Abstract
Following the recent European Commission strategic growth plan called the EU Green Deal that intends to make the Europe the first climate neutral continent by 2050, this research analyzes the possibility of achieving zero emissions in the European Western Balkans—Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, North Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia. By using the existing official data for population, GDP and energy consumption, linear regression is used for the forecasts by 2050. With the current generation data and energy forecasts, the analysis presented in this paper demonstrates the replacement plan of the coal-based power plants with the renewable energy sources (wind, solar and biomass energy), by 2050. The multi-criteria decision-making analytical hierarchy process is used to determine the locations of the renewable energy-based power plants in the Western Balkans. The annual energy outputs of the potential renewable energy-based power plants are calculated by using the official irradiance and wind databases and official reports from the national power grid operators. The results demonstrated that the Western Balkans Green Deal can be achieved by 2050 with the number of suitable locations for renewable energy sources, but with high investment costs that are justified by the main goal—zero emissions.
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Brkljača, M. et al. (2021). Western Balkans Green-Deal: Zero Emissions by 2050. In: Avdaković, S., Volić, I., Mujčić, A., Uzunović, T., Mujezinović, A. (eds) Advanced Technologies, Systems, and Applications V. IAT 2020. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 142. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54765-3_3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54765-3_3
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