Abstract
The study uses data of listed non-financial companies in 2018 and 2019, combining M-Score and Z-Score models, applying ANN and SVM machine learning techniques in forecasting evidence of fraud in financial statements. Research results show that using SVM technique and M-Score index has high accuracy in predicting.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Altman: Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy J. Financ. (September 1968). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1968.tb00843.x
Altman: Predicting financial distress of companies: revisiting the Z-Score and Zeta (September 2000). https://doi.org/10.4337/9780857936097.00027
Beneish, M.D.: Fraud detection and expected return (2012). http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1998387
Beasley, M.: An empirical analysis of the relation between the board of director composition and fnancial statement fraud. Account Rev. 71(4), 443–466 (1996)
Beasley, M.S., Carcello, J.V., Hermanson, D.R.: Fraudulent fnancial reporting 1987–1997: an analysis of U.S. public companies. The Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO), New York (1999)
Beaver, W.H.: Financial ratios as predictors of failure. J. Account Res. 4, 71–111 (1966)
Bell, T., Carcello, J.: A decision aid for assessing the likelihood of fraudulent financial reporting. Audit A J. Pract. Theory 9(1), 169–178 (2000)
Chen, C.H.: Application of grey forecast theory and logit equation in financal crisis warning model from the preevent control viewpoint. Commer. Manag. q. 6(4), 655–676 (2005)
Chen, G., Firth, M., Gao, D.N., Rui, O.M.: Ownership structure, corporate governance, and fraud: evidence from China. J. Corp. Financ. 12(3), 424–448 (2006)
Chiu, C.C., Lee, T.S., Chou, Y.C., Lu, C.J.: Application of integrated identifcation analysis and ANN in data mining. J. Chin. Inst. Ind. Eng. 19(2), 9–22 (2002)
Coats, P.K., Fant, L.F.: A neural network approach to forecasting financial distress. J. Bus. Forecast 10, 9–12 (1993)
Craja, P., Kim, A., Lessmann, S.: Deep learning for detecting financial statement fraud. Decis. Support Syst. 139, 113421 (2020).
Dong, W., Liao, S., Liang, L.: Financial statement fraud detection using text mining: a systemic functional linguistics theory perspective. In: Pacific Asia Conference on Information Systems (PACIS). Association For Information System (2016)
Elliot, R., Willingham, J.: Management Fraud: Detection and Deterrence. Petrocelli, New York (1980)
Fanning, K., Cogger, K.: Neural network detection of management fraud using published financial data. Int. J. Intell. Syst. Account Financ. Manag. 7(1), 21–24 (1998)
Hà Thị Thuý Vân:Thủ thuật gian lận trong lập báo cáo tài chính các công ty niêm yết, tạp chí Tài chính tháng 4/2016 (2016)
Hansen, J.V., McDonald, J.B., Stice, J.D.: Artifcial intelligence and generalized qualitative-response models: an empirical test on two audit decision-making domains. Decis. Sci. 23(3), 708–723 (1992)
Hajek, P., Henriques, R.: Mining corporate annual reports for intelligent detection of financial statement fraud–a comparative study of machine learning methods. Knowl. Based Syst. 128, 139–152 (2017)
Humpherys, S.L., Moftt, K.C., Burns, M.B., Burgoon, J.K., Felix, W.F.: Identifcation of fraudulent financial statements using linguistic credibility analysis. Decis. Support Syst. 50, 585–594 (2011)
Kamarudin, K.A., Ismail, W.A.W., Mustapha, W.A.H.W.: Aggressive fnancial reporting and corporate fraud. Procedia Soc. Behav. Sci. 65, 638–643 (2012)
Kirkos, S., Spathis, C., Manolopoulos, Y.: Data mining techniques for the detection of fraudulent financial statements. Expert Syst. Appl. 32(4), 995–1003 (2007)
Koh, H.C.: Going concern prediction using data mining techniques. Manag. Audit J. 19, 462–476 (2004)
Kotsiantis, S., Koumanakos, E., Tzelepis, D., Tampakas, V.: Forecasting fraudulent financial statements using data miming. World Enformatika Soc. 12, 283–288 (2006)
