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Archaeological Simulation and the Testing Paradigm

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Archaeological Computational Modeling

Part of the book series: Interdisciplinary Contributions to Archaeology ((IDCA))

Abstract

Simulations in archaeological research make use of a wide range of techniques and methods. As a general rule, they tend toward early adoption of new computational approaches (such as agent-based modeling and multi-agent simulation), evaluative statistical tools (such as sensitivity or uncertainty analyses), and borrow heavily from similar applications in other disciplines; particularly ones that emphasize the dynamic (or dynamical) group behavior of biological organisms. As these approaches become more sophisticated our theoretical bases for testing, and ultimately refuting or validating their implications are falling behind. Largely this is due to the nature of the assumptions we make about the testing of archaeological hypotheses in general, and our expectations about causality, not merely the oversimplification of past human decision-making by the simulations themselves. We have very sophisticated computational devices for simulating the past in many unique and interesting ways, but there are some basic underlying issues that clearly indicate the problems with archaeological simulation are primarily theoretical and not mathematical.

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  1. Department of Anthropology, Sonoma State University, Rohnert Park, CA, USA

    Thomas G. Whitley

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  1. Thomas G. Whitley
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Correspondence to Thomas G. Whitley .

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  1. Department of Anthropology, University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire, USA

    Marieka Brouwer Burg

  2. Groningen Institute of Archaeology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands

    Hans Peeters

  3. Department of Anthropology and MSU Muse, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA

    William A. Lovis

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Whitley, T.G. (2016). Archaeological Simulation and the Testing Paradigm. In: Brouwer Burg, M., Peeters, H., Lovis, W. (eds) Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in Archaeological Computational Modeling. Interdisciplinary Contributions to Archaeology. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-27833-9_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-27833-9_8

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