Abstract
Purpose
To investigate the combinations of variables that comprise the biopsychosocial model domains to identify clinical profiles of risk and protection of second anterior cruciate ligament injury.
Methods
One hundred and forty-five patients for return-to-sport testing after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR) were contacted, and 97 were deemed eligible. All were evaluated between 6 and 24 months and followed up for 2 years. Participants answered the International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) and Anterior Cruciate Ligament–Return to Sport after Injury Scale (ACL-RSI), performed the postural stability assessment using the Biodex Balance System, and assessed muscle strength at 60° and 300°/s on the isokinetic dynamometer. Personal factors (age, gender, body mass index), body structures (graft type and concomitant injuries), and environmental factors (time between surgery and evaluation) were also collected. The participants were asked about the occurrence of a second ACL injury and return to sport after 2 years of follow-up. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was used to determine predictors of a second ACL injury. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to verify the accuracy of the CART analysis, in addition to the sensitivity, specificity, and relative risk (RR) of the model.
Results
Of the initial 97 participants, 88 (89.8%) responded to follow-up and 14 (15.9%) had a second ACL injury (11 graft ruptures and three contralateral ACL). CART analysis identified the following variables as predictors of second ACL injury: return to sport, hamstring strength symmetry at 300°/s, ACL-RSI score, hamstrings/quadriceps ratio at 60°/s, and body mass index (BMI). CART correctly identified 9 (64.3%) of the 14 participants who were reinjured and 71 (95.9%) of the 74 participants who were not. The total correct classification was 90.9%. The area under the ROC curve was 0.88 (95% CI 0.72–0.99; p < 0.001), and the model showed a sensitivity of 75% (95% CI 42.8–94.5), specificity of 93.4% (95% CI 85.3–97.8), and RR of 15.9 (95% CI 4.9–51.4; p < 0.0001).
Conclusion
The combination of hamstring strength symmetry, hamstring/quadriceps ratio (body functions); return to sport (activity and participation); psychological readiness; and BMI (personal factors) could identify three clinical risk profiles for a second ACL injury with good accuracy.
Level of Evidence
IV.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
Raw data can be made available upon reasonable request.
References
Albano TR, Silva Rodrigues CA, Pereira Melo AK, de Paula Lima PO, Leão Almeida GP (2020) Clinical decision algorithm associated with return to sport after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. J Athl Train 55(7):691–698. https://doi.org/10.4085/1062-6050-82-19
Alejandra Díaz M, Smeets A, Hagen M, Sankey SP, Verschueren S, Vanrenterghem J (2022) Postural balance strategies during landing at the moment of return-to-sports after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. J Biomech. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbiomech.2022.111381
Almeida GPL, Albano TR, Melo AKP (2019) Hand-held dynamometer identifies asymmetries in torque of the quadriceps muscle after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 27(8):2494–2501. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-018-5245-3
Almeida GPL, Monteiro IO, Marizeiro DF, Maia LB, de Paula Lima PO (2017) Y balance test has no correlation with the stability index of the biodex balance system. Musculoskelet Sci Pract 27:1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msksp.2016.11.008
Beischer S, Gustavsson L, Senorski EH, Karlsson J, Thomeé C, Samuelsson K, Thomeé R (2020) Young athletes who return to sport before 9 months after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction have a rate of new injury 7 times that of those who delay return. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 50(2):83–90. https://doi.org/10.2519/jospt.2020.9071
Blucher NC, Feller JA, Devitt BM, Klemm HJ, Whitehead TS, McClelland JA, Webster KE (2022) Is there an association in young patients between quadriceps or hamstring strength after acl reconstruction and graft rupture? Orthop J Sport Med 10(6):23259671221101004. https://doi.org/10.1177/23259671221101003
Burgi CR, Peters S, Ardern CL, Magill JR, Gomez CD, Sylvain J, Reiman MP (2019) Which criteria are used to clear patients to return to sport after primary ACL reconstruction? a scoping review. Br J Sports Med 53(18):1154–1161. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2018-099982
Capin JJ, Snyder-Mackler L, Risberg MA, Grindem H (2019) Keep calm and carry on testing: a substantive reanalysis and critique of “what is the evidence for and validity of return-to-sport testing after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction surgery? a systematic review and meta-analysis.” Br J Sports Med 53(23):1444–1446. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2019-100906
Cronström A, Tengman E, Häger CK (2022) Return to sports: a risky business? a systematic review with meta-analysis of risk factors for graft rupture following acl reconstruction. Sport Med 53(1):91–110. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40279-022-01747-3
Culvenor AG, Alexander BC, Clark RA, Collins NJ, Ageberg E, Morris HG, Whitehead TS, Crossley KM (2016) Dynamic single-leg postural control is impaired bilaterally following anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction: implications for reinjury risk. J Orthop Sport Phys Ther 46(5):357–364. https://doi.org/10.2519/jospt.2016.6305
Eggerding V, Reijman M, Meuffels DE, Van Es E, Van Arkel E, Van Den Brand I, Van Linge J, Zijl J, Bierma-Zeinstra SMA, Koopmanschap M (2022) ACL reconstruction for all is not cost-effective after acute ACL rupture. Br J Sports Med 56(1):24–28. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2020-102564
Fältström A, Kvist J, Bittencourt NFN, Mendonça LD, Hägglund M (2021) Clinical risk profile for a second anterior cruciate ligament injury in female soccer players after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Am J Sports Med 49(6):1421–1430. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546521999109
Fones L, Kostyun RO, Cohen AD, Pace JL (2020) Patient-reported outcomes, return-to-sport status, and reinjury rates after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction in adolescent athletes: minimum 2-year follow-up. Orthop J Sport Med 8(11):1–6. https://doi.org/10.1177/2325967120964471
Grindem H, Snyder-Mackler L, Moksnes H, Engebretsen L, Risberg MA (2016) Simple decision rules can reduce reinjury risk by 84% after ACL reconstruction: the delaware-Oslo ACL cohort study. Br J Sports Med 50(13):804–808. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2016-096031
Heijne A, Silbernagel KG, Lundberg M (2021) “I don’t opt out of things because I think I will get a sore knee, but I don’t expose myself to stupid risks either”: patients’ experiences of a second ACL injury—an interview study. Knee Surg Sport Traumatol Arthrosc 30(7):2244–2250. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-021-06762-x
Heinert BL, Collins T, Tehan C, Ragan R, Kernozek TW (2021) Effect of Hamstring-to-quadriceps Ratio on Knee Forces in Females during Landing. Int J Sports Med 42(3):264–269. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-021-06762-x
Herbst E, Hoser C, Hildebrandt C, Raschner C, Hepperger C, Pointner H, Fink C (2015) Functional assessments for decision-making regarding return to sports following ACL reconstruction. Part II: clinical application of a new test battery. Knee Surg Sport Traumatol Arthrosc 23(5):1283–1291. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-015-3546-3
Keays SL, Mellifont DB, Keays AC, Stuelcken MC, Lovell DI, Sayers MGL (2022) Long-term return to sports after anterior cruciate ligament injury: reconstruction vs no reconstruction-a comparison of 2 case series. Am J Sports Med 50(4):912–921. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211073152
Korkoman AJ, Aljadaan B, Alqarni A, Alshomrany AA, Almuawi AN, Alhalafi AF, Alshahrani AN, Alqahtani MM, Althunayan K (2023) Return to sport after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction among physically active adults. Cureus. 15(6):e39850. https://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.39850
Kornblatt I, Warren RF, Wickiewicz TL (1988) Long-term followup of anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction using the quadriceps tendon substitution for chronic anterior cruciate ligament insufficiency. Am J Sports Med 16(5):444–448. https://doi.org/10.1177/036354658801600503
Kyritsis P, Bahr R, Landreau P, Miladi R, Witvrouw E (2016) Likelihood of ACL graft rupture: not meeting six clinical discharge criteria before return to sport is associated with a four times greater risk of rupture. Br J Sports Med 50(15):946–951. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2015-095908
Losciale JM, Zdeb RM, Ledbetter L, Reiman MP, Sell TC (2019) The association between passing return-to-sport criteria and second anterior cruciate ligament injury risk, a systematic review with meta-analysis. J Orthop Sport Phys Ther 49(2):43–54
Lucarno S, Zago M, Buckthorpe M, Grassi A, Tosarelli F, Smith R, Della Villa F (2021) Systematic video analysis of anterior cruciate ligament injuries in professional female soccer players. Am J Sports Med 49(7):1794–1802. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211008169
Marder RA, Raskind JR, Carroll M (1991) Prospective evaluation of arthroscopically assisted anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Patellar tendon versus semitendinosus and gracilis tendons. Am J Sports Med 19(5):478–484. https://doi.org/10.1177/036354659101900510
McPherson AL, Feller JA, Hewett TE, Webster KE (2019) Smaller change in psychological readiness to return to sport is associated with second anterior cruciate ligament injury among younger patients. Am J Sports Med 47(5):1209–1215. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546519825499
McPherson AL, Feller JA, Hewett TE, Webster KE (2019) Psychological readiness to return to sport is associated with second anterior cruciate ligament injuries. Am J Sports Med 47(4):857–862. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546518825258
Metsavaht L, Leporace G, Riberto M, de Mello SM, Batista L (2010) Translation and cross-cultural adaptation of the Brazilian version of the international knee documentation committee subjective knee form: validity and reproducibility. Am J Sports Med 38(9):1894–1899. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546510365314
Paterno MV, Huang B, Thomas S, Hewett TE, Schmitt LC (2017) Clinical factors that predict a second ACL injury after ACL reconstruction and return to sport: preliminary development of a clinical decision algorithm. Orthop J Sport Med 5(12):2325967117745279. https://doi.org/10.1177/2325967117745279
Paterno MV, Schmitt LC, Ford KR, Rauh MJ, Myer GD, Huang B, Hewett TE (2010) Biomechanical measures during landing and postural stability predict second anterior cruciate ligament injury after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction and return to sport. Am J Sports Med 38(10):1968–1978. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546510376053