Mohammadi, M., Yazdani, S., Khanmohammadi, M.H., Maham, K.: Financial reporting fraud detection: An analysis of data mining algorithms. Int. J. Financ. Manag. Acc. 4(16), 1–12 (2020)
McCulloch, W.S., Pitts, W.H.: A logical calculus of the ideas immanent in nervous activity. Bull. Math. Biophys. 5, 115–133 (1943)
Nguyen, M.N., Shi, D., Quek, C.: A nature inspired Ying-Yang approach for intelligent decision support in bank solvency analysis. Expert Syst. Appl. 34, 2576–2587 (2008)
Phạm Minh Vương và Nguyễn Thị Hà Vy: Dự báo gian lận báo cáo tài chính bằng các chỉ số tài chính cho các doanh nghiệp niêm yết tại Việt Nam, Tạp chí công thương 10/2020 (2020)
Pai, P.F., Hsu, M.F., Wang, M.C.: A support vector machine-based model for detecting top management fraud. Knowl. Based Syst. 24, 314–321 (2011)
Quinlan, J.R.: C5.0: programs for machine learning. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Burlington (1986b)
Ravisankar, P., Ravi, V., Rao, G.R., Bose, I.: Detection of financial statement fraud and feature selection using data mining techniques. Decis. Support Syst. 50, 491–500 (2011)
Rezaee, Z.: Causes, consequences, and deterrence of financial statement fraud. Crit. Perspect. Account. 16(3), 277–298 (2005)
Salehi, M., Fard, F.Z.: Data mining approach to prediction of going concern using classifcation and regression tree (CART). Glob. J. Manag. Bus. Res. 13(3), 24–30 (2013)
Sadgali, I., Sael, N., Benabbou, F.: Performance of machine learning techniques in the detection of financial frauds. Proc. Comput. Sci. 148, 45–54 (2019)
Sharma, V.D.: Board of director characteristics, institutional ownership, and fraud: evidence from Australia. Audit A J. Pract. Theory 23(2), 105–117 (2004)
Shin, K.S., Lee, T.S., Kim, H.J.: An application of support vector machines in bankruptcy prediction model. Expert. Syst. Appl. 28, 127–135 (2005)
Spathis, C., Doumpos, M., Zopounidis, C.: Detecting false financial statements: a comparative study using multicriteria analysis and multivariate statistical techniques. Eur. Account Rev. 11(3), 509–535 (2002)
Summers, S.L., Sweeney, J.T.: Fraudulently misstated financial statements and insider trading: an empirical analysis. Account Rev. 73, 131–146 (1998)
Tang, X.B., Liu, G.C., Yang, J., Wei, W.: Knowledge-based financial statement fraud detection system: based on an ontology and a decision tree. KO Knowl. Org. 45(3), 205–219 (2018)
Uzun, H., Szewczyk, S.H., Varma, R.: Board composition and corporate fraud. Financ. Anal. J. 60(3), 33–43 (2004)
Vapnik, V.: The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Springer, Berlin (1995)
Wells, J.T.: Occupational Fraud and Abuse. Obsidian Book Publishing, Nottingham (1997)
Yao, J., Zhang, J., Wang, L.: A financial statement fraud detection model based on hybrid data mining methods. In: 2018 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (ICAIBD), pp. 57–61. IEEE (2018, May)
Yeh, C.C., Chi, D.J., Hsu, M.F.: A hybrid approach of DEA, rough set and support vector machines for business failure prediction. Expert Syst. Appl. 37, 1535–1541 (2010)
Zhou, W., Kapoor, G.: Detecting evolutionary financial statement fraud. Decis. Support Syst. 50, 570–575 (2011)
Funding Information
This research is funded by Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City (VNU-HCM) under grant number DS2022-34-03.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Phong, N.A., Tam, P.H., Thanh, N.P. (2022). Fraud Identification of Financial Statements by Machine Learning Technology: Case of Listed Companies in Vietnam. In: Ngoc Thach, N., Kreinovich, V., Ha, D.T., Trung, N.D. (eds) Financial Econometrics: Bayesian Analysis, Quantum Uncertainty, and Related Topics. ECONVN 2022. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 427. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98689-6_28
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98689-6_28
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-98688-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-98689-6
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)