Abstract
During COVID-19, Shenyang implemented strict household isolation measures, resulting in a sharp reduction in anthropogenic emission sources, providing an opportunity to explore the impact of human activities on air pollution. The period from January to April of 2020 was divided into normal period, blockade period and resumption period. Combined with meteorological and pollutant data, mathematical statistics and spatial analysis methods were used to compare with the same period of 2015–2019. The results showed that PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and O3 increased by 32.6%, 13.2%, 4.65% and 22.7% in the normal period, among which the western area changed significantly. During the blockade period, the concentration of pollutants decreased by 35.79%, 35.87%, 32.45% and -4.84%, of which the central area changed significantly. During the resumption period, the concentration of pollutants increased by 21.8%, 8.7%, 5.7% and -6.3%, and the area with the largest change was located in the western. During the blockade period, a heavy pollution occurred with PM2.5 as the main pollutant. The WRF-Chem model and the HYSPLIT model were used to reproduce the pollution occurrence process. The result showed that winds circulated as zonal winds during the pollution process at high altitudes. These winds were controlled by straight westerly and weak northwesterly airflows in front of the high pressure, and the ground was located behind the warm low pressure. Weather conditions were relatively stable. Thus, high temperatures (average > 10 ℃), high humidity (40%-60%) and slow wind (2 m/s) conditions prevailed for a long time in the Shenyang area. The unfavorable meteorological conditions lead to the occurrence of pollution. The backward trajectory showed that the potential source areas were concentrated in the urban agglomeration around Shenyang, and sporadic contributions came from North Korea.
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Introduction
The sudden COVID-19 outbreak that occurred at the end of December 2019 represents a great threat to human safety and has attracted widespread attention around the world. In order to control the epidemic and reduce the spread of the virus to the greatest extent possible, various regions have implemented a series of strict control measures, which include blocking traffic roads, limiting non-essential activities of the population, as well as closing factories and schools, among others (Hu et al., 2021; Tian et al., 2021). The implementation of control measures has reduced atmospheric emissions from anthropogenic sources, providing an opportunity to investigate the extent to which air pollution is affected by human activities (Chen et al., 2021; Eyisi et al., 2021; Yan et al., 2021).
Changes in air pollution concentrations are affected by the combined effects of anthropogenic sources and meteorological conditions, and scholars have contributed many methods in the process of studying the characteristics of pollutants (Yin et al., 2021; Xue et al., 2021; Thangjai et al., 2021; Ma et al., 2019; Feistel & Hellmuth, 2021). Since the COVID-19 outbreak, domestic and foreign /scholars have performed a significant amount of research to determine changes of air pollutants during the epidemic. Zhu et al. (2021) used the NAQPMS model and obtained scenario simulations to evaluate the emission reduction effect of the “2 + 26” program during the epidemic. According to their results, concentration of pollutants decreased during the epidemic (January 24th to March 31th), as compared to a pre-pandemic period (January 1st to 23th). In addition, meteorological conditions caused the PM2.5 concentration in cities along the Yanshan and Taihang Mountains to increase by about 1% to 8%. Also, Zhou et al. (2020) used the continuous emission monitoring system (CEMS) to evaluate the relationship between air quality improvement and pollutant reduction during the epidemic. These researchers reported that during the epidemic, the average daily emissions of SO2, NOX and soot (PM) in key industries in Hubei Province decreased by 41.9%, 34.7% and 47.6%, respectively. Wu et al. (2020) studied the impact of strong control measures for various pollution sources on the atmospheric environment during the pneumonia epidemic. The results showed that during the epidemic period, the air quality index (AQI) decreased by 43% and 50%, respectively, as compared with the same period in 2018–2019. In addition, concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 decreased by 72%, 53% and 45%, respectively. Zhao et al. (2021) analyzed the evolution of air pollutants during two heavy haze pollution processes in Beijing during the COVID-19 period and found that home isolation measures significantly impacted diurnal variation of PM2.5 and black carbon (BC) concentrations. Moreover, such measures displayed a higher impact on CO, NO2 and SO2. However, diurnal O3 variation was not significantly impacted. The primary pollutants in the two heavy haze pollution processes were PM2.5. Cai et al. (2021) used the chemical transport model WRF-Chem and the ensemble square root filter assimilation system to simultaneously assimilate the initial field of pollutant concentration and the pollution source emission framework. Using the high-resolution condition of 1 km, these researchers determined that PM2.5 aerosol and NO source emissions decreased by 4.4% and 30%, respectively, as compared to January. While most studies found significant improvements in air quality, others found that heavily polluted weather had not disappeared during the epidemic period. In some cities, the air quality was worse than before. This may be because the effect of reducing the discharge of primary pollutants was offset by adverse weather conditions and the enhancement of secondary pollution.
This finding showed that during the epidemic control period, the air quality in cities improved to different degrees. However, because air pollution is a complex mechanism, the changes in pollutants in different regions were not the same. In addition, in some regions, pollutants showed an increasing trend instead of a decreasing one (He et al., 2021). Shenyang represents one of the cities with the fastest work and production resumption in the country. In this city, insufficient atmospheric capacity and unfavorable meteorological conditions represent important challenges to prevent and control air pollution.
At present, the research on atmospheric conditions during COVID-19 had a large spatial scale, and there were few studies on the small scale. At the same time, research related to air pollution in Shenyang was limited by the single research data, and there was lack of research on the changes of pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3) during COVID-19. Compared with the existing studies, the study covered the whole epidemic period (from January to April, 2020). The research contents were as follows: ① Taking the past 5 years (2015–2019) as a reference, statistical methods were used to analyze the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of air pollutants during the same period in 2020, and identify the characteristics of air pollution under emission reduction conditions; ② Based on the WRF-Chem and HYSPLIT model, the causes of a typical heavy pollution event in February 2020 were analyzed. This study provided the decision-making reference for better planning of urban construction and rational layout of industrial zones in Shenyang.
Data and methods
According to Order No. 1 and Order No. 9 issued by the Liaoning province (Fig. 1), the control measures for the suspension of work, production and school activities were implemented in the whole province on January 26th, 2020. Later, on March 22th, 2020, all work and production activities resumed. The present study selected January to April 2020 as the research period, taking January as the normal period, February and March as the blockade period, and April as the resumption period. Pollutant mass concentrations and meteorological conditions in Shenyang in these three periods were compared with those of the same periods during 2015 to 2019 (5a). The 11 monitoring stations (Table 1) were distributed in different areas of Shenyang city (Fig. 2), covering the city center, suburbs and rural areas.
Data source
Pollutants data used in the present research were obtained from the Shenyang Academy of Environmental Sciences Research Institute. The daily concentrations of PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 refer to average daily concentrations. In the case of O3 concentration, data correspond to the maximum 8 h average concentration.
Daily meteorological data were acquired from China's ground meteorological stations released by the China meteorological data website (http://data.cma.cn). These included air temperature, air pressure, relative humidity, wind speed and precipitation, among others.
The input data of the air quality model WRF-Chem corresponded to the GDAS (Global Data Assimilation System) meteorological reanalysis data jointly released by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the National Centers for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). (ftp://arlftp.arlhq.noaa.gov/pub/archives/gdas1).
The input data of HYSPLIT (Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model) backward trajectory model were obtained from the Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) reanalysis data provided by NCEP ( ftp://arlftp.arlhq.noaa.gov/pub/archives/gdas1/). Data were available 4 times a day, at 0:00, 6:00, 12:00 and 18:00 (UTC, Universal Time).
Research method
WRF-Chem
Shenyang city is located in the central region of Liaoning Province, and its geographic location is between 122°25′09"E-123°48′24"E and 41°11′51"N-43°02′13"N. We selected the Hunnan East Road in Shenyang city (41.44°N, 123.30°E) as the center point of the area. Also, we used Lambert projection coordinates and three-layer grid nesting. The setting of the entire grid nesting included Liaoning Province and the surrounding areas, and the innermost layer d03 with higher resolution was taken as the research object to improve the reliability of the results.
HYSPLIT
PSCF (Potential Source Contribution Function) and CWT (Concentration Weighted Trajectory) analysis were performed using the HYSPLIT (Draxier & Hess, 1998) model. In addition, the Trajstat software developed by Wang et al. was used to determine the main sources and pollution trajectories, as well as to quantitatively analyze the contribution ratio of potential region to the pollution source in the target region. In order to simulate the source of the 48 h backward trajectory, we selected a height of 100 m with respect to the ground as the base point. The Euclidean distance algorithm (Stohl, 1996; Dorling et al., 1992) was used to perform cluster analysis on all trajectories reaching the target point, and the total spatial variance (TSV) method was used to select the optimal number of clusters (Zhou et al., 2017). In order to reduce the uncertainty of PSCF and CWT results, the weight function \({W}_{ij}\) was introduced according to the references (Hsu et al., 2003; Liu et al., 2021; Wang et al., 2022; Xia et al., 2021). Later, the final model results were analyzed according to the revised WPSCF = PSCF × \({W}_{ij}\) and WCWT = CWT × \({W}_{ij}\) data.
Result and discussion
Changes in pollutant concentrations
Figure 3 shows pollutants concentrations during the months of the pandemic corresponding to: (a) normal period; (b)lockdown period; and (c) resumption period in 2020, as well as average concentrations corresponding to the same months for the years of 2015–2019 (labeled as 5a). Data indicated that during the normal period in 2020, the concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 were 13.2%, 32.6%, 4.65%, and 22.7% higher than those in 5a, respectively. The highest concentration changes corresponded to PM2.5 and O3. The Spring Festival of China developed in late January 2020, during which a large number of fireworks and firecrackers were used. This time also corresponded with the heating period in Shenyang. For these reasons, pollutant concentrations increased.
During the blockade period, the concentrations of PM10, PM2.5 and NO2 were all lower than those observed in 5a. In this case, values decreased 35.87%, 35.79% and 32.45%, respectively. This occurred because of the large reduction of industry and traffic activities, which also reduced particulate matter and NOx emissions. However, O3 showed a small increase of 4.84% during this period. Even under prevention and control conditions, the concentration of O3 increased. This phenomenon was not only related to the decrease in PM2.5 concentration, but also to the decrease in anthropogenic NOx emissions, which reduced the titration of O3. Since the absorption of HO2 by the hydrolysis of high concentration of NOx promotes the termination of the photochemical process, the concentration of O3 decreased (Bao & Zhang, 2020). In addition, the response mechanism of O3 to meteorological conditions in a certain concentration range is more complicated. The relationship between O3 and meteorological factors slightly varied in different regions, but the effects of solar radiation, air temperature, temperature and humidity on O3 were roughly the same (Toh et al., 2013). During the prevention and control period, the less rainy weather in Shenyang led to the increase in solar radiation, the increase in seasonal temperatures and the active photochemical reaction; thus, the concentration of O3 increased.
During the resumption period, PM10, PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations were 8.7%, 21.8% and 5.7% higher, respectively, as compared with those observed in the corresponding period in 5a. In addition, O3 concentration was 6.3% smaller as that in 5a. This probably occurred because in the late control stage, human activities resumed. Specifically, gradual return to work and sudden increase in social activities occurred. As a consequence, traffic rate increased leading to an increase in pollutants concentrations. Moreover, the increase in NOX concentration favored the titration of O3, which caused a decrease in its concentration. Within a certain concentration range, the response mechanism of O3 to meteorological conditions is more complicated. During the prevention and control period, less rainy weather caused an increase in solar radiation. Also, the increase in seasonal temperatures favored atmospheric photochemical reactions and affected the structure of the boundary layer.
Based on the above analysis, it was found that PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 were more sensitive to the response to pollutant emission reduction during the epidemic period, and the pollutant PM2.5 was the most sensitive to the response to emission reduction. The correlation between O3 concentration and emission reduction was not obvious and had a certain hysteresis.
