Abstract
This concluding chapter reflects briefly upon the overarching themes surrounding the economic geography of foreign direct investment (FDI) in former Yugoslavia. In doing so, it examines common issues across the region of study and sets forth some plausible scenarios for FDI over the upcoming decades. Most of the countries in this volume lost at least one decade vis-à-vis other Central and Eastern European (CEE) states due to military conflict followed by various degrees of political and economic isolation. In the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC), they continue to struggle to converge socioeconomically with the core of Europe. Policymakers throughout the region view FDI as a means to help provide necessary capital to overcome this gap. FDI to the former Yugoslavia continues to be affected differentially by recent events, as well as country-specific prospects for EU integration and a shift toward new origins of FDI such as China and Turkey. These developments will continue to shape the landscape, composition, and impact of FDI in the region over the next quarter century.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
- 1.
World Bank (2019a).
- 2.
Transparency International (2019).
- 3.
As of May 2020. For updated information about EU enlargement, please see https://ec.europa.eu/environment/enlarg/candidates.htm.
- 4.
For more information on the Western Balkans Investment Framework, please see https://wbif.eu/.
Abbreviations
- BiH:
-
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- BRI:
-
Belt and Road Initiative
- CEE:
-
Central and Eastern Europe
- EU:
-
European Union
- FDI:
-
Foreign Direct Investment
- FIPA:
-
Foreign Investment Promotion Agency
- FSRY:
-
Federal Socialist Republic of Yugoslavia
- GDP:
-
Gross Domestic Product
- GFC:
-
Global Financial Crisis
- KFOR:
-
Kosovo Force
- MNE:
-
Multinational Enterprise
- OBOR:
-
One Belt One Road
- OECD:
-
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
- OLI:
-
Origins-Location-Internalization
- SAA:
-
Stabilization and Association Agreement
- SFRY:
-
Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
- SIEPA:
-
Serbian Investment and Export Promotion Agency
- TEN-T:
-
Trans-European Transport Network
- TIDZ:
-
Technological Industrial Development Zone
- UAE:
-
United Arab Emirates
- WB:
-
Western Balkans
- WBIF:
-
Western Balkan Investment Framework
- WIIW:
-
Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
References
Adie BA (2019) Marketing europe to islamic heritage tourists. In: Hall CM, Prayag G (eds) The Routledge handbook of halal hospitality and islamic tourism, Routledge
Arte P, Larimo J (2019) Taking stock of foreign divestment: Insights and recommendations from three decades of contemporary literature. Int Bus Rev 28(6):101599. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2019.101599
Balkan Insight (2016) Serbian workers struggling with ‘widespread’ poor working conditions. https://balkaninsight.com/2016/05/09/workers-rights-violations-wide-spread-in-serbia-05-04-2016/. Accessed 15 Sept 2019
Bartlett W (2009) Economic development in the European super-periphery: evidence from the Western Balkans. Econ Annals LIV 181:21–44
Blonigen B (2005) A review of the empirical literature on FDI determinants. Atlantic Economic Journal. Dec. 33(4):383–403
Blonigen B, Piger J (2014) Determinants of foreign direct investment. Can J Econ Rev Can d’économique 47(3):775–812
Bradbury P (2018) Croatia aiming for direct flights from China in 2019. Total Croatia News. https://www.total-croatia-news.com/travel/31162-croatia-aiming-for-direct-flights-from-china-in-2019. Accessed 22 July 2019
Cosentino B, Dunmore D, Ellis S, Preti A, Ranghetti D, Routaboul C (2018) Research 4 committees: steer davies gleave. https://research4committees.blog/2018/01/16/the-new-silk-route-opportunities-and-challenges-for-eu-transport/. Accessed 15 Oct 2019
De Mello LR (1999) Foreign direct investment-led growth: evidence from time series and panel data. Oxf Econ Pap 51(1):133–151
Deichmann J, Grubaugh S, Scholten P (2020) Geo-cultural distance and foreign direct investment in the Western Balkans from 2005–2016: pairwise analysis of origins and destinations. Unpublished working paper
Dicken P (2015) Global shift: managing the changing contours of the world economy. Guilford, London
Dunning J (1980) Towards an eclectic theory of international production: some empirical tests. J Int Bus Stud 11(1):9–31
