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Building Recovery, Property Values and Demographic Decline After the 2009 Abruzzo Earthquake

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New Metropolitan Perspectives (NMP 2020)

Abstract

The dilapidation of building stock that has come to characterise the hillside and mountainous settlements of the region of Abruzzo in recent decades is a sign of forms of economic decline and negative demographic trends. In this situation, it is difficult to imagine occasions for a turn in events triggered by endogenous forces; instead, there is a sense of the need for public intervention and targeted economic-social policies. Indeed, in settlements lacking important resources for tourism and/or infrastructures for winter sports, it is very difficult to imagine their recovery through interventions entrusted solely to the market: often negligible property values suggest the inconvenience of any building requalification project in relation to asset or income-based objectives of valorisation. The reconstruction process put into place after the 2009 earthquake could have been interpreted and implemented within a vaster programme of interventions based on clear and defined strategic capable of guaranteeing prospects for the long-term relaunching and development of damaged areas. The initial idea behind the Reconstruction Plans appeared to confirm a similar approach. In reality, reconstruction is proceeding as a simple programme of building recovery. The paper develops this thesis by attempting to demonstrate how almost a decade after the 2009 earthquake, the funding provided to date has not produced particularly relevant effects on local economics and demographics.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Law 24 June 2009, n. 77, art.14, comma 5 bis.

  2. 2.

    Decree issued by the Commissioner Delegated for the Reconstruction n.3 del 9.3.2010, art.5 comma 1.

  3. 3.

    They represent approximately 18% of the comuni within the area of the earthquake crater.

  4. 4.

    The USRA was instituted with Legislative Decree n. 83 in 2012, converted with modifications into Law n. 134 from 2012.

  5. 5.

    The USRC, instituted with a Decree-Law in 2012, among its other responsibilities, monitors funding, implements interventions and manages the transmission of relative data to the Ministry of Economy and Finance.

  6. 6.

    “The terms structural aggregate refers to a collection of buildings […] which are non-homogeneous, in contact with one another or with a connection, more or less efficacious, which may interact during an earthquake or similar dynamic. A structural aggregate can thus be comprised of a single building, or by multiple buildings with generally diverse structural characteristics. The presence of an efficient seismic joint is the basis for identifying two clearly distinct aggregates.” – Source. USRA Glossary.

  7. 7.

    Source: www.tuttitalia.it, based on ISTAT data.

  8. 8.

    The term resident population refers to the population comprised of people who habitually reside in the settlement begin studied – definition taken from “15th General Census of the Population and Inhabitations”, ISTAT October 2011.

  9. 9.

    Small comuni are defined by Law 6 October 2017 n. 158, art. 1 comma 2.

  10. 10.

    The demographic trend is expressed using the methodology adopted by ISTAT, in other words using the procedure reconstruction - population calculated between censuses of the resident population based both on Censuses made in 2001 and 2011 and by examining demographic movements (births, deaths, migrations) communicated by local governments to the statistics institute.

  11. 11.

    Author's elaborations on National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) data.

  12. 12.

    Area: Central; Zone Code: B1; Typology: Civil residences; State of conservation: normal.

  13. 13.

    Excluding the towns of Castelvecchio Subequo and Poggio Picenze for which the available data was insufficient.

  14. 14.

    The average value of transactions inside the crater, over the course of twelve years, oscillates between a minimum of 0.8 for the town of Brittoli and 15.4 for the town of Popoli; the other 4 comuni do not exceed 4 transactions/year.

  15. 15.

    Bicameral Committee for Belice, 2000 and Italian Chamber of Deputies, 2009.

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Carbonara, S., Stefano, D. (2021). Building Recovery, Property Values and Demographic Decline After the 2009 Abruzzo Earthquake. In: Bevilacqua, C., Calabrò, F., Della Spina, L. (eds) New Metropolitan Perspectives. NMP 2020. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 178. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48279-4_73

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