Spatial variation of pollutants
Figure 4 shows the concentration of pollutants in the Shenyang monitoring stations selected for the present research. Data indicated that concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and O3 during the normal 2020 period were higher as compared with the 5a averages. Moreover, the largest differences were observed in western cities where PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and O3 levels were 49.79 μg·m−3, 54.24 μg·m−3, 12.27 μg·m−3 and 0.12 μg·m−3 higher, respectively. In addition, during the blockade period, all pollutants except O3, showed lower concentrations than those in the normal 2020 period and the corresponding 5a period. It was also observed that the highest differences were obtained in central cities, where PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 levels decreased by 23.94 μg·m−3, 42.54 μg·m−3 and 19.65 μg·m−3, respectively. On the contrary, O3 concentration increased 5.52 μg·m−3. During the resumption period in western cities, PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 concentrations were significantly higher as those observed in the corresponding 5a period. In this case, concentration differences were 23.03 μg·m−3, 35.63 μg·m−3 and 10.59 μg·m−3, correspondingly. Also, it was observed that O3 concentration decreased 13.22 μg·m−3.
During the epidemic control period, pollutants concentrations in each functional area improved to different degrees. In addition, the concentration trends of each pollutant in different periods varied. During the implementation of control measures, different types of pollution control should be implemented according to the pollution characteristics of different control areas. In addition, the control of PM2.5 and PM10 pollution in western cities, O3 in urban suburbs, and NO2 in central cities should be strengthened.
Analysis of weather conditions
For analytical purposes, in the present research we selected PM2.5 as the primary pollutant in the Shenyang area. It has been reported that NO2 is a critical pollutant for a variety of chemical reactions that occur in the atmosphere. For example, this gas is a precursor in the formation of O3 and secondary aerosols. In Shenyang, traffic emissions represent the main source of NO2, which are greatly affected by human activities. For these reasons, we also included NO2 as a representative pollutant.
Previous studies have shown that large-scale reductions in road transport and industrial emissions can significantly improve local air quality, and the complexity of the pollution source made it was more difficult to target (Angelevska et al., 2021). Meteorological conditions may improve air circulation and in consequence, the transport, retention and superposition of aerosol particles with those locally produced (Yao et al., 2017; Yu et al., 2015). Thus, air pollutants concentrations are directly and indirectly affected. Figure 5 displays the meteorological conditions observed from January to April 2020 and the average values of the same period in 5a. Data indicated that temperature, dew point temperature, air pressure and wind speed increased in 2020, as compared with 5a. On the whole, the fluctuation range of meteorological conditions was small.
By comparing pollutants concentrations over the same period, it was determined that although Shenyang implemented a series of control measures during the epidemic, the changes in pollutant concentrations were quite different. According to the air quality standard (GB3095-2012), the secondary standard concentration limits for PM2.5 and O3 are 75 μg·m−3 and 80 μg·m−3, respectively. Figure 6a shows that the number of days that PM2.5 concentration exceeded the standard value (ρ ≥ 75 μg·m−3) were 21 and 9 in January and April of 2020, respectively, with average concentrations of 107.23 μg·m−3 and 58.35 μg·m−3, correspondingly. In addition, the occurrence frequency of polluted weather in January and April in 2020 was second only to the most polluted year in 2015. Data also indicated that PM2.5 exceeded the standard level 6 d in February and 2 d in March, 2020, with average concentrations of 49.46 μg·m−3 and 39.38 μg·m−3, correspondingly. Figure 6b displays the frequency of days NO2 overpassed the standard value (ρ ≥ 80 μg·m−3). As data show, in 2016 and 2018 NO2 concentrations did not exceed the standard value. Also, the number of days NO2 concentrations surpassed the standard limit in 2015 was higher as compared to the other years. In January 2020, NO2 concentration exceeded the standard limit for a total of 5 d, with an average concentration of 56.40 μg·m−3. In February and March, NO2 concentrations decreased to 28.81 μg·m−3 and 31.42 μg·m−3, respectively. Thus, in this period, standard limit was not exceeded. In April, the society resumed work and production, and the concentration of NO2 increased. However, average concentration was 38.57 μg·m−3 with no days exceeding the standard value.
In order to investigate the meteorological conditions occurring in Shenyang from January to April at 2020, we obtained the meteorological time series diagram shown in Fig. 7. Results indicated that in 2020, the average temperature was -0.8674 ℃, the average wind speed was 2.27 m/s, the air pressure was 1023.03 hpa, and the average humidity was about 57%. The overall weather did not favor the removal and diffusion of pollutants. In February, different levels of polluted weather occurred in Shenyang, and a typical heavy pollution process was observed from February 8th to February 12th. During the haze event, the humidity in Shenyang was relatively high, and temperature significantly increased. Thus, a temperature inversion layer easily formed. The temperature inversion layer reduced the atmospheric boundary layer, which hindered the vertical diffusion of pollutants (Hua et al., 2018; Wang et al., 2010; Wu et al., 2019). The pollution event was closely related to changes in air pressure, and surface air pressure reflects the intensity of cold air activity (Li & Xiang, 2018). The air pressure decreased, and the wind speed was relatively small. For this reason, pollutants were not removed.
Table 2 presents the correlation coefficient matrix of PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations and various meteorological factors from January to April of 2020. As results indicated, a significant correlation between each factor was observed, which indicated that meteorological factors indirectly affected the concentration of pollutants to a certain extent. However, the sensitivity of different pollutants to the influence of meteorological conditions is different. These results are consistent with the conclusions published in previous studies (Guo et al., 2015). Humidity and air pressure were positively correlated with PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations, while temperature and wind speed were negatively correlated with PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations. Among them, the correlation coefficient between relative humidity and PM2.5 (0.3499) was relatively high. Also, the correlation coefficient between wind speed and NO2 (-0.5614) was relatively high. These data proved that relative humidity and wind speed have significant effects on the removal and accumulation of PM2.5 and NO2, respectively. Comparing the correlation coefficient between pollutants (PM2.5, NO2) and meteorology, it was found that the NO2 concentration was more sensitive to the meteorological conditions such as humidity, temperature and wind speed during the study period. This is because NO2 is a primary pollutant, and its transformation process is more dependent on meteorological conditions. The NO2 concentration had a more significant response to human emission reduction and was more affected by meteorological conditions than the secondary pollutant PM2.5.
Table 3 shows the results of the correlation analysis between different pollutants from January to April 2020. Data indicated that, except for O3, PM2.5 displayed a significant correlation with each pollutant at the 0.01 level. The highest correlation coefficient (0.8716) was that between PM2.5 and PM10. This is related to the fact that PM2.5 is a component of PM10, both of which are particulate matter and have similar sources. With respect to NO2, the highest correlation occurred with CO. NO2 is mainly originated from traffic sources, and CO from incomplete combustion. At present, combustion of petroleum fuel in transportation activities represents the main source of pollutants. It is important to note that insufficient combustion of petroleum produces CO. For this reason, NO2 and CO display high correlation. Data also indicated that PM2.5 and NO2 were negatively correlated with O3. A potential explanation is that the extremely low socio-economic background greatly favored the reduction of NOx emissions. For this reason, titration effect of O3 decreased and the increase in temperature promoted the generation of O3. Thus, the relationship between NO2 and O3 can be described as “One increases, the other decreases.”
In different concentration levels of PM2.5 and NO2, the correlation between the concentration of PM2.5 and relevant meteorological elements were analyzed. As shown in Table 4, during the heavy pollution period, there was a significant positive correlation between PM2.5 concentration and wind speed, which was inconsistent with the meteorological conditions of quiet wind in heavy pollution events. During the blockade period in 2020, the overall wind speed in Shenyang was relatively small, which was conducive to maintaining light pollution. However, the occurrence of heavy pollution events was related to the increase of local wind speed, which meant that the regional transport of pollutants was a potential impact of heavy pollution events. Mechanism, the increase of pollutants may mainly come from the transport contribution of adjacent regional pollution sources after discharge. Table 5 shows that in clean weather, NO2 concentration was significantly negatively correlated with wind speed, and the correlation coefficient was -0.5443, indicating that wind speed had an obvious effect on NO2 scavenging. Traffic emissions were one of the main sources of NO2. Therefore, in the future, Shenyang should vigorously develop public transportation to optimize the road structure, promote clean energy vehicles, build new transportation modes, and strengthen the control of motor vehicle emissions through traffic restrictions.
