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Centers for medicare and medicaid services provider characteristics fail to explain billing variability

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Health Systems

Abstract

We aim to explain the variation in provider charges based on Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’s (CMS) recently released data containing information on payments to and charges by health-care providers. The large data set includes operational, financial, and quality measures, as well as service identifiers. We evaluate how CMS’s published payment models explain payments and charges for inpatient and outpatient services, and employ additional models that incorporate available service- and provider-specific information. We found that the variation in payments is explained extremely well by CMS’s payment models, but these same models only explain provider charges to a limited extent. Efforts to include service- and provider-specific data and segment the data only marginally improve the fit of provider charges, leaving almost 30% of the variation of charges unexplained for all global models. Our analysis demonstrates that provider charges are highly variable and providers are using potentially diverse information and different methods to determine their prices.

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Appendix

Appendix

Table A1 shows the model details when the base, extended, and quality models are fit to the average outpatient charges on the subset of providers that have full quality information. Similarly Table A2 shows the base, extended, and financial models fit to average outpatient charges for Californian providers only.

Table A1 Coefficients for the base, extended and quality models for provider charges for outpatient providers with full quality information
Table A2 Coefficients for the base, extended and financial models for average charges of providers in California with full financial information

Table A1

Table A2

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Barnes, S., Bjarnadóttir, M. & Guo, X. Centers for medicare and medicaid services provider characteristics fail to explain billing variability. Health Syst 5, 109–119 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1057/hs.2015.9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/hs.2015.9

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