Economist (2020) Has COVID-19 killed globalization? the flow of people, trade and capital will be slowed. Online leader. https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/05/14/has-covid-19-killed-globalisation. Accessed 10 May 2020
European Council (2020) European Council (2020). Zagreb declaration, 6 May 2020. Retrieved from: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/05/06/zagreb-declaration-6-may-2020/ Accessed 11 May 2020
Ford T, Rork J, Elmslie B (2008) Considering the source: does the country of origin of FDI matter to economic growth? J Reg Sci 48(2):329–357
Gabrisch H, Hanzl-Weiss D, Holzner M, Landesmann M, Pöschl J, Vidovic H (2016) Improving competitiveness in the Balkan region–opportunities and limits. wiiw Research Report
Holzner M, Schwarzhappel M (2018) Infrastructure investment in the Western Balkans: a first analysis. Vienna Institute for International Economic Analysis (wiiw) Research Report
Jaklič A, Svetličič M (2019) China and Central and Eastern European countries within ‘16 + 1’: group or bilateral relations? Entrepreneurial Bus Econ Rev 7(2):83–100
Javorcik B (2004) Does foreign direct investment increase the productivity of domestic firms? In search of spillovers through backward linkages. Am Econ Rev 94(3):605–627
Karreman B, Burger M, Van Oort F (2016) Location choices of Chinese multinationals in Europe: the role of overseas communities. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 16–078/VII. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2845797
Koepke R (2019) What drives capital flows to emerging markets? a survey of the empirical literature. J Econ Surv Apr 33(2):516–540
Komorowski R, Kubiszewska K (2016) an assessment of islamic banking in bosnia and herzegovina–a comparative analysis using the CAMELS approach. Ekonomia Międzynarodowa 16:367–387
Lachert J, Kamiński K (2019). Western Balkans: infrastructure and energy from a geopolitical perspective. The Warsaw Institute Review
Osmani R, Ahmeti L (2017) Fiscal and economic incentives for foreign investors at technological industrial development zones in Macedonia, empirical analysis of TIDZ Skopje 1’ ISCBE’17, Tetovo
Panagiotou R (2020 Jul) The Western Balkans between Russia and the European Union: perceptions, reality, and impact on enlargement. J Cont Eur Stud 31:1–5
Pavlićević D (2018) ‘China threat’ and ‘China opportunity’: politics of dreams and fears in China-Central and eastern european relations. J Contemp China 0:1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2018.1458057
Pavlínek P (2017) Dependent growth: foreign investment and the development of the automotive industry in east-central Europe. Springer International Publishers, Cham, Switzerland
Richet X (2019) Geographical and strategic factors in Chinese foreign direct investment in Europe. Asian Econ Pap 18(2):102–119
Transparency International (2019) Corruption perceptions index. https://www.transparency.org/cpi2018. Accessed 15 Nov 2019
UNCTAD (2020) Investment policy monitor: special issue—investment policy responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic. https://unctad.org/en/pages/PulblicationsLibrary/diaepcbin2020d3_en.pdf. Accessed 20 May 2020
Vangeli A, Pavlićević D (2019) Introduction: new perspectives on China–Central and Eastern Europe relations: 1–8
WIIW (2019) Database on foreign direct investment. https://data.wiiw.ac.at/fdi-database.html (Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergliche). Accessed 20 September
World Bank (2019a) Doing business 2019 training for reform—economy profile: Macedonia, FYR www.worldbank.org/content/dam/doingBusiness/media/Annual-Reports Accessed 30 Mar 2019
World Bank (2019b) World Bank Data: GDP Growth. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG. Accessed 17 Oct 2019
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Deichmann, J.I. (2021). Conclusions and Prospects for the Next Quarter Century. In: Deichmann, J.I. (eds) Foreign Direct Investment in the Successor States of Yugoslavia. Economic Geography. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-55739-3_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-55739-3_9
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-55738-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-55739-3
eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)