Analysis of heavy pollution cases during the epidemic
As shown in Fig. 8, during the epidemic blockade Shenyang experienced 4 different levels of pollution, including one severe pollution event (ρ(PM2.5) ≥ 150 μg·m−3, ρ (NO2) ≥ 80 μg·m−3). These processes were defined as P1, P2, P3, and P4, respectively. The primary pollutant in these events was PM2.5, and no NO2 pollution was observed. The repetitive phenomenon of disappearance-increase-dissipation of pollutants occurred and P1 and P2 remained for a long period of time (> 48 h). In addition, multiple peaks were observed in the intermediate process, indicating that P1 and P2 involved long-term accumulation of pollutants. The P1 and P2 periods corresponded to strict control stage during the epidemic in Shenyang. Herein, anthropogenic and industrial sources of pollutants were significantly reduced. It was initially believed that the pollution process was related to unfavorable meteorological conditions. P3 and P4 pollution events had a remarkable common feature of short duration (< 12 h), rapid outbreak and rapid dissipation. Shenyang proposed to gradually resume work and production activities on March 22th. Thus, P3 and P4 were related to the resumption of human activities. In addition, the peak and low concentration values of PM2.5 and NO2 in P1, P2, P3 and P4 were almost synchronous.
The above analysis showed that, compared with other pollution processes during the blockade period, the P1 process was a heavy pollution with PM2.5 as the primary pollutant and had the longest duration. In order to gain an in-depth understanding of the mechanism of pollution in Shenyang, the P1 process was analyzed (Figs. 9, 10 and 11). Different from the pollution characteristics in the normal emission period of Shenyang, the peak time of P1 pollution was relatively short. During P1 pollution process, the real-time monitoring data (Fig. 9) showed AQI (mean) > 100, ρ (PM2.5) > 86 μg·m−3 and ρ (NO2) > 39 μg·m−3. Figure 10 shows that the wind direction was predominantly from the southwest. On the 8th (Fig. 11a), the ground in Shenyang was controlled by the cold high-pressure center system in the north direction. In this region, sparse isobars, high pressure gradient and low wind speeds were observed. Since direction of surface winds was mainly northerly, diffusion of pollutants was not favored. On the 9th, the pollution level turned into heavy pollution, which remained for 18 h. During this period (Fig. 9), AQI (average) > 200, ρ(PM2.5) > 78 μg·m−3, ρ(NO2) > 37 μg·m−3. According to Fig. 11b, a high-pressure divergent system occurred in the north part of the Liaoning Province, and a low-pressure composite system in the south area. In the Shenyang area, meteorological conditions deteriorated, and the air flow was prone to convection. Under the action of the southwest wind, the pollutants accumulated, and the pollution continued to increase. On the evening of the 9th, AQI > 240, ρ(PM2.5) > 200 μg·m−3, ρ(NO2) > 45 μg·m−3. Pollution continued on February 10th, where AQI (mean) > 208, ρ (PM2.5) > 157 μg·m−3, ρ(NO2) > 53 μg·m−3. The wind direction was mainly south-southwest, and the high-pressure center occurred in northeast Heilongjiang (Fig. 11c). The Shenyang area was affected by a weak high-pressure system, the isobars were sparse, and the surface wind speed was significantly reduced to below 2 m·s−1. Thus, the relatively stable weather system did not favor the diffusion and dilution of pollutants. On the night of February 10th, the heavy pollution turned into moderate pollution. At noon on February 11th (Fig. 9), the pollutants gradually dissipated. Average AQI < 100, ρ(PM2.5) < 70 μg·m−3 and ρ(NO2) < 20 μg·m−3. The ground isobars were dense, high pressure gradient and wind speeds occurred, and the meteorological conditions improved. In this case, weather conditions favored the diffusion of pollutants (Fig. 11d). On February 12th (Fig. 9), the weather conditions improved with AQI < 55. During this period, southwesterly and northerly winds prevailed. The overall wind speed increased, atmospheric diffusion conditions improved and the pollution process ended. In the whole pollution process, the average concentration fluctuation of NO2 was lower than that of PM2.5, indicating that the response sensitivity of secondary pollutant PM2.5 to artificial emission reduction was relatively weak compared with primary pollutant NO2, with a certain lag.
Analysis of meteorological causes of pollution process
The primary pollutant in the P1 pollution process was PM2.5. The simulation results of WRF-Chem were used to reproduce the process of aggregation, dissipation and re-aggregation of PM2.5.
Figure 12 shows that on January 9th, the wind speed in Shenyang was mostly 2 m/s, the humidity near the ground was relatively high, and the west-southwest wind prevailed. The concentration of particulate matter discharged in the Bohai Sea was relatively high, and the terrain with high east and low west promotes the accumulation of pollutants carried by trajectories in the northwest and southwest directions on the bottom of the mountain. From the 850 hpa high-altitude map, it could be seen that the high-altitude wind speed was less than 6 m/s. The Shenyang area was located behind the front ridge of the trough, and the ground had a strong compound effect. There was a ground inversion layer near the ground, which reduced the vertical atmospheric mixing rate, and pollutants were prone to accumulation under such weather conditions.
On the 10th (Fig. 13), the concentration of pollutants maintained a relatively large value. The surface weather system in Shenyang was dominated by low pressure, the surface temperature was about 4 °C, and the relative humidity was low (40%). In the high-altitude 850hpa weather map, the high-altitude wind speed was small, the thickness of the ground inversion layer increased, and the pollutants concentration continued to rise. Lower wind speed and higher humidity (50%-60%) provided conditions for the formation of secondary particulate matter, which was conducive to the secondary generation of pollutants, resulting in a further decline in air quality.
On the 11th (Fig. 14), the weather conditions improved and the temperature increased. The Shenyang area was controlled by the southerly and southwesterly winds, the surface wind speed was small (2 m/s), and the relative humidity decreased by about 30%, reducing the speed of the secondary reaction. In the 850 hpa high-altitude map, the wind speed was southwesterly. The Shenyang area was located in the cold advection control of the high-altitude trough. The atmospheric vertical convection was strong and the disturbance was good, which made the pollutants diluted and diffused and the concentration reduced.
Based on the analysis, the pollution occurred under the weather conditions of high pressure, high humidity, low wind speed and inversion near the ground. There was warm advection at high altitude, and the influence of warm advection would also lead to the decline of air quality. In addition, when the ground was located at the rear of the high-pressure system and the front of the low-pressure system, the southerly wind prevailed on the ground, which could also lead to the aggravation of regional pollution under the influence of the southwest wind.
Table 6 is the comparative analysis of pollutant simulation data and detection data. As data showed, the simulated values were relatively larger than the observed values. MFB and MFE were 21.7% and 65.4%, respectively, which were within the ideal range of simulation (MFB ≤ ± 60% and MFE ≤ ± 75%). The error obtained in the simulation was caused by a variety of conditions. Herein, the background error in the WRF-Chen model and the spatial uncertainty in the emission inventory added to this error. In general, the simulation results were able to reproduce the levels of air contaminants during the pollution period.
Influence of external airflow on pollutant concentration
As shown in Fig. 15a, the typical pollution process P1 clustered the airflow trajectories into 4 categories at a height of 100 m. The most important route corresponded to trajectory 2 (40.91%), which came from Russia to the northeast region of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region and later to the Liaoning Province. Trajectory 4 (27.27%) was the second most important route corresponding to the short-range transport in the direction of the Bohai Sea. Finally, trajectory 1 (15.91%) came from Russia and traveled to Liaoning Province via central Heilongjiang and central Jilin. Trajectory 3 (15.91%) also entered from Russian to Liaoning Province via northwestern Heilongjiang and northeastern Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.
Later, we combined and analyzed the PSCF (Fig. 15b) and CWT results (Fig. 5c). According to the method of reference (Lei et al., 2020), WPSCF > 0.5 μg·m−3, WCWT > 120 μg·m−3 were defined as the main contributing regions. The results showed that WPSCF and WCWT were in good agreement. Data indicated that the P1 pollution process was mainly concentrated in the central Liaoning urban agglomeration around Shenyang and several coastal cities including Dalian, Anshan, Liaoyang, and Dandong, among others. In addition, sporadic contributions came from North Korea. These data showed that, in addition to strengthening local pollution prevention and control while resuming work and production activities, control measures should also be applied to surrounding areas.
Conclusions
During the blockade period in 2020, the concentration of pollutants significantly increased as compared with the same period in the past 5 years. During the normal period, pollutants concentrations (PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and O3) increased by 32.6%,13.2%, 4.65% and 22.7%, respectively. During the blockade period, concentrations decreased by 35.79%, 35.87%, 32.45% and -4.84% correspondingly. During the resumption period, concentrations increased by 21.8%, 8.7%,5.7% and -6.3%. During the normal and resumption periods, PM2.5 exceeded the standard value 21 d and 9 d, respectively. With respect to the blockade period, the days exceeding the standard were 8 d.
Pollutants concentrations in various functional areas in Shenyang varied to different degrees. During the normal period, the largest change in pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3) was the western area, and concentration increased by 54.24 μg·m−3, 49.79 μg·m−3, 12.27 μg·m−3, and 0.12 μg·m−3. During the blockade period, the central area changed most obviously, with the concentrations decreasing by 23.94 μg·m−3, 42.54 μg·m−3, 19.65 μg·m−3 and -5.52 μg·m−3, respectively. During the resumption period, western area changed significantly, with pollutant concentrations increasing by 23.03 μg·m−3, 35.63 μg·m−3, 10.59 μg·m−3 and -13.22 respectively.
Compared with the same period in the past 5a, the meteorological conditions in 2020 had not changed much. Compared with the same period in previous years, the meteorological conditions in April were relatively unfavorable for photochemical reactions, and O3 levels decreased.
During the blockade period, when adverse meteorological conditions occurred, heavy pollution weather would still occur, but the emission reduction had a significant reduction effect on the peak concentration of heavy pollution process. During the blockade, four PM2.5 pollution incidents occurred, one of which showed heavy pollution characteristics. The occurrence of heavy pollution was mainly caused by meteorological conditions. The Shenyang has been exposed to high temperatures (average temperature > 10 ℃), high humidity (40%–60%), and quiet breeze (2 m·s−1) conditions for a long time, and the overall weather did not favor removal and diffusion of pollutants. The backward trajectory showed that the potential source areas of this heavy pollution were concentrated in the urban agglomeration of central Liaoning around Shenyang, and sporadic contributions came from North Korea.
Based on the changes of pollutants, it has brought some inspiration for air pollution control. First, Shenyang is affected by the transmission of pollutants in the southwest and northeast channels, so it is necessary to further strengthen regional control. Second, the current air pollution has obvious complex characteristics, so the next step should be to accurately and quantitatively analyze the sources of pollutants on different spatial scales such as city-region-nation, and scientifically guide the coordinated emission reduction of multiple pollutants.
Data availability statement
The data used to support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.
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The research was financially funded by Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 2017ZA54001).
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Yunfeng Ma and Huijie Zhao designed the experiments. Huijie Zhao and Xiangnan Wei performed the experiments, analyzed the results and wrote the paper.
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Ma, Y., Zhao, H. & Wei, X. Changes of air pollutants and simulation of a heavy pollution process during COVID-19 in Shenyang. Environ Monit Assess 194, 723 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-10359-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-10359-3