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Flight Arrival Delay Prediction Using Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms

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Intelligent Systems in Big Data, Semantic Web and Machine Learning

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1344))

Abstract

Over the last few decades, the air transport growth has shown good numbers in comparison with the other years. In fact, most of tourists, who crossed international borders last years, did so by airways. Over the next two decades, the demand for air transport is expected to double. Hence, the density of traffic is going to increase which will result in traffic delays. Delay is one of the most memorable performance indicators in the air transport system. It hurts passengers, airports and airlines. Pilots, air traffic controllers and other aviation personnel were questioned in this study and a survey was established to identify the importance of flight delay reduction. Thus, delays prediction turns out very useful. Flight delay prediction studies have been modeled in different ways. The approach of this work is based on machine learning algorithms. Our model is able to predict whether a scheduled flight will be on-time or delayed. We used relevant and filtered features that, to the best of our knowledge, some of them were not adopted in the previous studies. Holidays, seasons, day of week and the importance of the airport used were added as new features to enhance the accuracy of the prediction system. The resulting model was deployed and used as a flight delay prediction tool. The aim of the deployed application is to inform airport personnel and airlines about flight delays in advance to avoid losses and terminal crowdedness.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    https://forms.gle/nohRaMmAsgvphkXU7.

  2. 2.

    https://www.world-airport-codes.com.

  3. 3.

    https://www.opm.gov.

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Correspondence to Hajar Alla .

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Alla, H., Moumoun, L., Balouki, Y. (2021). Flight Arrival Delay Prediction Using Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms. In: Gherabi, N., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Intelligent Systems in Big Data, Semantic Web and Machine Learning. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1344. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-72588-4_16

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