Abstract
North Italy annual population and vital rates are reconstructed from 1650 to 1881 using series of vital event indices from many rural parishes and cities. Inverse projection is applied to the reconstructed series of vital events and population to generate annual age distribution, gross reproduction rate, net reproduction rate, life expectancy at birth, and infant mortality rate. The results are compared with official sources and detailed demographic rates produced by annual inverse projection using data from England, France, and Sweden. Over the long term, North Italy is generally characterized by stagnant and relatively high mortality. Fertility and nuptiality are relatively high at the beginning and at the end of the period.
Résumé
La population et les taux d'accroissement naturels d'Italie du Nord sont reconstitués de 1650 à 1881 à l'aide de séries de faits d'état civil qui existent pour de nombreuses paroisses rurales et villes. La projection inverse est appliquée aux séries reconstituées d'événements et de populations pour engendrer des répartitions par âge calculées annuellement, un taux brut de reproduction, un taux net de reproduction, une espérance de vie à la naissance et un taux de mortalité infantile. Les résultats sont comparés à des sources statistiques officielles et à des taux détaillés fournis par projection inverse annuelle utilisant des données anglaises, françaises et suédoises. Sur le long terme, l'Italie du Nord est généralement marquée par une mortalité stable à un niveau relativement élevé. La fécondité et le nuptialité sont relativement élevées au début et à la fin de la période d'observation.
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Galloway, P.R. A reconstruction of the population of North Italy from 1650 to 1881 using annual inverse projection with comparisons to England, France, and Sweden. Eur J Population 10, 223–274 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01265303
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01265303