Skip to main content

Price Prediction of Ethereum Using Time Series and Deep Learning Techniques

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of Emerging Trends and Technologies on Intelligent Systems

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1414))

Abstract

Ethereum, a blockchain platform inspired by Bitcoin, was introduced in 2015. It is a worldwide computing platform fueled by Ether (ETH), its native currency. As the demand for processing power on the Ethereum blockchain rises, so will the price of ETH. Several studies are working to project its price based on previous price inflations of the cryptocurrency. This topic has become a prominent research topic all around the world. In this work, the price of ETH is predicted using a hybrid model consisting of Long short-term memory (LSTM) and Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The hybrid model gave the least values for the evaluation metrics compared to the standalone models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 189.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Nakamoto, S. (2008). Bitcoin: A peer-to-peer electronic cash system.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Ethereum - CoinDesk site. Retrieved December 01, 2021, from https://www.coindesk.com/price/ethereum/.

  3. Ethereum—Wikipedia site. Retrieved November 21, 2021, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethereum.

  4. Kaastra, I., & Boyd, M. (1996). Designing a neural network for forecasting financial and economic time series. Neurocomputing, 215–236.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Kumar, D., & Rath, S. K. (2020). Predicting the trends of price for ethereum using deep learning techniques. In: Artificial Intelligence and Evolutionary Computations in Engineering Systems 2020 (pp. 103–114). Singapore: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Poongodi, M., Sharma, A., Vijayakumar, V., Bhardwaj, V., Sharma, A. P., Iqbal, R., & Kumar, R. (2020). Prediction of the price of Ethereum blockchain cryptocurrency in an industrial finance system. Computers & Electrical Engineering, 81, 106527.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Jay, P., Kalariya, V., Parmar, P., Tanwar, S., Kumar, N., & Alazab, M. (2020). Stochastic neural networks for cryptocurrency price prediction. IEEE Access, 8, 82804–82818.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Zoumpekas, T., Houstis, E., & Vavalis, M. (2020). Eth analysis and predictions utilizing deep learning. Expert Systems with Applications, 162, 113866.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Angela, O., & Sun, Y. (2020). Factors affecting cryptocurrency prices: Evidence from ethereum. In 2020 International Conference on Information Management and Technology (ICIMTech) (pp. 318–323). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  10. Shankhdhar, A., Singh, A. K., Naugraiya, S., & Saini, P. K. (2021). Bitcoin price alert and prediction system using various models. In IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering (Vol. 1131, No. 1, p. 012009). IOP Publishing.

    Google Scholar 

  11. Phaladisailoed, T., & Numnonda, T. (2018). Machine learning models comparison for bitcoin price prediction. In 2018 10th International Conference on Information Technology and Electrical Engineering (ICITEE) (pp. 506–511). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Rathan, K., Sai, S. V., & Manikanta, T. S. (2019). Crypto-currency price prediction using decision tree and regression techniques. In 2019 3rd International Conference on Trends in Electronics and Informatics (ICOEI) (pp. 190–194). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  13. Madan, I., Saluja, S., & Zhao, A. (2015). Automated bitcoin trading via machine learning algorithms. http://cs229.stanford.edu/proj2014/Isaac%20Madan,%20Shaurya%20Saluja,%20Aojia%20Zhao,Automated%20Bitcoin%20Trading%20via%20Machine%20Learning%20Algorithms.pdf.

  14. Saad, M., Choi, J., Nyang, D., Kim, J., & Mohaisen, A. (2019). Toward characterizing blockchain-based cryptocurrencies for highly accurate predictions. IEEE Systems Journal, 14(1), 321–332.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Chen, Y., & Ng, H. K. T. (2019). Deep learning Ethereum token price prediction with network motif analysis. In 2019 International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW) (pp. 232–237). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  16. Sun, X., Liu, M., & Sima, Z. (2020). A novel cryptocurrency price trend forecasting model based on LightGBM. Finance Research Letters, 32, 101084.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Awoke, T., Rout, M., Mohanty, L., & Satapathy, S. C. (2021). Bitcoin price prediction and analysis using deep learning models. In Communication Software and Networks (pp. 631–640). Singapore: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  18. Kavitha, H., Sinha, U. K., & Jain, S. S. (2020). Performance evaluation of machine learning algorithms for bitcoin price prediction. In 2020 Fourth International Conference on Inventive Systems and Control (ICISC) (pp. 110–114). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  19. Miura, R., Pichl, L., & Kaizoji, T. (2019). Artificial neural networks for realized volatility prediction in cryptocurrency time series. In International Symposium on Neural Networks (pp. 165–172). Cham: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  20. Abraham, J., Higdon, D., Nelson, J., & Ibarra, J. (2018). Cryptocurrency price prediction using tweet volumes and sentiment analysis. SMU Data Science Review, 1(3), 1.

    Google Scholar 

  21. Jang, H., & Lee, J. (2017). An empirical study on modeling and prediction of bitcoin prices with Bayesian neural networks based on blockchain information. IEEE Access, 6, 5427–5437.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Tandon, S., Tripathi, S., Saraswat, P., & Dabas, C. (2019). Bitcoin price forecasting using lstm and 10-fold cross validation. In 2019 International Conference on Signal Processing and Communication (ICSC) (pp. 323–328). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  23. Khan, A. S., & Augustine, P. (2019). Predictive analytics in cryptocurrency using neural networks: A comparative study. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering, 7(6), 425–429.

    Google Scholar 

  24. Radityo, A., Munajat, Q., & Budi, I. (2017). Prediction of bitcoin exchange rate to American dollar using artificial neural network methods. In 2017 International Conference on Advanced Computer Science and Information Systems (ICACSIS) (pp. 433–438). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  25. Fahmi, A., Samsudin, N., Mustapha, A., Razali, N., Khalid, A., & Kamal, S. (2018). Regression based analysis for bitcoin price prediction. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7.

    Google Scholar 

  26. Livieris, I. E., Pintelas, E., Stavroyiannis, S., & Pintelas, P. (2020). Ensemble deep learning models for forecasting cryptocurrency time-series. Algorithms, 13(5), 121.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  27. Lahmiri, S., & Bekiros, S. (2019). Cryptocurrency forecasting with deep learning chaotic neural networks. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 118, 35–40.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  28. Liu, M., Li, G., Li, J., Zhu, X., & Yao, Y. (2021). Forecasting the price of Bitcoin using deep learning. Finance Research Letters, 40, 101755.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Wirawan, I. M., Widiyaningtyas, T., & Hasan, M. M. (2019). Short term prediction on bitcoin price using ARIMA method. In 2019 International Seminar on Application for Technology of Information and Communication (iSemantic) (pp. 260–265). IEEE.

    Google Scholar 

  30. Raju, S. M., & Tarif, A. M. (2020). Real-time prediction of BITCOIN price using machine learning techniques and public sentiment analysis. arXiv:2006.14473.

  31. Patel, M. M., Tanwar, S., Gupta, R., & Kumar, N. (2020). A deep learning-based cryptocurrency price prediction scheme for financial institutions. Journal of Information Security and Applications, 55, 102583.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Nguyen, D. T., & Le, H. V. (2019). Predicting the price of bitcoin using hybrid ARIMA and machine learning. In International Conference on Future Data and Security Engineering (pp. 696–704). Cham: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  33. Schluchter, M. D. (2005). Mean square error. Encyclopedia of Biostatistics, 5.

    Google Scholar 

  34. Chai, T., & Draxler, R. R. (2014). Root mean square error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE)–Arguments against avoiding RMSE in the literature. Geoscientific Model Development, 7(3), 1247–1250.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Preeti Sharma .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Sharma, P., Pramila, R.M. (2023). Price Prediction of Ethereum Using Time Series and Deep Learning Techniques. In: Noor, A., Saroha, K., Pricop, E., Sen, A., Trivedi, G. (eds) Proceedings of Emerging Trends and Technologies on Intelligent Systems. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1414. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-4182-5_32

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics