the one used in Jacquier and Lorig (2013). The model is defined with local volatility and a state-dependent Lévy measure as follows:
We will consider Gaussian jumps, meaning that
In Table 2 the results are presented for a model as defined in (9) with a state-dependent jump measure, so ν(x, dz) = η(x)ν N (dz). In this case we have
where \(a_{0} = \frac{1} {2}b_{1}^{2}e^{\beta \bar{x}}\) and \(\nu _{0}(dz) = e^{\beta \bar{x}}\nu _{N}(dz)\). The other parameters are chosen as: b 1 = 0. 15, b 0 = 0, β = −2, λ = 20%, δ = 20%, m = −0. 2, S 0 = 1, r = 5%, ɛ 1 = 1, ɛ 3 = 0, ɛ 4 = 1, the number of exercise dates is 10 and T = 1. Again the method performs accurately, but for out-of- and at-the money strikes the approximation tends to under- and over-estimate the LSM value.
References
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Borovykh, A., Pascucci, A., Oosterlee, C.W. (2017). Bermudan Option Valuation Under State-Dependent Models. In: Londoño, J., Garrido, J., Jeanblanc, M. (eds) Actuarial Sciences and Quantitative Finance. ICASQF 2016. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, vol 214. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-66536-8_6
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