1 Introduction

Following the attack on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, the destructive potential of nuclear weapons was self-evident. Consequently, the United Nations treated effective measures towards nuclear disarmament with the ‘highest priority’ since the advent of the organisation.Footnote 1 In furtherance of this aspiration, the States concluded the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which represents the ‘grand bargain’ between Nuclear Weapon States (NWS) and Non-Nuclear Weapon States (NNWS) parties to the treaty.Footnote 2 In exchange for their commitment to forego nuclear weapons, NNWS demanded two concessions from NWS: first, that the NPT recognises a right to use nuclear energy for civilian purposes, with a concurrent duty on NWS to facilitate such use and, second, that NWS undertake measures towards complete disarmament of their nuclear arsenals.Footnote 3 This bargain represents the three pillars of the international regime concerning nuclear weapons: non-proliferation, peaceful use and disarmament.

However, the quid pro quo structure of the NPT sets up differential and reciprocal obligations that create two categories of State parties under the same regime.Footnote 4 This feature is distinct from other multilateral law-making treaties or traités-lois, which have the common application of rules to all State parties as their chief characteristic.Footnote 5 Consequently, the treaty regime of the NPT creates a hierarchy of States, which has led to the unequal treatment of its three pillars.

Since the establishment of the regime, NNWS have constantly called for the treatment of non-proliferation, peaceful use and disarmament with parity.Footnote 6 For instance, the representative of Cuba during the 2009 Preparatory Committee stated:

The NPT is a cornerstone of the nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime […]. We must relentlessly pursue our aim of universalisation of the regime […] while providing equal weight to the three pillars of disarmament, non-proliferation and the pursuit of lawful nuclear energy.Footnote 7

The NPT itself provides equal priority for each pillar. This is confirmed by its travaux préparatoires, which explicitly note States committing to pursue all three goals simultaneously and not making any pillar contingent on the completion of another.Footnote 8

Despite the formal equality of the pillars, the NPT bargain has eroded in the past two decades.Footnote 9 There has been an unfair focus on non-proliferation due to the emphasis that NWS have placed on it. The US Representative to the 2008 Preparatory Committee—Christopher Ford—has provided the starkest reflection of this sentiment, declaring:

By accomplishing its core non-proliferation purpose, the NPT also powerfully serves the interest of other goals to which States Party committed themselves in the treaty text, including promotion of the peaceful uses of nuclear technology, and progress toward nuclear disarmament.Footnote 10

By such treatment, the NWS relegate the pillars of peaceful use and disarmament to being of secondary importance. Therefore, the functioning of the NPT has not only created a hierarchy of States but also of its objectives.

The NPT was negotiated to move towards a future without nuclear weapons.Footnote 11 However, the NWS have consistently de-prioritised disarmament obligations under Article VI of the NPT. While NNWS view disarmament as fundamental to the ‘grand bargain’,Footnote 12 the NWS have carefully identified it as an aspirational goal and not an obligation.Footnote 13 This treatment is underpinned by the desire of NWS to retain their exclusive position while only having to make incremental concessions.

Consequently, NWS confuse disarmament with arms control. They enter into treaties that forbid the possession of particular weapon delivery technology or limit strategic arms under the belief of fulfilling disarmament obligations. For instance, the perambulatory clause of the New START declares that US and Russia are ‘committed to the fulfilment of their disarmament obligations under Article VI’ of the NPT.Footnote 14 However, these measures are designed to limit weapon technology but not to eliminate the possession of the weapons.Footnote 15 Arms control may reduce the cost and risk associated with the stockpiling of weapons, but it allows for the continued presence of the weapons in the State’s arsenals.Footnote 16 Disarmament, on the contrary, has as its objective the complete elimination of the weapons. Therefore, arms control remains merely a step towards disarmament, yet States represent it as a fulfilment of their disarmament obligations.

Nuclear weapons pose an existential threat to the international community.Footnote 17 Despite a common interest in their elimination, fragmented consent-based treaties dominate the international regime concerning nuclear weapons. Since the principle of the sovereign equality of States limits the application of treaty norms to non-party States, these have failed to generate any progress towards a world free of nuclear weapons.Footnote 18 With the sovereign equality of States remaining a fundamental principle of international law, the world today confronts the logical outcome of the application of that very principle.Footnote 19 Indeed, States such as India, Pakistan, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) and Israel have come to the conclusion that ‘sovereignty is nuclear weapons’.Footnote 20 Only a coherent theory of international law that subordinates the individual will of States to community interest can challenge such a view. This would imply a need to transform the concept of the international community to tangible legal principles that are capable of enforcement by the international legal system.Footnote 21 Community interest, so formulated, is ‘a collective juridical conscience’Footnote 22 that furthers the collective interest of all States, providing a basis for an admissible claim in international law.Footnote 23

According to Marks a ‘false contingency’ is reflected when a phenomenon is viewed as an isolated problem that is unrelated to wider processes at work.Footnote 24 As such, it leaves unarticulated the assumptions that establish concepts as given. International legal practice is not random but produces highly predictable outcomes.Footnote 25 There exists a sub-text of self-interest and power, often leading to the treatment of certain foundational concepts as fundamental.Footnote 26 Accordingly, this paper will demonstrate the ‘false contingency’ in the regime concerning nuclear weapons. It will exemplify that the problems concerning nuclear governance today are not isolated but are related to the wider dynamics at work in the world.Footnote 27

Accordingly, Sect. 2 will illustrate the International Court of Justice’s (ICJ) reticence to exercise its judicial function in community interest in cases concerning nuclear weapons. Upon exposing the foundational limitations present in international law, Sect. 3 will look towards customary international law to respond to these challenges to develop a coherent theory that prioritises community interest. Section 4 will apply the communitarian conception of customary international law as a solution to the nuclear problem. Finally, Sect. 5 will conclude the analysis with renewed faith in the ability of international law to create a legally effective international community despite the opposition of powerful States. By demystifying the underlying dynamics, this paper attempts to administer progressive changes towards a future that is free of nuclear weapons.

2 The World Court and Its Nuclear Reticence Towards Community Interest

The objective of nuclear disarmament rests squarely on the foundation of community interests being prioritised over those of the States possessing nuclear weapons. As Lauterpacht correctly observed for community interests to become effective, the international judiciary must have a pre-eminent role in safeguarding and enforcing them.Footnote 28 As such, a coherent basis for a future without nuclear weapons cannot ignore the practice of the ICJ.

This section will highlight that the Court has been fettered to enforce community interests in an effective manner due to its structural limitations and formalistic adjudication. This has translated into a visible but as yet unarticulated ‘policy’ on dealing with nuclear weapons. In these circumstances, if the ICJ intends to remain an effective and lasting institution, it will be argued that it must become accessible to the enforcement of community interests.

2.1 The Structural Limitations of the Court

The ICJ succeeded the Permanent Court of International Justice, as the latter lost its relevance with the decline of the League of Nations. Learning from the shortcomings of the Permanent Court, the founders of the UN designed the ICJ as a stronger institution with greater influence.Footnote 29 Being the principal judicial organ of the UN, the Court underscores its character as a World Court, being ‘the only court of a universal character with general jurisdiction’.Footnote 30 Therefore, the Court plays a central role in clarifying, condensing and assisting in understanding the international legal system.Footnote 31

The influence of the ICJ manifests itself in its dominant role in creating norms of customary international law.Footnote 32 As Benvenisti argues, judges have a legislative function when they identify custom.Footnote 33 The legislative function is based on interpretative techniques and legal constraints thereon are weak.Footnote 34 Thus, while the Court places continued emphasis on the traditional elements of State practice and opinio juris as the ‘cornerstones of custom […] it does not observe its own precept’.Footnote 35 Consequently, a lack of methodological constraints provides the judges of the ICJ a pivotal position in developing international law.Footnote 36

While the lack of legal constraints provides an opportunity to develop custom progressively, it has been reasoned that the Court is unable to do so because of what Koskenniemi describes as a ‘structural bias’.Footnote 37 Structurally, the ICJ cannot implement its decisions and relies on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) for enforcement.Footnote 38 Therefore, it simplistically relies on the preferences of the powerful States in the international arena.Footnote 39 The inequalities of international law reveal themselves in the composition of the Court. It follows, as custom, the same regional distribution for its 15 judges as the membership of the UNSC, with the P5 nearly always having a judge on the Court.Footnote 40 While other States rotate, Posner finds, wealthier States such as Germany, Japan and Canada are more likely to have representation on the Court.Footnote 41 Additionally, the elected judges vote in favour of their States and in favour of States that match the political, economic and cultural attributes of their countries.Footnote 42

It therefore implies that the adjudication by the Court is a ‘false contingency’. It showcases that the process of decision-making does not happen randomly but is influenced by biases and political processes that direct the system towards particular decisions the Court finds desirable.Footnote 43 Thus, the Court often reaches unjust and unfair decisions because of ‘deeply embedded preferences’ that favour an international status quo that is not organically established but legally constructed.Footnote 44

The Court’s treatment of the ‘international community’ is revealing of its structural limitations. Despite viewing itself as the guardian of the ‘international community’,Footnote 45 the Court has never relied upon the concept to generate even rudimentary legal effect.Footnote 46 The concepts of communitarian obligations such as jus cogens norms and obligations erga omnes continually appear in its case law but do not have any overriding effect on obligations created by State consent.Footnote 47 It has been a consistent feature of the Court to use formalistic reasoning to reject community interests. For instance, in the Jurisdictional Immunities case, the Court declared that a violation of jus cogens norms would have no impact on State immunity, which is ‘procedural in character’.Footnote 48 It noted that this procedural constraint applied even if it rendered the jus cogens norm unenforceable.Footnote 49

Formalism is an interpretative technique that prioritises form over substance, setting aside any subjective reasoning based on policy considerations.Footnote 50 Bianchi demonstrates that such reasoning has been used in the limited high-profile cases the Court has handled to systematically side with the State-centered system of international law.Footnote 51 Judge Jessup wrote in his dissent in the 1966 South West Africa case: methods of interpretation are ‘a cloak for a conclusion reached in other ways and not a guide to a correct conclusion’.Footnote 52 The Court’s formalism is a choice. Though formalism is not a problem in itself, the choice betrays the Court’s judicial function as it cowers to State action even when it conflicts with community interest.Footnote 53 It remains a choice the Court has made in every case concerning nuclear weapons that has come before it.

2.2 Court ‘Policy’ on Nuclear Weapons

The Court’s jurisprudence reflects a trend of using formalistic reasoning to decline adjudicating cases concerning nuclear weapons.Footnote 54 With nationals of nuclear weapon States being a constant feature in the composition of the Court, the ‘structural bias’ in their favour explains the Court’s interpretative method.Footnote 55

In the first contentious cases concerning nuclear weapons brought by Australia and New Zealand against France, the Court devised innovative solutions to avoid giving a definitive answer. In 1974, the Court went beyond the sources of law articulated in Article 38 of its Statute. It failed to give an answer under customary international law but relied on a ‘unilateral declaration’ by France as a source of its obligation not to carry out atmospheric nuclear tests in the South Pacific Ocean.Footnote 56 Accordingly, it decided that the claims had lost their object and the Applicants were no longer entitled to the relief they sought.Footnote 57 This determination was reached without France even participating in the proceedings. However, it allowed the Applicants to approach the Court in case the basis of the judgment was affected.Footnote 58 In 1995, New Zealand did request a re-examination in connection with France’s prospective underground nuclear tests.Footnote 59 The Court declined the request on the basis that the 1974 judgment exclusively related to atmospheric testing.Footnote 60 The overly formalistic approach ignored New Zealand’s stated position that was effectively articulated in the dissent to the 1974 decision, which stated that in limiting the object of the proceedings to atmospheric nuclear tests, the Court ‘narrowly circumscribes’ the Applicants’ objective to a single purpose.Footnote 61 This renders the premise of the 1995 Judgment untenable.

A similar reticence was visible in the Court acting under its advisory jurisdiction. In 1996 the Court answered two requests for advisory opinions on nuclear weapons. The first came from the World Health Organization (WHO) that asked, ‘in view of the health and environmental effects’, if the use of nuclear weapons in an armed conflict violates international law.Footnote 62 The Court declared that the determination of the legality of the use of nuclear weapons was not within the scope of activities of the organisation.Footnote 63 Accordingly, the Court declined to answer the request. This option was unavailable to the Court for the second request, which was made by the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). In responding to the request, the Court delivered its most influential judgment concerning nuclear weapons on the Legality of the Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons (1996 UNGA Opinion).

The 1996 UNGA Opinion reflects the Court’s struggle between fulfilling the aspirations of international law and catering to the interests of powerful States.Footnote 64 Progressively, the judges unanimously declared that the NPT provided an obligation of result to pursue and bring to a conclusion negotiations related to disarmament.Footnote 65 President Bedjaoui even went on to call the obligation customary.Footnote 66 In the context of international humanitarian law, the Court established that the use of nuclear weapons ‘would generally be’ contrary to international law.Footnote 67 However, on the other hand, in its ultimate analysis, the Court concluded:

[…] in view of the current state of international law, and of the elements of fact at its disposal, the Court cannot conclude definitively whether the threat or use of nuclear weapons would be lawful or unlawful in an extreme circumstance of self-defence, in which the very survival of a State would be at stake;Footnote 68

This is the closest the Court has come to a determination of non liquet. The opinion rendered by a technical majority, with the President’s casting vote, left the issue confused.Footnote 69 The opinion in equal parts provided for reasons why nuclear weapons should be eliminated but also left enough scope for NWS to argue that there was no reason for them to change their nuclear policies as a consequence.Footnote 70 It reiterated the Court’s inability to take a stance in cases concerning nuclear weapons.

In 2014, the Court had another opportunity to abandon its reticence when the Marshall Islands brought an action against the UK, India and Pakistan for violations of conventional and customary obligations by not pursuing nuclear disarmament.Footnote 71 The initiative for these proceedings went back to the work of two non-governmental organisations—the International Association of Lawyers Against Nuclear Arms and the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation.Footnote 72 Unfortunately, the Court rejected jurisdiction over the matter as the Respondent States lacked ‘objective awareness’ of the existence of a dispute between the parties.Footnote 73 This formalistic and unforeseen criterion, which at best reflected a curable procedural flaw, formed the sole basis for the decision.Footnote 74

The method of interpreting the ‘dispute’ was a choice made by the Court. This was glaringly revealed by Judge Bennouna who highlighted that the Court’s tie-breaking President, Ronny Abraham, had used the opposite of his reasoning in Georgia v. Russian Federation, where he declared that the Court’s jurisprudence was ‘strictly realistic and practical […] free of all hints of formalism (emphasis added)’.Footnote 75 Further, it should be unsurprising that all the judges who were nationals of States possessing nuclear weapons voted against the Marshall Islands. The pattern was a repetition of the 1996 UNGA Opinion where all judges who were nationals of nuclear weapon States voted in favour of the conclusion that there existed no conventional or customary norm that prohibited the threat or use of nuclear weapons.Footnote 76

The cases concerning nuclear weapons provided the Court with an opportunity to enhance its reputation and prestige.Footnote 77 However, its failure to do so led Judge Robinson to poignantly state in his dissent in the Marshall Islands case that the Court ‘has written the Foreword in a book on its irrelevance’.Footnote 78 If the Court is to avoid such an outcome, it must assume its role as the guardian of the international community by being available to adjudicate on issues of common interest.

2.3 An Accessible Guardian: Finding a Right Actio Popularis

The 2016 Marshall Islands case carries with it the ominous silhouettes of the Court’s 1966 decision in the South West Africa case.Footnote 79 The Preliminary Objections decision in the South West Africa case had found the claim admissible, determining that all member States of the League of Nations had an interest in the observance of the ‘sacred trust of civilisation’ placed on the Mandatory State through the Mandate Agreement.Footnote 80 However, the second phase decision in 1966 overturned the Preliminary Objections decision. It disallowed the standing of the Applicants ruling that they did not have a legal right or interest in the subject matter of the claim.Footnote 81

The 1966 decision was the first, and the 2016 decision the latest, in a series of cases where the Applicants turned to the Court when political processes failed to deliver.Footnote 82 The 1966 decision had a majority of white judges adjudicating on racial discrimination by South Africa as a Mandate power. In 2016, the majority included all the judges who were nationals of nuclear weapon States. In both cases, the President was required to give a tie-breaking vote. Most importantly, both cases, which were instances of litigation in the community interest, used formalistic reasoning to deny the existence of a ‘dispute’ between the parties. In 1966, the Applicants had to show a ‘special interest’ and in 2016 the criterion was of ‘objective awareness’.Footnote 83 Each of these decisions reflect the dominant role political processes, manifested as a ‘structural bias’, play in the Court’s adjudication.

To overcome these underlying limitations, the Court must transform itself into an institution that is available to adjudicate disputes concerning community interests, unfettered by procedural constraints. The Court must address the question of the Applicants’ standing in almost every case before it.Footnote 84 Standing is determined by establishing that there is a sufficient link between the State and the legal rule it seeks to enforce.Footnote 85 The ICJ determines that such interest exists by addressing whether a legal ‘dispute’ exists in accordance with Article 36 of its Statute. As such, in the Marshall Islands case, the ICJ noted that in order to address the claims that were raised by the Applicant, there was a need to establish a ‘legal dispute’.Footnote 86

While the existence of a ‘dispute’ remains uncontroversial when claims arise out of bilateral obligations, the Court uses formalistic tropes in cases concerning community interests.Footnote 87 Therefore, the question remains if the Court can allow a right actio popularis, which would provide standing to States for the violation of community interests, even when they are not directly injured.Footnote 88

The Court described the nature of community interests in its celebrated dictum in the Barcelona Traction case.Footnote 89 It noted that obligations that a State owes to the international community as a whole are:

By their very nature […] the concern of all States. In view of the importance of the rights involved, all States can be held to have a legal interest in their protection; they are obligations erga omnes.Footnote 90

Many believe the reference was a direct response to mitigate the criticism the Court received following its 1966 South West Africa decision.Footnote 91 The Court repeated this in 2012, while accepting Belgium’s standing by placing reliance on the erga omnes nature of the obligation to prosecute or extradite suspects of torture.Footnote 92 Likewise in 2020, the Court found that The Gambia had prima facie standing to act against Myanmar because of a ‘common interest to ensure acts of genocide are prevented’.Footnote 93 Even as the decisions of 2012 and 2020 were justified based on the States’ obligations in conventional law, the erga omnes nature of the obligations was not expressly found in the treaty. Contrarily, the Court established the standing of the Applicants by linking the interpretation of the jurisdiction clauses and the substantive norms brought in the applications.Footnote 94 These instances showcase that the Court can, and indeed has in the past, attributed importance to the interests of the international community.

Accordingly, though the Court has stated that actio popularis is unknown to international law,Footnote 95 its validity depends on the construction of the term ‘dispute’.Footnote 96 A ‘dispute’ can be defined as narrowly as in the Marshall Islands case by requiring the Applicant to sufficiently bilateralise each distinct dispute against each Respondent.Footnote 97 Contrarily, it may also be broadly, clearly and precisely defined in the language of the Mavrommatis principle, which requires ‘a disagreement on a point of law or fact, a conflict of legal views or interests’ between parties.Footnote 98 It is the Court’s interpretative function that becomes central to the validity of an action actio popularis.Footnote 99

According to the Court’s jurisprudence, its reliance on a formalistic procedure to avoid determinations on community interests is incorrect according to its own reasoning. The legal interest is inseparable from the substantive obligation in question.Footnote 100 Therefore, the interpretation of the procedural rule is dependent on the nature of the substantive right. When the substantive background rule allows invoking responsibility to protect collective interests, the Court must adjust its interpretation of a ‘dispute’ to the nature of the norm.Footnote 101 Accordingly, the International Law Commission (ILC) notes that a third State may invoke international responsibility when acting on behalf of the international community due to the nature of the customary obligations in question.Footnote 102 Therefore, Judge Crawford correctly concluded, ‘it is now established […] that States can be parties to disputes about obligations in the performance of which they have no specific material interest’.Footnote 103

However, it is assumed that the consensual nature of the Court’s jurisdiction bars judicial enforcement of community interests.Footnote 104 The application of the Monetary Gold principle disallows the Court to adjudicate on rights of third States which are not parties to the proceedings.Footnote 105 In the context of community interests, the Court in the East Timor case concluded that it could not decide the case on its merits, as it would call into question the rights of a State not before it.Footnote 106 Some judges in the Marshall Islands case reiterated these objections.Footnote 107

The fact that the Court’s jurisdiction is consent-based is irreproachable.Footnote 108 However, case law limits the application of the Monetary Gold principle.Footnote 109 First, while the principle precludes findings against third States, the Court could yet determine that the Respondents are in breach due to their conduct.Footnote 110 Further, Monetary Gold involved rights between two States and not rights erga omnes affecting the collective interests of the international community.Footnote 111 Therefore, promoting collective interests would not require a radical transformation of the Court; it would merely require the Court to choose to exercise its judicial function.

The Court’s judicial function is not that of being an arbitral institution but being an ‘arbiter of common interest’, speaking to the international community as a whole.Footnote 112 Higgins elucidated this by claiming:

The judicial function (of the Court) surely includes developing and applying international law to hitherto untested situations in order to obtain socially desirable and enlightened results […]. Judicial decisions are an acknowledged source of law; they must play their part in law development.Footnote 113

Over the years, the Court has seen a steady decline in the number of conclusive judgments it has delivered when adjusted for the manifold increase in the number of UN Member States.Footnote 114 To truly reflect its designation as a ‘World’ Court, it must abandon its reticence and adjudicate ‘big cases’ with global implications.Footnote 115 It must also understand its audience. Over the last 20 years, a nuclear weapon State has seldom been an Applicant before the Court.Footnote 116 The faith in international justice is reposed by those States which have been failed by the discriminatory political processes in international law. If the Court were to remain a guardian of the international community, it must choose to interpret its judicial function progressively.Footnote 117

Admittedly, a communitarian conception of law may be totalising and uphold the imperial values that plague the international system today.Footnote 118 The Court would also face a monumental task of subjecting State consent to overriding objectives of the international community with precision.Footnote 119 Nevertheless, a reformulated theory of custom that creates a coherent legal order, while enforcing community interests, can overcome these limitations.

3 Redeeming Westphalia—A Communitarian Doctrine of Customary International Law

It is apparent that the traditional consent-based structures of international law have failed to produce any meaningful development towards a world free of nuclear weapons. This shortcoming can be challenged by leveraging on the potential of customary international law’s utopian potential. However, the traditional doctrine of custom continues to emphasise consent. Consequently, there is a need to develop a coherent theory of custom that prioritises community interests.

As such, this section will begin by elucidating the current shortcomings in the development of custom in international law. It will proceed to reflect a reformulated theory of custom with emphasis on opinio juris. It will argue that divorced from the distinction between lex lata and lex ferenda, opinio juris must become a dynamic and forward-looking concept, serving as the core element for generating custom.Footnote 120Opinio juris would accordingly reflect the widespread perception among States of the desirability of an authoritative rule.Footnote 121 This reformulated theory would establish the basis of having a legally effective international community capable of enforcing nuclear disarmament.

3.1 Custom and its Current Shortcomings

The twin elements of State practice and opinio juris form customary international law.Footnote 122 Custom has great significance because of its ability to expand the reach of rules to States that do not have underlying obligations in treaty law.Footnote 123 However, the doctrine of sources, of which custom forms a part, is not immune from the imperial implications that sovereignty carries.

According to the doctrine of sources, international law has been treated as a regime to which States consent to be bound by, either explicitly by way of treaties or implicitly by their words and actions.Footnote 124 As Crawford explains, the corollary of the sovereign equality of States is the ultimate dependence on consent of obligations in international law.Footnote 125 The sources doctrine responds to the basic need of international law not to impose duties on States which do not wish to be bound by them. In such a regime there is a complete coincidence of lawmakers and law-addressees.Footnote 126 This reflects the assumption that there exists an equality of bargaining power between sovereign States in creating obligations in international law. However, the inequality of States is an indubitable facet of global governance, and consent-based norms are correspondingly a reflection of such unequal political power.Footnote 127 Therefore, the sources of international law are oriented to safeguard the interests of powerful States, even when at times addressing the concerns of the entire international community.Footnote 128 As treaty obligations under the NPT have failed to achieve any concrete progress towards disarmament, the possible role custom can play in achieving a nuclear weapon-free world assumes importance.

The Special Rapporteur of the ILC, Michael Wood, articulated a distinction between ‘formal’ and ‘material’ sources of custom. ‘Formal’ sources represent the doctrinal character of an international rule, and ‘material’ sources constitute ‘the political, sociological, economic, moral or religious origins of the legal rules’.Footnote 129 Wood observed that for the identification of custom, only the ‘formal’ sources were relevant.Footnote 130

However, this distinction conceals that the twin elements of custom constituting its ‘formal’ sources were identified and given meaning only in the context of European nations sharing a similar culture, stage of economic development and aforementioned imperialist tendency.Footnote 131 Further, Article 38(1)(c) of the ICJ Statute references ‘civilised nations’, which displays that the doctrine of sources inherently links ‘formal’ and ‘material’ sources.Footnote 132

The modern conception of custom relies on an inclusive notion of State practice, including voting patterns for resolutions of international organisations and placing greater emphasis on opinio juris.Footnote 133 As will be explained below, this conception attempts minor revisions to the traditional doctrine of custom but does not completely forego the limitations of the doctrine of sources.Footnote 134 Accordingly, while determining State practice, the practice of non-Western States is consistently neglected.Footnote 135 In contrast, increased importance is given to the practice of powerful States.Footnote 136 The ILC suggests that an ‘indispensable factor’ in determining State practice must be the actions of ‘specially affected’ States that are ‘most likely to be concerned with the alleged rule’.Footnote 137 In this context, Danilenko observes:

In the absence of a clear definition, the notion of ‘specially affected’ states may be used as a respectable disguise for ‘important’ or ‘powerful’ states which are always supposed to be ‘specially affected’ by all or most political-legal developments within the international community.Footnote 138

Additionally, the consensual theory of international law is reconciled with the generality of custom by creating the ‘persistent objector’ principle. Therefore, a State can exclude itself from the application of custom if that State objects to the rule in the process of its formation.Footnote 139 As Kelly notes, the rise of this principle is a testament to the fact that ‘powerful States will not accept norms with which they do not specifically agree’.Footnote 140 Consequently, while most theorists accept that custom binds generally, Charlesworth observes that Western scholars have made attempts to revitalise the ‘persistent objector’ principle to protect the influence of the powerful States over the development of international law.Footnote 141

The resolutions of international organisations are also given limited importance in the creation of custom. The 1996 UNGA Opinion stated that repeated resolutions of the UNGA reflect ‘nascent’ opinio juris despite being adopted ‘by a large majority’.Footnote 142 The ILC supplements this conclusion by explicitly stating that a resolution adopted by an international organisation cannot, of itself, create a rule of custom.Footnote 143 It appears that this treatment was to challenge attempts made by the postcolonial States to use the UNGA, where they were in the majority, to influence the creation of international obligations.Footnote 144

Therefore, as it stands, the procedure for the identification of custom safeguards the interests of powerful States.Footnote 145 However, the modern doctrine of custom with its emphasis on opinio juris provides a foundation for limiting hegemonic interest in the development of international law. As noted by the ICJ in the Nicaragua case, there are occasions when international law challenges its traditional consent-based patterns and attempts to move towards a more idealistic central order.Footnote 146 However, its promise remains unfulfilled because the structures of promoting the narratives of the dominant States remain authoritative.Footnote 147

Despite hegemonic States playing a preponderant role in creating norms favourable to them, custom in some instances has also been to the benefit of Third World States. For instance, in the Armed Activities case, the ICJ recognised that permanent sovereignty over natural resources is a norm of customary international law.Footnote 148 The recognition favours less powerful States and is against the interests of transnational corporations. Therefore, there is clear evidence that custom can present a challenge to traditional hegemony.

However, attempts at moving past the traditional structures of international law will only become meaningful by advancing an alternative doctrine of custom. A doctrine that recognises that custom has been historically undemocratic and discards the consensual theory for its formation.Footnote 149 The reformulated doctrine would go beyond the emphasis on opinio juris as a constituent element of custom and place opinio juris as a critical element that prioritises community interests.Footnote 150

3.2 Opinio Juris as the Critical Element of International Law

There exist scholars who deny that opinio juris is necessary for the creation of customary obligation.Footnote 151 Goldsmith and Posner state that opinio juris is nothing more than a behavioural regularity of States, which reflects the pursuit of their interests.Footnote 152 As noted above, the modern doctrine suggests that the presence of consistent State practice is sufficient to demonstrate the existence of opinio juris.Footnote 153 However, these views ignore the normative value of custom as a source of international law.Footnote 154 More importantly, by subjecting the existence of a customary norm to the will of powerful States, they undermine opinio juris as representative of ‘universal juridical conscience’ or opinio juris communis, which must be a critical element of the very idea of international law.Footnote 155

Judge Cançado Trindade articulated the distinction between opinio juris as an element of custom and opinio juris as the ‘universal juridical conscience’ in his dissenting opinion in the Marshall Islands case. He noted:

Opinio juris has already had a long trajectory in legal thinking being today endowed with a wide dimension. Thus, already in the nineteenth century, the so-called ‘historical school’ of legal thinking and jurisprudence (of F.K. von Savigny and G.F. Puchta) in reaction to the voluntarist conception, gradually discarded the ‘will’ of the States by shifting attention to opinio juris, requiring practice to be an authentic expression of the ‘juridical conscience’ of nations and peoples. With the passing of time, the acknowledgement of conscience standing above the ‘will’ developed further, as a reaction against the reluctance of some States to abide by norms addressing matters of general or common interest of the international community.Footnote 156

