Abstract
Violent crime rates in Mexico have reached epidemic levels recently due to a corrupt and ineffective government and violent drug-trafficking organizations (DTOs). This research analyzes social, economic, and demographic data, to identify factors that correlate with homicide rates. Previous research efforts have focused on trends of homicide rates and provided subjective recommendations without supporting empirical evidence. This research provides an objective analysis of homicide rates, using a large database consisting of census data provided by the Instituto Nacional De Estradstica Y Geografa (INEGI) website. Through formal experimentation, we found that the most significant indicators were economic and education variables (e.g., Occupants in Refuge and Population over 5 Years Without Schooling), supporting recommendations on policy changes from other research efforts. This paper presents our experiments, results, and insights regarding future work.
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© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
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Kruger, C.M., Gerber, M.S. (2015). Identifying Correlates of Homicide Rates in Michoacán, Mexico. In: Agarwal, N., Xu, K., Osgood, N. (eds) Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction. SBP 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9021. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_37
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_37
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