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How to Gauge a Combination of Uncertainties of Different Type: General Foundations

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Behavioral Predictive Modeling in Economics

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 897))

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Abstract

In many practical situations, for some components of the uncertainty (e.g., of the measurement error) we know the corresponding probability distribution, while for other components, we know only upper bound on the corresponding values. To decide which of the algorithms or techniques leads to less uncertainty, we need to be able to gauge the combined uncertainty by a single numerical value—so that we can select the algorithm for which this values is the best. There exist several techniques for gauging the combination of interval and probabilistic uncertainty. In this paper, we consider the problem of gauging the combination of different types of uncertainty from the general fundamental viewpoint. As a result, we develop a general formula for such gauging—a formula whose particular cases include the currently used techniques.

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Acknowledgments

This work was supported by the Institute of Geodesy, Leibniz University of Hannover. It was also supported in part by the US National Science Foundation grants 1623190 (A Model of Change for Preparing a New Generation for Professional Practice in Computer Science) and HRD-1242122 (Cyber-ShARE Center of Excellence).

This paper was written when V. Kreinovich was visiting Leibniz University of Hannover.

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Correspondence to Vladik Kreinovich .

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Neumann, I., Kreinovich, V., Nguyen, T.N. (2021). How to Gauge a Combination of Uncertainties of Different Type: General Foundations. In: Sriboonchitta, S., Kreinovich, V., Yamaka, W. (eds) Behavioral Predictive Modeling in Economics. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 897. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49728-6_13

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