Abstract
This chapter describes the implications of the global crisis in Bulgaria seen in the frozen economic situation and great political turbulences. The achieved financial stability and the low tax levels did not lead to the expected increase in foreign investments and to more stability of the labour market for the most vulnerable groups—for the youngest and the oldest parts of the labour force, especially for individuals with low education, among them with Roma ethnic background. For whole regions of the country—like the North Western region—the infrastructure investments could not immediately create better job opportunities. In times of crisis, disagreement between the political parties on sensitive reforms prevents them being carried out. Three lessons to be learned from the political instability caused by the global financial and economic crisis in Bulgaria are described. The first lesson is connected with the crisis government (2009–2013), which did not pay sufficient attention to achieving a proper balance between investments in infrastructure and social protection of vulnerable groups. The second lesson has to do with the government (2013–2014), which in a short period of time became unpopular because of the non-transparent way of making decisions, although it did raise the social payments for the minimum wage and childcare allowances. The third lesson concerns civil society itself and the ability of citizens to effectively control the government when making unpopular and non-transparent decisions.
This article is part of the project “Social disparities and regional differences in school-to-work transitions in Bulgaria”, a joint project between University of Basel and Institute for the Study of Societies and Knowledge, BAS, funded by the Swiss National Science Fund (2012–2015) under the Swiss-Bulgarian Research Program.
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Notes
- 1.
Elections for the new government were held on 14.05.2013, the street protests started on 14.06.2013, and the students’ occupation of the central building of Sofia University started on 25.10.2013.
- 2.
Decision of the Council of Ministers No. 249/11.10.2012.
- 3.
Source of data: Eurostat.
- 4.
National Statistical Institute (2012b).
- 5.
Source: National Statistical Institute (2011a).
- 6.
Source of data: Eurostat http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tps00099&plugin=1. Last visited 05.04.2014.
- 7.
- 8.
Source: Ministry of Labour and Social Policy, Agency for Social Protection.
- 9.
Source of data: Eurostat http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tsdde220&plugin=1. Last visited 10.09.2013.
- 10.
Source of data: Eurostat http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tps00002&plugin=1. Last visited 10.09.2013.
- 11.
Source: Index Mundi (2014).
- 12.
The pension reform undertaken in 2000 was considered successful; however the problem of its high dependency on the state budget remains. In 2009 the state participated as the “third insurance pillar” in providing 12 % of the insurable earnings for each insured person in the Republic of Bulgaria to the retirement fund (Konvergentna programa 2011, p. 5).
- 13.
National Statistical Institute (2011b).
- 14.
Aleksey Pamporov (2010). Open Society Institute, Sofia, jointly with experts from the World Bank, A Study of the Economic Condition of Bulgarian Households in the Context of the World Financial Crisis. The study contains similar models as a study conducted in June 2007. http://politiki.bg/?mod=osf&lang=1&c=cc_osf_heading&m=readDoc&p_id=699&p_inst=383201
- 15.
Eurostat: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tps00076&plugin=1—last login 12.05.2014.
- 16.
Ministry of Labour and Social Policy (2013), p. 234.
- 17.
Decision of the Council of Ministers from 28 March 2012.
- 18.
Ministry of Finance (2013).
- 19.
- 20.
National Statistical Institute, http://www.nsi.bg/otrasal.php?otr=23
- 21.
This is equal to about €400,000.
- 22.
Report on implementation of the national programmes for secondary education development—2010–2011, http://www.minedu.government.bg/opencms/export/sites/mon/left_menu/projects/national_programmes/otchet_programmei-2010.pdf
- 23.
Ministry of Education, Youth and Science, Decision for approval of evaluating report and providing financial grants No. 801-517.08. http://ophrd.government.bg/view_doc.php/5367
- 24.
- 25.
The survey was ordered by the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, and was carried out by “Estata” marketing agency together with experts from the scientific community in the period 07.02.2014–10.05.2014. The survey includes 6025 standardized interviews, among them 2625 with employers and 3500 with employees. In addition, 6 focus groups discussions have been organized in different towns with the social partners.
- 26.
Because of the popularity of the measures supporting large-scale farming and modernisation and—conversely, the lack of information and capacity of small and semi-subsistence farmers to apply for funding, farm structure has been transformed so that the average farm size has been increasing and small farms are closed down or sold off. As a result of the financial crisis, the access to bank loans, associated with participating as a beneficiary in the rural development programme, was greatly hindered. As a response, in 2011, the state granted interest-free loans to municipalities participating in the programmes for specific measures, such as Measure 321 “Essential services to the population and economy in the rural areas”. Such interest-free loans have not been made available to other beneficiaries.
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Stoilova, R. (2016). The Welfare State in the Context of the Global Financial Crisis: Bulgaria—Between Financial Stability and Political Uncertainty. In: Schubert, K., de Villota, P., Kuhlmann, J. (eds) Challenges to European Welfare Systems. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07680-5_4
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