Skip to main content

Multi-step Ahead Wind Speed Forecasting Based on a Bi-LSTM Network Combined with Decomposition Technique

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Computational Intelligence Methods for Green Technology and Sustainable Development (GTSD 2022)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems ((LNNS,volume 567))

  • 441 Accesses

Abstract

Wind energy is considered as one of the most attractive renewable energies and has the fastest development in power fields. It gradually becomes an indispensable source for society, especially for generating electricity. Due to the fluctuation of this energy, forecasting wind speed is necessary to adjust wind power accordingly. In this paper, a hybrid model using a Bidirectional Long-Short Term Memory network (Bi-LSTM) with the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition method (CEEMD) to make a multi-step forecast for wind speed in Vietnam was proposed. Initially, the CEEMD method was used to decompose original historical data into a set of constitutive series. Then, the decomposed components were the inputs for the Bi-LSTM model to make a prediction. Bi-LSTM network could utilize the information in both forward and backward directions completely. The performances of the proposed model were compared with that of other models. The final results demonstrated that the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model was higher than the comparative methods.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 229.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 299.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Nguyen, T.H.T., Nakayama, T., Ishida, M.: Optimal capacity design of battery and hydrogen system for the DC grid with photovoltaic power generation based on the rapid estimation of grid dependency. Int. J. Electr. Power Energy Syst. 89, 27–39 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2016.12.012

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Chen, Y., et al.: 2-D regional short-term wind speed forecast based on CNN-LSTM deep learning model. Energy Convers. Manag. 244, 114451 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2021.114451

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Koçak, K.: Practical ways of evaluating wind speed persistence. Energy 33(1), 65–70 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2007.07.010

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Al-deen, S., Yamaguchi, A., Ishihara, T.: A physical approach to wind speed prediction for wind energy forecasting. J. Wind Eng. 108, 349–352 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Sideratos, G., Hatziargyriou, N.D.: An advanced statistical method for wind power forecasting. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 22(1), 258–265 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2006.889078

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Hu, S., et al.: Hybrid forecasting method for wind power integrating spatial correlation and corrected numerical weather prediction. Appl. Energy 293, 116951 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116951

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Balakrishna Moorthy, C., Agrawal, A., Deshmukh, M.K.: Artificial intelligence techniques for wind power prediction: a case study. Indian J. Sci. Technol. 8(25) (2015). https://doi.org/10.17485/ijst/2015/v8i25/87891

  8. Liu, H., Tian, H.-Q., Chen, C., Li, Y.: A hybrid statistical method to predict wind speed and wind power. Renew. Energy 35(8), 1857–1861 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2009.12.011

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Grigonytė, E., Butkevičiūtė, E.: Short-term wind speed forecasting using ARIMA model. Energetika 62 (2016). https://doi.org/10.6001/energetika.v62i1-2.3313

  10. Zafirakis, D., Tzanes, G., Kaldellis, J.K.: Forecasting of wind power generation with the use of artificial neural networks and support vector regression models. Energy Procedia 159, 509–514 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2018.12.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Jónsson, T., Pinson, P., Nielsen, H., Madsen, H.: Exponential smoothing approaches for prediction in real-time electricity markets. Energies 7(6), 3710–3732 (2014). https://doi.org/10.3390/en7063710

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Shahid, F., Zameer, A., Muneeb, M.: A novel genetic LSTM model for wind power forecast. Energy 223, 120069 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120069

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Peng, T., Zhang, C., Zhou, J., Nazir, M.S.: An integrated framework of Bi-directional long-short term memory (BiLSTM) based on sine cosine algorithm for hourly solar radiation forecasting. Energy 221, 119887 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.119887

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Zhen, H., Niu, D., Wang, K., Shi, Y., Ji, Z., Xu, X.: Photovoltaic power forecasting based on GA improved Bi-LSTM in microgrid without meteorological information. Energy 231, 120908 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120908

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Du, J., Cheng, Y., Zhou, Q., Zhang, J., Zhang, X., Li, G.: Power load forecasting using BiLSTM-attention. IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci. 440, 032115 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/440/3/032115

  16. Soundarapandian, V., Srie, E., Janani, V.: A review on the hybrid approaches for wind speed forecasting. Int. J. Sci. Technol. Res. 8, 1584–1590 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Liu, D., Niu, D., Wang, H., Fan, L.: Short-term wind speed forecasting using wavelet transform and support vector machines optimized by genetic algorithm. Renew. Energy 62, 592–597 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2013.08.011

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Jiang, Y., Huang, G.: Short-term wind speed prediction: hybrid of ensemble empirical mode decomposition, feature selection and error correction. Energy Convers. Manag. 144, 340–350 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2017.04.064

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Huang, N., et al.: The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis. In: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol. 454, pp. 903–995 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1998.0193

  20. Yeh, J.-R., Shieh, J.-S., Huang, N.: Complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition: a novel noise enhanced data analysis method. Adv. Adapt. Data Anal. 2, 135–156 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1142/S1793536910000422

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  21. Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9, 1735–1780 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

This research is funded by Hanoi University of Science and Technology (HUST) under grant number T2021-PC-004.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nguyen Thi Hoai Thu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Thu, N.T.H., Van, P.N., Bao, P.Q. (2023). Multi-step Ahead Wind Speed Forecasting Based on a Bi-LSTM Network Combined with Decomposition Technique. In: Huang, YP., Wang, WJ., Quoc, H.A., Le, HG., Quach, HN. (eds) Computational Intelligence Methods for Green Technology and Sustainable Development. GTSD 2022. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 567. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19694-2_50

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics