Abstract
The Great Ruaha River Catchment (GRC) in Tanzania is facing severe water scarcity due to the growing number of water users in the catchment. The surface-water resources are under stress, leading to increasing dependence on groundwater for water supply. This study aimed to identify and map groundwater potential areas in the GRC using a geographic information system (GIS), remote sensing techniques, and analytic hierarchy process multi-criteria decision analysis (AHP MCDA) tools. The thematic maps representing lithology, lineaments density, precipitation, soil, slope, drainage density, geomorphology, and land use were used to create a groundwater potential zones (GWPZ) map by weighted linear combination (WCL). The results showed that 70% (~60,044 km2) of the catchment area is in zones with moderate groundwater potential, 21.9% (~18,720 km2) in high groundwater potential zones, and 7.87% (~6,726 km2) in low groundwater potential zones. These results highlight the catchment’s overall groundwater potential and identify areas with scarce resources that should be prioritized for protective measures. Watershed managers and policymakers can use this information to make informed decisions on groundwater use and protection, and determine suitable areas for new wells that may have greater yield.
Résumé
Le bassin versant du Grand Ruaha (GRC) en Tanzanie est confronté à une grave pénurie d’eau en raison du nombre croissant d’utilisateurs d’eau dans le bassin versant. Les ressources en eau de surface sont soumises à des contraintes, ce qui entraîne une dépendance croissante à l’égard des eaux souterraines pour l’approvisionnement en eau. Cette étude a pour but d’identifier et de cartographier les zones potentielles d’eaux souterraines dans la région de GRC à l’aide d’un système d’information géographique (SIG), de techniques de télédétection et d’outils d’analyse décisionnelle multicritères par processus analytique hiérarchique (AHP MCDA). Les cartes thématiques représentant la lithologie, la densité des linéaments, les précipitations, le sol, la pente, la densité de drainage, la géomorphologie et l’occupation des sols ont été utilisées pour créer une carte des zones potentielles d’eau souterraine (ZPES) par combinaison linéaire pondérée (CLP). Les résultats montrent que 70% (~60,044 km2) du bassin versant se trouvent dans des zones à potentiel modéré pour les eaux souterraines, 21.9 % (~18,720 km2) dans des zones à potentiel élevé pour les eaux souterraines et 7.87% (~6,726 km2) dans des zones à faible potentiel pour les eaux souterraines. Ces résultats mettent en évidence le potentiel des eaux souterraines de l’ensemble du bassin versant et identifient les zones où les ressources sont rares et qui devraient faire l’objet de mesures de protection prioritaires. Les gestionnaires des bassins versants et les responsables des politiques de l’eau peuvent utiliser ces informations pour prendre des décisions éclairées sur l’utilisation et la protection des eaux souterraines, et déterminer les zones appropriées pour de nouveaux puits susceptibles d’avoir un meilleur rendement.
Resumen
La cuenca del Gran Ruaha (GRC), en Tanzania, se enfrenta a una grave escasez de agua debido al creciente número de usuarios. Los recursos hídricos superficiales se encuentran bajo presión, lo que hace que se dependa cada vez más de las aguas subterráneas para el abastecimiento de agua. El objetivo de este estudio era identificar y cartografiar las zonas con potencial de aguas subterráneas en la GRC utilizando un sistema de información geográfica (SIG), técnicas de teledetección y herramientas de análisis de decisiones multicriterio (AHP MCDA). Los mapas temáticos que representan la litología, la densidad de lineamientos, la precipitación, el suelo, la pendiente, la densidad de drenaje, la geomorfología y el uso del suelo se utilizaron para crear un mapa de zonas de potencial de aguas subterráneas (GWPZ) mediante combinación lineal ponderada (WCL). Los resultados mostraron que el 70% (~60,044 km2) de la cuenca se encuentra en zonas con un potencial moderado de aguas subterráneas, el 21.9% (~18,720 km2) en zonas de alto potencial de aguas subterráneas y el 7.87% (~6,726 km2) en zonas de bajo potencial de aguas subterráneas. Estos resultados ponen de relieve el potencial global de aguas subterráneas de la cuenca e identifican las zonas con escasos recursos a las que debería darse prioridad para la adopción de medidas de protección. Los gestores de las cuencas y los responsables políticos pueden utilizar esta información para tomar decisiones informadas sobre el uso y la protección de las aguas subterráneas, y determinar las zonas adecuadas para nuevos pozos que puedan tener un mayor rendimiento.
摘要
坦桑尼亚的大Ruaha流域(GRC)面临严重的水资源短缺问题, 这是由于该流域用水户数量不断增加导致的。地表水资源面临压力, 因此地下水供水的依赖程度不断增加。本研究旨在利用地理信息系统(GIS)、遥感技术和层次分析多准则决策分析(AHP MCDA)工具, 识别和绘制GRC的地下水潜力区域。主题图包括岩性、线状构造密度、降水、土壤、坡度、排水密度、地貌和土地利用, 被用来通过加权线性组合(WCL)创建地下水潜力区域(GWPZ)图。研究结果显示, 该流域70%(约60,044 km2)的面积处于具有中等地下水潜力的区域, 21.9%(约18,720 km2)位于高地下水潜力区域, 而7.87%(约6,726 km2)则位于低地下水潜力区域。这些结果突显了该流域的整体地下水潜力, 并确定了资源紧缺的区域, 应该优先考虑采取保护措施。流域管理者和决策者可以利用这些信息做出关于地下水利用和保护的明智决策, 并确定适合新井的区域, 这可能有具有更大可采资源量。
Resumo
A Grande Bacia Hidrográfica do Ruaha (GBR) na Tanzânia enfrenta uma grave escassez de água devido ao número crescente de utilizadores de água na bacia hidrográfica. Os recursos hídricos superficiais estão sob pressão, levando a uma dependência crescente das águas subterrâneas para o abastecimento de água. Este estudo teve como objetivo identificar e mapear áreas potenciais de água subterrânea no GBR usando um sistema de informação geográfica (SIG), técnicas de sensoriamento remoto e ferramentas de análise de decisão multicritério de processo de hierarquia analítica (AHP MCDA). Os mapas temáticos representando litologia, densidade de lineamentos, precipitação, solo, declividade, densidade de drenagem, geomorfologia e uso do solo foram utilizados para criar um mapa de zonas potenciais de águas subterrâneas (ZPAS) por combinação linear ponderada (WCL). Os resultados mostraram que 70% (~60,044 km2) da área de captação está em zonas com potencial moderado de águas subterrâneas, 21.9% (~18,720 km2) em zonas de alto potencial de águas subterrâneas e 7.87% (~6,726 km2) em zonas de baixo potencial de águas subterrâneas. Estes resultados destacam o potencial global das águas subterrâneas da bacia hidrográfica e identificam áreas com recursos escassos que devem ser priorizadas para medidas de proteção. Os gestores de bacias hidrográficas e os decisores políticos podem utilizar esta informação para tomar decisões informadas sobre a utilização e proteção das águas subterrâneas e determinar áreas adequadas para novos poços que possam ter maior rendimento.
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Introduction
Groundwater, being the largest reservoir of freshwater beneath the earth’s surface, has a crucial role in the hydrological cycle and is of paramount importance in maintaining water balance on the earth’s surface (Gleeson et al. 2016). Groundwater occurs in aquifers, which are layers of rock and soil that hold and transmit water (Alramthi et al. 2022). Groundwater is replenished via the recharge process, which happens naturally through precipitation and surface-water infiltration or artificially through the injection of surface water or the construction of recharge wells (Ajami 2021; Lentswe and Molwalefhe 2020). The recharge process guarantees supply of groundwater, which in itself, however, may contain contaminants and impurities (Böhlke 2002; Li et al. 2021). Studying recharge water quality is an essential aspect of groundwater management and for safeguarding the health and quality of aquifers, as well as for ensuring a sustainable supply of this vital resource for future generations (Alramthi et al. 2022). However, in semiarid regions, the amount of water available for recharge is very spatially variable (Saiz-Rodríguez et al. 2019). Some areas may experience heavy precipitation and have more water available for recharge, while others may experience prolonged periods of drought and have limited water available for recharge (Attia and Hamed 2018; Hamed et al. 2018). This variability can create challenges in managing water resources and maintaining a sustainable water supply. Climate change is also expected to increase the frequency and severity of droughts in semiarid regions (Thomas et al. 2016), which can further limit the water available for aquifer recharge and exacerbate the challenges of managing water resources in these regions (FAO 2011). Land use and land-cover change can also impact groundwater recharge, as deforestation, urbanization, and other alterations in land use can result in increased runoff and decreased water infiltration, hindering recharge of aquifers (Alley 2009).
Groundwater serves as a crucial water source for humans, ecosystems, and agricultural production in areas where surface water is scarce or unreliable (Lentswe and Molwalefhe 2020; Mussa et al. 2020). It also provides a reliable water source for irrigation to supplement surface water during dry periods to ensure a consistent water supply to crops. According to recent estimates, worldwide groundwater depletion is ~545 km3/year (Makonyo and Msabi 2021; Mussa et al. 2020). This trend is a cause for alarm, as it signals that humans are extracting and using more groundwater than is being replenished by natural processes. Generally, groundwater is a finite resource, vulnerable to overuse and pollution, thus communities and agricultural operations must manage it responsibly through monitoring, conservation, and sustainable practices.
The Great Ruaha River Catchment in Tanzania is experiencing severe water scarcity problems due to the large number of water users in the catchment. Since 1993, the Great Ruaha River has been experiencing river drying and extended dry seasons (England 2019; Gervas et al. 2019; McCartney 2008). Due to the catchment’s large number of water users, surface-water resources have proven insufficient (URT 2015a). With the rising scarcity of surface water, groundwater has become a critical water source for society, industries, and agriculture; however, information regarding availability and characteristics of this resource in the catchment is limited (Kashaigili 2010). The lack of information needed to conduct comprehensive studies on groundwater resources makes it challenging for water managers and policymakers to make informed decisions about using and protecting this valuable resource, thus necessitating the use of other techniques—such as combined remote sensing (RS) and ground data—to gain a better understanding of the resource.
Groundwater resources assessment is a complex process requiring various techniques and tools to identify and evaluate the resources accurately. There are a variety of methods that are commonly employed in the assessment of groundwater resources, with one approach being the use of traditional techniques, such as geophysical surveys (Kumar and Srinivasan 2016). However, they can be costly and time-consuming and may not provide detailed water quality or quantity information.
Probabilistic models can estimate the likelihood of finding groundwater in a given area based on lithology, topography, and climate (Bailey et al. 2020; Gonzalez et al. 2020). Also, the use of geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing techniques, in combination with multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) tools, such as the analytical hierarchical process (AHP) and fuzzy-AHP (Al-Djazouli et al. 2020; Radulović et al. 2022; Saaty 1994), has recently been featured prominently in groundwater studies. Integrating remote sensing, GIS, and digital image processing, along with multi-criteria analysis, has allowed scientists to map and analyze the surface features of an area to identify more accurately areas with groundwater potential. Combining thematic data, including lithology, topography, vegetation, soil characteristics, lineaments, and land covers, has made it possible to achieve the desired results; however, integrating ground-observed data into traditional GIS models improves the outcomes (Adeyeye et al. 2019). This has been particularly useful for groundwater studies in semiarid and data-scarce regions of sub-Saharan Africa, like the Great Ruaha River Catchment, where other techniques may not be feasible (Arulbalaji et al. 2019).
This research aims to utilize GIS and remote sensing techniques, as well as AHP MCDA tools, to identify and map areas within the Great Ruaha River Catchment with a high groundwater potential. Thus, the main objective of this study is to provide water managers and policymakers with appropriate, comprehensive and in-depth information about the catchment. Given the absence of prior investigations on groundwater potential in the Great Ruaha River Catchment using the techniques employed in this analysis, this study stands to provide valuable insights on the identification of optimal locations for new wells, which, in turn, can enhance the efficiency and yield of extant wells. Furthermore, the present research endeavor seeks to pinpoint areas with particularly scarce groundwater resources that should be prioritized for protection.
Description of the case study area
The Great Ruaha River Catchment, located in southwestern Tanzania, is a large catchment with an area of 85,556 km2, making up 46.5% of the Rufiji Basin. It is situated between latitudes –5.4° and 9.45°S and longitudes 33.35° and 37.85°E (Fig. 1). It has an elevation range of 101 meters above sea level (m asl) downstream to 2961 m asl in the Poroto Mountains. The area has a tropical climate, with a mean annual rainfall of around 400–1,200 mm (Table 1).
The Great Ruaha River Catchment is an intricate and significant water system that underpins a wide variety of water users, including farmers, herders, fisheries, and wildlife. This catchment supplies water resources to numerous small and large-scale farms in the upstream part of the Usangu Plains, which depend on surface water for irrigation. It is home to several protected areas, such as the Ruaha National Park, one of Tanzania’s largest national parks and a vital habitat for many wildlife species, including elephants, lions, leopards, wild dogs, and more than 400 bird species. Additionally, the Usangu and Ihefu wetlands, located in the middle of the catchment, are crucial habitats for water birds, fish, and other aquatic species, as well as being a significant source of fish and other resources for local people. The surface water in the catchment is indispensable for preserving the park’s ecosystems. Moreover, the catchment is home to hydropower producers, like Mtera, Kidatu and the freshly constructed Julius Nyerere Hydropower Project, which are situated in the downstream part of the catchment and present an essential source of electricity.
In addition to surface-water resources, the Great Ruaha River Catchment possesses ~442.3 billion cubic meters (BMC) of groundwater resources (URT 2015b). The annual water demand is projected to be an estimated 3.8 BMC by year 2025 (URT 2015a).
Methods
In this study, the analytical hierarchical process (AHP) was employed to delineate the groundwater potential zone of the Great Ruaha River Catchment. Eight thematic maps, including lithology, lineaments density, precipitation, soil, slope, drainage density, geomorphology, and land use/cover were preprocessed using ArcMap10.5 software to ensure their compatibility in extent, spatial resolution, and spatial references. The input data and complete workflow are illustrated in Fig. 2.
Thematic map preprocessing
Lithology
The properties and hydraulic features of surface geology play a crucial role in shaping groundwater replenishment in arid regions (Jaiswal et al. 2003; Zarate et al. 2021). The geological attributes within a specific area have a direct impact on the presence and accessibility of groundwater, affecting the entire recharge process (Uc Castillo et al. 2022). The geological layers of the study area were transformed into digital format using data from the published lithology map (Fig. 3), which was sourced from the Rufiji Basin’s Integrated Water Resources Management Development Plan (IWRMDP) groundwater assessment (URT 2015b). To ensure consistency in the layers, the thematic map was converted to a 30-m raster format prior to the weight and rank assignment process.
The geology of the catchment in the south and northern part is characterized by granulite and fine-grained clastic sediment, while metasedimentary rocks are predominant in the downstream area (Fig. 4a). Sandy and gravelly geologies are found in the northernmost part and the middle of the catchment. Granulite with materials such as sand is highly porous and forms aquifers which could serve as potential groundwater sources. Conversely, the most downstream part of the catchment is dominated by nonporous geological features—such as meta-igneous, meta-sedimentary rocks, clastic and coal sediments, granitoids, mafic and ultramafic rocks, meta-sediments, and gneiss—which could lead to low groundwater storage.
Lineament density
Lineaments are linear or nearly straight geological features that influence the subsurface permeability and are widespread across the Earth’s surface (Ni et al. 2016; Suganthi et al. 2013). The lineaments can encompass various elements including faults, fractures, or joints with inherent permeability and porosity characteristics (Masoud et al. 2022; Pradhan 2009; Pradhan and Youssef 2010; Rajaveni et al. 2017). These features have a significant impact on the process of surface runoff infiltrating into the subsurface and are crucial for the storage and movement of groundwater. Lineaments serve as conduits for water infiltration into the subsurface, playing a vital role in the dynamics of groundwater storage and movement (Gupta and Singhal 2010; Subba Rao et al. 2001). In this study, lineaments were extracted from a 15-m panchromatic band of Landsat 8 imagery through automatic lineament extraction method. The latter was combined with the digitized faults from the published geological map (Fig. 3) to create an ensemble of ground and RS data. The lineament density (Ld, km–1) was determined by calculating the total length of all recorded lineaments and dividing it by the area within the study area, as represented by Eq. (1) (Edet et al. 1998; Rahmati et al. 2015). Subsequently, a lineament density map was generated using the “Line Density” tool in ArcGIS 10.8.
where ΣLi represents the cumulative length of all lineaments (in kilometers) within the grid i, and A denotes the area of the grid (in square kilometers).