Therefore, in determining the existence of a customary obligation the practice of States must be looked at generally and not individually.Footnote 157 Further, as noted by Judge Cançado Trindade, opinio juris has a broader dimension than that of a subjective element of custom:

Opinio juris became a key element in the formation itself of international law, a law of conscience. This diminished the unilateral influence of the most powerful States, fostering international law-making in fulfilment of the public interest and in pursuance of the common good of the international community as a whole.Footnote 158

Since opinio juris communis represents a ‘universal’ conscience, it would include in its development practices that have been given limited importance in the traditional doctrine of custom. Besides State practice as evidence of the belief of what should become a norm, resolutions of international organisations and actions of the global civil society would assume greater importance.Footnote 159

The identification of such generality can be found by emphasising the equality of States as a structural feature of the international legal order.Footnote 160 As noted by Judge Álvarez, the ‘juridical conscience of peoples’ would be better represented by the ‘resolutions of diplomatic assemblies, particularly those of the United Nations’.Footnote 161 Resolutions of international organisations are not adopted by those States that voted in their favour but by the organisations themselves, reflective of the opinion of all of their member States.Footnote 162 Therefore, resolutions, which reflect the ‘common good’ and which have been adopted ‘by a large majority’ of States, would have normative effect.

Custom created by opinio juris communis presents a formidable challenge to the fragmentation strategy of powerful States. Fragmentation only succeeds under the assumption that consent-based norms create self-contained obligations, which exclude the application of other norms of international law.Footnote 163 The communitarian interest recognised by opinio juris communis accounts for this hierarchy of norms and corrects the incoherence that has allowed fragmentation to flourish.

Therefore, in treating opinio juris as critical to the formation of international law the reimagined doctrine of custom reflects the aspirations of the international community. It provides a solution to the paradox presented by the traditional doctrine of custom. With the ‘universal juridical conscience’ standing above the will of individual States, customary international law would stand to realise the general interests of humanity and consequently reject the structural limitations of hegemonic interests in international law. In rejecting the voluntarist notion of international law, custom can provide for a standard basis to fulfil the aspirations of all peoples and progressively develop international law.Footnote 164

3.3 Custom and Consent: Irreconcilable Differences

The revised doctrine of custom is unacceptable to scholars who believe that in international law, norms cannot bind States without their consent and notions of consent are the basis for custom as well.Footnote 165 However, this is contrary to the nature of general custom, which is capable of universal application. It is because of its universal applicability that if a treaty codifies custom, it binds States that are not parties to the treaty equally.Footnote 166 Therefore, an understanding of custom founded on consent would be theoretically incorrect.

Custom cannot exist in an ethical vacuum.Footnote 167 European cultural unity, which formed the foundation of modern customary international law, was rooted in the unity of European States bound by a ‘universal natural law’.Footnote 168 Noting such origins, with the growth of States, custom today must bind all States because of their membership of the international community. This implies that the community must be able to legislate for all States through the process of customary international law.Footnote 169 Therefore, a State must be bound by custom not because it has consented to the norm but because States, in general, believe that a particular obligation should be binding.

The Nicaragua case declared that if the international community treats the practice of a State as a breach of a principle, it is evidence of the principle being customary.Footnote 170 Therefore, if a rule of custom is to affect State behaviour, it must impact the payoffs States receive.Footnote 171 Accordingly, if a State were to violate a principle, the payoff can only be seen if other States believe that there has indeed been a violation. The relevant opinio juris or belief cannot then be of the acting State. Therefore, the subjective belief of individual States does not showcase the existence of an obligation. It is only the belief of other States in general that determines the status of a principle.Footnote 172 As such, a coherent theory of custom would require that the emphasis on the practice of States ‘specially affected’ would be irrelevant in the formulation of legal obligations.

Further, custom in its traditional form is neither powerful, nor can it effectively achieve the policy objectives of the international community of States.Footnote 173 If opinio juris required States to consent to a sense of obligation, it would run contrary to the custom as a source of international law. Thus, the non-consensual articulation of the doctrine of custom would be fundamental in solving the paradox of the traditional doctrine. More importantly, the consent-based system creates a bias in favour of the status quo and disregards the aspirational potential of a customary international obligation.Footnote 174

Traditionally, international law has created an artificial distinction between law as it exists (lex lata), and law as it should be (lex ferenda). This methodology has created widespread confusion in the development of customary international law.Footnote 175 However, as noted by Higgins, international law would never be able to develop beyond a rudimentary state if the distinction between lex lata and lex ferenda prevents the application of international law in a progressive manner in previously untested situations.Footnote 176 Thus, as opinio juris can represent both lex lata and lex ferenda,Footnote 177 it effectively addresses the limitations in the traditional doctrine and provides a coherent justification for progressive development.

In the status quo, the international legal system subjects the general interest of the global community to the will of powerful States. On the contrary, a non-consensual system of custom would provide the normative benefit of democratising solutions to problems of global interest. Despite its challenge to powerful States, this is the direction in which international law is heading. As Payandeh notes, communitarian approaches to international law are visible inter alia in the third-party effects of the UN Charter, the verification of peremptory norms as well as the treatment of reservations to human rights treaties.Footnote 178 While these practices reflect the emergence of the concept of an international community, the concept will only become legally effective by transforming the doctrine of sources.

3.4 Opinio Juris Communis: The Foundation of a Legally Effective International Community

Customary international law as opinio juris communis represents a departure from positivism in international law. Positivism, which has come to be the dominant mode of thinking since the nineteenth century, is what prescribes that States are bound only by obligations they have consented to.Footnote 179 It was a series of formal doctrines developed by positivist jurists that created the dichotomy between ‘civilised’ and ‘uncivilised’ States in the international community.Footnote 180

The consent-based theory of international law creates a community of States conceptualised as a collection of States qua States.Footnote 181 However, international law repeatedly invokes the term ‘international community’ in a normative and not a descriptive sense.Footnote 182 Scholars have taken ‘international community’ to be a concrete legal term, suggesting that global interactions must encompass ethical considerations, consistent with the maxim of ‘in necessariis unitas, in dubiis libertas, in omnibus caritas’.Footnote 183 However, the consent-based international community deprives international law of any legal significance because it cannot countenance norms built on the shared pursuit of common objectives that are not authored by States.Footnote 184 Therefore, if the international community is to generate any substantive legal effects, as international law envisions, it must incorporate the solidarity of its members for the preservation of shared collective interests.Footnote 185

Even within the current structures of international law, there exists a subliminal recognition of a legally effective ‘international community’. For instance, Article 53 of the VCLT recognises the existence of the will of an ‘international community’, manifested through jus cogens, having hierarchical superiority over norms emerging from the consent of States.Footnote 186Jus cogens or peremptory norms are such norms of customary international law that reflect the fundamental values of the international community and are accepted by the international community as a whole.Footnote 187 The fact that consensual obligations are void if they contradict jus cogens suggests that the State-centric version of international law cannot account for respect for fundamental values that are not subjected to the will of individual States.Footnote 188 As Simma notes, assuming that a community can be held together by legal norms alone overestimates the capacity of law and underestimates the necessity of a societal consensus as a precondition for the formation of and respect for the legal rules.Footnote 189

Therefore, in order to ground communitarian obligations within a coherent theory of international law, reliance has been placed on metaphysical principles outside of positive law.Footnote 190 It is due to this extralegal dimension of such obligations that the positivist doctrine of sources of international law cannot easily accommodate rules of jus cogens and erga omnes.Footnote 191 The VCLT provides evidence for this limitation, as it states that peremptory norms are not found in treaty law but the ‘international community of States as a whole’ recognises them.Footnote 192 Hence, in redeeming Westphalian international law, natural law thinking must equally be restored.

States must not be averse to such thinking as customary obligations in status quo are not very different from existing communitarian obligations since all States are to follow them generally.Footnote 193 Adding the restoration of natural law thinking in the theory of custom as opinio juris communis would imply the hierarchical superiority of custom over consent-based norms.Footnote 194 In turn, this would go beyond the lip-service offered towards the existence of an ‘international community’ and make it legally effective as an ‘ensemble des États’ brought together by a shared pursuit to achieve common goals.Footnote 195

4 Towards a Nuclear Weapon-Free World: A Customary Obligation for Disarmament

The application of the revised doctrine of customary international law provides the foundation for a future without nuclear weapons. The ICJ alluded to the collective interest in addressing the nuclear problem while discussing whether the Marshall Islands was a State ‘specially affected’. In an unexpected determination, the Court noted:

[…] that the Marshall Islands, by virtue of the suffering which its people endured as a result of being used as a site for extensive nuclear testing programs, has special reasons for concern about nuclear disarmament.Footnote 196

This determination is in stark contrast to the position of the US, which stated during the 1996 Nuclear Weapons Advisory Opinion proceedings:

[…] customary law could not be created over the objection of the nuclear-weapon States, which are the States whose interests are most specially affected.Footnote 197

While the ICJ avoided explicitly referencing specially affected States in its Advisory Opinion, the United States and the United Kingdom continued to claim that it is only States that possess nuclear weapons that had to be considered specially affected.Footnote 198 The statement of the Court in the Marshall Islands decision is in stark contrast to this position as it considers the possibility that States threatened by the use of nuclear weapons should be considered specially affected.Footnote 199

Further, this determination was made in a context where the Marshall Islands was only a favoured testing site for the United States alone; however, the Marshall Islands brought the action in actio popularis against nine States possessing nuclear weapons. The Marshall Islands justified this by noting its particular awareness of the dire consequences of nuclear weapons.Footnote 200 As such, the expansion of the notion of ‘specially affected’ States is a tacit acknowledgement of the collective interest in achieving nuclear disarmament. Irrespective of advances in technology and the existence of tactical versions, nuclear weapons possess the ability to destroy the world as such.Footnote 201 The 1996 Advisory Opinion recognised this when noting the potential of nuclear weapons to cause indiscriminate harm with enormous destructive effect.Footnote 202 The UNSC, acknowledging nuclear weapons to be a threat to international peace and security, has reaffirmed the global threat of nuclear weapons.Footnote 203 Thus, an obligation of disarmament is in the general interest of all States, including the NWS. Therefore, nuclear disarmament obligations are in accord with the ‘universal juridical conscience’ or opinio juris communis.

Accordingly, under the revised doctrine of custom, the collective nature of obligation would signal the inapplicability of the notion of ‘specially affected’ States. In determining State practice as evidence of the critical element of opinio juris, the relevant practice should be that of States that do not possess nuclear weapons. This procedure for identification would preserve the normative value of custom, which depends on the responses of other States against the acting States. Besides the Marshall Islands, which brought the legal action against three States that possess nuclear weapons, NNWS have repeatedly expressed that NWS violate their international obligations by continuing to possess nuclear weapons.Footnote 204

The resolutions of the UNGA equally reflect opinio juris communis. Besides its very first resolution calling for the elimination of nuclear weapons,Footnote 205 Resolution 1653 declared as a matter of law that the use of nuclear weapons would be unlawful.Footnote 206 Further, since 1994 the UNGA has annually adopted a resolution in favour of complete nuclear disarmament.

