Abstract
The rotten kid theorem states that, if a household head is sufficiently rich and benevolent towards other household members, then it is in the self-interest of other household members to take those actions that maximize the total income of the household, even at a cost to their own private income. This theorem holds under certain restrictive assumptions, but the assumptions needed for it to be true are not satisfied in many common family decision-making environments.
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Keywords
- Becker, G.
- Conditional transferable utility
- Dawkins, R.
- Family economics
- Kin selection
- Leisure
- Normal goods
- Rotten kid theorem
JEL Classifications
ui(xi) = xi, and the utility function of the household head, u(x0, … , xn), is strictly increasing in all the xi’s. Every household member earns some personal income, the amount of which depends on her own actions ai, but possibly also on the actions of other household members. Let a be the vector of actions chosen by household members, let mi(a) be i’s personal income, and let m(a) = ∑mi(a). Feasible allocations must satisfy the household budget constraint, ∑ixi = m(a). For any income y, define (x0(y), …xn(y)) as the allocation that maximizes u(x0,…xn) subject to ∑ixi = y. Assume that consumption for each i is a normal good so that xi(y) is a strictly increasing function of y. Finally, assume that the household head has personal income large enough so that in equilibrium he chooses to donate money to all other persons in the household. This means that, for all feasible a and for each kid, i, xi(m(a)) > mi(a). Consider the following two-stage game. In the first stage, household members choose their actions and thus determine total family income m(a). In the second stage the household head finds the allocation x(m(a)) that maximizes u(x1,…xn) subject to ∑ixi = m(a) and donates xi(m(a)) − mi(a) to kid i. In the first stage of the game, each kid realizes that, after the head has redistributed income, her own consumption will be xi(m(a)). The normal goods assumption implies that xi(m(a)) is an increasing function of m(a). Therefore, the self-interest of each kid coincides with maximizing total family income, m(a). (To ensure that a maximum exists, assume that each mi is continuous and that each ai must be chosen from a closed bounded set.)
The trouble with the rotten kid theorem is that it fails to hold in models that make slight concessions toward realism. Bergstrom (1989) shows that, in general, the rotten kid theorem fails if kids care about their activities as well as about consumption. For example, if leisure is a complement to consumption, a child can manipulate the parents’ transfer in his or her favour by taking too much leisure. Lindbeck and Weibull (1988) and Bruce and Waldman (1990) show that the rotten kid theorem fails when individuals can choose between current and future consumption. Lundberg and Pollak (2003) show a dramatic failure of the rotten kid theorem when families choose between discrete options like whether to move house or whether to have a child.
Bergstrom (1989) explored the most general conditions under which a rotten kid theorem can be proved. He showed that, in general, a necessary and sufficient condition for the conclusion of the rotten kid theorem to be satisfied is that there is ‘conditional transferable utility’. This means that the utility possibility sets corresponding to all possible activity choices are nested and are bounded above by parallel straight line segments. For example, there is conditional transferable utility if kids care only about their consumption, so that ui(xi, a) = xi, and if total family income is m(a). Then the utility possibility frontier conditional on a is the simple \( \Big\{\left({u}_1,\dots, {u}_n\right)\mid {\sum}_1^n{u}_i\le m(a) \) and ui ≥ 0 for all i}. In general, however, if the kids’ utilities depend on their actions, kids will be able to influence the ‘slope’ of the utility possibility frontier by their choice of actions, a. For example, a selfish kid may benefit by choosing an action that reduces family income but makes it ‘cheaper’ for the parent to invest in her utility rather than that of her sibling. Bergstrom shows that the most general class of environments for which there is conditional transferable utility requires that each kid i has a utility function of the form u(xi, a) = A(a)xi + Bi(a) where xi is i’s expenditure on consumer goods and a is the vector of family members’ activities. This allows the possibility that activities ai generate externalities in consumption as well as in income-earning. (Bergstrom and Cornes 1983, show that in a public goods economy the efficient quantity of public goods is independent of income distribution if and only if preferences can be represented in this form, which is dual to the Gorman polar form for public goods.) Then, for any a, the upper boundary of the utility possibility set is {u|∑ui = A(a)m(a) + ∑Bi(a)}. If utilities of kids are normal goods for the head, then each kid will maximize her utility by maximizing F(a) = A(a)m(a) + ∑Bi(a). Thus selfish kids would act in the family interest, as the rotten kid theorem asserts.
An interesting debate in evolutionary biology parallels the economists’ rotten kid theorem. Alexander (1974) maintained that natural selection favours genetic lines in which offspring act so as to maximize family reproductive success. Dawkins (1976) disputed Alexander’s argument, citing Hamilton’s theory of kin selection (1964), which implies that in sexual diploid species offspring value the reproductive success of their siblings at only half of their own. Alexander (1979) conceded Dawkins’s point, but offered an additional reason that offspring would act in the interest of their parents, namely, that ‘the parent is bigger and stronger than the offspring, hence in a better position to pose its will’. Bergstrom and Bergstrom (1999) propose an evolutionary model that could support the Becker–Alexander conclusion that children will act in the family interest. They construct a two-locus genetic model, where a gene at one locus controls an animal’s behaviour when the animal is a juvenile and a gene at the other controls its behaviour when it is a parent. Then the frequency of recombination between genes at these two loci determines the evolutionary outcome of parent–offspring conflict. If recombination between these genes is rare, offspring will tend to act in the genetic interest of their parent. If recombination is frequent, there can be an equilibrium where some offspring successfully ‘blackmail’ their parents into giving them more resources than is optimal for the family’s reproduction.
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Bergstrom, T.C. (2018). Rotten Kid Theorem. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2325
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2325
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