de Queiroz JHM, Murakawa YAB, de Castro SS, Almeida GPL, de Oliveira RR (2022) Biopsychosocial model domains in clinical practice guidelines for return to sport after acl injury: systematic review using the AGREE II checklist. Sports Health 15(2):165–175. https://doi.org/10.1177/19417381221094582
Randsborg PH, Cepeda N, Adamec D, Rodeo SA, Ranawat A, Pearle AD (2022) Patient-reported outcome, return to sport, and revision rates 7–9 years after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction: results from a cohort of 2042 patients. Am J Sports Med 50(2):423–432. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465211060333
Sanders TL, Maradit Kremers H, Bryan AJ, Larson DR, Dahm DL, Levy BA, Stuart MJ, Krych AJ (2016) Incidence of anterior cruciate ligament tears and reconstruction: A 21-year population-based study. Am J Sports Med 44(6):1502–1507. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363546516629944
Silva LO, Mendes LMR, Lima PO de P, Almeida GPL, (2018) Translation, cross-adaptation and measurement properties of the Brazilian version of the ACL-RSI Scale and ACL-QoL Questionnaire in patients with anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Brazilian J Phys Ther 22 (2): 127–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bjpt.2017.09.006
Sroufe MD, Sumpter AE, Thompson XD, Moran TE, Bruce Leicht AS, Diduch DR, Brockmeier SF, Miller MD, Gwathmey FW, Werner BC, Pietrosimone B, Hart JM (2023) Comparison of patient-reported outcomes, strength, and functional performance in primary versus revision anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Am J Sports Med 51(8):2057–2063. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465231169535
Steinberg D, (2009) Chapter 10 CART: Classification and Regression Trees. Top Ten Algorithms Data Min, pp 179–201
Tack C (2019) Artificial intelligence and machine learning | applications in musculoskeletal physiotherapy. Musculoskelet Sci Pract 39:164–169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msksp.2018.11.012
Ueda Y, Matsushita T, Shibata Y, Takiguchi K, Ono K, Kida A, Ono R, Nagai K, Hoshino Y, Matsumoto T, Sakai Y, Kuroda R (2022) Association between meeting return-to-sport criteria and psychological readiness to return to sport after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Orthop J Sport Med 10(5):1–8. https://doi.org/10.1177/23259671221093985
Vergis A, Gillquist J (1995) Graft failure in intra-articular anterior cruciate ligament reconstructions: a review of the literature. Arthroscopy 11(3):312–321. https://doi.org/10.1016/0749-8063(95)90009-8
Della Villa F, Buckthorpe M, Grassi A, Nabiuzzi A, Tosarelli F, Zaffagnini S, Della Villa S (2020) Systematic video analysis of ACL injuries in professional male football (soccer): injury mechanisms, situational patterns and biomechanics study on 134 consecutive cases. Br J Sports Med 54(23):1423–1432. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2019-101247
Webster KE, Feller JA (2020) Who passes return-to-sport tests, and which tests are most strongly associated with return to play after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction? Orthop J Sport Med 8(12):1–8. https://doi.org/10.1177/2325967120969425
Welling W, Benjaminse A, Lemmink K, Gokeler A (2020) Passing return to sports tests after ACL reconstruction is associated with greater likelihood for return to sport but fail to identify second injury risk. Knee 27(3):949–957. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knee.2020.03.007
Zhao D, Pan J-K, Lin F-Z, Luo M-H, Liang G-H, Zeng L, Huang H, Han Y, Xu N, Yang W, Liu J (2022) Risk factors for revision or rerupture after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Sports Med 29(04):036354652211197. https://doi.org/10.1177/03635465221119787
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior—Brazil (CAPES) for supporting this research.
Funding
This research was partially financed by the Fundação Cearense de Apoio ao Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (FUNCAP) through the aid for exceptional expenses of small value (Edital n° 03/2019), and Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior, grant number Finance Code 001.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
All authors contributed to the conception and design of the study. The material preparation, data collection and analysis were performed by TRA, MLAT, CASR and GPLA. The first draft of the manuscript was written by TRA and GPLA. Supervision and written review of the study were carried out by GPLA and POPL. All authors commented on the previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
All authors declare that there are no conflicts of interested involved in writing this article.
Ethical approval
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee at the Federal University of Ceará with protocol number 1.000.404.
Informed consent
Patients provided informed consent to take part in the study.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Almeida, G.P.L., Albano, T.R., Rodrigues, C.A.S. et al. _Combining return to sport, psychological readiness, body mass, hamstring strength symmetry, and hamstring/quadriceps ratio increases the risk of a second anterior cruciate ligament injury. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 31, 5087–5095 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-023-07559-w
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00167-023-07559-w