Since 2003, these resolutions have significantly expanded in scope. They incorporate in the third perambulatory paragraphs that conventional law outlaws weapons of mass destruction and determine to achieve the same for nuclear weapons.Footnote 207 Judge Cançado Trindade highlighted this contradiction when stating:

The opinio juris communis as to the prohibition of nuclear weapons, and of all weapons of mass destruction, has gradually been formed, over the last decades. If weapons less destructive than nuclear weapons have already been expressly prohibited (as is the case of biological and chemical weapons), it would be nonsensical to argue that, those which have not, by positive conventional international law, like nuclear weapons, would not likewise be illicit; after all, they have far greater and long-lasting devastating effects, threatening the existence of the international community as a whole.Footnote 208

The resolutions also call upon NWS to take concrete efforts towards disarmament, while underscoring their unequivocal undertaking to eliminate nuclear weapons from their arsenals completely.Footnote 209 It is telling that these resolutions call for the conclusion of negotiations for disarmament without referencing it as a treaty obligation of the NPT.Footnote 210 The obligation put on all States towards complete disarmament is reflective of the customary nature of the obligation. In any case, since these resolutions reflect the common aspirations of all the members of the UN, they have normative effect in themselves and solidify the existence of opinio juris communis, irrespective of the voting patterns.

The role of the global civil society in developing a consensus in favour of nuclear disarmament has been especially telling. As early as 1969, the Institut de droit international condemned the use of all weapons of mass destruction.Footnote 211 Since then, non-governmental organisations have been able to exert significant influence in the development of an international consensus towards an obligation for disarmament. Besides the organisations that were instrumental in bringing the cases before the ICJ, most telling has been the work of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN). The civil society coalition of over 500 organisations was successful in achieving a treaty-based prohibition of nuclear weapons, in the form of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons.Footnote 212 Although the treaty has received no support from NWS, ICAN received the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize in recognition of its influential work.

Thus, upon discarding the consensual notion of customary international law the conclusion that there exists an obligation of nuclear disarmament is inescapable. The relevant State practice taken together with the resolutions of the UNGA and the larger interest of the global civil society showcases that nuclear disarmament represents opinio juris communis. Such a reading makes the doctrine of custom more democratic and coherent.Footnote 213 In the context of nuclear weapons, it also eliminates the contradiction that while conventional law bans other weapons of mass destruction, nuclear weapons, which have far greater deleterious potential, remain legal. Therefore, even as the NPT remains unable to augur any change in the behaviour of NWS, their obligation to disarm under customary law remains enforceable as the ‘universal juridical conscience.’

The elevation of nuclear disarmament as opinio juris communis will provide an effective foundation towards a world free of nuclear weapons in two ways. First, its hierarchical superiority would imply that the allowance of nuclear weapons within the fragmented NPT regime would be rendered void. Second, a non-consensual theory of custom would eliminate arguments of States either being ‘persistent objectors’ or ‘specially affected’. This rejection not only checks the inequalities generated by the imperialist tendencies of international law but would also successfully confront States such as India, Pakistan and DPRK, who possess nuclear weapons outside the NPT regime. Thus, the interests of an effective international community would not remain subject to the will of individual States. A coherent theory of custom as the ‘universal juridical conscience’ would successfully achieve the aspirational potential of international law and be fatal to the continued existence of nuclear weapons in the world.

5 Conclusion—Having Faith in International Law

To the many positivist international lawyers, this exercise may appear Procrustean in its attempt to sacrifice the will of States to the interests of the international community. However, at its core, this study is motivated by the enthusiasm of a student of international law, who believes in its ability to create a fair and equitable legal order.Footnote 214 In many ways, this motivation is not dissimilar to that of the Marshall Islands, which went to the ICJ as ‘a small island State whose only power is the power of law’.Footnote 215

In the context of nuclear weapons, there are arguments that the ICJ should not pass any order, as it would have no practical effect.Footnote 216 A realistic search for disarmament indeed requires the cooperation of all States, especially the States that possess nuclear weapons.Footnote 217 Thus far, cooperation on this account has been absent.Footnote 218 However, this overlooks an essential function of international law, that of influencing political processes. As the delegate of Vanuatu revealed, the progress in obtaining a ban on atmospheric nuclear testing in the Pacific was a direct consequence of Australia and New Zealand taking the matter to the ICJ.Footnote 219 Further, though the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons has stalled due to the non-participation of any of the States possessing nuclear weapons, the UNGA resolution that called to convene the conference for the treaty was adopted shortly after the Marshall Islands judgment.Footnote 220

Additionally, international law has a robust internal influence. States obey international law as they participate in the ‘transnational legal process’.Footnote 221 The normativity of the process implies that States interact with other nations.Footnote 222 Accordingly, States adhere to their obligations to avoid international shaming.Footnote 223 As part of the ‘transnational legal process’, their actions are also influenced by non-governmental organisations that are instrumental in furthering international norms by engaging in transnational public interest litigation.Footnote 224 International law is instrumental in influencing domestic policies of States, giving a further reason to believe in the utopian potential of international law. Therefore, the practical effects of the normative value of international law are more far-reaching than the actions of States today; it remains critical in changing State policies for the future.

Customary obligations exemplify the utopian potential of international law.Footnote 225 Custom can contribute to the generation of genuinely communitarian norms in international law.Footnote 226 Unfortunately, consent-based theories of international law dominate the present doctrines of developing customary obligations. This anomaly creates an international community without any legal significance as it fails to generate any substantive effects to preserve collective interests.Footnote 227

Therefore, custom must be delinked from the principle of the sovereignty of States to create a legally effective international community. The revision of custom as opinio juris communis or the universal juridical conscience presents a foundation for prioritising community interests over the will of States. Providing civil society with the ability to participate in the creation of international norms would allow for greater scrutiny of State action to ensure conformity with community interests.Footnote 228 Therefore, treating opinio juris as the critical element of custom not only adds greater coherence to the theory of custom but also provides the process for identifying community interests and subsequently enforcing them.

This exercise must not be mistaken for naivety, for even the Marshall Islands did not expect a binding judgment to spell the end of nuclear weapons miraculously.Footnote 229 It turned to international law because there was little reason to believe that the political processes would ever advance the cause of nuclear disarmament.Footnote 230 The doctrine of custom as opinio juris communis will assist in countering hegemonic interests by introducing essential reforms to the international legal process.Footnote 231 With nuclear disarmament being part of the universal juridical conscience, it would allow the influence of international law to pervade domestic policy with both international institutions and civil society holding States to account. These reforms will provide the foundation for an equitable legal order without the threat of nuclear weapons. Thus, reposing the faith of those who believe in the ability of international law to speak justice to power.