Notably, areas with high lineament density (>0.2 km/km2) were predominantly observed in the central and downstream regions of the catchment (Fig. 4b).
Geomorphology
The geomorphology of an area provides essential insights into the characteristics and origin of its landforms, a manifestation intricately linked to the structural development of its geological composition (Gupta 2003; Rajaveni et al. 2017). It encompasses both erosional and depositional landforms, which has a significant influence on the rate at which precipitation infiltrates the soil, ultimately dictating groundwater recharge, subsurface movement, and storage at any given location (Kumar et al. 2016; Thomas et al. 2009). Furthermore, the shape of landforms can dictate the path of runoff, affecting the volume of water that permeates the soil (Elubid et al. 2020). In this investigation, the delineation of geomorphic features was achieved through the visual interpretation of digitally enhanced images, complemented by geomorphological data sourced from the Rufiji Basin Annual Hydrological Report (URT 2020), in conjunction with elevation and slope data classifications. Within the study area, four principal geomorphological units were identified, as depicted in Fig. 4c. The pediment geomorphology was identified in the Usangu plains and certain portions of the protected areas located in the northern segment of the catchment. Hilly formations were noted in the upstream region of the catchment as well as the downstream vicinity near Kidatu Dam. Additionally, other formations, such as platforms, were prevalent in most of the northern part of the catchment, while alluvial plains were observed in areas characterized by relatively gentle slopes in proximity to Mtera Dam.
Rainfall
Rainfall, as the primary source of recharge, significantly influences the availability of water for percolation into the groundwater system, making it a crucial hydrologic element in this study. It also significantly influences groundwater potential and the efficiency of MCDA (Adiat et al. 2012) and it has been noted that areas with higher precipitation rates tend to have more significant recharge rates, as the water can more easily infiltrate through the soil and reach the groundwater (Thomas et al. 2016). The precipitation thematic map was created from 15 stations (Table 1) using an inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation method to generate the spatially distributed mean annual precipitation. The map showed that the mountainous areas upstream of the catchment have significantly higher precipitation amounting to a mean annual average of >900 mm compared to the northern areas, with mean annual precipitation values ranging from 400 to 700 mm (Fig. 4d).
Soil
The importance of soil in delineating the groundwater potential zones is undeniable (Kumar et al. 2016). Rukundo and Doğan (2019) note that soils such as sands and gravels allow for increased water infiltration into the subsurface and a higher groundwater recharge rate. Conversely, less porous soils like clay can impede infiltration and reduce groundwater recharge levels; furthermore, clay layers in the subsurface can act as a barrier to groundwater recharge. The soil types in the catchment were extracted from the FAO Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) shapefile (FAO and IIASA 2023) and used to create a soil thematic map. It was found that ~60% of the catchment is predominantly comprised of sandy clay loam and sandy clay, with clay and sandy clay populating the middle of the catchment, particularly in the Usangu Plains (Fig. 4e).
Drainage density
Drainage density, defined as the ratio of total watercourse length to the surface area of the basin, is a fundamental concept in hydrogeology (Adiat et al. 2012; Horton 1955, 1932; Jaiswal et al. 2003; Mogaji et al. 2015). This parameter plays a crucial role in groundwater occurrence, with a well-established inverse relationship: high drainage density is associated with reduced infiltration, while low density promotes higher infiltration rates (Horton 1945; Magesh et al. 2012; Saranya and Saravanan 2020). It is important to recognize that the drainage pattern is influenced by a multitude of factors, including slope gradient, soil absorption capacity, rainfall patterns, vegetation cover, climate, topography, and subsurface characteristics (Gao et al. 2022; Manap et al. 2013). As a consequence of these dynamics, areas with low drainage density are deemed conducive for groundwater development (Kumar et al. 2007; Magesh et al. 2012; Rahmati et al. 2015). In this study, the drainage pattern in the catchment was delineated from the European Space Agency Copernicus Global Digital Elevation Model (European Space Agency and Sinergise 2021) of 30-m resolution. The delineated stream patterns were used to generate the drainage density (Dd, km–1) maps using “Line Density” tool in the spatial analyst tool of ArcGIS 10.8 software, using Eq. (2).
where ΣDi represents the cumulative length of all streams within the grid i (measured in kilometers), while A denotes the area of the grid (measured in square kilometers). Figure 4f, shows that high drainage density (>3 km/km2) areas are predominantly in the upstream and middle of the catchment.
Land use/cover
Land cover influences the rate of infiltration, impacting how quickly water penetrates the soil and reaches the groundwater (Elubid et al. 2020; Pandey and Purohit 2022). Areas with more vegetation such as forests or grasslands, tend to have higher infiltration rates than highly urbanized land or areas covered in asphalt (Kumar et al. 2016). In this analysis the land use/cover in the catchment were extracted from Landsat 8 OLI and TIRS satellite imagery of 2020 using the maximum likelihood algorithm for classification in ERDAS 15 software. The accuracy assessment report yielded an overall kappa coefficient of 86%.
Results from the study indicate that the catchment is dominated by woodland, bushland and grassland, particularly in protected areas and downstream of the catchment. Furthermore, the Usangu Plains and northern parts of the catchment were identified as being predominantly cultivated (Fig. 4g).
Slope
The slope serves as a surface indicator for identifying groundwater conditions (Al Saud 2010; Ettazarini 2007). The recharge process is inversely influenced by the slope (Adiat et al. 2012). Steeper slopes result in increased runoff and reduced infiltration, whereas flatter areas typically exhibit slower infiltration rates (Maqsoom et al. 2022; Sapkota et al. 2021). The slope map for the study area (Fig. 4h) was created using the European Space Agency Copernicus Global Digital Elevation Model with a 30-m resolution using ArcGIS 10.8 software. The study area was found to consist of flat slopes, covering the Usangu Plains and specific sections of the protected areas in the northern part of the catchment. Rolling slopes were identified in the uppermost region of the catchment and the downstream area near Kidatu Dam (Fig. 4h).
Delineation of groundwater potential zones
This study utilized eight thematic maps to analyze the potential of groundwater occurrence. The maps included lithology, lineament density, precipitation, soil, slope, drainage density, geomorphology, and land use, which have all been previously identified to influence groundwater (Dar et al. 2020; Elubid et al. 2020; Makonyo and Msabi 2021; Uc Castillo et al. 2022). The weighting and ranking of thematic map categories were based on prior research criteria as described by Kumar et al. (2016), Uc Castillo et al. (2022), Al-Djazouli et al. (2020) and Arulbalaji et al. (2019). All variables with significant influence on groundwater were given high weights. Low weights were assigned to variables that had little impact on groundwater potential. The values in the thematic maps were grouped into five categories—very low, low, moderate, high, and very high (Table 2)—and were assigned weights based on a scale ranging from 1 to 9 to indicate their relative significance in determining the groundwater potential (Makonyo and Msabi 2021).
Normalization of weights
The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was employed to assign weights to the thematic layers. The pairwise comparison matrix by Saaty (2002) was used to establish these weights on a scale from 1 to 9, with 9 indicating extreme importance and 1 denoting equal importance. Each thematic layer underwent pairwise comparisons against all the others, adhering to Saaty’s method. To ensure a realistic analysis, Saaty (2002) recommends a consistency ratio (CR) falling within the range of 0.1–0. In this investigation, the consistency ratio was computed with the assistance of the extAHP 2.0 ArcGIS add-in. The following equation is used to calculate the CR.
where RI represents the random consistency index, and CI denotes the consistency index, which can be mathematically expressed as follows:
where λ signifies the principal eigenvalue of the matrix and can be readily computed based on the matrix itself, while n denotes the number of thematic layers.
The AHP method utilizes pairwise comparisons of all thematic layers as input, generating relative weights for thematic layers as output (Table 3). The ultimate weightings are normalized eigenvector values linked to the highest eigenvalues of the ratio matrix (Adiat et al. 2012; Jha et al. 2010; Rahmati et al. 2015). The pair-wise comparison matrix (Table 3) yielded a consistency ratio of 0.00, which is the perfect score according to (Malczewski 1999; Saaty 1980).
Weighted linear combination (WLC) of thematic layers
The groundwater potential index was obtained by integrating all thematic maps (Fig. 5) by weighted linear combination (WLC) using Eq. (5)
Where GWPI = groundwater potential index, Wi is the scored weight of each map, and Ri is a thematic map with scored subclasses.
Results
Groundwater potential zones
The generated groundwater potential zones were classified into five categories labeled: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high, with class ranges described in Table 4. However, based on the values obtained in the generated GWPI, only three classes (low, moderate, and high) were obtained (Fig. 6).
The groundwater potential index (GWPI) revealed that 70.23% (60,044.92 km2) of the catchment was found to be in moderate groundwater potential zones, which were observed primarily in the northern part of the catchment in the Ruaha National Parks and in the southwest area of the catchment where there is a high prevalence of irrigation activities. The high groundwater potential zones, making up 21.9% (18,720.2 km2) of the catchment, were mostly found in the middle and downstream parts of the catchment, particularly in the Usangu wetlands and in the areas close to the Mtera and Kidatu dams, respectively. Low groundwater potential zones, on the other hand, were determined to account for 7.87% (6,726.41 km2) of the catchment and were randomly dispersed throughout the catchment.
Validation
The validation of the GWPI entailed the use of interpolated borehole yield data sourced from a dataset encompassing 345 boreholes situated both within and in the vicinity of the catchment area. The steady borehole yields were interpolated using the Kriging method in the ArcMap software. The resulting map was then categorized into five classes (as illustrated in Fig. 7 and detailed in Table 5) to align with the GWPI classification scheme.
The agreement between the borehole yield map and GWPI was assessed using the kappa index of agreement and coefficient of determination (R2). Approximately 500 accuracy assessment points (Fig. 8a) were randomly generated on the regions with concentrated and well distributed boreholes (Fig. 8b). These points were created using the “Create Accuracy Assessment” tool in ArcMap 10.8. Subsequently, the overall kappa agreement index was calculated using the Confusion Matrix tool in ArcMap 10.8. Lastly, the coefficient of determination (R2) was calculated in R v4.3.2.
The evaluation revealed a robust correlation between groundwater potential zones and interpolated borehole yields, boasting a 0.68 kappa index of agreement and 0.64 coefficient of determination (R2). Given the scarcity of boreholes in the area, the suitability map was crafted by intersecting the GWPI and borehole yield maps, as illustrated in Fig. 9.
The visual interpretation of the suitability map showed a strong agreement with the GWPI map; however, there is a minor discrepancy in the central region of the catchment where the GWPI indicated a high potential, but the suitability map indicated the ‘not suitable’ category. This incongruity can be attributed to several factors, including uncertainties in the remotely sensed data, the methodology applied, and the absence of borehole data in these regions.
The analysis of the coverage areas for each category, as outlined in Table 6, indicated a noteworthy concurrence between the generated groundwater potential zone map and the interpolated borehole yield map. This alignment is particularly evident in the areas characterized by low, moderate, and high groundwater potential.
Discussion
The GWPI map revealed that a significant portion of the catchment has moderate to high groundwater potential zones, making it suitable for various economic activities such as agriculture. The study found that 70.23% of the catchment falls in moderate groundwater potential zones, primarily in the northern part of the catchment in the Ruaha National Parks and in the southern-west area with a high prevalence of irrigation activities. The high groundwater potential zones, comprising 21.9% of the catchment, were mostly found in the middle and downstream parts of the catchment, particularly in the Usangu wetlands and in the areas close to the Mtera and Kidatu dams, respectively.
The low groundwater potential zones, accounting for 7.87% of the catchment, were randomly dispersed throughout the catchment and were associated with steeply sloped terrains, which cause increased runoff velocity and reduced infiltration. These findings are consistent with other studies by Adeyeye et al. (2019), and Indhulekha et al. (2019), which noted that steeply sloped terrains have low groundwater potential.
The GWPI map also showed that areas with geomorphological features, such as alluvial plains and pediments, have moderate to high groundwater potential, which is consistent with the findings of other studies by Indhulekha et al. (2019), and Makonyo and Msabi (2021). Drainage density was also found to have an impact on groundwater potential, with areas of high drainage density having lower groundwater potential, and vice versa, as noted by Al-Djazouli et al. (2020) and Dar et al. (2020). This was observed in the upstream regions of the catchment, where low-to-moderate groundwater potential was found due to the high drainage density, which drains off most of the surface runoff and hinders infiltration.
Lineament density, geological composition, and rainfall levels were also observed to have an impact on groundwater potential. Areas with high lineament density, particularly in the middle and downstream parts of the catchment, have high groundwater potential. This was also noted by Arulbalaji et al. (2019). The areas with sandy and gravelly geological features in the northern part of the catchment and granulite geological features in the middle part of the catchment were noted to have the high groundwater potential same as noted by Adeyeye et al. (2019). This is because granulite has varyied permeability and porosity, and the presence of fractures or sand and gravel materials facilitates making it a productive aquifer.
Also, higher rainfall intensity contributes to higher infiltration and thus higher groundwater potential, which was observed mainly in the middle and downstream regions of the catchment. Soil type and land use/cover have a role to play in the surface runoff infiltration (Shaban et al. 2006) but no direct major impact was observed on the generated GWPI map in the present study. This stems from the prevalence of factors that hold more weight. Generally, the catchment has good groundwater potential, and it was observed that the high groundwater and moderate potential zones were found in areas with gentle slopes which are suitable for economic activities such as agriculture.
These findings are very important in determining the most appropriate locations to construct new wells and in improving the efficiency and yield of the existing wells. Additionally, it highlights those areas with particularly scarce groundwater resources which should be prioritized for protection. This research showcases the value of combining remote sensing and ground data to gain a more comprehensive understanding of groundwater resources.
Conclusions
This research aimed to map the potential groundwater zones in the Great Ruaha River Catchment by utilizing GIS, remote sensing, and AHP MCDA tools to provide information to support informed decision-making by water managers and policymakers. Results of the study indicate that 70.23% of the catchment is in moderate groundwater potential zones, while high groundwater potential zones make up 21.9% and low groundwater potential zones make up 7.87%. These findings are significant as they provide a detailed picture of the groundwater resources within the catchment, including areas with high potential for new wells and areas that require protection due to their scarce groundwater resources. This knowledge can be employed to make prudent decisions on the use and protection of this valuable resource, improving the efficiency and yield of existing wells, and ensuring sustainable water management practices. However, the investigation employed data from diverse sources and with multiple resolutions, potentially affecting the computed statistics. Therefore, it is imperative to exercise prudence in the interpretation of the results. Also, the limited information on groundwater presents a significant challenge in determining its sustainability for future use. The lack of understanding regarding the amount of groundwater available, the rate of depletion, and the effects of factors such as climate change and land use, make it difficult to assess the long-term viability of current use patterns. Hence, there is a need for further studies to gain a deeper understanding of groundwater storage and characteristics, groundwater/surface-water interaction, and the impact of climate change on groundwater recharge. Additionally, it is recommended to implement monitoring and management strategies, such as increasing water storage capacity, improving water conservation and efficiency, and promoting land use practices that support aquifer recharge.
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This work is supported by the United Kingdom Research and Innovation Global Research Challenges Fund (UKRI GCRF) [Grant number: ES/T015330/1] for the African Research Universities Alliance Water Centre of Excellence (ARUA Water CoE).
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Twaha, R., Nobert, J., Alexander, A.C. et al. Delineating groundwater potential zones with GIS and analytic hierarchy process techniques: the case of Great Ruaha River catchment, Tanzania. Hydrogeol J 32, 785–799 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-024-02769-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-024-02769-z